XTR.L episode 20260803_XTR.L_EARLY
Public episode JSON embedded as readable text for automated access.
{
"schema_version": "tryding-agent-episode.v1",
"episode_id": "20260803_XTR.L_EARLY",
"episode_url": "https://trydingday.com/data/agents/v1/episodes/20260803_XTR.L_EARLY.html",
"public_page_url": "https://trydingday.com/coverage/xtr-l/2026-08-03/early/",
"published_at": "2026-08-03T17:45:22.725677Z",
"updated_at": "2026-08-24T22:17:07Z",
"lifecycle": {
"tracking_status": "closed",
"active_for_tracking": false,
"stage": "closed"
},
"instrument": {
"type": "equity",
"symbol": "XTR.L",
"exchange": "",
"name": "Xtract Resources Plc"
},
"technical_reference": {
"status": "unavailable",
"reason": "not_recorded_in_published_episode"
},
"public_content": {
"date": "August 3, 2026",
"generated_at": "2026-08-03T17:45:22.725677Z",
"original_published_at": null,
"session_tag": "early",
"label": "Market coverage",
"try_label": "Early Try",
"public_status": "Early Try",
"why_today": "XTR.L gained 8.00% with 2.54x its three-month average volume in the captured quote. Relative strength and the reviewed multi-timeframe structure were constructive, while no attributable ticker-news record was captured.",
"entry_reasoning": "Panel thesis: XTR.L combines fresh 4/4 setup evidence, an 8.00% move, 2.54x quote volume, 8.10% relative strength and constructive structure across the supplied views. The thesis remains conditional on orderly follow-through. Invalidation boundary: A decisive close below the sealed EMA reference at 1.10, particularly with expanding selling volume, would invalidate the early thesis.",
"reference_price": 1.35,
"scanner": {
"price": 1.35,
"reference": 1.35,
"score": null,
"score_version": "legacy research",
"change": 8.0,
"volume": 10563567,
"average_volume": 4159295,
"volume_ratio": 2.54,
"rsi": 74.19,
"ema_trend": null,
"position_52w": null,
"atr_14": 0.14,
"vwap": null,
"vwap_state": null,
"vwap_distance_pct": null,
"vwap_reading": null,
"range_position": null,
"gap_pct": null,
"relative_strength": null,
"volume_percentile": null,
"extension": {
"atr": 0.14,
"dist_atr": 1.79,
"ema_ref": 1.1,
"status": "healthy"
},
"atr_move_signal": null,
"sector_breadth": null,
"sentiment": null,
"sentiment_score": null,
"earnings_warning": null,
"options_snapshot": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"coiled_spring": {
"count": 4,
"status": "coiled"
},
"short_pct_float": null,
"days_to_cover": null,
"catalyst": null,
"sector": "Basic Materials",
"exchange": null,
"sec_signal": null
},
"levels": {
"reference": 1.35,
"downside": null,
"upside_1": null,
"upside_2": null
},
"review": {
"score": null,
"status": "Majority with dissent",
"summary": "The committee selected XTR.L because its fresh participation and multi-timeframe structure exceed the complete docket's alternatives while remaining suitable for an early, conditional publication. The selection is limited by extension, absent attribution and absent trajectory evidence.",
"views": [
{
"name": "Elena Vartanyan",
"role": "independent statistical auditor",
"icon": "🎯",
"view": "XTR.L has 4/4 components, +8.00%, 2.42x setup volume, RSI 74.19 and 1.79 ATR extension.",
"reasoning": "Selection or late-chasing bias may explain the apparent strength."
},
{
"name": "Marcus Feld",
"role": "information, fundamentals and catalyst analyst",
"icon": "🦊",
"view": "The sealed information cut has complete coverage but no attributable ticker-news record.",
"reasoning": "The strength may reflect an unobserved or non-fundamental market event."
},
{
"name": "Kenji Osei",
"role": "AI Systems & Market Data Integrity Analyst",
"icon": "🧠",
"view": "The quote snapshot is complete and aligned at 1.35, but the provider trajectory is absent.",
"reasoning": "The observed move may not persist across a reproducible time series."
},
{
"name": "Nate Brooks",
"role": "market structure and timing analyst",
"icon": "📈",
"view": "The four supplied views show a rising structure with late participation expansion.",
"reasoning": "The latest push may be a short-lived spike into prior resistance."
},
{
"name": "Priya Nandakumar",
"role": "institutional risk and execution manager",
"icon": "🛡️",
"view": "Participation is real, but the extension and RSI leave a narrow tolerance for adverse movement.",
"reasoning": "The move may be an exhaustion event rather than an early continuation."
