CAKE episode 20260729_CAKE_MIDDAY
Public episode JSON embedded as readable text for automated access.
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"episode_id": "20260729_CAKE_MIDDAY",
"episode_url": "https://trydingday.com/data/agents/v1/episodes/20260729_CAKE_MIDDAY.html",
"public_page_url": "https://trydingday.com/2026/07/29/tryding-daily-20260729-cake-1f05b7d47fcb/",
"published_at": "2026-07-29T17:20:10Z",
"updated_at": "2026-08-19T22:21:43.042346Z",
"lifecycle": {
"tracking_status": "closed",
"active_for_tracking": false,
"stage": "closed"
},
"instrument": {
"type": "equity",
"symbol": "CAKE",
"exchange": "NASDAQGS",
"name": "The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated"
},
"technical_reference": {
"status": "ok",
"reference_price": 99.25,
"model_downside_reference": 93.72,
"model_upside_scenario_1": 104.79,
"model_upside_scenario_2": 110.32,
"atr_14": 3.69,
"method": "reference_price_plus_minus_atr14"
},
"public_content": {
"date": "July 29, 2026",
"generated_at": "2026-07-29T17:20:10Z",
"original_published_at": null,
"session_tag": "midday",
"label": "Market coverage",
"try_label": "Try of the Day",
"public_status": "Try of the Day",
"why_today": "Public Tryding Review: CAKE is the committee's selection after comparative review. Its specific revenue catalyst, positive relative performance, above-VWAP action and coherent multi-horizon structure outweighed the stronger raw momentum of GRMN, the earnings move in LAD and the transaction-driven repricing in CBZ. The thesis remains conditional because CAKE is extended, with RSI 82.31, a 6.38% gap and elevated short-interest risk.",
"entry_reasoning": "Panel thesis: CAKE has the strongest comparative evidence for a public Try of the Day based on its specific operating catalyst, relative strength and coherent structure. Invalidation boundary: The thesis weakens if CAKE loses its current structural support or fails to sustain participation after the catalyst response.",
"reference_price": 99.25,
"scanner": {
"price": 99.25,
"reference": 99.25,
"score": 4,
"score_version": "v0_legacy_reconstructed",
"change": 11.51,
"volume": 1882472,
"average_volume": 1339893,
"volume_ratio": 1.4,
"rsi": 84.32,
"ema_trend": "88.6 > 84.09 > 77.12",
"position_52w": 99.36,
"atr_14": 3.69,
"vwap": 98.85,
"vwap_state": "above",
"vwap_distance_pct": 0.4,
"vwap_reading": {
"price": 98.85,
"state": "above",
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"range_position": 0.886,
"gap_pct": 4.02,
"relative_strength": {
"excess_pct": 11.09,
"index": "QQQ",
"index_chg_pct": 0.42,
"status": "normal"
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"volume_percentile": {
"median_vol": 1282700,
"percentile": 87.1,
"status": "elevated",
"today_vol": 1882472
},
"extension": {
"atr": 3.69,
"dist_atr": 4.11,
"ema_ref": 84.09,
"status": "extended"
},
"atr_move_signal": {
"atr_pct": 3.72,
"status": "strong",
"z": 3.1
},
"sector_breadth": {
"chg_pct": 0.81,
"etf": "XLY",
"status": "green"
},
"sentiment": null,
"sentiment_score": null,
"earnings_warning": {
"days_away": null,
"earnings_date": null,
"has_earnings_soon": false,
"status": "clear"
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"phase": "regular",
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"status": "none"
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"coiled_spring": {
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"quiet_day": false,
"status": "none",
"trend_stacked": true
},
"short_pct_float": 34.23,
"days_to_cover": 6.4,
"catalyst": "Cheesecake Factory quarterly revenues surpass $1B for the first time",
"sector": "Consumer Cyclical",
"exchange": "NasdaqGS",
"sec_signal": "NO_RECENT_FORM4_SIGNAL"
},
"levels": {
"reference": 99.25,
"downside": 93.72,
"upside_1": 104.79,
"upside_2": 110.32
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"review": {
"score": 4,
"status": "Majority with dissent",
"summary": "Public Tryding Review: CAKE is the committee's provisional selection after comparative review. Its specific revenue catalyst, positive relative performance, above-VWAP action and coherent multi-horizon structure outweighed the stronger raw momentum of GRMN, the earnings move in LAD and the transaction-driven repricing in CBZ. The thesis remains conditional because CAKE is extended, with RSI 82.31, a 6.38% gap and elevated short-interest risk.",
"views": [
{
"name": "Nate Brooks",
"role": "market structure and timing analyst",
"icon": "📈",
"view": "I reviewed every supplied neutral view across the 5-day intraday, 1-month daily, 6-month daily and 1-year weekly horizons. CAKE's jump sits inside a rising structure across those views, but it is already near a new high. That supports structural coherence, not permission to chase.",
"reasoning": "CBZ's chart is a vertical repricing after a 22.69% gap, with RSI 85.86. CAKE's move is also extended, but its one-year advance and shorter-horizon follow-through form a more continuous structure. That comparative difference matters."
},
{
"name": "Marcus Feld",
"role": "information, fundamentals and catalyst analyst",
"icon": "🦊",
"view": "CAKE has the clearest operating catalyst in the group: quarterly revenue surpassed one billion dollars. LAD has a strong earnings catalyst and GRMN has strong price action, but GRMN's sealed catalyst description is less specific. CAKE gives us a more intelligible why-now.",
"reasoning": "CBZ deserves the strongest defense among the discarded names. Its acquisition catalyst is explicit, the move is 16.77%, volume is 11.71 times its reference and volume is at the 100th percentile. If the question were immediate reaction strength, CBZ would lead."
