MSFT episode 20260730_MSFT_MIDDAY
Public episode JSON embedded as readable text for automated access.
{
"schema_version": "tryding-agent-episode.v1",
"episode_id": "20260730_MSFT_MIDDAY",
"episode_url": "https://trydingday.com/data/agents/v1/episodes/20260730_MSFT_MIDDAY.html",
"public_page_url": "https://trydingday.com/coverage/msft/2026-07-30/midday/",
"published_at": "2026-07-30T17:15:00Z",
"updated_at": "2026-08-20T22:18:20Z",
"lifecycle": {
"tracking_status": "closed",
"active_for_tracking": false,
"stage": "closed"
},
"instrument": {
"type": "equity",
"symbol": "MSFT",
"exchange": "NASDAQGS",
"name": "Microsoft Corporation"
},
"technical_reference": {
"status": "ok",
"reference_price": 444.36,
"model_downside_reference": 420.8,
"model_upside_scenario_1": 467.93,
"model_upside_scenario_2": 491.49,
"atr_14": 15.71,
"method": "reference_price_plus_minus_atr14"
},
"public_content": {
"date": "July 30, 2026",
"generated_at": "2026-07-30T17:15:00Z",
"original_published_at": null,
"session_tag": "midday",
"label": "Market coverage",
"try_label": "Try of the Day",
"public_status": "Try of the Day",
"why_today": "The panel selects MSFT as Try of the Day after comparing the full candidate set. Its strong move, exceptional participation, relative strength and visible range expansion outweigh the alternatives, while the thesis remains conditional on the breakout holding with continued evidence.",
"entry_reasoning": "Panel thesis: MSFT has the strongest observed combination of participation, relative strength, structural expansion and catalyst context in the 2026-07-30 comparison; the thesis remains conditional on holding the breakout with continued confirmation. Invalidation boundary: The thesis is falsified if MSFT fails to hold the breakout area while participation fades and the relative-strength advantage reverses.",
"reference_price": 444.36,
"scanner": {
"price": 444.36,
"reference": 444.36,
"score": 3,
"score_version": "v0_legacy_reconstructed",
"change": 13.78,
"volume": 59261040,
"average_volume": 38666122,
"volume_ratio": 1.53,
"rsi": 74.45,
"ema_trend": "403.15 > 395.82 > 396.99",
"position_52w": 82.03,
"atr_14": 15.71,
"vwap": 447.44,
"vwap_state": "above",
"vwap_distance_pct": -0.69,
"vwap_reading": {
"price": 447.44,
"state": "above",
"distance_pct": -0.69
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"range_position": 0.964,
"gap_pct": 12.28,
"relative_strength": {
"excess_pct": 10.66,
"index": "QQQ",
"index_chg_pct": 3.12,
"status": "tailwind"
},
"volume_percentile": {
"median_vol": 33049800,
"percentile": 91.9,
"status": "exceptional",
"today_vol": 59261040
},
"extension": {
"atr": 15.71,
"dist_atr": 3.09,
"ema_ref": 395.82,
"status": "healthy"
},
"atr_move_signal": {
"atr_pct": 3.54,
"status": "strong",
"z": 3.9
},
"sector_breadth": {
"chg_pct": 5.31,
"etf": "XLK",
"status": "green"
},
"sentiment": null,
"sentiment_score": null,
"earnings_warning": {
"days_away": null,
"earnings_date": null,
"has_earnings_soon": false,
"status": "clear"
},
"options_snapshot": null,
"extended_hours": {
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"market_state": "REGULAR",
"phase": "regular",
"post_market_pct": null,
"pre_market_pct": null,
"status": "none"
},
"coiled_spring": {
"count": 1,
"idio_strength": false,
"near_ema": true,
"quiet_day": false,
"status": "none",
"trend_stacked": false
},
"short_pct_float": 1.24,
"days_to_cover": 1.99,
"catalyst": "Stock Market Midday, July 30: Microsoft Soars 15%, Boosting Tech Stocks",
"sector": "Technology",
"exchange": "NasdaqGS",
"sec_signal": "TAX_WITHHOLDING_ONLY (F)"
},
"levels": {
"reference": 444.36,
"downside": 420.8,
"upside_1": 467.93,
"upside_2": 491.49
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"review": {
"score": 3,
"status": "Majority with dissent",
"summary": "The committee selects MSFT as Try of the Day because it offers the strongest balance of observed participation, relative strength, structural confirmation and catalyst context. The dissent remains valid: the move is extended, and PBF retains the cleaner multi-week trend if MSFT cannot hold the breakout.",
"views": [
{
"name": "Elena Vartanyan",
"role": "independent statistical auditor",
"icon": "🎯",
"view": "MSFT has the cleanest evidence of participation among the leaders: a 13.78% move with volume at the 91.9th percentile. That is attention, not a calibrated continuation probability.",
"reasoning": "PBF has a stronger relative move than MSFT against its benchmark, yet the profile fallback warning and 3.35 ATR extension widen the uncertainty. That is a real objection, not a veto."
},
{
"name": "Marcus Feld",
"role": "information, fundamentals and catalyst analyst",
"icon": "🦊",
"view": "The catalyst is concrete enough to explain why now: the sealed headline reports Microsoft soaring and lifting technology stocks. I still want to distinguish a sector impulse from company-specific persistence.",
"reasoning": "CMCO is the obvious challenger on raw acceleration: 42.34% and 2.77x volume. But its 4.71 ATR extension makes the headline number less useful as a forward comparison."
