VOD episode 20260713_VOD_DAY
Public episode JSON embedded as readable text for automated access.
{
"schema_version": "tryding-agent-episode.v1",
"episode_id": "20260713_VOD_DAY",
"episode_url": "https://trydingday.com/data/agents/v1/episodes/20260713_VOD_DAY.html",
"public_page_url": "https://trydingday.com/2026/07/13/winner-vod-july-13-2026/",
"published_at": "2026-07-13T16:36:37.458909Z",
"updated_at": "2026-08-03T19:29:09.191253Z",
"lifecycle": {
"tracking_status": "closed",
"active_for_tracking": false,
"stage": "closed"
},
"instrument": {
"type": "equity",
"symbol": "VOD",
"exchange": "NASDAQ",
"name": "Vodafone Group Public Limited Company"
},
"technical_reference": {
"status": "unavailable",
"reason": "not_recorded_in_published_episode"
},
"public_content": {
"date": "July 13, 2026",
"generated_at": "2026-07-13T16:36:37.458909Z",
"original_published_at": null,
"session_tag": "day",
"label": "Market coverage",
"try_label": "Try of the Day",
"public_status": "Try of the Day",
"why_today": "The scan is reacting to the reported Vega acquisition of a 16.2% Vodafone stake, alongside a +5.47% move, bullish news tone, strong ATR participation and relative strength against the index.",
"entry_reasoning": "VOD is the technical selected case at 9.2, but today's scan contains only one candidate and the current snapshot does not provide defined entry, stop or target levels. The panel keeps the thesis conditional: follow-through and a valid risk map must appear before treating the move as operationally complete.",
"reference_price": 15.525,
"scanner": {
"price": 15.525,
"reference": 15.525,
"score": 9.2,
"score_version": "legacy research",
"change": 5.47,
"volume": 4911571,
"average_volume": null,
"volume_ratio": 1.22,
"rsi": 67.54,
"ema_trend": "13.97 > 14.02 > 14.43",
"position_52w": 92.08,
"atr_14": 0.39,
"vwap": 15.38,
"vwap_state": "above",
"vwap_distance_pct": 0.94,
"vwap_reading": {
"price": 15.38,
"state": "above",
"distance_pct": 0.94
},
"range_position": 0.861,
"gap_pct": 4.62,
"relative_strength": {
"index_chg_pct": -1.9,
"excess_pct": 7.37,
"status": "idiosyncratic",
"index": "QQQ"
},
"volume_percentile": {
"percentile": 80.6,
"today_vol": 4911571,
"median_vol": 3349800,
"status": "elevated"
},
"extension": {
"dist_atr": 3.86,
"ema_ref": 14.02,
"atr": 0.39,
"status": "healthy"
},
"atr_move_signal": {
"atr_pct": 2.51,
"z": 2.18,
"status": "strong"
},
"sector_breadth": {
"etf": "XLC",
"chg_pct": 0.54,
"status": "green"
},
"sentiment": "Bullish",
"sentiment_score": 0.809,
"earnings_warning": {
"has_earnings_soon": false,
"earnings_date": null,
"days_away": null,
"status": "clear"
},
"options_snapshot": {
"available": true,
"atm_iv_front": 0.4805,
"term_structure": "normal",
"front_expiry": "2026-07-17",
"pc_volume": 0.737,
"pc_oi": 0.211,
"premium_bias": "calls",
"call_premium": 107091,
"put_premium": 16289,
"top_call_oi_strikes": [
16.0,
15.0,
18.0
],
"top_put_oi_strikes": [
13.0,
14.0,
15.0
]
},
"extended_hours": {
"market_state": "REGULAR",
"phase": "regular",
"pre_market_pct": null,
"post_market_pct": null,
"ext_pct": null,
"status": "none"
},
"coiled_spring": {
"status": "watch",
"count": 2,
"trend_stacked": false,
"near_ema": true,
"quiet_day": false,
"idio_strength": true
},
"short_pct_float": 0.38,
"days_to_cover": 2.54,
"catalyst": "Niel family’s Vega to acquire 16.2% Vodafone stake from e& for $5.95bn",
"sector": "Communication Services",
"exchange": "NASDAQ",
"sec_signal": "NO_RECENT_FORM4_SIGNAL"
},
"levels": {
"reference": 15.525,
"downside": null,
"upside_1": null,
"upside_2": null
},
"review": {
"score": 9.2,
"status": "Recorded Review",
"summary": "Consensus: VOD is the valid scanner selected case on a real catalyst, but the public review remains conditional until follow-through and a defined risk map are available.",
"views": [
{
"name": "Elena Vartanyan",
"role": "independent statistical auditor",
"icon": "🎯",
"view": "The systematic score is strong, but today's single-candidate sample limits context.",
"reasoning": "The 9.2 Opportunity Score reflects the feature stack, while the unusually small scan means it should not be treated as comparative evidence."
