AMC episode 20260720_AMC_DAY
Public episode JSON embedded as readable text for automated access.
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"public_page_url": "https://trydingday.com/2026/07/20/winner-amc-july-20-2026/",
"published_at": "2026-07-20T20:28:11.529653Z",
"updated_at": "2026-08-10T22:16:48Z",
"lifecycle": {
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"symbol": "AMC",
"exchange": "",
"name": "AMC"
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"model_downside_reference": 2.13,
"model_upside_scenario_1": 2.67,
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"atr_14": 0.18,
"method": "reference_price_plus_minus_atr14"
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"public_content": {
"date": "July 20, 2026",
"generated_at": "2026-07-20T20:28:11.529653Z",
"original_published_at": null,
"session_tag": "day",
"label": "Market coverage",
"try_label": "Raw Try",
"public_status": "Raw Try",
"why_today": "AMC remains a Raw Try. The session kept the same conditional thesis: a dated Reuters report supplied a plausible catalyst and the tape held above VWAP, but cooling relative volume and pending primary confirmation leave follow-through unresolved.",
"entry_reasoning": "Sealed thesis: AMC combin? una trayectoria intrad?a observable con una noticia fechada y atribuible sobre beneficio ajustado sorpresa e ingresos r?cord; la tesis sigue siendo condicional hasta confirmar su fuente primaria y la continuidad de la estructura. Invalidation boundary: P?rdida de la referencia VWAP observada de 2.27 d?lares sin recuperaci?n acompa?ada de volumen o ausencia de confirmaci?n primaria del mecanismo.",
"reference_price": 2.4,
"scanner": {
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"score": null,
"score_version": "legacy research",
"change": null,
"volume": null,
"average_volume": null,
"volume_ratio": null,
"rsi": null,
"ema_trend": null,
"position_52w": null,
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"vwap": null,
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"upside_1": 2.67,
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"review": {
"score": null,
"status": "Majority with dissent",
"summary": "AMC remains a Raw Try. The Reuters report and observed intraday structure support a conditional research thesis, while primary confirmation and another structural observation remain unresolved.",
"views": [
{
"name": "Marcus Feld",
"role": "information, fundamentals and catalyst analyst",
"icon": "🦊",
"view": "Reuters provided a dated company-specific explanation for AMC: surprise adjusted profit and record revenue.",
"reasoning": "The mechanism remains conditional until a primary company source confirms it."
},
{
"name": "Elena Vartanyan",
"role": "independent statistical auditor",
"icon": "🎯",
"view": "The evidence supports a conditional research record, not a claim of persistence.",
"reasoning": "Several intraday observations describe one market episode, not independent proof."
},
{
"name": "Nate Brooks",
"role": "market structure and timing analyst",
"icon": "📈",
"view": "AMC held above the observed VWAP and stayed near the high.",
"reasoning": "Relative volume cooled, so the tape did not offer full follow-through confirmation."
},
{
"name": "Priya Nandakumar",
"role": "institutional risk and execution manager",
"icon": "🛡️",
"view": "The move was real, but late strength can still reverse quickly.",
"reasoning": "A conditional thesis needs a visible failure point."
},
{
"name": "Kenji Osei",
"role": "AI Systems & Market Data Integrity Analyst",
"icon": "🧠",
"view": "The reported catalyst and the observed price response are distinct facts.",
"reasoning": "Neither fact should be stretched beyond the evidence available."