},
{
"name": "Nate Brooks",
"role": "market structure and timing analyst",
"icon": "📈",
"view": "The reviewed 5-day view shows a sharp gap and follow-through with the largest volume bar at the move. The 1-month and 6-month views place the print above the recent range, while the weekly view shows it remains below older highs.",
"reasoning": "PBF has the cleaner staircase on the daily charts, but the latest gap is vertical. MSFT has the more decisive participation burst; CMCO has the least stable shape after the jump."
},
{
"name": "Priya Nandakumar",
"role": "institutional risk and execution manager",
"icon": "🛡️",
"view": "That structure is tradable only as a conditional thesis, not as permission to chase. A 3.09 ATR extension and RSI 74.45 leave little room for an immediate adverse move.",
"reasoning": "AMGN survives the risk comparison better on extension, but it is not the same event: today is down 0.74% and volume is quiet. It lacks the immediate confirmation the selected case has."
},
{
"name": "Kenji Osei",
"role": "AI Systems & Market Data Integrity Analyst",
"icon": "🧠",
"view": "The quote, volume, relative-strength and chart observations are present in the sealed case with consistent timestamps. There are no final integrity warnings, so the limitation is interpretation, not lineage.",
"reasoning": "The comparison is not a ranking by scan score. The selected case wins because its observed fields agree across price, volume, relative strength and catalyst context; the alternatives each carry a material contradiction."
}
],
"conviction": {
"status_phrase": "majority-with-dissent",
"basis": "MSFT leads on aligned observed evidence, but conviction is limited by extension, single-session concentration and the unresolved durability of the catalyst.",
"risk": "The 3.09 ATR extension and RSI 74.45 leave limited margin for immediate adverse movement. The evidence does not establish whether the catalyst is company-specific or a broader technology impulse.",
"resolution_pct": 64.0,
"counter_case_pct": 21.0,
"unresolved_pct": 15.0
},
"context_roundtable": {
"mode": "coffee",
"status": "complete",
"consulted_voice_ids": [
"elena",
"marcus",
"kenji",
"priya",
"nate"
],
"summary": "The market rebounded as technology earnings eased some AI fears, even as long yields reached a multi-year high and oil remained hostage to the conflict. The day showed how quickly a positive sector reaction can share the stage with a macro constraint.",
"long_read": "After the Fed hold, the thirty-year Treasury yield reached a nineteen-year high in reporting while oil stayed sensitive to the US-Iran conflict. A stronger technology tape then helped the indexes rebound, easing one version of the AI-spending anxiety without resolving the valuation or rate question. The market was willing to reward evidence, but it was still charging for duration.\n\nThat tension shaped the desk conversation. A positive sector reaction could change the tone of the tape, yet the rate backdrop still decided how much of that change could persist. The broad day was not simply bullish or bearish; it was a live test of whether operating evidence could outrun macro repricing.",
"transcript": [
{
"speaker_id": "priya",
"text": "The risk was mistaking a large-cap earnings repair for permission to ignore duration, geopolitics or the next earnings test. A good headline does not make the risk disappear; it moves the risk.",
"source_urls": [
"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-prices-slip-tankers-continue-003657966.html"
]
},
{
"speaker_id": "nate",
"text": "The market rebounded as technology earnings eased some AI fears, even as long yields reached a multi-year high and oil remained hostage to the conflict. The move has energy, but the follow-through is where the argument gets tested."
},
{
"speaker_id": "elena",
"text": "The AI tape got a little oxygen just as the long end of the Treasury market was taking it away. That earns attention, not a settled regime.",
"source_urls": [
"https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/articles/commerzbank-says-oil-steady-30-100656617.html"
]
},
{
"speaker_id": "marcus",
"text": "The earnings response mattered because it answered a real fear, not because it erased every valuation concern. There is an operating story here, and waving it away would be lazy.",
"source_urls": [
"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/dollar-steadies-fed-holds-rates-011317418.html"
]
},
{
"speaker_id": "kenji",
"text": "Technology rebounded, oil stayed political and the thirty-year yield stayed high; the market was rewarding evidence under pressure. The source supports the event; it does not automatically support the interpretation.",
"source_urls": [
"https://www.barrons.com/livecoverage/stock-market-news-today-073026/card/today-s-rally-isn-t-broadening-beyond-the-tech-trade-Z0Hl3ANOp9q5cCUw1mrM?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo"
]
},
{
"speaker_id": "nate",
"text": "The tape still has to do the unglamorous part."