}
],
"conviction": {
"status_phrase": "majority-with-dissent",
"basis": "Confidence reflects comparative conviction after adversarial review, not a statistical probability. The selection is supported by fresh participation and multi-timeframe structure, but remains limited by extension, absent attribution and absent trajectory evidence.",
"risk": "Priya maintained that the move may be late and requires visible invalidation. Elena maintained that the evidence supports an early editorial lane, not a statistically established continuation.",
"resolution_pct": 70.0,
"counter_case_pct": 22.0,
"unresolved_pct": 8.0
},
"context_roundtable": {
"mode": "coffee",
"status": "complete",
"consulted_voice_ids": [
"elena",
"marcus",
"kenji",
"priya",
"nate"
],
"summary": "Oil fell on renewed nuclear-deal hopes and futures rose, while tariffs, energy profits and the three-trillion-dollar technology debate kept the macro story unsettled. Relief was broad enough to lift the tape but not clean enough to settle it.",
"long_read": "A new diplomatic opening pushed oil lower and gave futures a lift, while reporting on tariffs and a falling deficit supplied a separate political-economic thread. Energy companies were showing the profits created by the conflict, technology names were being judged against huge scale expectations, and healthcare and regulatory stories added sector-specific rotation.\n\nThe day offered several reasons for optimism and several reasons to resist a single explanation. Lower oil can support demand and rates, but a diplomatic headline can reverse; energy earnings can be strong while the underlying shock remains damaging; a large technology milestone can coexist with narrow leadership. The room called it a relief session with many receipts still outstanding.",
"transcript": [
{
"speaker_id": "nate",
"text": "Oil fell on renewed nuclear-deal hopes and futures rose, while tariffs, energy profits and the three-trillion-dollar technology debate kept the macro story unsettled. The move has energy, but the follow-through is where the argument gets tested."
},
{
"speaker_id": "elena",
"text": "The nuclear-deal headline took heat out of oil and put it into futures, but the market still had to decide what kind of relief it was buying. That earns attention, not a settled regime.",
"source_urls": [
"https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-retreat-rbis-rupee-support-025557775.html"
]
},
{
"speaker_id": "marcus",
"text": "Energy profits, technology scale and tariff politics were three different stories sharing one green tape. There is an operating story here, and waving it away would be lazy.",
"source_urls": [
"https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/news/bankrupt-britain-needs-tap-north-190220016.html"
]
},
{
"speaker_id": "kenji",
"text": "Lower crude helped the index, while the dollar, policy headlines and sector rotation kept the signal mixed. The source supports the event; it does not automatically support the interpretation.",
"source_urls": [
"https://www.investors.com/market-trend/stock-market-today/dow-jones-sp500-nasdaq-trump-iran-comments-oil-prices-plunge?src=A00220&yptr=yahoo"
]
},
{
"speaker_id": "priya",
"text": "The risk was a relief rally borrowing its confidence from diplomacy while earnings and policy were still moving underneath it. A good headline does not make the risk disappear; it moves the risk.",
"source_urls": [
"https://www.euronews.com/2026/08/03/major-oil-companies-reap-profits-as-us-iran-fighting-drives-energy-prices-higher"
]
},
{
"speaker_id": "nate",
"text": "The tape still has to do the unglamorous part."
}
],
"source_urls": [
"https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-retreat-rbis-rupee-support-025557775.html",
"https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/news/bankrupt-britain-needs-tap-north-190220016.html",
"https://www.investors.com/market-trend/stock-market-today/dow-jones-sp500-nasdaq-trump-iran-comments-oil-prices-plunge?src=A00220&yptr=yahoo",
"https://www.euronews.com/2026/08/03/major-oil-companies-reap-profits-as-us-iran-fighting-drives-energy-prices-higher"
]
},
"context_roundtable_sources": [
{
"event_id": "mi_evt_53bbc3d1bcb3d82f50dd0c7a",
"headline": "Indian rupee ends flat as robust importer hedging blunts oil price relief",
"url": "https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-retreat-rbis-rupee-support-025557775.html",
"publisher": "Reuters",
"source_quality": "market_context",
"public_safe": true,
"published_at": "2026-08-03T10:10:37Z",
"available_at": "2026-08-03T10:40:05.455363+00:00"
},
{
"event_id": "mi_evt_ebb77f25163c0176672c0ea4",
"headline": "Major oil companies reap profits as US-Iran fighting drives energy prices higher",
"url": "https://www.euronews.com/2026/08/03/major-oil-companies-reap-profits-as-us-iran-fighting-drives-energy-prices-higher",
"publisher": "Euronews",
"source_quality": "market_context",
"public_safe": true,
"published_at": "2026-08-03T10:00:02Z",
"available_at": "2026-08-03T10:40:05.455363+00:00"
},
{
"event_id": "mi_evt_90db61b767c80ac145069ca7",
"headline": "Bankrupt Britain needs to tap into North Sea oil gold, says Donald Trump",
"url": "https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/news/bankrupt-britain-needs-tap-north-190220016.html",
"publisher": "PA Media: Money",
"source_quality": "market_context",
"public_safe": true,
"published_at": "2026-08-03T19:02:20Z",
"available_at": "2026-08-03T19:22:14.288575+00:00"
},
{
"event_id": "mi_evt_1ef839998e4e04cb3c1eb500",
"headline": "Stock Market Today: Nasdaq Jumps 2% As Amazon Passes $3 Trillion Level; This Viking Tops Entry (Live Coverage)",
"url": "https://www.investors.com/market-trend/stock-market-today/dow-jones-sp500-nasdaq-trump-iran-comments-oil-prices-plunge?src=A00220&yptr=yahoo",
"publisher": "Investor's Business Daily",
"source_quality": "market_context",
"public_safe": true,
"published_at": "2026-08-03T18:49:24Z",
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},
"updates": [
{
"day": 15,
"timestamp": "2026-08-24T22:17:07Z",
"date": "Session 15 · Aug 24, 2026 · 18:17 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L closes its fifteen-session observation at -7.41% from the 1.35 reference. The original Early Try had a strong impulse and constructive multi-timeframe structure, but the later repairs did not become durable. The fresh final market-data capture was 1.25 with 0.72x participation, RSI 66.23 and a rising EMA structure of 1.22 > 1.15 > 1.11. Episode-specific X evidence and current 52-week position data are unavailable. Tracking ends.",
"price": 1.25,
"pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_base_pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 15,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.25 · -7.41% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": true,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": true,
"transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-ed5666790a53363d42753f2e1307e37e5ebb09bc7eeecacccc9c7e1bf2da4777",
"price_as_of": "",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 14,
"timestamp": "2026-08-21T21:46:08.828981Z",
"date": "Session 14 · Aug 21, 2026 · 17:46 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L's latest capture leaves the tracked result at -7.41% with price unchanged at 1.25. It remains 1.61% above the session average, but participation is only 0.20x the three-month average and dollar volume is 0.15x its 20-day average; the long-term sector lead does not repair the missing follow-through, so the early thesis remains weakened rather than renewed.",
"price": 1.25,
"pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_base_pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
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"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 14,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.25 · -7.41% from $1.35 base",
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{
"day": 14,
"timestamp": "2026-08-21T19:45:13.169294Z",
"date": "Session 14 · Aug 21, 2026 · 15:45 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L's tracked result slipped 2.04 points to -7.41% while the current capture held at 1.25. Price stayed 1.61% above the session average, but participation was only 0.20x and the intraday capture was degraded; long-term sector outperformance does not repair the missing follow-through or explain the move.",
"price": 1.25,
"pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_base_pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -2.04,
"session_day": 14,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.25 · -7.41% from $1.35 base",
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},
{
"day": 14,
"timestamp": "2026-08-21T14:39:07.056135Z",
"date": "Session 14 · Aug 21, 2026 · 10:39 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L's tracked result improved 2.04 points to -5.37% as the current capture rose 2.20% and moved 3.86% above the session's average price. The rebound is notable against 30.27 points of twenty-session sector outperformance, but 0.19x and decelerating participation leave the recovery fragile; the absence of an attributable issuer event remains unresolved.",
"price": 1.2775,
"pct": -5.37,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -5.37,
"return_vs_base_pct": -5.37,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 2.04,
"session_day": 14,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.28 · -5.37% from $1.35 base",
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"relevant": false,
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},
{
"day": 13,
"timestamp": "2026-08-20T21:48:03.442428Z",
"date": "Session 13 · Aug 20, 2026 · 17:48 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L's tracked result was unchanged at -7.41%; the current capture was flat on 0.06x volume and 1.73% below the session average. Long-term performance remains 27.34 points above its sector, but thin liquidity, weak intraday support and decelerating participation leave recovery fragile rather than confirmed.",
"price": 1.25,
"pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -7.41,
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"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.25 · -7.41% from $1.35 base",
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},
{
"day": 13,
"timestamp": "2026-08-20T19:26:57.703582Z",
"date": "Session 13 · Aug 20, 2026 · 15:26 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L's tracked result fell 3.70 percentage points to -7.41%; the current capture was flat on 0.06x volume but remained 1.73% below the session average traded price with thin liquidity. Long-term outperformance keeps the recovery question visible, but weak intraday support and decelerating participation leave the early thesis fragile.",
"price": 1.25,
"pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_base_pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 3.7,
"session_day": 13,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.25 · -7.41% from $1.35 base",
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{
"day": 13,
"timestamp": "2026-08-20T15:20:21.267369Z",
"date": "Session 13 · Aug 20, 2026 · 11:20 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L's tracked result fell 3.70 points since the last public note to -11.11%; today's capture is down 4.00%, 5.48% below the session's average traded price and at the bottom of the range on only 0.06x volume. Long-term sector outperformance and rising averages keep the recovery question visible, but thin, decelerating participation and weak intraday support leave the early thesis fragile rather than confirmed.",
"price": 1.2,
"pct": -11.11,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -11.11,
"return_vs_base_pct": -11.11,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
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"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -3.7,
"session_day": 13,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.20 · -11.11% from $1.35 base",
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},
{
"day": 12,
"timestamp": "2026-08-19T21:47:58.328814Z",
"date": "Session 12 · Aug 19, 2026 · 17:47 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L's repair has paused: the latest capture was flat on only 0.26x volume and sat 1.29% below the session's average traded price, leaving the tracked result at -7.41% on day 12. Rising averages and a large long-term advantage over the sector keep the recovery visible, but degraded intraday coverage, thin participation and neutral flow leave the early thesis fragile rather than confirmed.",
"price": 1.25,
"pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_base_pct": -7.41,
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{
"day": 12,
"timestamp": "2026-08-19T20:07:11.661625Z",
"date": "Session 12 · Aug 19, 2026 · 16:07 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L's repair has paused: the latest capture was flat on only 0.26x volume and sat 1.29% below the session's average traded price. Rising averages and a large long-term advantage over the sector keep the recovery visible, but degraded intraday coverage, thin participation and neutral relative flow leave the early thesis fragile rather than confirmed.",
"price": 1.25,
"pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -7.41,
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{
"day": 12,
"timestamp": "2026-08-19T15:16:40.433068Z",
"date": "Session 12 · Aug 19, 2026 · 11:16 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L's tracked return has improved 4.87 points to -5.00% on day 12 as the current capture rose 2.60% above VWAP on 0.25x volume. Rising averages and strong relative performance support repair, but thin liquidity, neutral flow and degraded intraday coverage leave the recovery fragile rather than confirmed.",
