SHOP episode 20260805_SHOP_MIDDAY
Public episode JSON embedded as readable text for automated access.
{
"schema_version": "tryding-agent-episode.v1",
"episode_id": "20260805_SHOP_MIDDAY",
"episode_url": "https://trydingday.com/data/agents/v1/episodes/20260805_SHOP_MIDDAY.html",
"public_page_url": "https://trydingday.com/coverage/shop/2026-08-05/midday/",
"published_at": "2026-08-05T19:08:02Z",
"updated_at": "2026-08-26T22:16:41Z",
"lifecycle": {
"tracking_status": "closed",
"active_for_tracking": false,
"stage": "closed"
},
"instrument": {
"type": "equity",
"symbol": "SHOP",
"exchange": "NASDAQGS",
"name": "Shopify Inc."
},
"technical_reference": {
"status": "ok",
"reference_price": 146.08,
"model_downside_reference": 133.9,
"model_upside_scenario_1": 158.26,
"model_upside_scenario_2": 170.44,
"atr_14": 8.12,
"method": "reference_price_plus_minus_atr14"
},
"public_content": {
"date": "August 5, 2026",
"generated_at": "2026-08-05T19:08:02Z",
"original_published_at": null,
"session_tag": "midday",
"label": "Market coverage",
"try_label": "Try of the Day",
"public_status": "Try of the Day",
"why_today": "SHOP is the Try of the Day after combining an issuer-linked information event with 18.88% excess performance, 1.81x volume and an above-VWAP upward tape. The thesis remains conditional on sustained participation and a clean hold above VWAP after a 2.81 ATR extension.",
"entry_reasoning": "Panel thesis: SHOP is the Try of the Day while it holds above VWAP, preserves participation and converts the initial repricing into continuation; a loss of that structure or fading participation invalidates the thesis. Invalidation boundary: Loss of VWAP with weakening participation or failure to convert the initial move into continuation.",
"reference_price": 146.08,
"scanner": {
"price": 146.08,
"reference": 146.08,
"score": 7,
"score_version": "v0_legacy_reconstructed",
"change": 18.47,
"volume": 18207823,
"average_volume": 10036286,
"volume_ratio": 1.81,
"rsi": 64.65,
"ema_trend": "126.82 > 123.27 > 118.01",
"position_52w": 80.57,
"atr_14": 8.12,
"vwap": 146.3,
"vwap_state": "above",
"vwap_distance_pct": -0.15,
"vwap_reading": {
"price": 146.3,
"state": "above",
"distance_pct": -0.15
},
"range_position": 0.453,
"gap_pct": 0.0,
"relative_strength": {
"excess_pct": 18.88,
"index": "QQQ",
"index_chg_pct": -0.41,
"status": "idiosyncratic"
},
"volume_percentile": {
"median_vol": 8596200,
"percentile": 88.9,
"status": "elevated",
"today_vol": 18207823
},
"extension": {
"atr": 8.12,
"dist_atr": 2.81,
"ema_ref": 123.27,
"status": "healthy"
},
"atr_move_signal": {
"atr_pct": 5.56,
"status": "strong",
"z": 3.32
},
"sector_breadth": {
"chg_pct": 0.37,
"etf": "XLK",
"status": "neutral"
},
"sentiment": null,
"sentiment_score": null,
"earnings_warning": {
"days_away": 0,
"earnings_date": "2026-08-05",
"has_earnings_soon": true,
"status": "earnings_day"
},
"options_snapshot": null,
"extended_hours": {
"ext_pct": null,
"market_state": "REGULAR",
"phase": "regular",
"post_market_pct": null,
"pre_market_pct": null,
"status": "none"
},
"coiled_spring": {
"count": 3,
"idio_strength": true,
"near_ema": true,
"quiet_day": false,
"status": "coiled",
"trend_stacked": true
},
"short_pct_float": 2.18,
"days_to_cover": 3.18,
"catalyst": "Why Shopify Stock Skyrocketed Today",
"sector": "Technology",
"exchange": "NasdaqGS",
"sec_signal": "NO_RECENT_FORM4_SIGNAL"
},
"levels": {
"reference": 146.08,
"downside": 133.9,
"upside_1": 158.26,
"upside_2": 170.44
},
"review": {
"score": 7,
"status": "Majority with dissent",
"summary": "SHOP wins the comparative daily review on issuer relevance, relative strength, participation and current structure. The label remains conditional on holding above VWAP with sustained participation because the move is already 2.81 ATR extended.",
"views": [
{
"name": "Elena Vartanyan",
"role": "independent statistical auditor",
"icon": "🎯",
"view": "SHOP has the strongest comparative profile, but the one-session observation cannot establish a calibrated continuation probability.",
"reasoning": "Keep the label falsifiable and do not turn a large move into certainty."
},
{
"name": "Marcus Feld",
"role": "information, fundamentals and catalyst analyst",
"icon": "🦊",
"view": "SHOP has the clearest issuer-linked information and relative strength in the sealed case.",
"reasoning": "A credible catalyst still needs tape confirmation after the initial repricing."
},
{
"name": "Kenji Osei",
"role": "AI Systems & Market Data Integrity Analyst",
"icon": "🧠",
"view": "The handoff is reproducible and the 27-candidate inventory is preserved; ELAN has a clear comparability boundary.",
"reasoning": "Do not convert missing fields into negative evidence or silently change the inventory."
},
{
"name": "Priya Nandakumar",
"role": "institutional risk and execution manager",
"icon": "🛡️",
"view": "The public research label is defensible only with an explicit VWAP and participation invalidation.",
"reasoning": "A comparative selected case is not permission to infer an execution action."