}
],
"source_urls": [
"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-prices-slip-tankers-continue-003657966.html",
"https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/articles/commerzbank-says-oil-steady-30-100656617.html",
"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/dollar-steadies-fed-holds-rates-011317418.html",
"https://www.barrons.com/livecoverage/stock-market-news-today-073026/card/today-s-rally-isn-t-broadening-beyond-the-tech-trade-Z0Hl3ANOp9q5cCUw1mrM?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo"
]
},
"context_roundtable_sources": [
{
"event_id": "mi_evt_88178f4620da97125ce9cc7a",
"headline": "Commerzbank Says Oil Steady, 30-Year Treasury Yields Reach 19-Year High after Fed on Hold",
"url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/articles/commerzbank-says-oil-steady-30-100656617.html",
"publisher": "MT Newswires",
"source_quality": "market_context",
"public_safe": true,
"published_at": "2026-07-30T10:06:56Z",
"available_at": "2026-07-30T10:40:05.339380+00:00"
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{
"event_id": "mi_evt_c9494684b21492643b27d3f7",
"headline": "US dollar finds footing after Fed hold and Iran air strikes",
"url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/news/dollar-steadies-fed-holds-rates-011317418.html",
"publisher": "Reuters",
"source_quality": "market_context",
"public_safe": true,
"published_at": "2026-07-30T09:56:40Z",
"available_at": "2026-07-30T10:40:05.339380+00:00"
},
{
"event_id": "mi_evt_2f24d4de6c5dfa721ec0ac93",
"headline": "Oil steady as traders assess US-Iran conflict",
"url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-prices-slip-tankers-continue-003657966.html",
"publisher": "Reuters",
"source_quality": "market_context",
"public_safe": true,
"published_at": "2026-07-30T10:21:30Z",
"available_at": "2026-07-30T10:40:05.339380+00:00"
},
{
"event_id": "mi_evt_3f98e6c1bec7242f4d3d0200",
"headline": "Dow Pops 600 Points, Nasdaq Rises 2.5%",
"url": "https://www.barrons.com/livecoverage/stock-market-news-today-073026/card/today-s-rally-isn-t-broadening-beyond-the-tech-trade-Z0Hl3ANOp9q5cCUw1mrM?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo",
"publisher": "Barrons.com",
"source_quality": "market_context",
"public_safe": true,
"published_at": "2026-07-30T19:10:32Z",
"available_at": "2026-07-30T19:20:11.044562+00:00"
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},
"updates": [
{
"day": 15,
"timestamp": "2026-08-20T22:18:20Z",
"date": "Session 15 · Aug 20, 2026 · 18:18 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT closes session-15 tracking at a canonical +5.65% from the $455.40 reference. The fresh regular capture was $481.15, down 0.47% on the session and 0.71% from the prior close; the extended quote was $481.01, down 0.03%. The original Try of the Day thesis rested on strong participation, relative strength and range expansion, conditional on breakout retention. The path reached a 12.81% maximum favorable excursion before momentum faded. Final evidence shows the breakout still visible but no renewed demand, while current RSI and EMA are unavailable. The measured gain is complete; public tracking ends.",
"price": 481.86,
"pct": 5.81,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 8.44,
"return_vs_base_pct": 8.44,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.55,
"session_day": 15,
"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$481.86 · +8.44% from $444.36 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": true,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": true,
"transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-ee3b053ec015666a92dd3dd008d78350562eb6091413933ff30337faae5688a9",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 14,
"timestamp": "2026-08-19T21:47:29.148124Z",
"date": "Session 14 · Aug 19, 2026 · 17:47 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT is now +6.35% on day 14 after a +0.56% capture on 0.49x volume, holding at the session's average traded price as its rising averages remain intact. Its long-term advantage over technology still supports the breakout, but the sector is a headwind, participation is slowing and neutral flow leaves this as quiet continuation rather than fresh demand confirmation.",
"price": 484.31,
"pct": 6.35,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 8.99,
"return_vs_base_pct": 8.99,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.03,
"session_day": 14,
"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$484.31 · +8.99% from $444.36 base",
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},
{
"day": 14,
"timestamp": "2026-08-19T20:07:03.472629Z",
"date": "Session 14 · Aug 19, 2026 · 16:07 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT's latest capture added 0.58% on 0.36x volume and held 0.06% above the session's average traded price. Rising averages and a strong long-term advantage keep the breakout visible, but technology is a headwind and participation is decelerating, so the move reads as quiet continuation rather than fresh demand confirmation.",
"price": 484.435,
"pct": 6.3,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 9.02,
"return_vs_base_pct": 9.02,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.47,
"session_day": 14,
"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$484.44 · +9.02% from $444.36 base",
"timing": "",
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"relevant": false,
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},
{
"day": 14,
"timestamp": "2026-08-19T15:15:17.215799Z",
"date": "Session 14 · Aug 19, 2026 · 11:15 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT's tracked return is now +6.09% on day 14, up 0.33 points from the last public note. The current capture is nearly flat at +0.15% on 0.12x volume and sits around 0.02% above VWAP, while the rising averages and long-term advantage remain intact; quiet, decelerating participation leaves the breakout visible but still short of fresh demand confirmation.",
"price": 482.35,
"pct": 6.09,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 8.55,
"return_vs_base_pct": 8.55,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.16,
"session_day": 14,
"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$482.35 · +8.55% from $444.36 base",
"timing": "",
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"relevant": false,
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},
{
"day": 14,
"timestamp": "2026-08-19T12:52:12.931773Z",
"date": "Session 14 · Aug 19, 2026 · 08:52 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT's tracked return is now +5.76% on day 14, down 0.35 points from the last public note. The new capture is up 0.27% on 0.59x volume; rising averages and an 18.41-point technology edge keep the breakout visible, but RSI at 78.1 and quiet participation leave fresh demand unproven.",
"price": 481.63,
"pct": 5.76,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 8.39,
"return_vs_base_pct": 8.39,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.4,
"session_day": 14,
"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$481.63 · +8.39% from $444.36 base",
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"relevant": false,
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},
{
