DUK episode 20260811_DUK_DAILY
Public episode JSON embedded as readable text for automated access.
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"episode_id": "20260811_DUK_DAILY",
"episode_url": "https://trydingday.com/data/agents/v1/episodes/20260811_DUK_DAILY.html",
"public_page_url": "https://trydingday.com/coverage/duk/2026-08-11/",
"published_at": "2026-08-11T18:28:05.373222Z",
"updated_at": "2026-09-01T22:20:41.792024Z",
"lifecycle": {
"tracking_status": "closed",
"active_for_tracking": false,
"stage": "closed"
},
"instrument": {
"type": "equity",
"symbol": "DUK",
"exchange": "NYSE",
"name": "Duke Energy Corporation"
},
"technical_reference": {
"status": "ok",
"reference_price": 122.8,
"model_downside_reference": 118.84,
"model_upside_scenario_1": 126.76,
"model_upside_scenario_2": 130.72,
"atr_14": 2.64,
"method": "reference_price_plus_minus_atr14"
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"public_content": {
"date": "August 11, 2026",
"generated_at": "2026-08-11T18:28:05.373222Z",
"original_published_at": null,
"session_tag": "daily",
"label": "Market coverage",
"try_label": "Raw Try",
"public_status": "Raw Try",
"why_today": "DUK has the clearest observed current structure: price held above VWAP near the top of the supplied range with normal participation. The equity-units pricing event gives the panel a concrete mechanism to investigate, but financing terms, confirmation, and sector context remain unresolved.",
"entry_reasoning": "Panel thesis: Research whether DUK's capital action is being absorbed as defensive capital access or rejected as dilution risk while the tape holds above VWAP. Invalidation boundary: A materially adverse financing structure, a loss of VWAP with expanding volume, or failure of the observed strength to persist on the next ordered check.",
"reference_price": 122.8,
"scanner": {
"price": 122.8,
"reference": 122.8,
"score": 2,
"score_version": "v0_legacy_reconstructed",
"change": 1.32,
"volume": 3832709.0,
"average_volume": 3885740.0,
"volume_ratio": 0.99,
"rsi": 35.14,
"ema_trend": "124.1 > 125.25 > 125.13",
"position_52w": 91.28,
"atr_14": 2.64,
"vwap": 122.01,
"vwap_state": "above",
"vwap_distance_pct": 0.65,
"vwap_reading": {
"price": 122.01,
"state": "above",
"distance_pct": 0.65
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"range_position": 0.953,
"gap_pct": 0.0,
"relative_strength": {
"excess_pct": 1.55,
"index": "SPY",
"index_chg_pct": -0.23,
"status": "idiosyncratic"
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"volume_percentile": {
"median_vol": 3499900,
"percentile": 63.5,
"status": "normal",
"today_vol": 3832709
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"extension": {
"atr": 2.64,
"dist_atr": -0.93,
"ema_ref": 125.25,
"status": "below"
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"atr_move_signal": {
"atr_pct": 2.15,
"status": "noise",
"z": 0.61
},
"sector_breadth": {
"chg_pct": 0.79,
"etf": "XLU",
"status": "green"
},
"sentiment": null,
"sentiment_score": null,
"earnings_warning": {
"days_away": null,
"earnings_date": null,
"has_earnings_soon": false,
"status": "clear"
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"options_snapshot": null,
"extended_hours": {
"ext_pct": null,
"market_state": "REGULAR",
"phase": "regular",
"post_market_pct": null,
"pre_market_pct": null,
"status": "none"
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"coiled_spring": {
"count": 2,
"idio_strength": true,
"near_ema": false,
"quiet_day": true,
"status": "watch",
"trend_stacked": false
},
"short_pct_float": 2.53,
"days_to_cover": 4.5,
"catalyst": "America's $4 Billion Wind Retreat Is a Bet on Permanently Cheap Gas",
"sector": "Utilities",
"exchange": "NYSE",
"sec_signal": "NO_RECENT_FORM4_SIGNAL"
},
"levels": {
"reference": 122.8,
"downside": 118.84,
"upside_1": 126.76,
"upside_2": 130.72
},
"review": {
"score": 2,
"status": "Majority with dissent",
"summary": "DUK has the clearest observed current structure: price held above VWAP near the top of the supplied range with normal participation. The equity-units pricing event gives the panel a concrete mechanism to investigate, but financing terms, confirmation, and sector context remain unresolved.",
"views": [
{
"name": "Elena Vartanyan",
"role": "independent statistical auditor",
"icon": "🎯",
"view": "Start with the trajectory. DUK has nine ordered observations and a positive path into the supplied window close. TMO also has a path, but it is quiet and extended. Missing evidence is not a vote for Caught; it is a boundary on the claim.",
"reasoning": "Resolution: majority selects DUK as Raw Try. The record proves an observed constructive path and a researchable catalyst, not completed confirmation. The decision is separate from the market narrative; no candidate is Caught because DUK supplies a next check and falsifier."