},
{
"name": "Elena Vartanyan",
"role": "independent statistical auditor",
"icon": "🎯",
"view": "The raw leader is not automatically the best prospective choice. GRMN's 16.95% move and z 4.89 are powerful, but the comparison is vulnerable to event-day selection effects. CAKE's evidence is weaker on magnitude and stronger on interpretability.",
"reasoning": "I am moving from GRMN toward CAKE. GRMN has the better momentum statistics, yet its sector breadth is red and its catalyst is less concrete. CAKE's case is still conditional, but fewer assumptions are needed to state the thesis."
},
{
"name": "Priya Nandakumar",
"role": "institutional risk and execution manager",
"icon": "🛡️",
"view": "CAKE is not low risk. Short interest is 34.23%, days to cover is 6.4, RSI is 82.31 and the gap is 6.38%. That combination can amplify both continuation and reversal. The decision only survives if we acknowledge that extension directly.",
"reasoning": "I also move from LAD toward CAKE. LAD has 14.02% change, 8.31 days to cover and RSI 83.23, with a stronger volume percentile. Its tape is impressive, but the combination of extension and gap risk is harder to underwrite."
},
{
"name": "Kenji Osei",
"role": "AI Systems & Market Data Integrity Analyst",
"icon": "🧠",
"view": "GIB and PB have no current sealed price or comparable metrics. That is incomplete coverage, not a negative observation. They remain in the candidate inventory, but they cannot win a comparison that requires current evidence.",
"reasoning": "The evidence supports a comparative selection, not a certainty claim. CAKE has 1.40 times volume, 86.7th-percentile volume and 12.18% relative strength versus QQQ. Those are observed relationships; they do not establish persistence."
}
],
"conviction": {
"status_phrase": "majority-with-dissent",
"basis": "Committee confidence is 61% because CAKE combines the clearest catalyst with strong relative and structural evidence. Confidence is limited by extension, short-interest risk, unresolved catalyst durability and incomplete current coverage for GIB and PB. The percentages express committee conviction after debate, not statistical probability.",
"risk": "CAKE remains extended, with RSI 82.31 and a 6.38% gap. GIB and PB lack current sealed price and metric coverage.",
"resolution_pct": 61.0,
"counter_case_pct": 24.0,
"unresolved_pct": 15.0
},
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"status": "complete",
"consulted_voice_ids": [
"elena",
"marcus",
"kenji",
"priya",
"nate"
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"summary": "The Fed held rates while oil jumped and yields rose, leaving equities to digest a fresh inflation shock alongside the Magnificent 7 earnings test. The session had no shortage of catalysts and very little room for lazy synthesis.",
"long_read": "The rate decision removed one uncertainty but did not remove the market's inflation problem. Oil rose on renewed Middle East pressure, Treasury yields pushed higher and the dollar eased, while the major indexes sold off ahead of a heavy technology earnings slate. The policy headline and the commodity headline were pulling the discount rate and the growth story in opposite directions.\n\nThe room treated the selloff as information about the burden of proof rather than a universal rejection. A strong company report could still matter, but it had to overcome a macro backdrop that was actively raising the cost of future cash flows. The day was a reminder that a Fed hold is not the same as a quiet rate environment.",
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"speaker_id": "marcus",
"text": "Magnificent 7 results were arriving into a market asking whether earnings could outrun the discount-rate problem. The mechanism is doing real work; the caution does not get to erase it.",
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"https://www.investors.com/market-trend/stock-market-today/dow-jones-futures-market-seagate-sk-hynix-kla-bloom-energy-earnings-fed-meeting?src=A00220&yptr=yahoo"
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},
{
"speaker_id": "kenji",
"text": "Crude rose, yields rose and equities fell; the cross-asset message was tighter than the policy headline alone. That headline is doing two jobs. The data only does one.",
"source_urls": [
"https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/07/29/wall-street-vanguard-index-fund-voo-surge-2026"
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{
"speaker_id": "priya",
"text": "The risk was that every strong earnings reaction would be taxed by a higher oil-driven rate path before it could become follow-through. Fine, but the cost of being early still sits somewhere.",
"source_urls": [
"https://www.barrons.com/livecoverage/stock-market-news-today-072926/card/u-s-treasury-yields-rise-on-higher-oil-prices-dollar-eases-ahead-of-fed-gBU5wUCaLESAfClmQx0n?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo"
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},
{
"speaker_id": "nate",
"text": "The Fed held rates while oil jumped and yields rose, leaving equities to digest a fresh inflation shock alongside the Magnificent 7 earnings test. The tape still has to do the unglamorous part."