"day": 13,
"timestamp": "2026-08-18T19:46:38.444380Z",
"date": "Session 13 · Aug 18, 2026 · 15:46 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT's tracked return has improved 0.38 points since the last public note as the current capture rose 0.64% on 0.31x volume and held above the session's average traded price. Rising averages and a strong technology-sector edge preserve the breakout case, but neutral flow and quiet participation leave renewed demand unproven.",
"price": 483.435,
"pct": 6.11,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 8.79,
"return_vs_base_pct": 8.79,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.53,
"session_day": 13,
"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$483.44 · +8.79% from $444.36 base",
"timing": "",
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"relevant": false,
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{
"day": 13,
"timestamp": "2026-08-18T15:00:48.812114Z",
"date": "Session 13 · Aug 18, 2026 · 11:00 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT's tracked return is nearly steady at +5.73% on day 13, up 0.25 points since the last public note; the current capture is up 0.15% on 0.12x volume and sits 0.08% above the session's average traded price. Rising EMAs and a 13.74-point technology edge preserve the breakout case, but neutral flow and quiet participation leave renewed demand unproven.",
"price": 481.055,
"pct": 5.73,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 8.26,
"return_vs_base_pct": 8.26,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.16,
"session_day": 13,
"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$481.06 · +8.26% from $444.36 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
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},
{
"day": 13,
"timestamp": "2026-08-18T12:56:44.143837Z",
"date": "Session 13 · Aug 18, 2026 · 08:56 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT's tracked return is effectively steady at +5.48% on day 13, while the latest capture fell 3.04% on 0.70x volume and fresh VWAP data is unavailable in the premarket snapshot. Rising EMAs and a 17.58-point technology edge keep the breakout visible, but neutral flow and subdued participation leave renewed demand unproven.",
"price": 480.35,
"pct": 5.48,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 8.1,
"return_vs_base_pct": 8.1,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.03,
"session_day": 13,
"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$480.35 · +8.10% from $444.36 base",
"timing": "",
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"relevant": false,
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},
{
"day": 12,
"timestamp": "2026-08-17T19:46:21.373689Z",
"date": "Session 12 · Aug 17, 2026 · 15:46 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT tracked return has fallen 0.52 points since the prior public update as the latest capture dropped 3.01% on 0.44x relative volume and moved 0.49% below VWAP. Rising EMAs and an 11.00-point technology edge keep the breakout visible, but weak participation and the extended profile leave renewed demand unproven.",
"price": 480.48,
"pct": 5.47,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 8.13,
"return_vs_base_pct": 8.13,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.66,
"session_day": 12,
"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$480.48 · +8.13% from $444.36 base",
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{
"day": 12,
"timestamp": "2026-08-17T15:14:54.308163Z",
"date": "Session 12 · Aug 17, 2026 · 11:14 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT's tracked return has fallen 2.79 points from +8.78% on day 12 as the latest capture dropped 2.42% on 0.17x relative volume and slipped 0.39% below the session's average traded price. Rising EMAs and an 11.48-point technology edge keep the breakout visible, but weak participation and the extended profile leave renewed demand unproven.",
"price": 483.4001,
"pct": 5.99,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 8.79,
"return_vs_base_pct": 8.79,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -2.7,
"session_day": 12,
"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$483.40 · +8.79% from $444.36 base",
"timing": "",
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"relevant": true,
"active_relevant": true,
"terminal_closure": false,
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},
{
"day": 12,
"timestamp": "2026-08-17T12:40:01.822501Z",
"date": "Session 12 · Aug 17, 2026 · 08:40 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT's tracked return remains +8.78% on day 12 despite a 0.30% decline on only 0.40x relative volume. Rising EMAs and a 17.58-point technology edge keep the breakout structurally supported, but RSI 84.77, neutral flow and pressure below the session's average traded price show no renewed demand yet.",
"price": 495.4,
"pct": 8.78,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 11.49,
"return_vs_base_pct": 11.49,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 12,
"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$495.40 · +11.49% from $444.36 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "pre",
"text": "Premarket update: $492.02 (-0.68% vs regular close) · Aug 17, 2026 · 08:22 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "pre",
"price": 492.02,
"ext_pct": -0.68,
"as_of": "2026-08-17T12:22:26Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
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},
{
"day": 11,
"timestamp": "2026-08-15T00:50:17.021421Z",
"date": "Session 11 · Aug 14, 2026 · 20:50 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT's tracked return was essentially flat, adding 0.04 points to +8.78%, while the latest capture slipped 0.30% on 0.35x relative volume and finished 0.35% below the session's average traded price. Rising EMAs and a 17.58-point technology edge keep the breakout structurally supported, but RSI 84.77, negative flow and weak participation show pressure without renewed demand.",
"price": 495.4,
"pct": 8.78,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 11.49,
"return_vs_base_pct": 11.49,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.04,
"session_day": 11,
"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$495.40 · +11.49% from $444.36 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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},
{
"day": 11,
"timestamp": "2026-08-14T19:35:37.993021Z",
"date": "Session 11 · Aug 14, 2026 · 15:35 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT's tracked return fell 0.92 points to +8.74% as the latest capture dropped 0.33% on 0.23x relative volume and sat 0.44% below the session's average traded price. Rising EMAs and a 17.79-point Technology edge keep the breakout structurally supported, but RSI 84.66 and weak participation show pressure without renewed demand.",
"price": 495.24,
"pct": 8.74,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 11.45,
"return_vs_base_pct": 11.45,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.85,
"session_day": 11,
"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$495.24 · +11.45% from $444.36 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 11,
"timestamp": "2026-08-14T15:10:40.109806Z",