},
{
"name": "Marcus Feld",
"role": "information, fundamentals and catalyst analyst",
"icon": "🦊",
"view": "The live question is DUK's equity-units pricing. Is that defensive capital being raised into a favorable tape, or dilution wearing a utility costume? TMO's five-year India story is interesting, but five years is not a catalyst for this session.",
"reasoning": "TMO remains the dissenting alternative, not the selected case. Its India thesis has a long runway, but the evidence does not say why today, and the insider-sale event does not improve the near-term mechanism. DUK gives us a falsifiable question now."
},
{
"name": "Kenji Osei",
"role": "AI Systems & Market Data Integrity Analyst",
"icon": "🧠",
"view": "The DUK points are ordered through 17:51:17. Price is 122.80, VWAP 122.01, volume ratio 0.99, and the panel marks evidence partial. Breadth is not captured. SP is unavailable or limited; that absence is not negative evidence.",
"reasoning": "Reproducibility remains the gate. The evidence includes a current point, but fresh-public-intelligence is stale and follow-up is recoverable. No new web lookup is needed to decide; the next provider check is required before a stronger status."
},
{
"name": "Priya Nandakumar",
"role": "institutional risk and execution manager",
"icon": "🛡️",
"view": "Liquidity is not the problem: roughly 567 million dollars of average dollar volume and a 2.45 basis-point spread are survivable. The problem is capital structure and the sector's twenty-day -4.86% return. That is why this is Raw, not a confirmed Try.",
"reasoning": "Survival favors DUK over GPUS and RKTO, where liquidity and spread risk dominate. A normal-volume move near the high can disappear. Invalidation is concrete: financing-driven rejection or loss of VWAP with expanding volume."
},
{
"name": "Nate Brooks",
"role": "market structure and timing analyst",
"icon": "📈",
"view": "The tape is simple: DUK is above VWAP, near the session high, and rising. Range position 0.953, slope +1.278%. Volume is ordinary. This is a constructive hold, not a breakout. TMO is above VWAP too, but already 1.99 ATR extended and quiet.",
"reasoning": "CAH is below VWAP with weak relative sector performance; RKLB is below VWAP and down; DBD reverses lower; BABA and TMO are stronger over twenty days but quiet and extended. DUK wins the immediate structure comparison, not every horizon."