}
],
"conviction": null,
"context_roundtable": {
"mode": "coffee",
"status": "complete",
"consulted_voice_ids": [
"elena",
"marcus",
"kenji",
"priya",
"nate"
],
"summary": "Oil, war headlines and mediation hopes pulled the rate and inflation story in opposite directions while chip stocks found relief. The desk saw a market reacting to the second headline before the first one had settled.",
"long_read": "The session opened with the US-Iran escalation pushing Brent above 90 dollars, but the tape refused to behave like a single risk-off trade. Reports of possible mediation and renewed talks eased part of the oil shock, futures stayed resilient, and chip names helped the Nasdaq recover. That combination matters: the market was pricing geopolitical risk, supply risk and a possible path back to negotiation at the same time.\n\nThe useful reading was a noisy cross-asset reset rather than a clean macro regime. Calmer oil and stronger technology appetite could support risk assets, but neither removed the next-headline problem. The session's conclusion was tension, not a universal green light.",
"transcript": [
{
"speaker_id": "elena",
"text": "The opening print was all geopolitics: oil above 90, then a quick retreat as mediation entered the story. The observation is useful; the larger claim is still charging too much.",
"source_urls": [
"https://au.marketscreener.com/news/brent-oil-tops-90-as-us-iran-intensify-attacks-in-middle-east-ce7f51dade8dff26"
]
},
{
"speaker_id": "marcus",
"text": "Chip stocks recovering gave growth a little oxygen, but the catalyst was the market's willingness to look through the first oil shock. The mechanism is doing real work; the caution does not get to erase it.",
"source_urls": [
"https://finance.yahoo.com/energy/articles/oil-hits-one-month-high-031729660.html"
]
},
{
"speaker_id": "kenji",
"text": "Oil, equities and the dollar were not telling one clean story; each was reacting to a different part of the Middle East headline. That headline is doing two jobs. The data only does one.",
"source_urls": [
"https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/07/20/should-you-buy-amazon-stock-even-though-it-has-bad"
]
},
{
"speaker_id": "priya",
"text": "The risk was not simply volatility. It was the possibility that every relief move depended on a diplomatic assumption that could disappear overnight. Fine, but the cost of being early still sits somewhere.",
"source_urls": [
"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/brent-oil-tops-90-us-001615973.html"
]
},
{
"speaker_id": "nate",
"text": "Oil, war headlines and mediation hopes pulled the rate and inflation story in opposite directions while chip stocks found relief. The tape still has to do the unglamorous part."
}
],
"source_urls": [
"https://au.marketscreener.com/news/brent-oil-tops-90-as-us-iran-intensify-attacks-in-middle-east-ce7f51dade8dff26",
"https://finance.yahoo.com/energy/articles/oil-hits-one-month-high-031729660.html",
"https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/07/20/should-you-buy-amazon-stock-even-though-it-has-bad",
"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/brent-oil-tops-90-us-001615973.html"
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"context_roundtable_sources": [
{
"event_id": "mi_evt_752172deedecec70646c3174",
"headline": "Brent oil tops $90 as US, Iran intensify attacks in Middle East",
"url": "https://au.marketscreener.com/news/brent-oil-tops-90-as-us-iran-intensify-attacks-in-middle-east-ce7f51dade8dff26",
"publisher": "Reuters via MarketScreener",
"source_quality": "trusted_reporting",
"public_safe": true,
"published_at": "2026-07-20T00:12:00Z",
"available_at": "2026-07-20T00:12:00+00:00"
},
{
"event_id": "mi_evt_aae44eeaa4030b431d1cfa7a",
"headline": "Oil price gains ease after Iran points to mediation",
"url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/energy/articles/oil-hits-one-month-high-031729660.html",
"publisher": "AFP",
"source_quality": "market_context",
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"published_at": "2026-07-20T13:52:30Z",
"available_at": "2026-07-20T14:11:55.987667+00:00"
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"event_id": "mi_evt_9d2994e4947de8bfccb389d1",
"headline": "Oil steadies as hopes of renewed US-Iran negotiations offset Houthi threat",
"url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/news/brent-oil-tops-90-us-001615973.html",
"publisher": "Reuters",
"source_quality": "market_context",
"public_safe": true,
"published_at": "2026-07-20T13:49:19Z",
"available_at": "2026-07-20T14:11:55.987667+00:00"
},
{
"event_id": "mi_evt_f5d3cbf6fb325dd973856e60",
"headline": "Should You Buy Amazon Stock, Even Though It Has Badly Underperformed the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 Since Jeff Bezos Stepped Down as CEO?",
"url": "https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/07/20/should-you-buy-amazon-stock-even-though-it-has-bad",