"date": "Session 11 · Aug 14, 2026 · 11:10 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT added 0.55 points to its published return, reaching +9.66%, as the latest capture rose 0.43% on 0.10x relative volume. Rising EMAs and an 18.26-point performance edge over Technology keep the breakout constructive, but RSI 85.80 and thin participation leave continuation dependent on renewed demand.",
"price": 498.995,
"pct": 9.66,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 12.3,
"return_vs_base_pct": 12.3,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.48,
"session_day": 11,
"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$499.00 · +12.30% from $444.36 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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},
{
"day": 11,
"timestamp": "2026-08-14T12:41:59.848183Z",
"date": "Session 11 · Aug 14, 2026 · 08:41 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT's latest capture rose 0.90%, but its tracked return eased 0.11 points to +9.11% on 0.55x relative volume and neutral money flow. Rising EMAs and a 16.42-point Technology advantage keep the breakout constructive, while RSI 86.27 and thin participation leave continuation dependent on renewed demand.",
"price": 496.88,
"pct": 9.11,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 11.82,
"return_vs_base_pct": 11.82,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.17,
"session_day": 11,
"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$496.88 · +11.82% from $444.36 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "pre",
"text": "Premarket update: $496.49 (-0.08% vs regular close) · Aug 14, 2026 · 08:21 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "pre",
"price": 496.49,
"ext_pct": -0.08,
"as_of": "2026-08-14T12:21:14Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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},
{
"day": 10,
"timestamp": "2026-08-13T19:33:01.726931Z",
"date": "Session 10 · Aug 13, 2026 · 15:33 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT added 0.07 points to its tracked return, reaching +9.15%, while the latest capture rose 1.06% on 0.34x relative volume and sat 0.26% above the session's average traded price. Rising EMAs and a 16.44-point Technology advantage preserve the breakout case, but RSI 86.34 and neutral money flow leave continuation dependent on renewed demand.",
"price": 497.645,
"pct": 9.22,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 11.99,
"return_vs_base_pct": 11.99,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.28,
"session_day": 10,
"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$497.64 · +11.99% from $444.36 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 10,
"timestamp": "2026-08-13T14:58:46.568619Z",
"date": "Session 10 · Aug 13, 2026 · 10:58 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT's tracked return improved 1.02 percentage points to +9.15%, while the latest capture rose 1.31% on only 0.13x volume and held 0.15% above the session's average traded price. Rising EMAs and a 16.37-point Technology advantage preserve the breakout case, but high RSI and neutral flow leave continuation dependent on renewed demand.",
"price": 498.89,
"pct": 9.15,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 12.27,
"return_vs_base_pct": 12.27,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 1.45,
"session_day": 10,
"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$498.89 · +12.27% from $444.36 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 10,
"timestamp": "2026-08-13T12:42:17.441480Z",
"date": "Session 10 · Aug 13, 2026 · 08:42 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT tracked return moved another -0.46 points from 8.59%, with the latest capture down 2.26% on 0.67x volume. The upward EMA structure and 20.46-point Technology advantage preserve the breakout case, but RSI 85.89 and neutral flow leave continuation dependent on renewed demand.",
"price": 492.43,
"pct": 8.13,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 10.82,
"return_vs_base_pct": 10.82,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.28,
"session_day": 10,
"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$492.43 · +10.82% from $444.36 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "pre",
"text": "Premarket update: $494.64 (+0.45% vs regular close) · Aug 13, 2026 · 08:20 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "pre",
"price": 494.64,
"ext_pct": 0.45,
"as_of": "2026-08-13T12:20:53Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 9,
"timestamp": "2026-08-12T20:27:18.691918Z",
"date": "Session 9 · Aug 12, 2026 · 16:27 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT's tracked return is 8.59%, down 0.01 points since the previous public note, while the latest capture moved -2.01% on 0.41x volume and sat -0.13% from VWAP. The move is digesting; a 20.81-point Technology advantage and the current structure remain relevant, but The broader case remains visible, but the latest pullback leaves continuation dependent on renewed demand.",
"price": 493.68,
"pct": 8.59,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 11.1,
"return_vs_base_pct": 11.1,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.45,
"session_day": 9,
"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$493.68 · +11.10% from $444.36 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 9,
"timestamp": "2026-08-12T14:59:23.336071Z",
"date": "Session 9 · Aug 12, 2026 · 10:59 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT fell to +8.60%, a 2.03-point retreat since the last note, as the latest capture dropped 1.62% on 0.18x volume while holding just 0.03% above VWAP. Rising EMAs and a 20.92-point technology advantage preserve the breakout case, but RSI 87.73 and neutral flow make durability dependent on stronger demand.",
"price": 495.6623,
"pct": 8.6,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 11.55,
"return_vs_base_pct": 11.55,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.83,
"session_day": 9,
"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$495.66 · +11.55% from $444.36 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 9,
"timestamp": "2026-08-12T13:29:29.979919Z",
"date": "Session 9 · Aug 12, 2026 · 09:29 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT remains up 10.63% as the latest capture fell 0.44% on 0.56x volume. Rising EMAs and 29.53-point sector outperformance preserve the breakout case, but RSI 87.37, neutral flow and a sector headwind leave durability dependent on stronger demand.",
"price": 503.81,
"pct": 10.63,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 13.38,
"return_vs_base_pct": 13.38,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 9,
"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$503.81 · +13.38% from $444.36 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "pre",
"text": "Premarket update: $500.20 (-0.72% vs regular close) · Aug 12, 2026 · 09:13 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "pre",
"price": 500.2,
"ext_pct": -0.72,
"as_of": "2026-08-12T13:13:27Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 9,
"timestamp": "2026-08-12T12:42:08.767874Z",