},
{
"speaker_id": "elena",
"text": "The Fed did not hike, but oil and yields made sure the market did not hear the decision as dovish relief. The observation is useful; the larger claim is still charging too much.",
"source_urls": [
"https://finance.yahoo.com/energy/articles/commerzbank-says-oil-rises-end-101305816.html"
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}
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"https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/07/29/wall-street-vanguard-index-fund-voo-surge-2026",
"https://www.barrons.com/livecoverage/stock-market-news-today-072926/card/u-s-treasury-yields-rise-on-higher-oil-prices-dollar-eases-ahead-of-fed-gBU5wUCaLESAfClmQx0n?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo",
"https://finance.yahoo.com/energy/articles/commerzbank-says-oil-rises-end-101305816.html"
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"headline": "Commerzbank Says Oil Rises After End in Middle East Fighting Pause, Treasuries Pare Earlier Losses",
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"headline": "Wall Street Sees This Vanguard Index Fund Poised to Surge in 2026",
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"updates": [
{
"day": 15,
"timestamp": "2026-08-19T22:21:43.042346Z",
"date": "Session 15 · Aug 19, 2026 · 18:21 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE's 15-session tracking closes with a complete canonical outcome of +4.82% from the $99.25 public reference. The final regular-session capture was $105.82, down 0.51% on the session and 1.14% from the prior regular close; the extended quote was $106.12, up 0.28% after hours. The original thesis paired a specific revenue catalyst with relative strength, above-average price structure and a coherent multi-horizon trend, while extension and short-interest risk were explicit from the start. CAKE reached a much stronger interim gain before giving back ground and finishing positive but well below its best observed level. The result is recorded and the observation ends; the catalyst remains context, not proof of durable follow-through.",
"price": 105.89,
"pct": 4.9,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 6.69,
"return_vs_base_pct": 6.69,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.07,
"session_day": 15,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$105.89 · +6.69% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": true,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": true,
"transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-d5b3c8a4a7ec088b40419f256cb58356665e04ef62d60aedafb7da036d50201d",
"price_as_of": null,
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 14,
"timestamp": "2026-08-18T19:46:36.487553Z",
"date": "Session 14 · Aug 18, 2026 · 15:46 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE's tracked return has fallen 2.84 points since the last public note as the current capture dropped 1.94% on 0.63x volume and moved below the session's average traded price near the lower part of its range. The revenue-catalyst case still has a strong sector edge and accumulation behind it, but quiet participation and the extended profile keep digestion more credible than clean continuation.",
"price": 106.95,
"pct": 5.81,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 7.76,
"return_vs_base_pct": 7.76,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.65,
"session_day": 14,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$106.95 · +7.76% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 14,
"timestamp": "2026-08-18T14:59:37.524502Z",
"date": "Session 14 · Aug 18, 2026 · 10:59 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE's tracked return is now +8.65% on day 14, up 0.61 points since the last public note, while the current capture is down 0.44% on 0.17x volume but remains 0.23% above the session's average traded price. The revenue catalyst still has a 23.81-point sector edge and accumulation behind it, yet quiet participation and the extended profile keep digestion more credible than clean continuation.",
"price": 108.59,
"pct": 8.65,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 9.41,
"return_vs_base_pct": 9.41,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.48,
"session_day": 14,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$108.59 · +9.41% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 14,
"timestamp": "2026-08-18T12:56:32.080684Z",
"date": "Session 14 · Aug 18, 2026 · 08:56 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE's tracked return has eased 0.50 points to +8.04% on day 14 after the latest capture fell 3.80% on 1.44x volume; intraday VWAP data is unavailable in the premarket snapshot. The revenue-catalyst case still has a 29.80-point sector edge and accumulation, but the reversal from an extended profile keeps digestion more credible than clean continuation.",
"price": 109.07,
"pct": 8.04,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 9.89,
"return_vs_base_pct": 9.89,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.48,
"session_day": 14,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$109.07 · +9.89% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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},
{
"day": 13,
"timestamp": "2026-08-17T19:52:47.955579Z",
"date": "Session 13 · Aug 17, 2026 · 15:52 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE tracked return has fallen 1.16 points since the prior public update as the latest capture dropped 3.39% on 0.94x relative volume and moved 0.74% below VWAP. A 25.33-point sector edge and accumulation keep the revenue-catalyst case alive, but the reversal from an extended profile makes digestion more credible than clean continuation.",
"price": 109.54,
"pct": 8.54,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 10.37,
"return_vs_base_pct": 10.37,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.22,
"session_day": 13,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$109.54 · +10.37% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": true,
"active_relevant": true,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-3158f981c780e1ef43af099984b8e698b54d08d0eae0e0fae5bb8c68f3102787",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 13,
"timestamp": "2026-08-17T15:03:11.580028Z",
"date": "Session 13 · Aug 17, 2026 · 11:03 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE's tracked return has slipped 2.61 points to +9.70% on day 13, while the sealed current market context is unavailable. The last observation still showed rising EMAs, accumulation and a strong sector edge, but RSI 84.12 and the extended move make digestion more credible than clean continuation; no fresh confirmation can be added from the missing capture.",
"price": 110.75,
"pct": 9.7,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 11.59,
"return_vs_base_pct": 11.59,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -2.65,
"session_day": 13,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$110.75 · +11.59% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 13,
"timestamp": "2026-08-17T12:39:59.683545Z",
"date": "Session 13 · Aug 17, 2026 · 08:39 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE's tracked return remains +12.31% on day 13 after a 1.34% rise that held near the top of its range on 0.93x relative volume. Rising EMAs, accumulation and a 29.80-point sector edge preserve the catalyst case, but RSI 84.12 and the extended position make digestion risk more credible than clean continuation.",
"price": 113.38,
"pct": 12.31,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 14.24,
"return_vs_base_pct": 14.24,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 13,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$113.38 · +14.24% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "pre",
"text": "Premarket update: $111.00 (-2.10% vs regular close) · Aug 17, 2026 · 08:20 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "pre",