"publisher": "Motley Fool",
"source_quality": "market_context",
"public_safe": true,
"published_at": "2026-07-20T13:32:00Z",
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"updates": [
{
"day": 15,
"timestamp": "2026-08-10T22:16:48Z",
"date": "Session 15 · Aug 10, 2026 · 18:16 NYSE",
"text": "AMC closes its 15-session tracking window with a complete canonical outcome of +0.83% from the $2.40 entry. The fresh after-market capture is $2.43, or +1.25% versus the reference, with 0.38x volume and a 2.62 > 2.44 > 2.17 EMA stack. The original Raw Try thesis correctly identified a dated earnings explanation and an observable price response, but neither durable follow-through nor primary confirmation was established. The episode is closed as a conditional thesis that is no longer followed.",
"price": 2.43,
"pct": 1.25,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 1.25,
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{
"day": 15,
"timestamp": "2026-08-10T19:39:06.147903Z",
"date": "Session 15 · Aug 10, 2026 · 15:39 NYSE",
"text": "AMC's tracked return is now +1.25%, a 0.21-point improvement from the previous public note, while the latest capture fell 6.07% on 0.33x participation and sits 0.30% below VWAP. The rising EMA stack and long-run company outperformance keep the catalyst case open, but a sector headwind and weak demand make this a pressure test rather than confirmation.",
"price": 2.4328,
"pct": 1.25,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 1.37,
"return_vs_base_pct": 1.37,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.66,
"session_day": 15,
"reference_price": 2.4,
"reference_text": "$2.43 · +1.37% from $2.40 base",
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{
"day": 15,
"timestamp": "2026-08-10T14:56:55.886617Z",
"date": "Session 15 · Aug 10, 2026 · 10:56 NYSE",
"text": "AMC's tracked return fell 2.60 percentage points as the latest capture dropped 6.68% on 0.16x participation and sat 1.75% below VWAP. The rising EMA structure and long-run sector outperformance keep the catalyst case open, but weak demand and the loss of VWAP make this a pressure test rather than confirmation.",
"price": 2.417,
"pct": 1.04,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.71,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.71,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -3.04,
"session_day": 15,
"reference_price": 2.4,
"reference_text": "$2.42 · +0.71% from $2.40 base",
"timing": "",
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"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
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{
"day": 15,
"timestamp": "2026-08-10T14:03:08.438976Z",
"date": "Session 15 · Aug 10, 2026 · 10:03 NYSE",
"text": "AMC tracked return fell 4.28 percentage points from the last public update to +3.64%, turning the move into a sharper pressure test. The catalyst thesis remains conditional: the sealed packet lacks a current VWAP or market capture and still has no primary confirmation, so the pullback does not establish either continuation or failure.",
"price": 2.49,
"pct": 3.64,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 3.75,
"return_vs_base_pct": 3.75,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -4.17,
"session_day": 15,
"reference_price": 2.4,
"reference_text": "$2.49 · +3.75% from $2.40 base",
"timing": "",
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"relevant": true,
"active_relevant": true,
"terminal_closure": false,
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{
"day": 14,
"timestamp": "2026-08-07T21:42:04.007407Z",
"date": "Session 14 · Aug 7, 2026 · 17:42 NYSE",
"text": "AMC's tracked return rose 3.75 percentage points to +7.92% as the latest capture edged 0.78% higher on 0.36x participation. Rising EMAs, accumulation and a 37.39-point asset advantage versus the sector keep the catalyst case open, but weak demand, a sector headwind and unavailable VWAP evidence leave follow-through unconfirmed.",
"price": 2.59,
"pct": 7.92,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 7.92,
"return_vs_base_pct": 7.92,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 3.75,
"session_day": 14,
"reference_price": 2.4,
"reference_text": "$2.59 · +7.92% from $2.40 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $2.56 (-1.16% vs regular close) · Aug 7, 2026 · 17:27 NYSE"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "post",
"price": 2.56,
"ext_pct": -1.16,
"as_of": "2026-08-07T21:27:11Z",
"persisted": false
},
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{
"day": 14,
"timestamp": "2026-08-07T14:55:51.948658Z",
"date": "Session 14 · Aug 7, 2026 · 10:55 NYSE",
"text": "AMC's tracked return fell 2.91 percentage points to +4.17% as the latest capture dropped 2.72% on 0.14x participation. The rising EMA structure, accumulation and a 33.06-point sector advantage keep the catalyst case open, but price sits 0.39% below VWAP and weak demand leaves continuation under pressure.",