}
],
"conviction": {
"status_phrase": "majority-with-dissent",
"basis": "The observed DUK path and liquidity make Raw Try more defensible than Caught or TMO, but partial evidence, normal participation, sector headwind, and unresolved financing terms limit conviction.",
"risk": "",
"resolution_pct": 72.0,
"counter_case_pct": 18.0,
"unresolved_pct": 10.0
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"mode": "coffee",
"status": "complete",
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"summary": "The day-first context is a mixed and uncertain US market backdrop: index futures are muted/wavering, the US-Iran impasse is lifting oil prices, and the brief flags possible future earnings-growth risk. It informs uncertainty and keeps the daily candidate decision separate from the market narrative.",
"long_read": "The context brief is market framing only. It does not establish a daily winner, override candidate trajectories, or turn a missing view into negative evidence. The committee used it to test whether DUK's defensive-rotation hypothesis was plausible, then returned to the observed candidate packet for selection.",
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"https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/p-500-eps-growth-above-100945839.html",
"https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/08/11/a-once-in-a-decade-opportunity-1-magnificent-sp-50",
"https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/08/11/the-dow-is-outperforming-the-sp-500-and-nasdaq-in",
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"updates": [
{
"day": 15,
"timestamp": "2026-09-01T22:20:41.792024Z",
"date": "Session 15 · Sep 1, 2026 · 18:20 NYSE",
"text": "DUK closes after fifteen sessions with a canonical -1.96% result from the published $122.80 reference. The path reached +2.33% at best and -3.06% at worst. The fresh regular capture was $120.39, up 0.40% on the session; the separate post-market quote was $120.07 (-0.27%). The original equity-units thesis remained a research question: early strength did not become durable, participation and structure repeatedly weakened, and the financing mechanism stayed unconfirmed. Current RSI, EMA and 52-week fields are unavailable. Public tracking ends.",
"price": 120.23,
"pct": -2.09,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -2.09,
"return_vs_base_pct": -2.09,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.26,
"session_day": 15,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$120.23 · -2.09% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": true,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": true,
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"price_as_of": "2026-08-11T22:40:47Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 14,
"timestamp": "2026-08-31T22:09:51.778318Z",
"date": "Session 14 · Aug 31, 2026 · 18:09 NYSE",
"text": "DUK edged down 0.18 points to -2.35% on the session, but price held just above VWAP near two-thirds of its range while volume ran at 1.06x average. That is a modest hold rather than a repair: neutral flow, a Utilities headwind and no confirmed structure leave the capital-action question unresolved.",
"price": 119.91,
"pct": -2.35,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -2.35,
"return_vs_base_pct": -2.35,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.26,
"session_day": 14,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$119.91 · -2.35% from $122.80 base",
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"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
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"price_as_of": "2026-08-31T21:21:35Z",
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{
"day": 14,
"timestamp": "2026-08-31T19:59:03.800739Z",
"date": "Session 14 · Aug 31, 2026 · 15:59 NYSE",
"text": "DUK has repaired the immediate tape, moving from -2.92% to -2.17% with the current quote near 120.23, 0.35% above VWAP and near the top of its range. That recovery is real, but the broader structure is still unconfirmed, participation is fading at 0.57x average volume, and the equity-units mechanism remains without durable confirmation; the thesis has stabilized, not cleared its financing question.",
"price": 120.2299,
"pct": -2.17,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -2.09,
"return_vs_base_pct": -2.09,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.75,
"session_day": 14,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$120.23 · -2.09% from $122.80 base",
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"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
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"price_as_of": "2026-08-31T19:21:03.615633Z",
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{
"day": 14,
"timestamp": "2026-08-31T15:00:51.333262Z",
"date": "Session 14 · Aug 31, 2026 · 11:00 NYSE",
"text": "DUK slipped to -2.92% as the current quote fell 0.78% to 119.315, just below VWAP on 0.14x average volume. The equity-units case remains without durable market confirmation while Utilities continue to weigh on the comparison.",
"price": 119.315,
"pct": -2.92,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -2.84,
"return_vs_base_pct": -2.84,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.76,
"session_day": 14,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$119.31 · -2.84% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-08-31T14:06:24.388513Z",