"price": 111.0,
"ext_pct": -2.1,
"as_of": "2026-08-17T12:20:03Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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"price_as_of": null,
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{
"day": 12,
"timestamp": "2026-08-15T00:50:14.839214Z",
"date": "Session 12 · Aug 14, 2026 · 20:50 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE's tracked return added 0.67 points to +12.31% as price rose 1.34% and held 0.99% above the session's average traded price at the top of its range. The rising EMA structure, 29.80-point sector edge and positive flow preserve the catalyst case, but RSI 84.12, 0.93x participation and the extended position make digestion risk—not clean continuation—the dominant tension.",
"price": 113.38,
"pct": 12.31,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 14.24,
"return_vs_base_pct": 14.24,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.82,
"session_day": 12,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$113.38 · +14.24% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
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{
"day": 12,
"timestamp": "2026-08-14T19:35:36.328455Z",
"date": "Session 12 · Aug 14, 2026 · 15:35 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE's tracked return added 0.10 points to +11.64% as the latest capture rose 0.62% on 0.62x relative volume and held 0.46% above the session's average traded price. Accumulation and a 28.74-point sector edge keep the catalyst case visible, but RSI 83.78 and thin participation still read as digestion rather than clean continuation.",
"price": 112.57,
"pct": 11.64,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 13.42,
"return_vs_base_pct": 13.42,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.07,
"session_day": 12,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$112.57 · +13.42% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
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"relevant": false,
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{
"day": 12,
"timestamp": "2026-08-14T15:10:38.207069Z",
"date": "Session 12 · Aug 14, 2026 · 11:10 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE's published return added 0.71 points to +11.54% as the latest capture rose 0.68% on only 0.11x relative volume. Accumulation and a 28.53-point performance edge over the sector keep the catalyst case visible, but RSI 83.81 and thin participation make this digestion, not clean continuation.",
"price": 112.64,
"pct": 11.54,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 13.49,
"return_vs_base_pct": 13.49,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.76,
"session_day": 12,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$112.64 · +13.49% from $99.25 base",
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"relevant": false,
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{
"day": 12,
"timestamp": "2026-08-14T12:41:58.814721Z",
"date": "Session 12 · Aug 14, 2026 · 08:41 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE's latest capture fell 4.61%, while its tracked return slipped 0.80 points to +10.83%; participation was stronger at 1.39x and money flow remained in accumulation. The 33.34-point sector lead keeps the catalyst case visible, but RSI 84.44 and the sharp pullback make this digestion rather than clean continuation.",
"price": 111.88,
"pct": 10.83,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 12.73,
"return_vs_base_pct": 12.73,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.0,
"session_day": 12,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$111.88 · +12.73% from $99.25 base",
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"relevant": false,
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},
{
"day": 11,
"timestamp": "2026-08-13T19:35:26.943425Z",
"date": "Session 11 · Aug 13, 2026 · 15:35 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE's tracked return gave back 2.92 points from +14.55% as the latest capture fell 3.76% on 0.71x relative volume and closed 1.16% below the session's average traded price. Accumulation and 34.34-point sector outperformance still show demand in the broader record, but RSI 86.62, weak participation and the break below that average price turn the catalyst case into digestion rather than clean confirmation.",
"price": 112.88,
"pct": 11.63,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 13.73,
"return_vs_base_pct": 13.73,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -3.17,
"session_day": 11,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$112.88 · +13.73% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": true,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-36fdb121ebdd73dac6e216de0f04cd57976dd8724f697982c2d1e6148b9c1006",
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{
"day": 11,
"timestamp": "2026-08-13T14:58:45.077075Z",
"date": "Session 11 · Aug 13, 2026 · 10:58 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE's tracked return gave back 1.64 points to +14.55%, while the latest capture fell 1.08% on 0.15x volume and closed 0.49% below the session's average traded price. Accumulation and 38.20-point sector outperformance keep demand visible, but RSI 94.26 and the stretched move make this digestion, not clean confirmation.",
"price": 116.025,
"pct": 14.55,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 16.9,
"return_vs_base_pct": 16.9,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.28,
"session_day": 11,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$116.03 · +16.90% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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},
{
"day": 11,
"timestamp": "2026-08-13T12:42:16.230360Z",
"date": "Session 11 · Aug 13, 2026 · 08:42 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE tracked return gave back 0.35 points from 16.54%, even as the latest capture rose 3.74% on 1.37x volume. Accumulation and a 45.36-point sector advantage keep demand visible, but RSI 97.75 and the stretched move make digestion the immediate test rather than clean confirmation.",
"price": 117.29,
"pct": 16.19,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 18.18,
"return_vs_base_pct": 18.18,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.39,
"session_day": 11,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$117.29 · +18.18% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "pre",
"text": "Premarket update: $117.39 (+0.09% vs regular close) · Aug 13, 2026 · 08:19 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "pre",
"price": 117.39,
"ext_pct": 0.09,
"as_of": "2026-08-13T12:19:08Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
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},
{
"day": 10,
"timestamp": "2026-08-12T20:36:40.746325Z",
"date": "Session 10 · Aug 12, 2026 · 16:36 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE tracked return is now +16.54%, up 3.05 points since the previous public note, while the latest capture rose 4.09% on 1.09x volume and held 1.86% above VWAP. The catalyst case still has demand behind it and the move remains far ahead of its sector, but RSI 97.78 and the stretched range make digestion the immediate test rather than clean confirmation.",
"price": 117.68,
"pct": 16.54,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 18.57,
"return_vs_base_pct": 18.57,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 2.98,
"session_day": 10,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$117.68 · +18.57% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": true,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-91414d9c178e0ef648476f304f1807d84b4b562faae8d4560a55fa2cb9937188",
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{
"day": 10,
"timestamp": "2026-08-12T14:57:20.820970Z",