"price": 2.5001,
"pct": 4.17,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 4.17,
"return_vs_base_pct": 4.17,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -2.91,
"session_day": 14,
"reference_price": 2.4,
"reference_text": "$2.50 · +4.17% from $2.40 base",
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{
"day": 14,
"timestamp": "2026-08-07T12:37:35.713732Z",
"date": "Session 14 · Aug 7, 2026 · 08:37 NYSE",
"text": "AMC's latest capture fell 3.75% on 0.40x participation, while the rising EMA structure and longer-term relative strength keep the catalyst thesis open. Accumulation remains positive, but weak demand and unavailable VWAP evidence leave continuation under pressure.",
"price": 2.57,
"pct": 7.08,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 7.08,
"return_vs_base_pct": 7.08,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 14,
"reference_price": 2.4,
"reference_text": "$2.57 · +7.08% from $2.40 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "pre",
"text": "Premarket update: $2.58 (+0.58% vs regular close) · Aug 7, 2026 · 08:21 NYSE"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "pre",
"price": 2.58,
"ext_pct": 0.58,
"as_of": "2026-08-07T12:21:07Z",
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{
"day": 13,
"timestamp": "2026-08-06T22:14:17.702119Z",
"date": "Session 13 · Aug 6, 2026 · 18:14 NYSE",
"text": "AMC's tracked return fell 4.17 percentage points to +7.08%, while the current capture dropped 3.75% on 0.41x participation. The rising EMA structure and accumulation keep the catalyst thesis open, but the sharp session decline, no current VWAP capture and weak participation make this a pressure test rather than confirmed continuation.",
"price": 2.57,
"pct": 7.08,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 7.08,
"return_vs_base_pct": 7.08,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -4.17,
"session_day": 13,
"reference_price": 2.4,
"reference_text": "$2.57 · +7.08% from $2.40 base",
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"market_marker": {
"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $2.57 (0.00% vs regular close) · Aug 6, 2026 · 17:49 NYSE"
},
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"price": 2.57,
"ext_pct": 0.0,
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{
"day": 13,
"timestamp": "2026-08-06T15:07:28.854841Z",
"date": "Session 13 · Aug 6, 2026 · 11:07 NYSE",
"text": "AMC's tracked return is unchanged at +11.25%, while the latest capture eased 0.37% on 0.55x participation. Rising EMAs and a 38.50-point sector edge keep the catalyst thesis open, but weak demand and unavailable VWAP evidence make continuation a pressure test rather than an established trend.",
"price": 2.67,
"pct": 11.25,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 11.25,
"return_vs_base_pct": 11.25,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
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"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 13,
"reference_price": 2.4,
"reference_text": "$2.67 · +11.25% from $2.40 base",
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{
"day": 13,
"timestamp": "2026-08-06T12:42:11.944335Z",
"date": "Session 13 · Aug 6, 2026 · 08:42 NYSE",
"text": "AMC's tracked return improved 1.17 points to +11.25%, even as the latest capture eased 0.37% on 0.55x participation. Rising EMAs and a 38.50-point edge over the sector keep the catalyst thesis open, but weak demand and unavailable VWAP evidence make continuation a pressure test rather than an established trend.",
"price": 2.67,
"pct": 11.25,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 11.25,
"return_vs_base_pct": 11.25,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
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"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 13,
"reference_price": 2.4,
"reference_text": "$2.67 · +11.25% from $2.40 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $2.65 (-0.75% vs regular close) · Aug 5, 2026 · 19:59 NYSE"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "post",
"price": 2.65,
"ext_pct": -0.75,
"as_of": "2026-08-05T23:59:57Z",
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{
"day": 12,
"timestamp": "2026-08-05T21:40:35.700168Z",
"date": "Session 12 · Aug 5, 2026 · 17:40 NYSE",
"text": "AMC's tracked return improved 1.17 percentage points to +11.25%, while the latest capture eased 0.37% on 0.55x participation. Rising EMAs and accumulation keep the catalyst thesis open, but weak demand and a still-unconfirmed intraday support signal make continuation a pressure test rather than an established trend.",
"price": 2.67,
"pct": 11.25,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 11.25,
"return_vs_base_pct": 11.25,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