},
{
"name": "Nate Brooks",
"role": "market structure and timing analyst",
"icon": "📈",
"view": "SHOP is above VWAP with an upward intraday slope and better participation than the orderly but weaker alternatives.",
"reasoning": "The extension requires confirmation rather than pursuit of the first move."
}
],
"conviction": {
"status_phrase": "majority-with-dissent",
"basis": "SHOP leads the verified comparison and has constructive current tape structure, but the large extension and single-session evidence keep conviction conditional.",
"risk": "",
"resolution_pct": 72.0,
"counter_case_pct": 18.0,
"unresolved_pct": 10.0
},
"context_roundtable": {
"mode": "coffee",
"status": "complete",
"consulted_voice_ids": [
"elena",
"marcus",
"kenji",
"priya",
"nate"
],
"summary": "Record highs and Middle East relief supported the Dow and S&P, while the Nasdaq absorbed pressure from SpaceX and AMD and investors rotated across sectors. The market was broadening, but technology was no longer carrying every argument.",
"long_read": "Oil and Treasury reports improved on hopes around the Hormuz route while the Dow and S&P extended their records. The Nasdaq was less comfortable as technology absorbed pressure even while broader sector-rotation coverage argued for a healthier distribution of leadership. The dollar stayed steady and the Middle East remained an active risk rather than a closed chapter.\n\nThe desk saw a market trying to broaden without fully releasing its dependence on a few technology narratives. That can be constructive if the rotation reflects real demand; it can also be a sign that investors are trimming crowded winners while the index remains supported. The distinction mattered more than the record headline.",
"transcript": [
{
"speaker_id": "elena",
"text": "The Dow and S&P were making records while the Nasdaq was being reminded that an index can rise without every technology story being forgiven. That earns attention, not a settled regime.",
"source_urls": [
"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-steadies-two-day-slump-012604187.html"
]
},
{
"speaker_id": "marcus",
"text": "Sector rotation was the day's constructive idea, but it had to prove it was demand rather than profit-taking in disguise. There is an operating story here, and waving it away would be lazy.",
"source_urls": [
"https://www.barrons.com/livecoverage/stock-market-news-today-080526/card/s-p-500-dow-build-on-record-highs-amid-ai-and-iran-hope-0cEIdwfIGQW44wels53h?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo"
]
},
{
"speaker_id": "kenji",
"text": "Oil relief and steady Treasuries helped the tape, while a steady dollar and firm gold kept the geopolitical hedge visible. The source supports the event; it does not automatically support the interpretation.",
"source_urls": [
"https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/08/05/if-a-stock-market-crash-is-coming-history-says-the"
]
},
{
"speaker_id": "priya",
"text": "The risk was confusing a better-distributed index with a fully repaired technology market before the next earnings and employment data. A good headline does not make the risk disappear; it moves the risk.",
"source_urls": [
"https://www.wsj.com/finance/currencies/asian-currencies-consolidate-may-gain-on-hopes-for-hormuz-reopening-72be347e?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo"
]
},
{
"speaker_id": "nate",
"text": "Record highs and Middle East relief supported the Dow and S&P, while the Nasdaq absorbed pressure from SpaceX and AMD and investors rotated across sectors. The move has energy, but the follow-through is where the argument gets tested."
},
{
"speaker_id": "nate",
"text": "The tape still has to do the unglamorous part."
}
],
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"https://www.barrons.com/livecoverage/stock-market-news-today-080526/card/s-p-500-dow-build-on-record-highs-amid-ai-and-iran-hope-0cEIdwfIGQW44wels53h?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo",
"https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/08/05/if-a-stock-market-crash-is-coming-history-says-the",
"https://www.wsj.com/finance/currencies/asian-currencies-consolidate-may-gain-on-hopes-for-hormuz-reopening-72be347e?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo"
]
},
"context_roundtable_sources": [
{
"event_id": "mi_evt_734b4b1ab3e361e9d40e4c31",
"headline": "Oil prices rebound after Houthis say they attacked Saudi tanker",
"url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-steadies-two-day-slump-012604187.html",
"publisher": "Reuters",
"source_quality": "market_context",
"public_safe": true,
"published_at": "2026-08-05T10:30:59Z",
"available_at": "2026-08-05T10:41:10.771766+00:00"
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{
"event_id": "mi_evt_3cf517770e05e61ccf64ce22",
"headline": "S&P 500, Dow Build on Record Highs Amid AI and Iran Hope",
"url": "https://www.barrons.com/livecoverage/stock-market-news-today-080526/card/s-p-500-dow-build-on-record-highs-amid-ai-and-iran-hope-0cEIdwfIGQW44wels53h?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo",
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"published_at": "2026-08-05T09:57:05Z",
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{
"event_id": "mi_evt_0eb441c7267e4e87bba5c281",
"headline": "If a Stock Market Crash Is Coming, History Says the Smartest Investors Are Already Making This 1 Move",
"url": "https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/08/05/if-a-stock-market-crash-is-coming-history-says-the",
"publisher": "Motley Fool",
"source_quality": "market_context",
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"published_at": "2026-08-05T10:20:00Z",
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{
"event_id": "mi_evt_4ae9e7375532b9e673d0f54b",
"headline": "Dollar Trades Steady Amid Iran War Uncertainty",
"url": "https://www.wsj.com/finance/currencies/asian-currencies-consolidate-may-gain-on-hopes-for-hormuz-reopening-72be347e?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo",
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"updates": [
{
"day": 15,
"timestamp": "2026-08-26T22:16:41Z",
"date": "Session 15 · Aug 26, 2026 · 18:16 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP's fifteen-session tracking closes at a canonical +1.88% from the $146.08 reference. The fresh final regular capture was $150.29, or +2.88% versus that reference, after a -2.33% session and -2.46% versus the prior regular close; the extended quote was $150.33 (+0.03%). Participation was 0.61x, RSI 65.80 and the EMA structure was 130.38 > 125.17 > 118.78. The original Try of the Day had an issuer-linked information event, strong relative performance and an above-average-price structure, but the path did not make continuation durable; maximum favorable excursion was +7.70% and maximum adverse excursion was -3.67%. Current 52-week position and episode-specific X evidence are unavailable. Tracking ends.",
"price": 151.38,
"pct": 2.62,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 3.63,
"return_vs_base_pct": 3.63,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.71,
"session_day": 15,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$151.38 · +3.63% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": true,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": true,
"transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-d1904c2e96645c7a74c72f5600f86baf284ab256fe1892d3dacb51c7e0151ce9",
"price_as_of": "2026-08-05T21:21:13Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 14,
"timestamp": "2026-08-25T21:47:29.348989Z",
"date": "Session 14 · Aug 25, 2026 · 17:47 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP added 0.32 percentage points to its tracked result as the current capture rose 2.72% and moved back 0.34% above VWAP. Technology still gives it a strong longer-term edge, but participation is only 0.61 times average and the 1.96-ATR extension keep the issuer-linked recovery conditional on durable demand.",
"price": 153.88,
"pct": 4.32,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 5.34,
"return_vs_base_pct": 5.34,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.48,
"session_day": 14,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$153.88 · +5.34% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $153.88 (0.00% vs regular close) · Aug 25, 2026 · 17:25 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "post",
"price": 153.88,
"ext_pct": 0.0,
"as_of": "2026-08-25T21:25:42Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": true,
"active_relevant": true,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-e136aaace0c7e349ce65e4cc56eb8065cc2504943d67aaef8f886cc01e64d539",
"price_as_of": "2026-08-25T21:25:42Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 14,
"timestamp": "2026-08-25T19:59:32.925398Z",
"date": "Session 14 · Aug 25, 2026 · 15:59 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP tracked result rose 2.42 points to +3.97% after the current capture gained 2.26%, but price is now 0.13% below the session average and participation is 0.42 times average with decelerating flow. Technology-relative performance remains supportive, yet the extended issuer-linked recovery is still a thin hold rather than confirmed continuation.",
"price": 153.18,
"pct": 4.0,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 4.86,
"return_vs_base_pct": 4.86,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.21,
"session_day": 14,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$153.18 · +4.86% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-08-25T19:21:23.301842Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 14,
"timestamp": "2026-08-25T14:52:03.912419Z",
"date": "Session 14 · Aug 25, 2026 · 10:52 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP's tracked result rose 2.42 points to +3.97% as current price gained 2.06% and held 0.30% above the session average. Technology-relative performance remains supportive and RSI eased to 60.27, but participation is only 0.08x and decelerating, leaving the extended recovery without confirmation. The thesis improves only if the hold becomes durable rather than another thin-volume rebound.",
"price": 152.88,
"pct": 3.97,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 4.65,
"return_vs_base_pct": 4.65,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 2.1,
"session_day": 14,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$152.88 · +4.65% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-08-25T14:06:10.747860Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 13,
"timestamp": "2026-08-24T20:36:23.826059Z",
"date": "Session 13 · Aug 24, 2026 · 16:36 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP's tracked result is steady at +1.55% after a 0.37% current gain that held just above the session average. Technology-relative performance remains supportive, but 0.58x participation, deceleration and RSI at 72.11 leave the extended repair without confirmation. The issuer-linked thesis is intact only while the hold and participation improve.",
"price": 149.8,
"pct": 1.55,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 2.55,
"return_vs_base_pct": 2.55,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.37,
"session_day": 13,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$149.80 · +2.55% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-08-24T20:04:12Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 13,
"timestamp": "2026-08-24T14:42:09.573489Z",
"date": "Session 13 · Aug 24, 2026 · 10:42 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP extended its repair with a 0.74% current gain and price 0.63% above the session average, leaving the tracked result at +1.54%. The company and technology-relative case remains visible, but very light volume, fading participation, RSI at 72.36 and a high-range price make this continuation without confirmation.",
"price": 150.35,
"pct": 1.54,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 2.92,
"return_vs_base_pct": 2.92,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.75,
"session_day": 13,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$150.35 · +2.92% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-08-24T14:06:01.174012Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 12,
"timestamp": "2026-08-21T21:46:11.830212Z",
"date": "Session 12 · Aug 21, 2026 · 17:46 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP's latest capture rose 1.41% and lifted the tracked result to +0.83% while price held 0.59% above the session average. Strong technology-relative performance keeps the repricing visible, but participation is only 0.54x the three-month average, RSI is 74.54 and price sits near the top of its range; continuation is present without enough demand to call it confirmed.",
"price": 149.25,
"pct": 1.18,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 2.17,
"return_vs_base_pct": 2.17,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.26,
"session_day": 12,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$149.25 · +2.17% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $149.04 (-0.14% vs regular close) · Aug 21, 2026 · 17:25 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "post",
"price": 149.04,
"ext_pct": -0.14,
"as_of": "2026-08-21T21:25:38Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 12,
"timestamp": "2026-08-21T19:45:15.025206Z",
"date": "Session 12 · Aug 21, 2026 · 15:45 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP's tracked result improved 0.89 points to +0.83% as price rose 1.14% and held 0.45% above the session average. Technology outperformance keeps the company case visible, but participation was 0.35x and decelerating while RSI reached 74.39; this is continuation without enough demand to call the earlier repricing confirmed.",
"price": 148.865,
"pct": 0.83,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 1.91,
"return_vs_base_pct": 1.91,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.5,
"session_day": 12,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$148.87 · +1.91% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 12,
"timestamp": "2026-08-21T14:39:10.398770Z",
"date": "Session 12 · Aug 21, 2026 · 10:39 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP's tracked result is nearly flat at -0.06% after improving 0.16 points; current price rose 0.65% and held 0.65% above the session average, while volume was only 0.07x. Strong 26.32-point technology outperformance keeps the case visible, but fading participation and the earlier extension mean this is continuation without confirmation.",