},
{
"name": "Marcus Feld",
"role": "information, fundamentals and catalyst analyst",
"icon": "🦊",
"view": "The reported stake acquisition gives the move a credible why-now layer.",
"reasoning": "The Vega acquisition of a 16.2% stake is a concrete corporate catalyst and the related coverage is broadly bullish."
},
{
"name": "Kenji Osei",
"role": "AI Systems & Market Data Integrity Analyst",
"icon": "🧠",
"view": "Most signal families are present, with quote quality requiring caution.",
"reasoning": "News, sentiment, intraday, ATR, relative strength and volume percentile are available; the captured quote is unusually wide and should not be over-interpreted."
},
{
"name": "Priya Nandakumar",
"role": "institutional risk and execution manager",
"icon": "🛡️",
"view": "The catalyst is clear, but the current scan has no defined levels for a controlled setup.",
"reasoning": "The public scan does not provide entry, stop or target levels, so the risk boundary cannot be evaluated from this snapshot."
},
{
"name": "Nate Brooks",
"role": "market structure and timing analyst",
"icon": "📈",
"view": "Momentum is constructive, but the moving-average structure is not stacked bullishly.",
"reasoning": "RSI is 67.5, the move is above VWAP and near the 52-week high, but EMA9 is not above EMA21 and EMA50 in the required order."
}
],
"conviction": null,
"context_roundtable": null,
"context_roundtable_sources": []
},
"updates": [
{
"day": 6,
"timestamp": "2026-07-21T14:58:55.275746Z",
"date": "Session 6 · Jul 21, 2026 · 10:58 NASDAQ",
"text": "VOD is -1.84% from its reference, weakened by 2.29 points versus the previous public note. No new attributed catalyst or material structure change is available in this refresh, so the working thesis is unchanged; a panel update needs a clearer price, participation or information shift.",
"price": 15.24,
"pct": -1.84,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -1.84,
"return_vs_base_pct": -1.84,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -2.32,
"session_day": 6,
"reference_price": 15.525,
"reference_text": "$15.24 · -1.84% from $15.53 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 3,
"timestamp": "2026-07-16T19:33:08.712352Z",
"date": "Session 3 · Jul 16, 2026 · 15:33 NASDAQ",
"text": "VOD is +0.45% on the third regular tracking session, holding a small gain but still showing limited follow-through after the catalyst-driven launch. The strategic-stake thesis remains conditional: reclaiming and holding the opening range would confirm repair, while another fade would leave the move as unresolved post-gap digestion.",
"price": 15.6,
"pct": 0.45,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.48,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.48,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 1.29,
"session_day": 3,
"reference_price": 15.525,
"reference_text": "$15.60 · +0.48% from $15.53 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $15.55 (-0.45% vs regular close) · Jul 16, 2026 · 16:59 NASDAQ"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "post",
"price": 15.55,
"ext_pct": -0.45,
"as_of": "2026-07-16T20:59:38Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-2b4d34502c31c7251b17fd509327347cac0c8b6291534051359c78209316788e",
"price_as_of": null,
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 3,
"timestamp": "2026-07-16T14:24:55.463670Z",
"date": "Session 3 · Jul 16, 2026 · 10:24 NASDAQ",
"text": "VOD is -0.77% on the tracked return, but the regular open-settled tape has improved from the prior post-gap drift and is testing the recovery case. The catalyst thesis remains conditional: holding the opening range and rebuilding momentum would confirm repair, while a renewed fade would leave the move as unresolved digestion.",
"price": 15.4,
"pct": -0.77,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.81,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.81,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 2.06,
"session_day": 3,
"reference_price": 15.525,
"reference_text": "$15.40 · -0.81% from $15.53 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-f5ef64e5523048d23264a89e9c2090ac396d1be409dd2870063e6a8a2c0cd9cb",
"price_as_of": null,
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 2,
"timestamp": "2026-07-15T21:38:03.895548Z",
"date": "Session 2 · Jul 15, 2026 · 17:38 NASDAQ",
"text": "VOD is -2.87% on the tracked scan return, while the fresh Aftermarket quote at $15.05 is -0.20%, extending the post-gap digestion without a decisive breakdown. The catalyst-driven thesis remains conditional: buyers must defend the opening range and rebuild momentum before this becomes confirmation rather than drift.",
"price": 15.08,
"pct": -2.87,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -2.87,