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"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 1.46,
"session_day": 12,
"reference_price": 2.4,
"reference_text": "$2.67 · +11.25% from $2.40 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $2.65 (-0.75% vs regular close) · Aug 5, 2026 · 17:26 NYSE"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "post",
"price": 2.65,
"ext_pct": -0.75,
"as_of": "2026-08-05T21:26:49Z",
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{
"day": 12,
"timestamp": "2026-08-05T14:55:34.163432Z",
"date": "Session 12 · Aug 5, 2026 · 10:55 NYSE",
"text": "AMC's tracked return held at +11.67% even as the latest capture fell 1.68% to $2.64 and slipped 0.94% below VWAP on 0.16x participation. Rising EMAs and accumulation keep the catalyst thesis open, but weak demand and the loss of intraday support turn this into a pressure test; primary confirmation is still missing before continuation can be treated as established.",
"price": 2.635,
"pct": 10.08,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 9.79,
"return_vs_base_pct": 9.79,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
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"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.88,
"session_day": 12,
"reference_price": 2.4,
"reference_text": "$2.63 · +9.79% from $2.40 base",
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"relevant": true,
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{
"day": 12,
"timestamp": "2026-08-05T12:37:28.471461Z",
"date": "Session 12 · Aug 5, 2026 · 08:37 NYSE",
"text": "AMC kept its +11.67% tracked return even as the latest capture fell 5.96% to $2.68 on 0.89x participation. Rising EMAs and accumulation keep the catalyst thesis open, but the pullback and absent VWAP confirmation make continuation a pressure test.",
"price": 2.68,
"pct": 11.67,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 11.67,
"return_vs_base_pct": 11.67,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
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"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
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"reference_price": 2.4,
"reference_text": "$2.68 · +11.67% from $2.40 base",
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"market_marker": {
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"text": "Premarket update: $2.68 (+0.27% vs regular close) · Aug 5, 2026 · 08:21 NYSE"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "pre",
"price": 2.68,
"ext_pct": 0.27,
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{
"day": 11,
"timestamp": "2026-08-04T21:39:10.621255Z",
"date": "Session 11 · Aug 4, 2026 · 17:39 NYSE",
"text": "AMC lost 5.96% in the latest session and slipped to a +11.67% tracked return, a 2.50-point deterioration from the previous update. The rising EMA structure and accumulation reading keep the broader catalyst thesis open, but weak participation and the absence of fresh confirmation make the current move a pressure test rather than confirmed continuation.",
"price": 2.68,
"pct": 11.67,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 11.67,
"return_vs_base_pct": 11.67,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -2.91,
"session_day": 11,
"reference_price": 2.4,
"reference_text": "$2.68 · +11.67% from $2.40 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $2.67 (-0.37% vs regular close) · Aug 4, 2026 · 17:29 NYSE"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "post",
"price": 2.67,
"ext_pct": -0.37,
"as_of": "2026-08-04T21:29:01Z",
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{
"day": 11,
"timestamp": "2026-08-04T14:55:58.427358Z",
"date": "Session 11 · Aug 4, 2026 · 10:55 NYSE",
"text": "AMC gave back 4.58 points since the last update, leaving the tracked return at +14.17%; the $2.75 capture is down 3.51% and 1.08% below VWAP, while the rising EMA structure and accumulation reading have not yet been erased. That is a meaningful pressure test for the catalyst thesis: the trend survives structurally, but weak participation and lost VWAP make follow-through conditional until demand returns.",
"price": 2.75,
"pct": 14.17,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 14.58,
"return_vs_base_pct": 14.58,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -4.17,
"session_day": 11,
"reference_price": 2.4,
"reference_text": "$2.75 · +14.58% from $2.40 base",
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{
"day": 11,
"timestamp": "2026-08-04T12:39:06.138676Z",
"date": "Session 11 · Aug 4, 2026 · 08:39 NYSE",
"text": "AMC remains at a +18.75% tracked return on day 11; the latest quote is $2.85, up 1.06% on 1.50x volume with an accumulation reading and a rising EMA structure. The broader move still supports the catalyst thesis, but RSI 76.33 and the unresolved primary confirmation keep follow-through conditional.",