"price": 148.14,
"pct": -0.06,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 1.41,
"return_vs_base_pct": 1.41,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.66,
"session_day": 12,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$148.14 · +1.41% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 11,
"timestamp": "2026-08-20T21:48:06.551544Z",
"date": "Session 11 · Aug 20, 2026 · 17:48 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP's tracked result slipped 0.44 points to -0.22%; the current capture rose 0.41% and held 0.41% above the session average, but volume was only 0.59x and decelerating. Strong long-term technology outperformance keeps the case visible, yet an elevated RSI and fading participation leave continuation unconfirmed.",
"price": 147.18,
"pct": -0.22,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.75,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.75,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.51,
"session_day": 11,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$147.18 · +0.75% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $147.50 (+0.22% vs regular close) · Aug 20, 2026 · 17:24 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "post",
"price": 147.5,
"ext_pct": 0.22,
"as_of": "2026-08-20T21:24:30Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 11,
"timestamp": "2026-08-20T19:26:57.703582Z",
"date": "Session 11 · Aug 20, 2026 · 15:26 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP's tracked result recovered 1.84 percentage points to +0.22%; today's capture rose 0.91% and held 1.12% above the session average traded price, but volume was only 0.36x and decelerating. The price recovery reopens the test, yet neutral flow and an elevated RSI leave continuation unconfirmed.",
"price": 147.92,
"pct": 0.22,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 1.26,
"return_vs_base_pct": 1.26,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 2.25,
"session_day": 11,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$147.92 · +1.26% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 11,
"timestamp": "2026-08-20T15:21:06.995953Z",
"date": "Session 11 · Aug 20, 2026 · 11:21 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP's tracked result fell 0.99 points since the last public note to -1.62%; today's capture is down 1.32%, 0.53% below the session's average traded price and on only 0.05x volume. Long-term technology outperformance and rising averages keep the recovery case visible, but the loss of average price, fading participation and negative flow show that the repair has not converted into continuation.",
"price": 144.64,
"pct": -1.62,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.99,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.99,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.33,
"session_day": 11,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$144.64 · -0.99% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 10,
"timestamp": "2026-08-19T21:48:33.312913Z",
"date": "Session 10 · Aug 19, 2026 · 17:48 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP's latest capture was flat on 0.64x volume and slipped 0.49% below the session's average traded price, leaving the tracked result at -0.63% on day 10. Rising averages and long-term technology outperformance keep the issuer-linked recovery visible, but the sector headwind, high RSI and fading participation show that the repair has not converted into continuation.",
"price": 146.58,
"pct": -0.63,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.34,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.34,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.03,
"session_day": 10,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$146.58 · +0.34% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 10,
"timestamp": "2026-08-19T20:07:17.692320Z",
"date": "Session 10 · Aug 19, 2026 · 16:07 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP's latest capture was nearly flat, down 0.03% on 0.52x volume, and slipped 0.52% below the session's average traded price. Rising averages and long-term technology outperformance keep the issuer-linked recovery visible, but the headwind, high RSI and fading participation show that the repair has not converted into continuation.",
"price": 146.53,
"pct": -0.64,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.31,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.31,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.26,
"session_day": 10,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$146.53 · +0.31% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 10,
"timestamp": "2026-08-19T15:16:43.480213Z",
"date": "Session 10 · Aug 19, 2026 · 11:16 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP's tracked return has improved 1.59 points to +0.96% on day 10 as the current capture rose 1.23% and reclaimed VWAP by 0.25% on only 0.13x volume. Rising averages and the technology edge support a repair attempt, but neutral flow, quiet participation and the earlier extension keep the issuer-linked recovery unconfirmed.",
"price": 148.38,
"pct": 0.96,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 1.57,
"return_vs_base_pct": 1.57,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 1.23,
"session_day": 10,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$148.38 · +1.57% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 10,
"timestamp": "2026-08-19T12:52:17.109339Z",
"date": "Session 10 · Aug 19, 2026 · 08:52 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP's tracked return is -0.63% on day 10, down 0.43 points since the last note. The capture fell 1.39% on 0.68x volume; rising averages and a 16.46-point technology edge keep the issuer-linked case in repair, but quiet participation leaves the recovery unconfirmed.",
"price": 146.58,
"pct": -0.63,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.34,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.34,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.45,
"session_day": 10,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$146.58 · +0.34% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 9,
"timestamp": "2026-08-18T19:46:44.782083Z",
"date": "Session 9 · Aug 18, 2026 · 15:46 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP's tracked return has fallen 1.09 points since the last public note as the current capture slipped 0.95% on 0.42x volume and moved below the session's average traded price. Rising averages and a strong technology-sector edge keep the issuer-linked case in repair, but neutral flow and quiet participation leave the recovery unconfirmed.",
"price": 147.24,
"pct": -0.2,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.79,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.79,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.0,
"session_day": 9,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$147.24 · +0.79% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 9,
"timestamp": "2026-08-18T15:00:43.800535Z",