"return_vs_base_pct": -2.87,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.13,
"session_day": 2,
"reference_price": 15.525,
"reference_text": "$15.08 · -2.87% from $15.53 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $15.08 (0.00% vs regular close) · Jul 15, 2026 · 17:18 NASDAQ"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "post",
"price": 15.08,
"ext_pct": 0.0,
"as_of": "2026-07-15T21:18:29Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-d2918b69903675081e9b9111e37525b97a9b4d716901a4d45e8e3ac9764b7c23",
"price_as_of": null,
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 2,
"timestamp": "2026-07-15T19:32:56.005559Z",
"date": "Session 2 · Jul 15, 2026 · 15:32 NASDAQ",
"text": "VOD moved to -2.74% from -2.38% on the second tracking session, while the regular-session tape still held the upper part of its range after the catalyst-driven launch. The first continuation test remains inconclusive: buyers must defend the opening range and rebuild momentum before post-gap digestion becomes confirmation.",
"price": 15.1,
"pct": -2.74,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -2.74,
"return_vs_base_pct": -2.74,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.32,
"session_day": 2,
"reference_price": 15.525,
"reference_text": "$15.10 · -2.74% from $15.53 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-9bf2bdf23ca13001eb428fcb818c28942cd9f9c920cbd9771e6d2e5798049e04",
"price_as_of": null,
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 2,
"timestamp": "2026-07-15T14:25:15.059028Z",
"date": "Session 2 · Jul 15, 2026 · 10:25 NASDAQ",
"text": "VOD gave back ground after its catalyst-driven launch and now sits at -2.38% on the second tracking session, making the first continuation test inconclusive. The strategic stake catalyst remains supportive, but buyers must recover the opening range and hold it before the move can be treated as more than post-gap digestion.",
"price": 15.15,
"pct": -2.38,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -2.42,
"return_vs_base_pct": -2.42,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -2.65,
"session_day": 2,
"reference_price": 15.525,
"reference_text": "$15.15 · -2.42% from $15.53 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 2,
"timestamp": "2026-07-15T12:03:30.505602Z",
"date": "Session 2 · Jul 15, 2026 · 08:03 NASDAQ",
"text": "VOD fresh Premarket at 15.22 has slipped 2.19% from the prior Aftermarket 15.56, reversing the quiet stability seen after the initial move. The thesis is not invalidated by this quote alone, but buyers now need to reclaim the lost area and VWAP after the open; continued acceptance below it would turn the missing follow-through into a material warning.",
"price": 15.56,
"pct": 0.23,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.23,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.23,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 2,
"reference_price": 15.525,
"reference_text": "$15.56 · +0.23% from $15.53 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "pre",
"text": "Premarket update: $15.22 (-2.17% vs regular close) · Jul 15, 2026 · 08:02 NASDAQ"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "pre",
"price": 15.22,
"ext_pct": -2.17,
"as_of": "2026-07-15T12:02:29Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 1,
"timestamp": "2026-07-14T21:36:16.173908Z",
"date": "Session 1 · Jul 14, 2026 · 17:36 NASDAQ",
"text": "VOD's fresh Aftermarket quote at 15.56 left the acquisition-driven move broadly unchanged after a quiet regular session below VWAP. The thesis has not broken, but it still lacks follow-through; acceptance back above VWAP and the session midpoint would be the clearest signal that the move is becoming durable.",
"price": 15.56,
"pct": 0.23,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.23,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.23,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.13,
"session_day": 1,
"reference_price": 15.525,
"reference_text": "$15.56 · +0.23% from $15.53 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $15.56 (0.00% vs regular close) · Jul 14, 2026 · 17:23 NASDAQ"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "post",
"price": 15.56,
"ext_pct": 0.0,
"as_of": "2026-07-14T21:23:27Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 1,
"timestamp": "2026-07-14T19:40:13.888397Z",
"date": "Session 1 · Jul 14, 2026 · 15:40 NASDAQ",
"text": "VOD held a narrow +0.13% gain but closed near the session low below VWAP, with only 0.65x volume and the communication sector flat. The tape is orderly, not convincing: the acquisition-driven thesis has not broken, but it has not attracted follow-through either. A close back above VWAP and the session midpoint is needed before calling the move durable.",