"price": 2.85,
"pct": 18.75,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 18.75,
"return_vs_base_pct": 18.75,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
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"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
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"reference_price": 2.4,
"reference_text": "$2.85 · +18.75% from $2.40 base",
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"market_marker": {
"phase": "pre",
"text": "Premarket update: $2.86 (+0.35% vs regular close) · Aug 4, 2026 · 08:24 NYSE"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "pre",
"price": 2.86,
"ext_pct": 0.35,
"as_of": "2026-08-04T12:24:15Z",
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{
"day": 10,
"timestamp": "2026-08-03T21:31:53.472134Z",
"date": "Session 10 · Aug 3, 2026 · 17:31 NYSE",
"text": "AMC tracked return eased 1.67 points from the last note but remains +20.42%; the latest capture is $2.85, up 1.06% on 1.50x volume with RSI 76.33. The rising EMA structure keeps the catalyst thesis supported, yet elevated momentum and pending primary confirmation leave follow-through conditional.",
"price": 2.85,
"pct": 18.75,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 18.75,
"return_vs_base_pct": 18.75,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.78,
"session_day": 10,
"reference_price": 2.4,
"reference_text": "$2.85 · +18.75% from $2.40 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $2.86 (+0.35% vs regular close) · Aug 3, 2026 · 17:25 NYSE"
},
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"phase": "post",
"price": 2.86,
"ext_pct": 0.35,
"as_of": "2026-08-03T21:25:49Z",
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{
"day": 10,
"timestamp": "2026-08-03T19:42:53.469800Z",
"date": "Session 10 · Aug 3, 2026 · 15:42 NYSE",
"text": "AMC added 3.75 percentage points since the last public note, taking the day-10 tracked return to +20.42%; the current quote is $2.89, up 2.57% on 1.28x relative volume. The stronger tape supports the catalyst thesis, but RSI 77.01 and unresolved primary confirmation keep follow-through conditional.",
"price": 2.8927,
"pct": 20.42,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 20.53,
"return_vs_base_pct": 20.53,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 4.28,
"session_day": 10,
"reference_price": 2.4,
"reference_text": "$2.89 · +20.53% from $2.40 base",
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"relevant": true,
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{
"day": 10,
"timestamp": "2026-08-03T14:53:08.153987Z",
"date": "Session 10 · Aug 3, 2026 · 10:53 NYSE",
"text": "AMC slipped 0.83 points to +16.67% on day 10, with the current session down 1.06% on 0.69x relative volume. The rising EMA structure still supports the catalyst thesis, but price below VWAP and RSI 74.56 show that follow-through is digesting pending primary confirmation.",
"price": 2.79,
"pct": 16.67,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 16.25,
"return_vs_base_pct": 16.25,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.25,
"session_day": 10,
"reference_price": 2.4,
"reference_text": "$2.79 · +16.25% from $2.40 base",
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"market_marker": null,
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{
"day": 10,
"timestamp": "2026-08-03T12:37:24.686660Z",
"date": "Session 10 · Aug 3, 2026 · 08:37 NYSE",
"text": "AMC holds +17.50% on day 10 as the current session adds 1.81% on 0.88x relative volume. The rising EMA structure keeps the catalyst thesis supported in price, but RSI at 77.14 and no new cumulative gain leave follow-through conditional pending primary confirmation.",
"price": 2.82,
"pct": 17.5,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 17.5,
"return_vs_base_pct": 17.5,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 10,
"reference_price": 2.4,
"reference_text": "$2.82 · +17.50% from $2.40 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "pre",
"text": "Premarket update: $3.01 (+7.50% vs regular close) · Aug 3, 2026 · 08:20 NYSE"
},
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"phase": "pre",
"price": 3.01,
"ext_pct": 7.5,
"as_of": "2026-08-03T12:20:45Z",
"persisted": false
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{
"day": 9,
"timestamp": "2026-08-02T11:29:15.457389Z",
"date": "Session 9 · Aug 2, 2026 · 07:29 NYSE",
"text": "AMC remains at +17.50% on day 9, with the current session up 1.81% on 0.88x relative volume and RSI at 77.14. The rising EMA structure continues to support the catalyst thesis in price, but the elevated momentum and unresolved primary confirmation keep follow-through conditional rather than established.",
"price": 2.82,
"pct": 17.5,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 17.5,
"return_vs_base_pct": 17.5,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 9,