"date": "Session 9 · Aug 18, 2026 · 11:00 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP's tracked return is now +0.89% on day 9, up 0.12 points since the last public note; the current capture is nearly flat, up 0.03% on 0.13x volume and 0.32% below the session's average traded price. Rising EMAs and a 13.51-point technology edge keep the issuer-linked case in repair, but neutral flow and quiet participation leave the recovery unconfirmed.",
"price": 148.7,
"pct": 0.89,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 1.79,
"return_vs_base_pct": 1.79,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.03,
"session_day": 9,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$148.70 · +1.79% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 9,
"timestamp": "2026-08-18T12:57:59.050544Z",
"date": "Session 9 · Aug 18, 2026 · 08:57 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP's tracked return has slipped 0.41 points to +0.77% on day 9 after the latest capture fell 3.67% on 0.78x volume; fresh VWAP data is unavailable in the premarket snapshot. The issuer-linked case retains a 16.68-point technology edge and rising EMAs, but neutral flow and the post-repricing pullback keep recovery in repair rather than fresh confirmation.",
"price": 148.65,
"pct": 0.77,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 1.76,
"return_vs_base_pct": 1.76,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.48,
"session_day": 9,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$148.65 · +1.76% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 8,
"timestamp": "2026-08-17T19:52:50.947197Z",
"date": "Session 8 · Aug 17, 2026 · 15:52 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP tracked return has fallen 0.63 points since the prior public update as the latest capture dropped 3.22% on 0.55x relative volume and sits 0.31% below VWAP. The issuer-linked case retains an 11.54-point sector edge, but weak demand after a 2.81-ATR extension keeps the read in repair rather than fresh confirmation.",
"price": 149.355,
"pct": 1.18,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 2.24,
"return_vs_base_pct": 2.24,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.55,
"session_day": 8,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$149.35 · +2.24% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": true,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-ec8d24a4f7ee4e1ccd06911613d2d2ca137361bc8aae724db45973bf7e3530bb",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 8,
"timestamp": "2026-08-17T15:04:51.448201Z",
"date": "Session 8 · Aug 17, 2026 · 11:04 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP's tracked return is down 2.81 points at +1.81% on day 8 after a 2.70% decline on only 0.14x relative volume. Price is 0.36% below the session's average traded price, though rising EMAs and an 11.94-point technology edge preserve the issuer-linked case; weak demand after the extended move keeps the read in repair.",
"price": 150.15,
"pct": 1.81,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 2.79,
"return_vs_base_pct": 2.79,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -2.85,
"session_day": 8,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$150.15 · +2.79% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 8,
"timestamp": "2026-08-17T12:40:11.984085Z",
"date": "Session 8 · Aug 17, 2026 · 08:40 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP's tracked return remains +4.62% on day 8 after a 2.66% decline on 0.57x relative volume below the session's average traded price. Rising EMAs and a 16.68-point technology edge preserve the issuer-linked case, but negative flow and weak participation after the extended move keep the read in repair rather than continuation.",
"price": 154.32,
"pct": 4.62,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 5.64,
"return_vs_base_pct": 5.64,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 8,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$154.32 · +5.64% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "pre",
"text": "Premarket update: $151.35 (-1.92% vs regular close) · Aug 17, 2026 · 08:20 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "pre",
"price": 151.35,
"ext_pct": -1.92,
"as_of": "2026-08-17T12:20:57Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 7,
"timestamp": "2026-08-15T00:50:26.549400Z",
"date": "Session 7 · Aug 14, 2026 · 20:50 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP's tracked return fell 0.40 points to +4.62% as the latest capture dropped 2.66% on 0.55x relative volume and finished 0.45% below the session's average traded price. Rising EMAs and a 16.68-point technology edge preserve the issuer-linked case, but negative flow and weak participation after the extended move shift the read toward repair rather than clean continuation.",
"price": 154.32,
"pct": 4.62,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 5.64,
"return_vs_base_pct": 5.64,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.49,
"session_day": 7,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$154.32 · +5.64% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 7,
"timestamp": "2026-08-14T19:35:46.241548Z",
"date": "Session 7 · Aug 14, 2026 · 15:35 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP's tracked return added 0.79 points to +5.02% even as the latest capture fell 2.21% on 0.39x relative volume and sat 0.06% below the session's average traded price. The issuer-linked repricing still has a 17.55-point sector edge and rising EMAs, but weak demand shifts the follow-up toward repair rather than clean continuation.",
"price": 155.03,
"pct": 5.02,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 6.13,
"return_vs_base_pct": 6.13,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.33,
"session_day": 7,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$155.03 · +6.13% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 7,
"timestamp": "2026-08-14T15:16:13.645811Z",
"date": "Session 7 · Aug 14, 2026 · 11:16 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP's published return fell 3.24 points to +4.23% as the latest capture dropped 2.51% on 0.14x relative volume and moved 1.08% below the session's average traded price. The issuer-linked repricing still has a strong performance edge and rising EMAs, but the loss of that intraday reference with weak demand shifts the follow-up toward repair rather than clean continuation.",
"price": 154.55,
"pct": 4.23,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 5.8,
"return_vs_base_pct": 5.8,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -2.72,
"session_day": 7,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$154.55 · +5.80% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": true,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-c38f9eb904f69d4a62f159ee31ef771d6ce8c42574423f2de838a60770df895d",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 7,
"timestamp": "2026-08-14T12:42:09.700978Z",
"date": "Session 7 · Aug 14, 2026 · 08:42 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP's latest capture rose 5.40%, adding 0.67 points to its tracked return at +7.47% on 0.78x relative volume. Rising EMAs and a 19.30-point Technology advantage keep the issuer-linked repricing strong, but RSI 77.69 and neutral money flow make clean continuation dependent on renewed demand.",
"price": 158.53,
"pct": 7.47,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 8.52,