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{
"day": 13,
"timestamp": "2026-08-29T05:57:23.314732Z",
"date": "Session 13 · Aug 29, 2026 · 01:57 NYSE",
"text": "DUK tracked result slipped 0.98 points to -2.08% as the current capture fell 0.49% to 120.25 on 0.67x average volume. Price is below the 123.26 EMA reference with no confirmed structure, and Utilities remain a 20-session headwind; the equity-units pricing mechanism therefore still lacks durable market confirmation.",
"price": 120.25,
"pct": -2.08,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -2.08,
"return_vs_base_pct": -2.08,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.87,
"session_day": 13,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$120.25 · -2.08% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
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"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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"price_as_of": "2026-08-29T05:01:43.976820Z",
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{
"day": 13,
"timestamp": "2026-08-28T14:51:38.099310Z",
"date": "Session 13 · Aug 28, 2026 · 10:51 NYSE",
"text": "DUK’s tracked result improved 0.50 points to -1.10% as the early capture gained 0.40% to 121.32 and moved 0.15% above VWAP. Participation remains only 0.04x average and Utilities are still a relative headwind, so the capital-action question remains unresolved rather than supported by a durable price response.",
"price": 121.3181,
"pct": -1.1,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -1.21,
"return_vs_base_pct": -1.21,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.39,
"session_day": 13,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$121.32 · -1.21% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-08-28T14:07:04.955352Z",
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{
"day": 12,
"timestamp": "2026-08-27T21:52:05.525380Z",
"date": "Session 12 · Aug 27, 2026 · 17:52 NYSE",
"text": "DUK's tracked result edged 0.06 points lower to -1.60% as the stock slipped 0.86% to 120.84, just 0.02% below VWAP. With 0.80x average volume, falling EMA alignment and a Utilities headwind, the capital-action question remains unresolved rather than rejected by a decisive break.",
"price": 120.84,
"pct": -1.6,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -1.6,
"return_vs_base_pct": -1.6,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.04,
"session_day": 12,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$120.84 · -1.60% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-08-27T21:17:14Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
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{
"day": 12,
"timestamp": "2026-08-27T20:00:47.650890Z",
"date": "Session 12 · Aug 27, 2026 · 16:00 NYSE",
"text": "DUK's tracked result improved 0.10 points to -1.54%, while the current capture fell 0.82% and is effectively at VWAP at 120.89. Participation is only 0.42 times average, flow is decelerating and Utilities remain a headwind, so the equity-units financing question is still unresolved rather than validated by this quiet hold.",
"price": 120.885,
"pct": -1.54,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -1.56,
"return_vs_base_pct": -1.56,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.31,
"session_day": 12,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$120.89 · -1.56% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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"price_as_of": "2026-08-27T19:33:09.484369Z",
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{
"day": 12,
"timestamp": "2026-08-27T14:51:50.794534Z",
"date": "Session 12 · Aug 27, 2026 · 10:51 NYSE",
"text": "DUK's tracked result fell 0.90 points to -1.64% as today's capture declined 1.14% and slipped 0.07% below VWAP at 120.59. Fading participation, falling averages and a Utilities headwind leave the equity-units mechanism unresolved.",
"price": 120.5,
"pct": -1.64,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -1.87,
"return_vs_base_pct": -1.87,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.13,
"session_day": 12,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$120.50 · -1.87% from $122.80 base",
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{
"day": 11,
"timestamp": "2026-08-26T21:42:57.329959Z",
"date": "Session 11 · Aug 26, 2026 · 17:42 NYSE",
"text": "DUK's tracked result slipped 0.10 points to -0.74% as the latest capture gained 0.25% but sat 0.12% below VWAP in the lower part of its range. Participation was 0.68 times average with fading flow, falling averages and a Utilities headwind, so the equity-units mechanism remains unresolved rather than confirmed by this quiet hold.",
"price": 121.89,
"pct": -0.74,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.74,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.74,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 11,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$121.89 · -0.74% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-08-26T21:15:59Z",
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},
{
"day": 11,
"timestamp": "2026-08-26T19:40:00Z",
"date": "Session 11 · Aug 26, 2026 · 15:40 NYSE",
"text": "DUK's tracked result slipped 0.40 points to -0.64% even as the latest capture gained 0.25% in the lower part of its range. Price is now below VWAP with 0.76 times average participation and fading flow, so the capital-action question remains unresolved rather than confirmed by a quiet hold.",