"date": "Session 9 · Aug 12, 2026 · 08:42 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT held +10.63% in tracked return as the latest capture fell 0.44% on 0.56x volume. Rising EMAs and 29.53-point sector outperformance preserve the breakout case, but RSI 87.37, neutral flow and a sector headwind leave durability dependent on stronger demand.",
"price": 503.81,
"pct": 10.63,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 13.38,
"return_vs_base_pct": 13.38,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 9,
"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$503.81 · +13.38% from $444.36 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "pre",
"text": "Premarket update: $501.57 (-0.45% vs regular close) · Aug 12, 2026 · 08:21 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "pre",
"price": 501.57,
"ext_pct": -0.45,
"as_of": "2026-08-12T12:21:12Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 8,
"timestamp": "2026-08-11T21:39:49.677767Z",
"date": "Session 8 · Aug 11, 2026 · 17:39 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT slipped 0.44% but held 0.29% above VWAP on 0.56x participation, with neutral flow and RSI 87.37. The rising EMA structure and large sector-relative gain preserve the breakout case, yet the quiet tape and technology-sector headwind leave durability unconfirmed.",
"price": 503.81,
"pct": 10.63,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 13.38,
"return_vs_base_pct": 13.38,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.18,
"session_day": 8,
"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$503.81 · +13.38% from $444.36 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $501.63 (-0.43% vs regular close) · Aug 11, 2026 · 17:26 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "post",
"price": 501.63,
"ext_pct": -0.43,
"as_of": "2026-08-11T21:26:15Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 8,
"timestamp": "2026-08-11T19:36:12.632653Z",
"date": "Session 8 · Aug 11, 2026 · 15:36 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT\\u0027s tracked return eased 0.31 points to +10.39% as the latest capture fell 0.60% and sat 0.16% above VWAP on 0.33x participation. The EMA structure and 29.46-point sector advantage preserve the breakout case, but RSI 86.92 and neutral flow leave durability unconfirmed without stronger demand.",
"price": 503.015,
"pct": 10.39,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 13.2,
"return_vs_base_pct": 13.2,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.39,
"session_day": 8,
"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$503.01 · +13.20% from $444.36 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 8,
"timestamp": "2026-08-11T14:55:53.784526Z",
"date": "Session 8 · Aug 11, 2026 · 10:55 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT's tracked return eased 0.42 points to +10.70% as the latest capture fell 0.95% and sat 0.12% below VWAP on 0.11x participation. Its EMA structure and 28.37-point sector advantage preserve the breakout case, but RSI 85.93 and neutral flow leave durability unconfirmed.",
"price": 501.265,
"pct": 10.7,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 12.81,
"return_vs_base_pct": 12.81,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.08,
"session_day": 8,
"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$501.26 · +12.81% from $444.36 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 8,
"timestamp": "2026-08-11T12:39:40.273932Z",
"date": "Session 8 · Aug 11, 2026 · 08:39 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT gained 1.21% on 0.75x participation while its tracked return held at +11.12%. The rising EMA stack and 26.65-point sector advantage preserve the breakout case, but RSI 84.50 and neutral flow leave durability unconfirmed.",
"price": 506.06,
"pct": 11.12,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 13.89,
"return_vs_base_pct": 13.89,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 8,
"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$506.06 · +13.89% from $444.36 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "pre",
"text": "Premarket update: $504.23 (-0.36% vs regular close) · Aug 11, 2026 · 08:21 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "pre",
"price": 504.23,
"ext_pct": -0.36,
"as_of": "2026-08-11T12:21:24Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 7,
"timestamp": "2026-08-10T21:40:10.313573Z",
"date": "Session 7 · Aug 10, 2026 · 17:40 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT's tracked return improved 0.29 percentage points to +10.83% while the latest capture gained 1.21%, though price sat 0.39% below VWAP on 0.75x participation. Rising EMAs and a 26.65-point sector advantage preserve the breakout case, but RSI 84.5 and neutral flow leave durability unconfirmed.",
"price": 506.06,
"pct": 11.12,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 13.89,
"return_vs_base_pct": 13.89,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.17,
"session_day": 7,
"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$506.06 · +13.89% from $444.36 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $507.19 (+0.22% vs regular close) · Aug 10, 2026 · 17:29 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "post",
"price": 507.19,
"ext_pct": 0.22,
"as_of": "2026-08-10T21:29:12Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 7,
"timestamp": "2026-08-10T19:39:01.761996Z",
"date": "Session 7 · Aug 10, 2026 · 15:39 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT's tracked return eased 1.23 percentage points while the latest capture gained 1.07% on 0.51x participation and sat 0.58% below VWAP. Rising EMAs and a 25.87-point sector advantage preserve the breakout case, but RSI 84.43 and neutral flow leave its durability unconfirmed.",
"price": 505.345,
"pct": 10.83,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 13.72,
"return_vs_base_pct": 13.72,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.32,
"session_day": 7,
"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$505.35 · +13.72% from $444.36 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 7,
"timestamp": "2026-08-10T14:56:49.041333Z",
"date": "Session 7 · Aug 10, 2026 · 10:56 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT's tracked return rose 2.27 percentage points to +9.79% as the latest capture gained 2.24% and held 0.47% above VWAP. Rising EMAs and a 27.04-point sector advantage preserve the breakout case, but RSI 84.99, neutral flow and only 0.22x participation leave durability unconfirmed.",
"price": 511.21,
"pct": 12.06,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 15.04,
"return_vs_base_pct": 15.04,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 2.52,
"session_day": 7,
"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$511.21 · +15.04% from $444.36 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 7,
"timestamp": "2026-08-10T12:41:29.093458Z",
"date": "Session 7 · Aug 10, 2026 · 08:41 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT's tracked return eased to +9.79% as the latest capture was nearly flat at +0.03% on 0.70x participation. Rising EMAs and a 28.65-point sector advantage preserve the breakout case, but RSI 81.43, neutral flow and unavailable VWAP evidence leave durability unconfirmed.",
"price": 499.99,
"pct": 9.79,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 12.52,