"return_vs_base_pct": 8.52,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.5,
"session_day": 7,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$158.53 · +8.52% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "pre",
"text": "Premarket update: $158.18 (-0.22% vs regular close) · Aug 14, 2026 · 08:17 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "pre",
"price": 158.18,
"ext_pct": -0.22,
"as_of": "2026-08-14T12:17:11Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 6,
"timestamp": "2026-08-13T19:36:19.229199Z",
"date": "Session 6 · Aug 13, 2026 · 15:36 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP's tracked return added 2.57 points from +4.23% as the latest capture rose 4.91% on 0.54x relative volume, with price 2.25% above the session's average traded price and an 18.57-point Technology advantage. That keeps the issuer-linked repricing structurally strong, but RSI 77.49, neutral money flow and a 95.8% range position make clean continuation dependent on renewed demand.",
"price": 157.8,
"pct": 6.8,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 8.02,
"return_vs_base_pct": 8.02,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 2.73,
"session_day": 6,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$157.80 · +8.02% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": true,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-8b0bff7adf3f369a5021ee09304cbf7b1ac8f31fd79bb412772ddf4470b57acd",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 6,
"timestamp": "2026-08-13T14:58:56.158633Z",
"date": "Session 6 · Aug 13, 2026 · 10:58 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP's tracked return improved 2.26 percentage points to +4.23%, while the latest capture rose 2.26% on only 0.13x volume and held 0.50% above the session's average traded price. Rising EMAs and a 14.98-point Technology advantage preserve the broader case, but high RSI and neutral flow make the move dependent on renewed demand.",
"price": 153.81,
"pct": 4.23,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 5.29,
"return_vs_base_pct": 5.29,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 2.33,
"session_day": 6,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$153.81 · +5.29% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 6,
"timestamp": "2026-08-13T12:42:22.941863Z",
"date": "Session 6 · Aug 13, 2026 · 08:42 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP tracked return improved 0.84 points from 1.13% even as the latest capture fell 1.44% on 0.59x volume. The upward EMA structure and 17.73-point Technology advantage preserve the broader case, but RSI 75.78 and neutral flow make this digestion dependent on renewed demand.",
"price": 150.41,
"pct": 1.97,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 2.96,
"return_vs_base_pct": 2.96,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.93,
"session_day": 6,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$150.41 · +2.96% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "pre",
"text": "Premarket update: $151.05 (+0.43% vs regular close) · Aug 13, 2026 · 08:18 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "pre",
"price": 151.05,
"ext_pct": 0.43,
"as_of": "2026-08-13T12:18:41Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 5,
"timestamp": "2026-08-12T20:28:25.332554Z",
"date": "Session 5 · Aug 12, 2026 · 16:28 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP's tracked return is 1.13%, down 0.56 points since the previous public note, while the latest capture moved -2.34% on 0.38x volume and sat -0.69% from VWAP. The move is digesting; a 16.68-point Technology advantage and the current structure remain relevant, but The broader case remains visible, but the latest pullback leaves continuation dependent on renewed demand.",
"price": 149.04,
"pct": 1.13,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 2.03,
"return_vs_base_pct": 2.03,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.18,
"session_day": 5,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$149.04 · +2.03% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 5,
"timestamp": "2026-08-12T15:00:02.615693Z",
"date": "Session 5 · Aug 12, 2026 · 11:00 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP eased to +1.69%, down 1.77 points since the last note, as the latest capture dropped 1.21% on 0.13x volume and moved 0.39% below VWAP. Rising EMAs and a 15.68-point technology advantage preserve the repricing case, but neutral flow and a fading tape make continuation conditional.",
"price": 150.765,
"pct": 1.69,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 3.21,
"return_vs_base_pct": 3.21,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.26,
"session_day": 5,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$150.76 · +3.21% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
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},
{
"day": 5,
"timestamp": "2026-08-12T13:29:32.748147Z",
"date": "Session 5 · Aug 12, 2026 · 09:29 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP remains up 3.46% as the latest capture dropped 1.66% on 0.58x volume. Rising EMAs and a 23.05-point sector advantage preserve the initial repricing case, but neutral flow, the fading tape and a sector headwind leave continuation conditional.",
"price": 152.61,
"pct": 3.46,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 4.47,
"return_vs_base_pct": 4.47,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 5,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$152.61 · +4.47% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "pre",
"text": "Premarket update: $150.01 (-1.70% vs regular close) · Aug 12, 2026 · 09:13 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "pre",
"price": 150.01,
"ext_pct": -1.7,
"as_of": "2026-08-12T13:13:32Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
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"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 5,
"timestamp": "2026-08-12T12:42:15.319177Z",
"date": "Session 5 · Aug 12, 2026 · 08:42 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP held +3.46% in tracked return while the latest capture dropped 1.66% on 0.58x volume. Rising EMAs and a 23.05-point sector advantage preserve the initial repricing case, but neutral flow, the fading tape and a sector headwind leave continuation conditional.",
"price": 152.61,
"pct": 3.46,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 4.47,
"return_vs_base_pct": 4.47,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
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"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 5,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$152.61 · +4.47% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "pre",
"text": "Premarket update: $151.55 (-0.69% vs regular close) · Aug 12, 2026 · 08:18 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "pre",
"price": 151.55,
"ext_pct": -0.69,
"as_of": "2026-08-12T12:18:58Z",
"persisted": false
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},
{
"day": 4,
"timestamp": "2026-08-11T21:40:06.368850Z",