"price": 1.2825,
"pct": -5.0,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -5.0,
"return_vs_base_pct": -5.0,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
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"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.04,
"session_day": 12,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.28 · -5.00% from $1.35 base",
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},
{
"day": 12,
"timestamp": "2026-08-19T12:52:15.322684Z",
"date": "Session 12 · Aug 19, 2026 · 08:52 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L's tracked return is -9.87% on day 12, down 2.46 points since the last note, even as the new capture rose 2.64% on only 0.25x volume. Rising averages and a 24.95-point sector edge suggest repair, but thin liquidity, neutral flow and no attributable news leave the recovery fragile.",
"price": 1.283,
"pct": -9.87,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -4.96,
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{
"day": 11,
"timestamp": "2026-08-18T19:46:42.417478Z",
"date": "Session 11 · Aug 18, 2026 · 15:46 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L's tracked return has fallen 2.82 points since the last public note while the current capture was flat on 0.52x volume and below the session's average traded price. Rising averages and a sector edge point to repair, but neutral flow, thin liquidity and no attributable news leave the recovery fragile.",
"price": 1.25,
"pct": -7.41,
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{
"day": 11,
"timestamp": "2026-08-18T15:00:46.569320Z",
"date": "Session 11 · Aug 18, 2026 · 11:00 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L's tracked return has improved 2.89 points to -4.59% on day 11, while the current capture is flat on 0.51x volume and 0.92% below the session's average traded price. Rising EMAs and an 11.07-point sector edge point to repair, but neutral flow, thin liquidity and no attributable news leave the recovery fragile.",
"price": 1.25,
"pct": -4.59,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_base_pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.07,
"session_day": 11,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.25 · -7.41% from $1.35 base",
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{
"day": 11,
"timestamp": "2026-08-18T12:57:14.742714Z",
"date": "Session 11 · Aug 18, 2026 · 08:57 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L's tracked return has eased 0.07 points to -7.48% on day 11 after a flat 0.08% capture on only 0.31x volume; fresh VWAP data is unavailable in the premarket snapshot. Rising EMAs and an 11.14-point sector edge still suggest repair, but neutral flow, thin liquidity and the absence of attributable news leave the recovery fragile.",
"price": 1.249,
"pct": -7.48,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -7.48,
"return_vs_base_pct": -7.48,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.07,
"session_day": 11,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.25 · -7.48% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
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"relevant": false,
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},
{
"day": 10,
"timestamp": "2026-08-17T19:46:32.337597Z",
"date": "Session 10 · Aug 17, 2026 · 15:46 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L tracked return has fallen 2.97 points since the prior public update as the latest capture was flat on 1.01x relative volume and remained 1.57% below VWAP. A 17.54-point sector edge and rising EMAs support repair, but neutral flow, extreme spread conditions and no attributable news leave the recovery fragile.",
"price": 1.25,
"pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_base_pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -2.97,
"session_day": 10,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.25 · -7.41% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
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"relevant": false,
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{
"day": 10,
"timestamp": "2026-08-17T15:03:54.964093Z",
"date": "Session 10 · Aug 17, 2026 · 11:03 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L's tracked return has improved 6.67 points to -4.44% on day 10 as price rose 3.20% on 0.43x relative volume and finished 0.78% above the session's average traded price. Rising EMAs and a 21.42-point asset edge over the sector support repair, but extreme spread conditions, neutral flow and no attributable news leave recovery fragile.",
"price": 1.29,
"pct": -4.44,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -4.44,
"return_vs_base_pct": -4.44,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 6.67,
"session_day": 10,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.29 · -4.44% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
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},
{
"day": 10,
"timestamp": "2026-08-17T12:40:07.592574Z",
"date": "Session 10 · Aug 17, 2026 · 08:40 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L's tracked return has fallen to -11.11% on day 10 after a 4.00% decline on 0.42x relative volume, with the latest close at the bottom of its range. Rising EMAs and a 13.09-point asset edge over the sector support a repair case, but weak liquidity, neutral flow and the renewed price pressure keep recovery under test.",
"price": 1.2,
"pct": -11.11,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -11.11,
"return_vs_base_pct": -11.11,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -3.7,
"session_day": 10,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.20 · -11.11% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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},
{
"day": 9,
"timestamp": "2026-08-15T00:50:22.691744Z",
"date": "Session 9 · Aug 14, 2026 · 20:50 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L's tracked return was unchanged at -7.41%; price rose 4.17% on 1.41x relative volume but remained 1.57% below the session's average traded price and in the lower quarter of its range. Rising EMAs, positive flow and a 10.31-point sector edge support repair, yet the lack of attributable news and below-average-traded-price position leave the recovery under test.",
"price": 1.25,
"pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_base_pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 9,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.25 · -7.41% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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},
{
"day": 9,
"timestamp": "2026-08-14T19:35:42.871347Z",
"date": "Session 9 · Aug 14, 2026 · 15:35 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L's tracked return fell 2.37 points to -7.41% even as the latest capture gained 4.17% on 1.41x relative volume; price remained 1.57% below the session's average traded price. Rising EMAs and a 15.04-point performance edge support a sharp repair, but neutral flow and the low range position leave the recovery under test.",