"date": "Session 10 · Aug 12, 2026 · 10:57 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE is now up 13.49%, adding 1.49 points since the last public note as the latest capture rose 1.47% and held 0.97% above VWAP. The catalyst case still has demand behind it, but 0.33x volume and RSI 97.57 turn the follow-through question into a digestion test rather than a clean confirmation.",
"price": 114.72,
"pct": 13.49,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 15.59,
"return_vs_base_pct": 15.59,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 1.68,
"session_day": 10,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$114.72 · +15.59% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": true,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-ea416328293cfd7588bfdf22e1113431fc8421ee4c7c42508078219fa22bc126",
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{
"day": 10,
"timestamp": "2026-08-12T13:29:29.270331Z",
"date": "Session 10 · Aug 12, 2026 · 09:29 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE remains up 12.00% as the latest capture rose 1.96% on 1.69x volume. Strong rising EMAs, accumulation and a 37.67-point sector advantage keep catalyst demand visible; RSI 93.69 and the stretched position make digestion the immediate counterweight.",
"price": 113.06,
"pct": 12.0,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 13.91,
"return_vs_base_pct": 13.91,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 10,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$113.06 · +13.91% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "pre",
"text": "Premarket update: $113.05 (-0.01% vs regular close) · Aug 12, 2026 · 09:13 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "pre",
"price": 113.05,
"ext_pct": -0.01,
"as_of": "2026-08-12T13:13:09Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
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},
{
"day": 10,
"timestamp": "2026-08-12T12:42:07.575918Z",
"date": "Session 10 · Aug 12, 2026 · 08:42 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE held +12.00% in tracked return while the latest capture rose 1.96% on 1.69x volume. Strong rising EMAs, accumulation and a 37.67-point sector advantage keep catalyst demand visible; RSI 93.69 and a stretched position make digestion the immediate counterweight.",
"price": 113.06,
"pct": 12.0,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 13.91,
"return_vs_base_pct": 13.91,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 10,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$113.06 · +13.91% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "pre",
"text": "Premarket update: $112.80 (-0.23% vs regular close) · Aug 12, 2026 · 08:20 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "pre",
"price": 112.8,
"ext_pct": -0.23,
"as_of": "2026-08-12T12:20:14Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
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"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 9,
"timestamp": "2026-08-11T21:39:47.634207Z",
"date": "Session 9 · Aug 11, 2026 · 17:39 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE advanced 1.96% on 1.72x participation, held 0.26% above VWAP and retained an accumulation reading. The catalyst-backed thesis continues to attract demand, but RSI 93.63 and a 99.3% 52-week position make the extension risk central to the current interpretation.",
"price": 113.06,
"pct": 12.0,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 13.91,
"return_vs_base_pct": 13.91,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.09,
"session_day": 9,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$113.06 · +13.91% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $113.49 (+0.38% vs regular close) · Aug 11, 2026 · 17:15 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "post",
"price": 113.49,
"ext_pct": 0.38,
"as_of": "2026-08-11T21:15:00Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
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"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 9,
"timestamp": "2026-08-11T19:36:11.116239Z",
"date": "Session 9 · Aug 11, 2026 · 15:36 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE\\u0027s tracked return improved 0.13 points to +11.62% as the latest capture rose 1.87% on 1.21x participation and held 0.18% above VWAP. Accumulation and a 37.45-point sector advantage keep catalyst demand visible, while RSI 93.61 and a 99% 52-week position leave the move exposed to digestion.",
"price": 112.965,
"pct": 11.62,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 13.82,
"return_vs_base_pct": 13.82,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.4,
"session_day": 9,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$112.97 · +13.82% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 9,
"timestamp": "2026-08-11T14:55:52.908188Z",
"date": "Session 9 · Aug 11, 2026 · 10:55 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE's tracked return improved 1.35 points to +11.49% as the latest capture gained 1.52%, held near VWAP and showed accumulation despite 0.26x participation. The 36.60-point sector advantage keeps catalyst demand visible, but RSI 93.54 and a 99% 52-week position leave the move exposed to digestion.",
"price": 112.57,
"pct": 11.49,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 13.42,
"return_vs_base_pct": 13.42,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 1.39,
"session_day": 9,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$112.57 · +13.42% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
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"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 9,
"timestamp": "2026-08-11T12:39:39.598160Z",
"date": "Session 9 · Aug 11, 2026 · 08:39 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE added 3.87% on 1.57x participation while the tracked return held at +10.14%. Accumulation, a rising EMA stack and a 32.55-point sector advantage show strong demand around the catalyst, but RSI 89.03 and a 99.6% 52-week position leave the move exposed to digestion.",
"price": 111.19,
"pct": 10.14,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 12.03,
"return_vs_base_pct": 12.03,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 9,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$111.19 · +12.03% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
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},
{
"day": 8,
"timestamp": "2026-08-10T21:40:08.586834Z",
"date": "Session 8 · Aug 10, 2026 · 17:40 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE's tracked return improved 0.46 percentage points to +9.68% as the latest capture gained 3.87% on 1.60x participation and held 1.29% above VWAP. Rising EMAs, accumulation and a 32.55-point sector advantage confirm strong demand around the catalyst, but RSI 89 and a 99.6% 52-week position leave the move exposed to digestion.",
"price": 111.19,
"pct": 10.14,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 12.03,
"return_vs_base_pct": 12.03,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.59,
"session_day": 8,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$111.19 · +12.03% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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},
{
"day": 8,
"timestamp": "2026-08-10T19:40:44.693070Z",
"date": "Session 8 · Aug 10, 2026 · 15:40 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE's tracked return improved 2.61 percentage points from the previous public note as the latest capture gained 3.32% on 1.08x participation and held 1.01% above VWAP. Rising EMAs, accumulation and a 32.12-point sector advantage support the catalyst thesis, but RSI 88.82 leaves the move extended; the panel sees strong confirmation of demand, not immunity from digestion.",
"price": 110.6,
"pct": 9.68,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 11.44,
"return_vs_base_pct": 11.44,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 2.54,