"return_vs_base_pct": 12.52,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 7,
"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$499.99 · +12.52% from $444.36 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "pre",
"text": "Premarket update: $499.20 (-0.16% vs regular close) · Aug 10, 2026 · 08:28 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "pre",
"price": 499.2,
"ext_pct": -0.16,
"as_of": "2026-08-10T12:28:05Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
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"terminal_closure": false,
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"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 6,
"timestamp": "2026-08-07T21:39:34.557092Z",
"date": "Session 6 · Aug 7, 2026 · 17:39 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT's tracked return eased 0.92 percentage points to +9.79% as the latest capture was nearly flat at +0.03% on 0.58x participation. Rising EMAs and a 28.65-point sector advantage preserve the breakout case, but RSI 81.43, neutral flow and unavailable VWAP evidence leave durability unconfirmed.",
"price": 499.99,
"pct": 9.79,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 12.52,
"return_vs_base_pct": 12.52,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
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"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.51,
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"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$499.99 · +12.52% from $444.36 base",
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"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $499.70 (-0.06% vs regular close) · Aug 7, 2026 · 17:27 NASDAQGS"
},
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"phase": "post",
"price": 499.7,
"ext_pct": -0.06,
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{
"day": 6,
"timestamp": "2026-08-07T14:57:42.342957Z",
"date": "Session 6 · Aug 7, 2026 · 10:57 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT added 0.95 percentage points to tracked return, reaching +10.71% as the latest capture rose 0.48% on only 0.16x participation. The rising EMA structure, a 30.03-point sector advantage and price essentially at VWAP support the breakout, but RSI 81.69 and neutral flow show an extended move whose durability still depends on holding this level.",
"price": 502.26,
"pct": 10.71,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 13.03,
"return_vs_base_pct": 13.03,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
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"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.54,
"session_day": 6,
"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$502.26 · +13.03% from $444.36 base",
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{
"day": 6,
"timestamp": "2026-08-07T12:37:43.600872Z",
"date": "Session 6 · Aug 7, 2026 · 08:37 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT's latest capture rose 2.54% on 0.79x participation, extending a strong rising structure and a 30.06-point sector advantage. RSI at 82.37 and neutral accumulation show that the advance is stretched; without VWAP evidence, holding the move matters more than assuming fresh continuation.",
"price": 499.86,
"pct": 9.76,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 12.49,
"return_vs_base_pct": 12.49,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
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"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$499.86 · +12.49% from $444.36 base",
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"text": "Premarket update: $498.18 (-0.34% vs regular close) · Aug 7, 2026 · 08:21 NASDAQGS"
},
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"phase": "pre",
"price": 498.18,
"ext_pct": -0.34,
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{
"day": 5,
"timestamp": "2026-08-06T22:05:54.628843Z",
"date": "Session 5 · Aug 6, 2026 · 18:05 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT's tracked return rose 2.72 percentage points to +9.76%, with the current capture up 2.54% on 0.79x participation. The rising EMA structure and 30.06-point sector advantage reinforce the breakout thesis, while RSI 82.37, neutral flow and no current VWAP capture make holding the advance more important than extending it.",
"price": 499.86,
"pct": 9.76,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 12.49,
"return_vs_base_pct": 12.49,
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"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$499.86 · +12.49% from $444.36 base",
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"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $498.71 (-0.23% vs regular close) · Aug 6, 2026 · 17:49 NASDAQGS"
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"phase": "post",
"price": 498.71,
"ext_pct": -0.23,
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{
"day": 5,
"timestamp": "2026-08-06T15:07:44.688467Z",
"date": "Session 5 · Aug 6, 2026 · 11:07 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT's tracked return is unchanged at +7.04% as the latest capture fell 1.09% on 0.74x participation. The rising EMA structure and a 24.67-point sector-relative advantage keep the breakout thesis constructive, while RSI 77.22 and neutral accumulation make holding the advance more important than extending it.",
"price": 487.46,
"pct": 7.04,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 9.7,
"return_vs_base_pct": 9.7,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
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"reference_text": "$487.46 · +9.70% from $444.36 base",
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{
"day": 5,
"timestamp": "2026-08-06T12:42:20.214625Z",
"date": "Session 5 · Aug 6, 2026 · 08:42 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT's tracked return eased 0.63 points to +7.04% as the latest capture fell 1.09% on 0.74x participation. The rising EMA structure and a 24.67-point sector-relative advantage keep the breakout thesis constructive, while RSI 77.22 and neutral accumulation make holding the advance more important than extending it.",
"price": 487.46,
"pct": 7.04,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 9.7,
"return_vs_base_pct": 9.7,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
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"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$487.46 · +9.70% from $444.36 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $485.75 (-0.35% vs regular close) · Aug 5, 2026 · 19:59 NASDAQGS"
},
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"phase": "post",
"price": 485.75,
"ext_pct": -0.35,
"as_of": "2026-08-05T23:59:54Z",
"persisted": true
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{
"day": 4,
"timestamp": "2026-08-05T21:40:43.519210Z",
"date": "Session 4 · Aug 5, 2026 · 17:40 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT's tracked return eased 0.63 percentage points to +7.04% as the latest capture fell 1.09% on 0.74x participation. The rising EMA structure and 24.67-point sector-relative advantage keep the breakout thesis constructive, while RSI 77.22 and neutral accumulation make holding the advance more important than extending it.",