"reference_price": 2.4,
"reference_text": "$2.82 · +17.50% from $2.40 base",
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"relevant": false,
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{
"day": 9,
"timestamp": "2026-07-31T21:39:22.221144Z",
"date": "Session 9 · Jul 31, 2026 · 17:39 NYSE",
"text": "AMC is now at +17.50% on day 9 after adding 2.92 percentage points since the previous public note, with current price at $2.82, +1.81% session change and 0.88x relative volume. The rising EMA structure keeps the catalyst thesis supported in price, but elevated RSI and unresolved primary confirmation leave follow-through conditional rather than established.",
"price": 2.82,
"pct": 17.5,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 17.5,
"return_vs_base_pct": 17.5,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 2.92,
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"reference_price": 2.4,
"reference_text": "$2.82 · +17.50% from $2.40 base",
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"market_marker": {
"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $2.80 (-0.69% vs regular close) · Jul 31, 2026 · 17:25 NYSE"
},
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"phase": "post",
"price": 2.8,
"ext_pct": -0.69,
"as_of": "2026-07-31T21:25:05Z",
"persisted": false
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{
"day": 9,
"timestamp": "2026-07-31T19:30:18.355401Z",
"date": "Session 9 · Jul 31, 2026 · 15:30 NYSE",
"text": "AMC now tracks at +14.58% on day 9 after a 0.72% pullback, with relative volume cooling to 0.65x while the rising EMA structure and elevated RSI remain visible. The catalyst thesis is holding in price, but the softer participation and unresolved primary confirmation keep follow-through conditional rather than established.",
"price": 2.75,
"pct": 14.58,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 14.58,
"return_vs_base_pct": 14.58,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 1.25,
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"reference_price": 2.4,
"reference_text": "$2.75 · +14.58% from $2.40 base",
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{
"day": 9,
"timestamp": "2026-07-31T14:52:51.548564Z",
"date": "Session 9 · Jul 31, 2026 · 10:52 NYSE",
"text": "AMC is tracking at +13.75% on day 9 after a -1.80% session move, while relative volume is only 0.16x and RSI remains elevated at 74.29. The catalyst thesis still has price support, but the current pullback and light participation do not resolve the outstanding question of durable follow-through or primary confirmation.",
"price": 2.72,
"pct": 13.75,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 13.33,
"return_vs_base_pct": 13.33,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -2.09,
"session_day": 9,
"reference_price": 2.4,
"reference_text": "$2.72 · +13.33% from $2.40 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
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"relevant": false,
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{
"day": 9,
"timestamp": "2026-07-31T12:32:12.968400Z",
"date": "Session 9 · Jul 31, 2026 · 08:32 NYSE",
"text": "AMC now tracks at +15.42% on day 9 after a further 0.73% session gain, while relative volume has cooled to 0.7x and RSI is 75.58. Price action still supports the catalyst thesis, but durable participation and primary confirmation remain unresolved; the next check is whether the advance holds.",
"price": 2.77,
"pct": 15.42,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 15.42,
"return_vs_base_pct": 15.42,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 9,
"reference_price": 2.4,
"reference_text": "$2.77 · +15.42% from $2.40 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "pre",
"text": "Premarket update: $2.75 (-0.36% vs regular close) · Jul 31, 2026 · 08:20 NYSE"
},
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"phase": "pre",
"price": 2.75,
"ext_pct": -0.36,
"as_of": "2026-07-31T12:20:31Z",
"persisted": false
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{
"day": 8,
"timestamp": "2026-07-30T21:43:17.378921Z",
"date": "Session 8 · Jul 30, 2026 · 17:43 NYSE",
"text": "AMC added 2.92 percentage points from the last public update and now tracks at +15.42%, with the current session still positive. The catalyst thesis is gaining price support, but 0.7x relative volume leaves durable participation and confirmation of the underlying mechanism unresolved; the next check is whether the advance holds.",
"price": 2.77,
"pct": 15.42,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 15.42,
"return_vs_base_pct": 15.42,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 2.09,
"session_day": 8,
"reference_price": 2.4,
"reference_text": "$2.77 · +15.42% from $2.40 base",
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"market_marker": {