"date": "Session 4 · Aug 11, 2026 · 17:40 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP fell 1.66% and moved 0.21% below VWAP on 0.57x participation, with neutral flow despite a still substantial relative-strength advantage. The EMA structure remains constructive, but the fading tape and high initial extension keep continuation dependent on reclaiming demand rather than on the original catalyst alone.",
"price": 152.61,
"pct": 3.46,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 4.47,
"return_vs_base_pct": 4.47,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.04,
"session_day": 4,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$152.61 · +4.47% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $152.51 (-0.07% vs regular close) · Aug 11, 2026 · 17:22 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "post",
"price": 152.51,
"ext_pct": -0.07,
"as_of": "2026-08-11T21:22:46Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
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},
{
"day": 4,
"timestamp": "2026-08-11T19:36:19.617930Z",
"date": "Session 4 · Aug 11, 2026 · 15:36 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP\\u0027s tracked return fell 1.02 points to +3.45% as the latest capture dropped 1.70% and slipped 0.27% below VWAP on 0.39x participation. Relative strength remains substantial at 20.07 points over sector, but neutral flow and the fading tape make continuation conditional on reclaiming and holding VWAP.",
"price": 152.545,
"pct": 3.45,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 4.43,
"return_vs_base_pct": 4.43,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.67,
"session_day": 4,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$152.54 · +4.43% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
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{
"day": 4,
"timestamp": "2026-08-11T14:55:57.662406Z",
"date": "Session 4 · Aug 11, 2026 · 10:55 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP's tracked return eased 0.73 points to +4.47% as the latest capture fell 1.06%, though price held 0.18% above VWAP on 0.11x participation. Relative strength remains substantial at 20.33 points over sector, but neutral flow and the fading tape keep clean continuation conditional on holding VWAP.",
"price": 153.53,
"pct": 4.47,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 5.1,
"return_vs_base_pct": 5.1,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.13,
"session_day": 4,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$153.53 · +5.10% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
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"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
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{
"day": 4,
"timestamp": "2026-08-11T12:39:44.407112Z",
"date": "Session 4 · Aug 11, 2026 · 08:39 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP gained 2.38% on 1.04x participation while its tracked return held at +5.20%. The rising EMA stack and 21.62-point sector advantage continue to repair the event thesis, although neutral flow means clean continuation still depends on sustained demand.",
"price": 155.18,
"pct": 5.2,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 6.23,
"return_vs_base_pct": 6.23,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 4,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$155.18 · +6.23% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "pre",
"text": "Premarket update: $154.00 (-0.76% vs regular close) · Aug 11, 2026 · 08:19 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "pre",
"price": 154.0,
"ext_pct": -0.76,
"as_of": "2026-08-11T12:19:43Z",
"persisted": false
},
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{
"day": 3,
"timestamp": "2026-08-10T21:40:19.802073Z",
"date": "Session 3 · Aug 10, 2026 · 17:40 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP's tracked return improved 0.17 percentage points to +5.03% as the latest capture gained 2.38% and held 0.61% above VWAP on 1.02x participation. Rising EMAs and a 21.62-point sector advantage repair the event thesis, but neutral flow and moderate time demand keep clean continuation conditional on holding VWAP.",
"price": 155.18,
"pct": 5.2,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 6.23,
"return_vs_base_pct": 6.23,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.22,
"session_day": 3,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$155.18 · +6.23% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $155.18 (0.00% vs regular close) · Aug 10, 2026 · 17:29 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "post",
"price": 155.18,
"ext_pct": 0.0,
"as_of": "2026-08-10T21:29:13Z",
"persisted": false
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{
"day": 3,
"timestamp": "2026-08-10T19:39:07.849346Z",
"date": "Session 3 · Aug 10, 2026 · 15:39 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP's tracked return improved 0.91 percentage points as the latest capture gained 2.17% on 0.67x participation and held 0.55% above VWAP. Rising EMAs and a 20.78-point sector advantage repair the event thesis, but neutral flow and moderate demand keep clean continuation conditional.",
"price": 154.86,
"pct": 5.03,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 6.01,
"return_vs_base_pct": 6.01,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.64,
"session_day": 3,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$154.86 · +6.01% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
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"relevant": false,
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{
"day": 3,
"timestamp": "2026-08-10T14:56:59.531234Z",
"date": "Session 3 · Aug 10, 2026 · 10:56 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP's tracked return rose 1.37 percentage points to +2.75% as the latest capture gained 1.56% and held 0.46% above VWAP. Rising EMAs and a 19.79-point sector advantage repair the event thesis, but neutral flow and only 0.22x participation keep a clean continuation conditional.",
"price": 153.93,
"pct": 4.12,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 5.37,
"return_vs_base_pct": 5.37,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 1.61,
"session_day": 3,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$153.93 · +5.37% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
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"relevant": false,
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{
"day": 3,
"timestamp": "2026-08-10T12:41:38.446711Z",
"date": "Session 3 · Aug 10, 2026 · 08:41 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP's tracked return remains at +2.75% as the latest capture rose 2.80% on 1.29x participation. Rising EMAs and a 22.51-point sector advantage repair the event thesis, but slightly negative flow and unavailable VWAP evidence keep a clean hold conditional after the rebound.",
"price": 151.57,
"pct": 2.75,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 3.76,
"return_vs_base_pct": 3.76,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 3,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$151.57 · +3.76% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "pre",
"text": "Premarket update: $150.79 (-0.52% vs regular close) · Aug 10, 2026 · 08:24 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "pre",
"price": 150.79,
"ext_pct": -0.52,
"as_of": "2026-08-10T12:24:48Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