"price": 1.25,
"pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_base_pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -2.37,
"session_day": 9,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.25 · -7.41% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 9,
"timestamp": "2026-08-14T15:10:46.090353Z",
"date": "Session 9 · Aug 14, 2026 · 11:10 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L's published return slipped 0.45 points to -5.04% even as the latest capture gained 6.83% on 0.96x relative volume and moved 0.16% above the session's average traded price. A strong performance edge and rising EMAs support a sharp repair, but neutral flow means the recovery is still under test.",
"price": 1.282,
"pct": -5.04,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -5.04,
"return_vs_base_pct": -5.04,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 3.26,
"session_day": 9,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.28 · -5.04% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 9,
"timestamp": "2026-08-14T12:42:05.800134Z",
"date": "Session 9 · Aug 14, 2026 · 08:42 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L's latest capture rose 3.17%, improving its tracked return by 6.52 points to -4.59% on 0.64x relative volume. Rising EMAs and a 15.11-point Basic Materials advantage support a sharp repair, but neutral money flow and 0.53x 20-day dollar volume leave the recovery under test rather than restored.",
"price": 1.238,
"pct": -4.59,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -8.3,
"return_vs_base_pct": -8.3,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 2.81,
"session_day": 9,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.24 · -8.30% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 8,
"timestamp": "2026-08-13T19:33:51.517331Z",
"date": "Session 8 · Aug 13, 2026 · 15:33 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L's tracked return gave back 9.70 points from -1.41% as the latest capture fell 2.04% on 1.30x relative volume and sat 5.51% below the session's average traded price. Rising EMAs and an 11.56-point Basic Materials advantage show relative resilience, but the sharp reversal leaves the recovery under test rather than restored.",
"price": 1.2,
"pct": -11.11,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -11.11,
"return_vs_base_pct": -11.11,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -9.7,
"session_day": 8,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.20 · -11.11% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
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},
{
"day": 8,
"timestamp": "2026-08-13T14:58:52.064087Z",
"date": "Session 8 · Aug 13, 2026 · 10:58 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L's tracked return gave back 1.04 points to -1.41%, despite the latest capture rising 8.65% on 1.08x volume and holding 4.80% above the session's average traded price. Rising EMAs and a 23.61-point Basic Materials advantage show a sharp rebound, but RSI 76.06 and the still-negative tracked result keep the recovery under test.",
"price": 1.331,
"pct": -1.41,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -1.41,
"return_vs_base_pct": -1.41,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 2.29,
"session_day": 8,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.33 · -1.41% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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},
{
"day": 8,
"timestamp": "2026-08-13T12:42:20.899355Z",
"date": "Session 8 · Aug 13, 2026 · 08:42 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L tracked return improved 8.89 points from -9.26% after a 6.12% capture gain on 0.94x volume. The rising EMA structure and 19.69-point Basic Materials advantage show sharp repair, but the tracked result remains negative and RSI 75 leaves the rebound under test rather than settling the thesis.",
"price": 1.3,
"pct": -0.37,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -3.7,
"return_vs_base_pct": -3.7,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 5.56,
"session_day": 8,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.30 · -3.70% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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},
{
"day": 7,
"timestamp": "2026-08-12T20:28:08.467132Z",
"date": "Session 7 · Aug 12, 2026 · 16:28 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L's tracked return is -9.26%, up 0 points since the previous public note, while the latest capture moved -2% on 1.23x volume and sat 1.24% from VWAP. The published thesis remains under pressure; a 12.23-point Basic Materials advantage and the current structure remain relevant, but The weak capture keeps the repair question open rather than confirming a turn.",
"price": 1.225,
"pct": -9.26,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -9.26,
"return_vs_base_pct": -9.26,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 7,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.23 · -9.26% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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},
{
"day": 7,
"timestamp": "2026-08-12T15:00:01.044083Z",
"date": "Session 7 · Aug 12, 2026 · 11:00 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L recovered to -9.26%, up 2.78 points from the last note, although the latest capture still fell 2.00% on 1.25x volume. Price held 1.24% above VWAP and the EMA structure remains constructive, but the sharp prior decline and neutral flow mean the early thesis has a repair frame, not a clean reset.",
"price": 1.225,
"pct": -9.26,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -9.26,
"return_vs_base_pct": -9.26,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 2.78,
"session_day": 7,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.23 · -9.26% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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},
{
"day": 7,
"timestamp": "2026-08-12T13:29:31.665894Z",
"date": "Session 7 · Aug 12, 2026 · 09:29 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L fell to -12.04% in tracked return as the latest capture dropped 5.00% on 1.10x volume. Rising EMAs and a 7.97-point sector advantage offer a repair frame, but the sharp deterioration and neutral flow materially weaken the early thesis.",
"price": 1.1875,
"pct": -12.04,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -12.04,
"return_vs_base_pct": -12.04,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 7,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.19 · -12.04% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 7,
"timestamp": "2026-08-12T12:42:12.646013Z",