"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $2.72 (-1.81% vs regular close) · Jul 30, 2026 · 17:26 NYSE"
},
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"phase": "post",
"price": 2.72,
"ext_pct": -1.81,
"as_of": "2026-07-30T21:26:31Z",
"persisted": false
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{
"day": 8,
"timestamp": "2026-07-30T19:31:19.963605Z",
"date": "Session 8 · Jul 30, 2026 · 15:31 NYSE",
"text": "AMC advanced 1.67 percentage points since the last public update and now stands at +12.50% in tracking. The move continues to support the catalyst thesis, but confirmation of the underlying mechanism and durable participation remain open; the next check is whether the advance holds.",
"price": 2.72,
"pct": 12.5,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 13.33,
"return_vs_base_pct": 13.33,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 2.5,
"session_day": 8,
"reference_price": 2.4,
"reference_text": "$2.72 · +13.33% from $2.40 base",
"timing": "",
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"relevant": false,
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{
"day": 8,
"timestamp": "2026-07-30T14:51:24.304599Z",
"date": "Session 8 · Jul 30, 2026 · 10:51 NYSE",
"text": "AMC has fallen 3.75 percentage points since the last public update and now stands at +10.83% in tracking. The earlier advance still supports the published catalyst thesis, but the pullback keeps primary confirmation and continued participation as the next checks.",
"price": 2.66,
"pct": 10.83,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 10.83,
"return_vs_base_pct": 10.83,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -3.75,
"session_day": 8,
"reference_price": 2.4,
"reference_text": "$2.66 · +10.83% from $2.40 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
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"relevant": false,
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{
"day": 8,
"timestamp": "2026-07-30T12:36:15.373222Z",
"date": "Session 8 · Jul 30, 2026 · 08:36 NYSE",
"text": "AMC remains at +14.58% in tracking, with no additional return change since the last public update. The advance still supports the published catalyst thesis, while continued participation and primary confirmation remain the next checks.",
"price": 2.75,
"pct": 14.58,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 14.58,
"return_vs_base_pct": 14.58,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 8,
"reference_price": 2.4,
"reference_text": "$2.75 · +14.58% from $2.40 base",
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"relevant": false,
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{
"day": 7,
"timestamp": "2026-07-29T20:31:43.573799Z",
"date": "Session 7 · Jul 29, 2026 · 16:31 NYSE",
"text": "AMC is now at +14.58% in tracking, a +1.04 percentage-point change versus the last public update. The next check is whether this move holds with continued participation while the published thesis remains conditional.",
"price": 2.75,
"pct": 14.58,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 14.58,
"return_vs_base_pct": 14.58,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.83,
"session_day": 7,
"reference_price": 2.4,
"reference_text": "$2.75 · +14.58% from $2.40 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $2.73 (-0.73% vs regular close) · Jul 29, 2026 · 16:40 NYSE"
},
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"price": 2.73,
"ext_pct": -0.73,
"as_of": "2026-07-29T20:40:24Z",
"persisted": false
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{
"day": 7,
"timestamp": "2026-07-29T19:46:02.998566Z",
"date": "Session 7 · Jul 29, 2026 · 15:46 NYSE",
"text": "AMC has advanced 13.54 percentage points from its initial public reference since the last panel note. The move supports the published earnings-catalyst thesis, but the prepared evidence still lacks primary issuer confirmation; the next check is whether the advance sustains with participation.",
"price": 2.73,
"pct": 13.54,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 13.75,
"return_vs_base_pct": 13.75,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
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"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 13.75,
"session_day": 7,
"reference_price": 2.4,
"reference_text": "$2.73 · +13.75% from $2.40 base",
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],
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{
"label": "+1 sessions",
"status": "complete",
"return": -8.33,
"reference_text": "-8.33% from $2.40 base",
"price": 2.2,
"updated": "Jul 29, 2026 · 15:31 NYSE",
"mfe": 8.33,
"mae": -8.75
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{
"label": "+5 sessions",
"status": "complete",
"return": 4.58,
"reference_text": "+4.58% from $2.40 base",
"price": 2.51,
"updated": "Jul 29, 2026 · 15:31 NYSE",
"mfe": 8.33,
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