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"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 2,
"timestamp": "2026-08-07T21:39:40.765938Z",
"date": "Session 2 · Aug 7, 2026 · 17:39 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP's tracked return eased 0.51 percentage points to +2.75% even as the latest capture rose 2.80% on 1.25x participation. Rising EMAs and a 22.51-point sector advantage repair the event thesis, but headwind sector context, neutral flow and unavailable VWAP evidence keep a clean hold conditional after the rebound.",
"price": 151.57,
"pct": 2.75,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 3.76,
"return_vs_base_pct": 3.76,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.1,
"session_day": 2,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$151.57 · +3.76% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $151.40 (-0.11% vs regular close) · Aug 7, 2026 · 17:26 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "post",
"price": 151.4,
"ext_pct": -0.11,
"as_of": "2026-08-07T21:26:35Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
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"price_as_of": null,
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{
"day": 2,
"timestamp": "2026-08-07T14:58:18.054085Z",
"date": "Session 2 · Aug 7, 2026 · 10:58 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP added 3.31 percentage points to tracked return, reaching +3.26% as the latest capture rose 2.91% on 0.33x participation. Rising EMAs, a 23.42-point sector advantage and price 1.25% above VWAP materially repair the event thesis, but the high range position and neutral flow keep the clean-hold condition conditional after the sharp rebound.",
"price": 151.7235,
"pct": 3.26,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 3.86,
"return_vs_base_pct": 3.86,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 2.93,
"session_day": 2,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$151.72 · +3.86% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": true,
"active_relevant": false,
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{
"day": 2,
"timestamp": "2026-08-07T12:37:49.916962Z",
"date": "Session 2 · Aug 7, 2026 · 08:37 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP's latest capture rose 2.22% on 1.70x participation, with rising EMAs and a 19.71-point sector advantage supporting the event thesis. Neutral flow and unavailable VWAP evidence still leave the clean-hold condition unconfirmed, even as the stronger demand improves the immediate read.",
"price": 147.44,
"pct": -0.05,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.93,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.93,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 2,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$147.44 · +0.93% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "pre",
"text": "Premarket update: $146.97 (-0.32% vs regular close) · Aug 7, 2026 · 08:20 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "pre",
"price": 146.97,
"ext_pct": -0.32,
"as_of": "2026-08-07T12:20:49Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
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"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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{
"day": 1,
"timestamp": "2026-08-06T22:08:21.114802Z",
"date": "Session 1 · Aug 6, 2026 · 18:08 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP's first tracked return improved 2.17 percentage points to -0.05%, while the current capture rose 2.22% on 1.66x participation. Rising EMAs and a 19.71-point sector advantage materially repair the event thesis, but neutral accumulation and unavailable VWAP evidence leave the clean-hold condition unconfirmed.",
"price": 147.44,
"pct": -0.05,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.93,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.93,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 2.19,
"session_day": 1,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$147.44 · +0.93% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $146.79 (-0.44% vs regular close) · Aug 6, 2026 · 17:48 NASDAQGS"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "post",
"price": 146.79,
"ext_pct": -0.44,
"as_of": "2026-08-06T21:48:11Z",
"persisted": false
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{
"day": 1,
"timestamp": "2026-08-06T15:07:55.649790Z",
"date": "Session 1 · Aug 6, 2026 · 11:07 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP's first tracked return remains -2.22%, while the latest capture jumped 16.98% on 4.13x participation. The 18.50-point sector edge, rising EMAs and heavy participation support the event thesis, but current VWAP evidence is unavailable and the opening tracking result leaves the clean-hold condition unconfirmed.",
"price": 144.24,
"pct": -2.22,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -1.26,
"return_vs_base_pct": -1.26,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 1,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$144.24 · -1.26% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
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"relevant": false,
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{
"day": 1,
"timestamp": "2026-08-06T12:42:27.565015Z",
"date": "Session 1 · Aug 6, 2026 · 08:42 NASDAQGS",
"text": "SHOP's first tracked return is -2.22%, while the latest capture jumped 16.98% on 4.13x participation. The 18.50-point sector edge, rising EMAs and heavy participation support the event thesis, but current VWAP evidence is unavailable and the opening tracking result leaves the clean hold condition unconfirmed.",
"price": 144.24,
"pct": -2.22,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -1.26,
"return_vs_base_pct": -1.26,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.26,
"session_day": 1,
"reference_price": 146.08,
"reference_text": "$144.24 · -1.26% from $146.08 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $144.63 (+0.27% vs regular close) · Aug 5, 2026 · 19:59 NASDAQGS"
},
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"phase": "post",
"price": 144.63,
"ext_pct": 0.27,
"as_of": "2026-08-05T23:59:55Z",
"persisted": true
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"label": "+1 sessions",
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"return": -0.05,
"reference_text": "-0.05% from $146.08 base",
"price": 147.44,
"updated": "Aug 6, 2026 · 17:52 NASDAQGS",
"mfe": 0.39,
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{
"label": "+5 sessions",
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"updated": "Aug 13, 2026 · 03:06 NASDAQGS",
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{
"label": "+10 sessions",
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"return": -0.63,
"reference_text": "-0.63% from $146.08 base",
"price": 146.58,
"updated": "Aug 19, 2026 · 17:05 NASDAQGS",
"mfe": 7.7,
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{
"label": "+15 sessions",
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"return": 1.88,
"reference_text": "+1.88% from $146.08 base",
"price": 150.29,
"updated": "Aug 26, 2026 · 17:05 NASDAQGS",
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