"session_day": 8,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$110.60 · +11.44% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": true,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-f0ac7335304ead64528b2c610b6e7420b20c4521e0bb52e980c0fb8a72dba523",
"price_as_of": null,
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{
"day": 8,
"timestamp": "2026-08-10T14:56:54.736192Z",
"date": "Session 8 · Aug 10, 2026 · 10:56 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE's tracked return rose 1.03 percentage points to +6.04% even as the latest capture added 0.96% on only 0.15x participation. Price held 0.10% above VWAP with rising EMAs, accumulation and a 28.86-point sector advantage, but RSI 87.80 makes the extended move increasingly dependent on demand holding.",
"price": 108.08,
"pct": 7.07,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 8.9,
"return_vs_base_pct": 8.9,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 1.04,
"session_day": 8,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$108.08 · +8.90% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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},
{
"day": 8,
"timestamp": "2026-08-10T12:41:26.859990Z",
"date": "Session 8 · Aug 10, 2026 · 08:41 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE's tracked return rose to +6.04% even as the latest capture eased 0.24% on 0.85x participation. Rising EMAs, accumulation and a 27.12-point sector advantage support the catalyst thesis, but RSI 87.77 and unavailable VWAP evidence make the extended move increasingly dependent on demand holding.",
"price": 107.05,
"pct": 6.04,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 7.86,
"return_vs_base_pct": 7.86,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 8,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$107.05 · +7.86% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "pre",
"text": "Premarket update: $105.87 (-1.10% vs regular close) · Aug 10, 2026 · 08:20 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "pre",
"price": 105.87,
"ext_pct": -1.1,
"as_of": "2026-08-10T12:20:57Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
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},
{
"day": 7,
"timestamp": "2026-08-07T21:39:33.123946Z",
"date": "Session 7 · Aug 7, 2026 · 17:39 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE's tracked return rose 0.62 percentage points to +6.04% even as the latest capture eased 0.24% on 0.85x participation. Rising EMAs, accumulation and a 27.12-point sector advantage support the catalyst thesis, but RSI 87.77 and unavailable VWAP evidence make the extended move increasingly dependent on demand holding.",
"price": 107.05,
"pct": 6.04,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 7.86,
"return_vs_base_pct": 7.86,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.64,
"session_day": 7,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$107.05 · +7.86% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $107.00 (-0.05% vs regular close) · Aug 7, 2026 · 17:27 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "post",
"price": 107.0,
"ext_pct": -0.05,
"as_of": "2026-08-07T21:27:28Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
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},
{
"day": 7,
"timestamp": "2026-08-07T14:56:06.389071Z",
"date": "Session 7 · Aug 7, 2026 · 10:56 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE's tracked return slipped 0.88 percentage points to +5.42% as the latest capture eased 0.83% on 0.11x participation. Rising EMAs, accumulation and a 26.44-point sector advantage keep the catalyst thesis supported, but RSI 85.82 and price 0.55% below VWAP make the extended move increasingly dependent on demand holding.",
"price": 106.42,
"pct": 5.42,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 7.22,
"return_vs_base_pct": 7.22,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.9,
"session_day": 7,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$106.42 · +7.22% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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},
{
"day": 7,
"timestamp": "2026-08-07T12:37:42.271869Z",
"date": "Session 7 · Aug 7, 2026 · 08:37 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE's latest capture rose 1.90% on 1.53x participation, with accumulation and a 35.77-point sector advantage reinforcing the existing strength. RSI at 88.74 and a 99.5% 52-week range position leave the extended move increasingly dependent on demand holding, while VWAP evidence is unavailable.",
"price": 107.31,
"pct": 6.3,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 8.12,
"return_vs_base_pct": 8.12,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 7,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$107.31 · +8.12% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "pre",
"text": "Premarket update: $107.00 (-0.29% vs regular close) · Aug 7, 2026 · 08:10 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "pre",
"price": 107.0,
"ext_pct": -0.29,
"as_of": "2026-08-07T12:10:39Z",
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{
"day": 6,
"timestamp": "2026-08-06T22:05:33.233488Z",
"date": "Session 6 · Aug 6, 2026 · 18:05 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE's tracked return rose 1.98 percentage points to +6.30%, while the current capture gained 1.90% on 1.53x participation. Accumulation, rising EMAs and a 35.77-point sector advantage preserve the catalyst thesis, but RSI 88.74 and a near-52-week-high position leave the extended move exposed to digestion.",
"price": 107.31,
"pct": 6.3,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 8.12,
"return_vs_base_pct": 8.12,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 2.01,
"session_day": 6,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$107.31 · +8.12% from $99.25 base",
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"relevant": false,
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{
"day": 6,
"timestamp": "2026-08-06T15:07:43.640532Z",
"date": "Session 6 · Aug 6, 2026 · 11:07 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE's tracked return is unchanged at +4.32%, while the latest capture slipped 0.49% on 1.05x participation. The rising structure, accumulation and a 34.53-point sector-relative advantage preserve the catalyst thesis, but RSI 88.92 leaves the extended move exposed to digestion if demand or support weakens.",
"price": 105.31,
"pct": 4.32,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 6.11,
"return_vs_base_pct": 6.11,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 6,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$105.31 · +6.11% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
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"relevant": false,
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{
"day": 6,
"timestamp": "2026-08-06T12:42:19.059195Z",
"date": "Session 6 · Aug 6, 2026 · 08:42 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE's tracked return fell 1.90 points to +4.32% as the latest capture slipped 0.49% on 1.05x participation. The rising structure and a 34.53-point sector-relative advantage preserve the catalyst thesis, but RSI 88.92 leaves the extended move exposed to digestion if demand or support weakens.",
"price": 105.31,
"pct": 4.32,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 6.11,
"return_vs_base_pct": 6.11,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 6,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$105.31 · +6.11% from $99.25 base",
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"market_marker": {
"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $105.70 (+0.37% vs regular close) · Aug 5, 2026 · 19:54 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "post",
"price": 105.7,
"ext_pct": 0.37,
"as_of": "2026-08-05T23:54:34Z",
"persisted": true
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{
"day": 5,
"timestamp": "2026-08-05T21:40:42.455796Z",