"date": "Session 7 · Aug 12, 2026 · 08:42 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L's tracked return fell 4.63 points to -12.04% as the latest capture dropped 5.00% on 1.10x volume. Rising EMAs and a 7.97-point sector advantage offer a repair frame, but the sharp deterioration and neutral flow materially weaken the early thesis.",
"price": 1.1875,
"pct": -12.04,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -12.04,
"return_vs_base_pct": -12.04,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -4.63,
"session_day": 7,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.19 · -12.04% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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},
{
"day": 6,
"timestamp": "2026-08-11T21:39:58.651286Z",
"date": "Session 6 · Aug 11, 2026 · 17:39 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L was flat in the latest capture, 1.63% above degraded VWAP on 0.67x participation with neutral flow. The rising EMA structure and 13.92-point sector advantage support a repair frame, but the unchanged tracked return and missing attributable news keep the early thesis conditional.",
"price": 1.25,
"pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_base_pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 6,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.25 · -7.41% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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},
{
"day": 6,
"timestamp": "2026-08-11T19:36:16.961894Z",
"date": "Session 6 · Aug 11, 2026 · 15:36 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L\\u0027s tracked return slipped 1.26 points to -7.41% despite a flat latest capture; price was 1.63% above a degraded VWAP on 0.67x participation. The EMA structure and 13.89-point sector advantage improve the repair frame, but neutral flow and the extended VWAP distance leave the early thesis conditional.",
"price": 1.25,
"pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_base_pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.26,
"session_day": 6,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.25 · -7.41% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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},
{
"day": 6,
"timestamp": "2026-08-11T14:55:56.041944Z",
"date": "Session 6 · Aug 11, 2026 · 10:55 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L's tracked return eased 0.11 points to -6.15% despite a 1.36% latest gain; price was 3.01% above degraded VWAP on 0.64x participation. The EMA structure and 15.25-point sector advantage improve the repair frame, but neutral flow and the extended distance leave the early thesis conditional.",
"price": 1.267,
"pct": -6.15,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -6.15,
"return_vs_base_pct": -6.15,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.22,
"session_day": 6,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.27 · -6.15% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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{
"day": 6,
"timestamp": "2026-08-11T12:40:16.395817Z",
"date": "Session 6 · Aug 11, 2026 · 08:40 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L's tracked return improved 1.37 percentage points to -6.04% as the latest capture rose 1.60% on only 0.32x participation. Rising EMAs and 15.81-point sector outperformance improve the recovery frame, but neutral flow and light participation keep the early thesis under pressure.",
"price": 1.27,
"pct": -6.04,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -5.93,
"return_vs_base_pct": -5.93,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 1.48,
"session_day": 6,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.27 · -5.93% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
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"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
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},
{
"day": 5,
"timestamp": "2026-08-10T21:40:16.107087Z",
"date": "Session 5 · Aug 10, 2026 · 17:40 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L's tracked return was unchanged at -7.41% while the latest capture fell 3.85% on 0.81x participation and sat 0.79% below degraded VWAP evidence. Rising EMAs and an 11.14-point sector advantage preserve a recovery frame, but the negative session, neutral flow and wide spread proxy keep the early thesis under pressure.",
"price": 1.25,
"pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_base_pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 5,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.25 · -7.41% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
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"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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},
{
"day": 5,
"timestamp": "2026-08-10T19:39:09.509777Z",
"date": "Session 5 · Aug 10, 2026 · 15:39 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L's tracked return eased 0.60 percentage points as the latest capture fell 3.85% on 0.81x participation and sat 0.79% below degraded VWAP evidence. Rising EMAs and an 11.53-point sector advantage preserve a recovery frame, but the negative session and neutral flow keep the early thesis under pressure.",
"price": 1.25,
"pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_base_pct": -7.41,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.6,
"session_day": 5,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.25 · -7.41% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
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"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
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},
{
"day": 5,
"timestamp": "2026-08-10T14:56:57.037217Z",
"date": "Session 5 · Aug 10, 2026 · 10:56 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L's tracked return is unchanged versus the prior public update while the latest capture fell 3.23% on 0.79x participation and sat 0.16% below VWAP. Rising EMAs and a 12.62-point sector advantage preserve a recovery frame, but the negative session and neutral flow leave the early thesis under pressure.",
"price": 1.258,
"pct": -6.81,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -6.81,
"return_vs_base_pct": -6.81,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 5,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.26 · -6.81% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
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"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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},
{
"day": 5,
"timestamp": "2026-08-10T12:41:35.102805Z",
"date": "Session 5 · Aug 10, 2026 · 08:41 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L's tracked return remains at -3.70% while the latest capture fell 3.23% on 0.79x participation. Rising EMAs and a 13.15-point sector advantage preserve a recovery case, but the negative session, neutral flow and unavailable VWAP evidence leave the early thesis under pressure.",