"price": 15.54,
"pct": 0.13,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.1,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.1,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 1,
"reference_price": 15.525,
"reference_text": "$15.54 · +0.10% from $15.53 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 1,
"timestamp": "2026-07-14T19:31:10.336562Z",
"date": "Session 1 · Jul 14, 2026 · 15:31 NASDAQ",
"text": "VOD finished nearly flat at +0.13%, leaving the acquisition-driven thesis conditional rather than confirmed. The panel still needs follow-through and clearer price acceptance above the thesis zone before the move can be treated as durable.",
"price": 15.54,
"pct": 0.13,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.1,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.1,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.45,
"session_day": 1,
"reference_price": 15.525,
"reference_text": "$15.54 · +0.10% from $15.53 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 1,
"timestamp": "2026-07-14T14:25:46.467637Z",
"date": "Session 1 · Jul 14, 2026 · 10:25 NASDAQ",
"text": "VOD is nearly flat at -0.35% in the regular session, leaving the acquisition-driven thesis conditional rather than confirmed. The panel still needs follow-through and a complete risk map in the public setup before the move can be treated as operationally durable.",
"price": 15.47,
"pct": -0.35,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.35,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.35,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 1,
"reference_price": 15.525,
"reference_text": "$15.47 · -0.35% from $15.53 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 1,
"timestamp": "2026-07-14T10:55:20.662733Z",
"date": "Session 1 · Jul 14, 2026 · 06:55 NASDAQ",
"text": "VOD has a fresh, nearly flat premarket read, so the acquisition-driven thesis remains conditional rather than confirmed. The panel still needs follow-through and a complete risk map before treating the move as operationally complete.",
"price": 15.47,
"pct": -0.35,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.35,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.35,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.35,
"session_day": 1,
"reference_price": 15.525,
"reference_text": "$15.47 · -0.35% from $15.53 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "pre",
"text": "Premarket update: $15.54 (+0.45% vs regular close) · Jul 14, 2026 · 06:36 NASDAQ"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "pre",
"price": 15.54,
"ext_pct": 0.45,
"as_of": "2026-07-14T10:36:51Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
"vwap_as_of": null
}
],
"observed_outcomes": [
{
"label": "+1 sessions",
"status": "complete",
"return": 0.23,
"reference_text": "+0.23% from $15.53 base",
"price": 15.56,
"updated": "Jul 14, 2026 · 17:16 NASDAQ",
"mfe": 1.71,
"mae": -0.16
},
{
"label": "+5 sessions",
"status": "complete",
"return": -0.81,
"reference_text": "-0.81% from $15.53 base",
"price": 15.4,
"updated": "Jul 20, 2026 · 17:04 NASDAQ",
"mfe": 3.38,
"mae": -3.12
},
{
"label": "+10 sessions",
"status": "complete",
"return": 4.86,
"reference_text": "+4.86% from $15.53 base",
"price": 16.28,
"updated": "Jul 28, 2026 · 10:46 NASDAQ",
"mfe": 5.6,
"mae": -3.12
},
{
"label": "+15 sessions",
"status": "complete",
"return": 0.55,
"reference_text": "+0.55% from $15.53 base",
"price": 15.61,
"updated": "Aug 3, 2026 · 17:32 NASDAQ",
"mfe": 5.64,
"mae": -3.12
}
],
"candidate_comparison_history": [],
"candidates": [],
"news": [
{
"title": "Niel family’s Vega to acquire 16.2% Vodafone stake from e& for $5.95bn",
"url": "https://www.verdict.co.uk/vega-acquisition-vodafone-stake/"
},
{
"title": "Vodafone: Thesis Update Following Significant Upswing",
"url": "https://finnhub.io/api/news?id=6f4905fa88045097e5096a57cc7cafb1394ff61bc970e3f5b945e1c26e16abfe"
},
{
"title": "Virgin Media O2 accuses BT of ‘choking off’ broadband competition",
"url": "https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2026/07/11/virgin-media-o2-accuses-bt-of-choking-off-competition/"
},
{
"title": "Why Vodafone Stock Rocketed Almost 13% Higher Today",
"url": "https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/07/10/why-vodafone-stock-rocketed-almost-13-higher-today/"
}
],
"transcript_url": "https://trydingday.com/panel-conversation-20260713-vod/",
"initial_transcript_anchor": "",
"chart_url": "https://trydingday.wordpress.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/chart-vod-day4.png",
"secondary_chart_url": null,
"forecast_chart_url": null,
"methodology_url": "https://trydingday.com/methodology/",
"track_record_url": "https://trydingday.com/track-record/",
"market_timezone": "America/New_York"
}
}