"date": "Session 5 · Aug 5, 2026 · 17:40 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE's tracked return fell 1.90 percentage points to +4.32% as the latest capture slipped 0.49% on 1.05x participation. Rising structure, accumulation and a 34.53-point sector-relative advantage preserve the catalyst thesis, but RSI 88.92 leaves the extended move exposed to digestion if demand or support weakens.",
"price": 105.31,
"pct": 4.32,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 6.11,
"return_vs_base_pct": 6.11,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.4,
"session_day": 5,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$105.31 · +6.11% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $105.75 (+0.42% vs regular close) · Aug 5, 2026 · 17:26 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "post",
"price": 105.75,
"ext_pct": 0.42,
"as_of": "2026-08-05T21:26:21Z",
"persisted": false
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{
"day": 5,
"timestamp": "2026-08-05T14:55:35.979734Z",
"date": "Session 5 · Aug 5, 2026 · 10:55 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE added 1.39 points to tracked return while the latest capture rose 0.82% to $106.70, holding just 0.08% above VWAP on 0.12x participation. The rising structure, accumulation and 35.68-point sector-relative advantage preserve the catalyst thesis, but RSI 90.88 and thin demand leave the extended move exposed to digestion if support fails.",
"price": 106.7,
"pct": 6.22,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 7.51,
"return_vs_base_pct": 7.51,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.88,
"session_day": 5,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$106.70 · +7.51% from $99.25 base",
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"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": true,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-eae2db7264a5b654df766a5f586c7f7731ff14ebad694b78b0e53b02a9621f14",
"price_as_of": null,
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{
"day": 5,
"timestamp": "2026-08-05T12:37:35.193536Z",
"date": "Session 5 · Aug 5, 2026 · 08:37 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE held its +4.83% tracked return while the latest capture rose 0.90% to $105.83 on 1.48x participation. The rising structure, accumulation and 35.36-point sector-relative advantage support the catalyst thesis, but RSI 91.52 leaves the extended tape exposed if demand fades.",
"price": 105.83,
"pct": 4.83,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 6.63,
"return_vs_base_pct": 6.63,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 5,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$105.83 · +6.63% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "pre",
"text": "Premarket update: $106.00 (+0.16% vs regular close) · Aug 5, 2026 · 08:14 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "pre",
"price": 106.0,
"ext_pct": 0.16,
"as_of": "2026-08-05T12:14:38Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
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{
"day": 4,
"timestamp": "2026-08-04T21:42:55.586065Z",
"date": "Session 4 · Aug 4, 2026 · 17:42 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE gave back 0.20 points in tracked return to +4.83%, while the latest capture was $105.83, up 0.90% on 1.48x participation. The rising structure, accumulation and 35.36-point sector-relative advantage support the catalyst thesis, but RSI 91.52 leaves the extended tape exposed if demand fades.",
"price": 105.83,
"pct": 4.83,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 6.63,
"return_vs_base_pct": 6.63,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.5,
"session_day": 4,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$105.83 · +6.63% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $106.25 (+0.40% vs regular close) · Aug 4, 2026 · 17:18 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "post",
"price": 106.25,
"ext_pct": 0.4,
"as_of": "2026-08-04T21:18:46Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
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{
"day": 4,
"timestamp": "2026-08-04T14:54:21.202559Z",
"date": "Session 4 · Aug 4, 2026 · 10:54 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE added 1.13 points since the last update to a +5.03% tracked return; the $106.33 capture is up 1.37% and 0.91% above VWAP. The rising structure and accumulation still support the catalyst thesis, but RSI 91.66 alongside only 0.17x participation leaves the extended tape exposed to renewed distribution.",
"price": 106.33,
"pct": 5.03,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 7.13,
"return_vs_base_pct": 7.13,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 1.45,
"session_day": 4,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$106.33 · +7.13% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
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},
{
"day": 4,
"timestamp": "2026-08-04T12:39:12.352643Z",
"date": "Session 4 · Aug 4, 2026 · 08:39 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE is unchanged at a +3.90% tracked return on day 4, with the latest quote at $104.89, up 3.42% on 1.16x volume. The rising structure and accumulation reading support the catalyst thesis, but RSI 90.74 and a 99.7% 52-week position leave the extended tape increasingly exposed to renewed distribution.",
"price": 104.89,
"pct": 3.9,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 5.68,
"return_vs_base_pct": 5.68,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 4,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$104.89 · +5.68% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "pre",
"text": "Premarket update: $104.75 (-0.13% vs regular close) · Aug 4, 2026 · 08:23 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "pre",
"price": 104.75,
"ext_pct": -0.13,
"as_of": "2026-08-04T12:23:42Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
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{
"day": 3,
"timestamp": "2026-08-03T21:31:53.472134Z",
"date": "Session 3 · Aug 3, 2026 · 17:31 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE added 0.53 points to +3.37%; the latest capture is $104.89, up 3.42% on 1.17x volume, with RSI 90.74 and a 99.7% 52-week position. The catalyst thesis remains supported by the rising EMA structure, but the extended tape is increasingly exposed to renewed distribution.",
"price": 104.89,
"pct": 3.9,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 5.68,
"return_vs_base_pct": 5.68,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.71,
"session_day": 3,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$104.89 · +5.68% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
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{
"day": 3,
"timestamp": "2026-08-03T19:42:33.928522Z",
"date": "Session 3 · Aug 3, 2026 · 15:42 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE added 0.24 percentage points to reach +3.37% on day 3. The current session is up 2.72% on 0.82x relative volume with RSI 90.51 and a 99.4% 52-week position, so the catalyst thesis remains supported but increasingly exposed to renewed distribution.",
"price": 104.18,
"pct": 3.37,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 4.97,
"return_vs_base_pct": 4.97,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.23,
"session_day": 3,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$104.18 · +4.97% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
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},
{
"day": 3,
"timestamp": "2026-08-03T14:55:13.514703Z",
"date": "Session 3 · Aug 3, 2026 · 10:55 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE added 2.66 percentage points to reach +3.13% on day 3, with the current session up 2.95% on 0.25x relative volume. The rising EMA structure keeps the catalyst thesis supported, but RSI 90.59 and a 99.8% 52-week position make durable continuation dependent on avoiding renewed distribution.",
"price": 104.41,