"price": 1.258,
"pct": -6.81,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -6.81,
"return_vs_base_pct": -6.81,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -3.11,
"session_day": 5,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.26 · -6.81% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 4,
"timestamp": "2026-08-07T21:39:37.536684Z",
"date": "Session 4 · Aug 7, 2026 · 17:39 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L recovered 0.89 percentage points to -3.70% while the latest capture was flat on 0.47x participation. Rising EMAs and a 14.31-point sector advantage support the recovery case, but light demand, neutral flow and unavailable VWAP evidence leave the early thesis under pressure.",
"price": 1.3,
"pct": -3.7,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -3.7,
"return_vs_base_pct": -3.7,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.89,
"session_day": 4,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.30 · -3.70% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 4,
"timestamp": "2026-08-07T14:56:11.078213Z",
"date": "Session 4 · Aug 7, 2026 · 10:56 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L's tracked return fell 4.59 percentage points to -4.59% as the latest capture slipped 0.92% on 0.47x participation. Rising EMAs, price 0.63% above VWAP and a 13.28-point sector advantage preserve a recovery case, but light demand and neutral flow leave the early thesis under material pressure.",
"price": 1.288,
"pct": -4.59,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -4.59,
"return_vs_base_pct": -4.59,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.7,
"session_day": 4,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.29 · -4.59% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 4,
"timestamp": "2026-08-07T12:37:47.372740Z",
"date": "Session 4 · Aug 7, 2026 · 08:37 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L's latest capture slipped 0.19% on only 0.23x participation. Supportive relative strength and a rising EMA sequence preserve the recovery case, but very light demand and unavailable VWAP evidence leave the early thesis under material pressure.",
"price": 1.2975,
"pct": 0.0,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -3.89,
"return_vs_base_pct": -3.89,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.19,
"session_day": 4,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.30 · -3.89% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 3,
"timestamp": "2026-08-06T22:07:14.915423Z",
"date": "Session 3 · Aug 6, 2026 · 18:07 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L's tracked return fell 1.29 percentage points to -3.70%, while the current capture was flat on 0.84x participation. Supportive relative strength and a rising EMA sequence have not translated into fresh demand; low liquidity, a wide spread proxy and unavailable VWAP evidence keep the early thesis under material pressure.",
"price": 1.3,
"pct": -3.7,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -3.7,
"return_vs_base_pct": -3.7,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.29,
"session_day": 3,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.30 · -3.70% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 3,
"timestamp": "2026-08-06T15:07:51.349572Z",
"date": "Session 3 · Aug 6, 2026 · 11:07 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L's tracked return is unchanged at -2.41%, while the latest capture rose 1.35% on only 0.18x participation. Supportive relative strength and a rising EMA sequence help the recovery, but very light demand and unavailable VWAP evidence leave the early thesis under material pressure.",
"price": 1.3175,
"pct": -2.41,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -2.41,
"return_vs_base_pct": -2.41,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 3,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.32 · -2.41% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 3,
"timestamp": "2026-08-06T12:42:24.848933Z",
"date": "Session 3 · Aug 6, 2026 · 08:42 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L's tracked return improved 1.29 points to -2.41%, while the latest capture rose 1.35% on only 0.18x participation. Supportive relative strength and a rising EMA sequence help the recovery, but very light demand and unavailable VWAP evidence leave the early thesis under material pressure.",
"price": 1.3175,
"pct": -2.41,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -2.41,
"return_vs_base_pct": -2.41,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 1.29,
"session_day": 3,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.32 · -2.41% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 2,
"timestamp": "2026-08-05T21:40:47.093866Z",
"date": "Session 2 · Aug 5, 2026 · 17:40 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L's tracked return fell 1.77 percentage points to -3.70% as the latest capture dropped 7.14% despite 2.44x participation. Supportive relative strength and a rising EMA sequence no longer offset the sharp reversal; neutral accumulation and the absence of current VWAP evidence leave the early thesis under material pressure.",
"price": 1.3,
"pct": -3.7,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -3.7,
"return_vs_base_pct": -3.7,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.77,
"session_day": 2,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.30 · -3.70% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 2,
"timestamp": "2026-08-05T14:53:50.537646Z",
"date": "Session 2 · Aug 5, 2026 · 10:53 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L's tracked return reversed 4.51 points as the latest capture fell 5.43% to £1.324, although price remained 0.30% above VWAP. Supportive relative strength and a rising EMA sequence no longer offset the sharp reversal, neutral accumulation and a weak close location; the early thesis is under material pressure.",
"price": 1.324,
"pct": -1.93,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -1.93,
"return_vs_base_pct": -1.93,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 4.51,
"session_day": 2,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.32 · -1.93% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 2,
"timestamp": "2026-08-05T12:37:39.592334Z",
"date": "Session 2 · Aug 5, 2026 · 08:37 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L reversed 10.14 points in tracked return from +3.70% to -6.44%; the latest quote fell 9.79% to £1.263 on 1.34x participation. The rising EMA sequence and 22.27-point sector-relative advantage are outweighed by the sharp reversal, weak close location and neutral flow, putting the early thesis under material pressure.",
"price": 1.263,
"pct": -6.44,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -6.44,
"return_vs_base_pct": -6.44,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -10.14,