"price": 487.46,
"pct": 7.04,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 9.7,
"return_vs_base_pct": 9.7,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
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"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.69,
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"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$487.46 · +9.70% from $444.36 base",
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"market_marker": {
"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $486.16 (-0.27% vs regular close) · Aug 5, 2026 · 17:27 NASDAQGS"
},
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"phase": "post",
"price": 486.16,
"ext_pct": -0.27,
"as_of": "2026-08-05T21:27:01Z",
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{
"day": 4,
"timestamp": "2026-08-05T14:53:45.691220Z",
"date": "Session 4 · Aug 5, 2026 · 10:53 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT's tracked return eased 0.54 points even as the latest capture slipped 0.46% to $490.54, essentially at VWAP. The rising EMA structure and 25.27-point sector-relative advantage keep the breakout thesis constructive, while RSI 78.77, neutral accumulation and 0.19x participation make holding the advance more important than extending it.",
"price": 490.535,
"pct": 7.67,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 10.39,
"return_vs_base_pct": 10.39,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
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"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.51,
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"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$490.54 · +10.39% from $444.36 base",
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{
"day": 4,
"timestamp": "2026-08-05T12:37:36.344022Z",
"date": "Session 4 · Aug 5, 2026 · 08:37 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT held its +8.21% tracked return while the latest capture rose 1.06% to $492.81 on 1.20x participation. The rising EMA structure, neutral flow and 22.43-point sector-relative advantage keep the breakout thesis constructive, while RSI 80.60 makes holding the advance more important than extending it.",
"price": 492.81,
"pct": 8.21,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 10.9,
"return_vs_base_pct": 10.9,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 4,
"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$492.81 · +10.90% from $444.36 base",
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"market_marker": {
"phase": "pre",
"text": "Premarket update: $497.50 (+0.95% vs regular close) · Aug 5, 2026 · 08:21 NASDAQGS"
},
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"phase": "pre",
"price": 497.5,
"ext_pct": 0.95,
"as_of": "2026-08-05T12:21:14Z",
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{
"day": 3,
"timestamp": "2026-08-04T21:42:54.241916Z",
"date": "Session 3 · Aug 4, 2026 · 17:42 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT gave back 0.76 points in tracked return to +8.21%, even as the latest capture reached $492.81, up 1.06% on 1.22x participation. The rising EMA structure, neutral flow and 22.43-point sector-relative advantage keep the breakout thesis constructive, while RSI 80.60 makes holding the advance more important than extending the move.",
"price": 492.81,
"pct": 8.21,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 10.9,
"return_vs_base_pct": 10.9,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.77,
"session_day": 3,
"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$492.81 · +10.90% from $444.36 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $492.30 (-0.10% vs regular close) · Aug 4, 2026 · 17:29 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "post",
"price": 492.3,
"ext_pct": -0.1,
"as_of": "2026-08-04T21:29:17Z",
"persisted": false
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{
"day": 3,
"timestamp": "2026-08-04T14:54:22.088037Z",
"date": "Session 3 · Aug 4, 2026 · 10:54 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT added 1.89 points since the previous note to a +8.97% tracked return; the $496.23 capture is up 1.76% and 1.29% above VWAP. The rising EMA structure and 24.73-point sector-relative advantage extend the breakout thesis, but RSI 81.01 and 0.38x participation make holding the advance more important than simply adding to the move.",
"price": 496.23,
"pct": 8.97,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 11.67,
"return_vs_base_pct": 11.67,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 1.93,
"session_day": 3,
"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$496.23 · +11.67% from $444.36 base",
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{
"day": 3,
"timestamp": "2026-08-04T12:39:13.337288Z",
"date": "Session 3 · Aug 4, 2026 · 08:39 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT remains at a +7.08% tracked return on day 3 after a $487.65 capture, up 4.93% on 1.52x volume. Strong participation, a rising EMA structure and substantial relative performance support the breakout thesis, but RSI 81.26 and the extended range make continuation dependent on holding gains without a sharp reversal.",
"price": 487.65,
"pct": 7.08,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 9.74,
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"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$487.65 · +9.74% from $444.36 base",
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"phase": "pre",
"text": "Premarket update: $477.14 (-2.16% vs regular close) · Aug 4, 2026 · 08:24 NASDAQGS"
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"phase": "pre",
"price": 477.14,
"ext_pct": -2.16,
"as_of": "2026-08-04T12:24:34Z",
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{
"day": 2,
"timestamp": "2026-08-03T21:31:53.472134Z",
"date": "Session 2 · Aug 3, 2026 · 17:31 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT tracked return slipped 0.52 points to +7.60%, while the latest capture is $487.65, up 4.93% on 1.53x volume. The rising EMA structure and strong participation support the breakout thesis, but RSI 81.26 and the extended range make continuation dependent on holding gains without a sharp reversal.",
"price": 487.65,
"pct": 7.08,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 9.74,
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"reference_price": 444.36,
"reference_text": "$487.65 · +9.74% from $444.36 base",
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"text": "Aftermarket update: $487.42 (-0.05% vs regular close) · Aug 3, 2026 · 17:26 NASDAQGS"
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"phase": "post",
"price": 487.42,
"ext_pct": -0.05,
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"day": 2,
"timestamp": "2026-08-03T19:42:58.637915Z",
"date": "Session 2 · Aug 3, 2026 · 15:42 NASDAQGS",
"text": "MSFT enters its second tracked day at +7.60%, with current price at $489.67, up 5.37% on 1.21x relative volume. The strong tape supports the breakout thesis, but RSI 81.48 and the extended range make the continuation read dependent on holding gains without a sharp reversal.",
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"pct": 7.6,
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