"pct": 3.13,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 5.2,
"return_vs_base_pct": 5.2,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 3.01,
"session_day": 3,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$104.41 · +5.20% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": true,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-d7c1c520f1dcaacdc68ade560d9dcc50b3f89690e9a950a9e84937c6f6c85317",
"price_as_of": null,
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{
"day": 3,
"timestamp": "2026-08-03T12:37:33.577628Z",
"date": "Session 3 · Aug 3, 2026 · 08:37 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE holds +0.47% on day 3 while the current session adds 0.11% on 1.41x relative volume. The strong EMA structure and participation keep the catalyst thesis supported, but RSI at 84.71 and a 98.2% 52-week range position make continuation dependent on avoiding renewed distribution.",
"price": 101.42,
"pct": 0.47,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 2.19,
"return_vs_base_pct": 2.19,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 3,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$101.42 · +2.19% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
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{
"day": 2,
"timestamp": "2026-08-02T11:29:46.055241Z",
"date": "Session 2 · Aug 2, 2026 · 07:29 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE remains at +0.47% on day 2, with the current session up 0.11% on 1.41x relative volume and RSI at 84.71. The strong EMA structure still supports the catalyst thesis, but the very extended position means continuation now depends on holding the advance without renewed distribution.",
"price": 101.42,
"pct": 0.47,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 2.19,
"return_vs_base_pct": 2.19,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 2,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$101.42 · +2.19% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
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},
{
"day": 2,
"timestamp": "2026-07-31T21:37:38.381363Z",
"date": "Session 2 · Jul 31, 2026 · 17:37 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE is now at +0.47% on day 2 after adding 0.02 percentage points since the previous public note; current price is $101.42 with +0.11% session change and 1.41x relative volume. The strong EMA structure still supports the catalyst thesis, but RSI at 84.71 and the extended position mean continuation depends on holding the advance without renewed distribution.",
"price": 101.42,
"pct": 0.47,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 2.19,
"return_vs_base_pct": 2.19,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.07,
"session_day": 2,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$101.42 · +2.19% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
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{
"day": 2,
"timestamp": "2026-07-31T19:30:27.124971Z",
"date": "Session 2 · Jul 31, 2026 · 15:30 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE is now at +0.45% on day 2 after a 0.18% session gain, with relative volume at 0.90x and RSI rising to 84.74 within a strong EMA structure. The catalyst thesis remains supported by the trend, but the extended condition and softer participation make continuation increasingly dependent on holding the advance without renewed distribution.",
"price": 101.49,
"pct": 0.45,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 2.26,
"return_vs_base_pct": 2.26,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.56,
"session_day": 2,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$101.49 · +2.26% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
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{
"day": 2,
"timestamp": "2026-07-31T14:52:59.352280Z",
"date": "Session 2 · Jul 31, 2026 · 10:52 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE has advanced to +1.79% on day 2 after a +0.73% session move, but relative volume is only 0.17x and RSI has reached 85.04. The catalyst thesis remains aligned with the upward structure, while the extended condition and light current participation make continuation increasingly dependent on a controlled hold.",
"price": 102.05,
"pct": 1.79,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 2.82,
"return_vs_base_pct": 2.82,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.74,
"session_day": 2,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$102.05 · +2.82% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
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},
{
"day": 2,
"timestamp": "2026-07-31T12:32:12.968400Z",
"date": "Session 2 · Jul 31, 2026 · 08:32 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE recovered to +0.36% on day 2 after a 0.17% session gain, with 1.69x relative volume but RSI at 82.26. The repair is constructive and the structure remains aligned with the catalyst thesis, while the extended condition leaves continuation exposed; the next check is a hold with participation.",
"price": 101.31,
"pct": 0.36,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 2.08,
"return_vs_base_pct": 2.08,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 2,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$101.31 · +2.08% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
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},
{
"day": 1,
"timestamp": "2026-07-30T21:43:38.786085Z",
"date": "Session 1 · Jul 30, 2026 · 17:43 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE improved 0.66 percentage points from the last public update and now tracks at +0.36%. The repair is constructive and participation remains visible, but the extended condition keeps the catalyst thesis conditional; the next check is whether the structure can hold with continued participation.",
"price": 101.31,
"pct": 0.36,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 2.08,
"return_vs_base_pct": 2.08,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 1.06,
"session_day": 1,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$101.31 · +2.08% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $101.00 (-0.31% vs regular close) · Jul 30, 2026 · 17:20 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "post",
"price": 101.0,
"ext_pct": -0.31,
"as_of": "2026-07-30T21:20:28Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
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},
{
"day": 1,
"timestamp": "2026-07-30T19:31:33.539050Z",
"date": "Session 1 · Jul 30, 2026 · 15:31 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE improved 1.79 percentage points since the last public update and now stands at -0.30% in tracking. The repair is constructive, but the catalyst thesis remains conditional; the next check is a valid observation showing that the structure can hold with participation.",
"price": 100.26,
"pct": -0.3,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 1.02,
"return_vs_base_pct": 1.02,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 1.43,
"session_day": 1,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$100.26 · +1.02% from $99.25 base",
"timing": "",
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"relevant": false,
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{
"day": 1,
"timestamp": "2026-07-30T14:51:37.059533Z",
"date": "Session 1 · Jul 30, 2026 · 10:51 NASDAQGS",
"text": "CAKE has no new live return or session comparison in the prepared evidence and remains at -2.09% in tracking. Its published conditional thesis remains unconfirmed; the next check is a valid market observation tied to that thesis.",
"price": 98.84,
"pct": -2.09,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.41,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.41,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -2.31,
"session_day": 1,
"reference_price": 99.25,
"reference_text": "$98.84 · -0.41% from $99.25 base",
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