"session_day": 2,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.26 · -6.44% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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},
{
"day": 1,
"timestamp": "2026-08-04T21:42:47.294317Z",
"date": "Session 1 · Aug 4, 2026 · 17:42 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L held its +3.70% tracked return, with the latest quote at £1.40, up 3.70% on 4.50x participation. Accumulation, the rising EMA structure and a 42.64-point sector-relative advantage keep the early case constructive, while RSI 76.12 and the absence of an attributable ticker-news record leave follow-through conditional.",
"price": 1.4,
"pct": 3.7,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 3.7,
"return_vs_base_pct": 3.7,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -2.6,
"session_day": 1,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.40 · +3.70% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 1,
"timestamp": "2026-08-04T14:54:23.074557Z",
"date": "Session 1 · Aug 4, 2026 · 10:54 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L fell 3.26 points in tracked return to +3.70% since the last note, even as the current £1.435 capture is up 6.30% on 3.68x participation and 1.77% above VWAP. Accumulation and the rising EMA structure keep the early case constructive, but the gap between strong session tape and cumulative tracking leaves follow-through conditional.",
"price": 1.435,
"pct": 3.7,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 6.3,
"return_vs_base_pct": 6.3,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.66,
"session_day": 1,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.44 · +6.30% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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},
{
"day": 1,
"timestamp": "2026-08-04T12:39:16.565905Z",
"date": "Session 1 · Aug 4, 2026 · 08:39 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L is now at a +6.96% tracked return on day 1, with the latest capture at £1.444, up 6.96% on 2.76x volume. Strong participation, accumulation and a rising EMA structure reinforce the early move, while RSI 77.59 and the first follow-through test keep the thesis conditional.",
"price": 1.444,
"pct": 6.96,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 6.96,
"return_vs_base_pct": 6.96,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 6.96,
"session_day": 1,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.44 · +6.96% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 0,
"timestamp": "2026-08-03T21:31:53.472134Z",
"date": "Session 0 · Aug 3, 2026 · 17:31 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L carries its initial +8.00% move unchanged; the latest capture is £1.35, up 8.00% on 2.54x volume with RSI 74.19 and a rising EMA structure. The strong early setup remains intact, but this first tracked update has not tested follow-through beyond the initial move.",
"price": 1.35,
"pct": 0.0,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.0,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.0,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 0,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.35 · 0.00% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 0,
"timestamp": "2026-08-03T19:42:49.216013Z",
"date": "Session 0 · Aug 3, 2026 · 15:42 NYSE",
"text": "XTR.L carries its initial +8.00% move into the first tracked status note unchanged. Price is $1.35 with 2.54x relative volume and RSI 74.19, preserving the strong early structure while the absence of a recorded prior session note leaves follow-through untested.",
"price": 1.35,
"pct": 0.0,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.0,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.0,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 0,
"reference_price": 1.35,
"reference_text": "$1.35 · 0.00% from $1.35 base",
"timing": "",
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"relevant": false,
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"label": "+1 sessions",
"status": "complete",
"return": 3.7,
"reference_text": "+3.70% from $1.35 base",
"price": 1.4,
"updated": "Aug 4, 2026 · 17:33 NYSE",
"mfe": 11.11,
"mae": -3.7
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{
"label": "+5 sessions",
"status": "complete",
"return": -7.41,
"reference_text": "-7.41% from $1.35 base",
"price": 1.25,
"updated": "Aug 10, 2026 · 17:32 NYSE",
"mfe": 11.11,
"mae": -11.11
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{
"label": "+10 sessions",
"status": "complete",
"return": -7.41,
"reference_text": "-7.41% from $1.35 base",
"price": 1.25,
"updated": "Aug 17, 2026 · 17:10 NYSE",
"mfe": 11.11,
"mae": -14.81
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{
"label": "+15 sessions",
"status": "complete",
"return": -7.41,
"reference_text": "-7.41% from $1.35 base",
"price": 1.25,
"updated": "Aug 24, 2026 · 17:09 NYSE",
"mfe": 11.11,
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},
{
"symbol": "JINDWORLD.NS",
"name": "",
"exchange": "",
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"facts": [],
"role": "alternative",
"selected": false,
"reason": "The strongest raw movers are worse comparisons. RWS.L is at RSI 86.43 and 3.95 ATR extension. JINDWORLD.NS has already recorded +19.30% and +11.13% sessions. ONDO.L is up 15.01%. Those are late conditions, not early ones."
},
{
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"role": "alternative",
"selected": false,
"reason": "The mature alternatives do not solve that problem. MA is nearly flat on 0.42x volume, and REGN is nearly flat on 0.34x. Their longer-term charts are constructive, but their current participation does not support a new package."
},
{
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"name": "",
"exchange": "",
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"reason": "The strongest raw movers are worse comparisons. RWS.L is at RSI 86.43 and 3.95 ATR extension. JINDWORLD.NS has already recorded +19.30% and +11.13% sessions. ONDO.L is up 15.01%. Those are late conditions, not early ones."
},
{
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"name": "",
"exchange": "",
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"role": "alternative",
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"reason": "The mature alternatives do not solve that problem. MA is nearly flat on 0.42x volume, and REGN is nearly flat on 0.34x. Their longer-term charts are constructive, but their current participation does not support a new package."
},
{
"symbol": "RWS.L",
"name": "",
"exchange": "",
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"reason": "The strongest raw movers are worse comparisons. RWS.L is at RSI 86.43 and 3.95 ATR extension. JINDWORLD.NS has already recorded +19.30% and +11.13% sessions. ONDO.L is up 15.01%. Those are late conditions, not early ones."
}
],
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}
}