"price": 121.89,
"pct": -0.64,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.74,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.74,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.13,
"session_day": 11,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$121.89 · -0.74% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-08-26T19:21:32.845331Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 11,
"timestamp": "2026-08-26T14:44:41.136509Z",
"date": "Session 11 · Aug 26, 2026 · 10:44 NYSE",
"text": "DUK improved 0.75 percentage points to a tracked result of -0.24% as the current capture gained 0.38% and held 0.19% above VWAP. That is modest repair, but volume is only 0.05 times average, the EMA order still falls and Utilities trail the market; the equity-units mechanism remains unresolved rather than confirmed by this quiet hold.",
"price": 122.05,
"pct": -0.24,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.61,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.61,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.38,
"session_day": 11,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$122.05 · -0.61% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-08-26T14:08:15.387867Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 10,
"timestamp": "2026-08-25T21:56:59.392548Z",
"date": "Session 10 · Aug 25, 2026 · 17:56 NYSE",
"text": "DUK lost 0.42 points in tracked result as the latest capture slipped 0.31% and finished just below VWAP on 0.69 times average volume. Utilities remain a headwind and price is below its falling EMA structure, so the capital-action question has not turned into a repair; the current evidence still does not resolve the mechanism.",
"price": 121.59,
"pct": -0.99,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.99,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.99,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.46,
"session_day": 10,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$121.59 · -0.99% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-08-25T21:21:17Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 10,
"timestamp": "2026-08-25T19:59:40.181788Z",
"date": "Session 10 · Aug 25, 2026 · 15:59 NYSE",
"text": "DUK tracked result slipped 0.11 points to -0.79% as the current capture was nearly flat and held 0.39% above the session average, but volume is only 0.35 times average and decelerating. Price remains below its EMA reference and Utilities are a headwind, so the capital-action question is still unresolved despite the stalled rebound.",
"price": 122.15,
"pct": -0.57,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.53,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.53,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.3,
"session_day": 10,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$122.15 · -0.53% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-08-25T19:21:23.301842Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 10,
"timestamp": "2026-08-25T14:52:12.704700Z",
"date": "Session 10 · Aug 25, 2026 · 10:52 NYSE",
"text": "DUK's tracked result slipped 0.11 points to -0.79% as the current capture fell 0.16% but held 0.19% above the session average. That is a stalled rebound, not a repair: volume is 0.07x and decelerating, price remains below its EMA reference, and Utilities are a headwind. The capital-action question stays unresolved.",
"price": 121.78,
"pct": -0.79,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.83,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.83,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.16,
"session_day": 10,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$121.78 · -0.83% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-08-25T14:06:10.747860Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 9,
"timestamp": "2026-08-24T20:51:38.811459Z",
"date": "Session 9 · Aug 24, 2026 · 16:51 NYSE",
"text": "DUK improved 0.96 points to -0.68% as the current capture rose 1.78% and held 0.47% above the session average near the top of its range. The rebound opens a repair attempt, but light, fading participation, a utility-sector headwind and price below its EMA reference leave the financing thesis unresolved.",
"price": 121.98,
"pct": -0.68,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.67,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.67,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.91,
"session_day": 9,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$121.98 · -0.67% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-08-24T20:02:04Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 9,
"timestamp": "2026-08-24T14:42:13.797208Z",
"date": "Session 9 · Aug 24, 2026 · 10:42 NYSE",
"text": "DUK produced a small rebound, up 0.84% with price 0.11% above the session average, but the tracked result remains -1.64%. The capital-action recovery question is still open: price remains below its EMA reference, utility performance is a headwind and participation is too light to call the move repaired.",
"price": 120.86,
"pct": -1.64,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -1.58,
"return_vs_base_pct": -1.58,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.82,
"session_day": 9,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$120.86 · -1.58% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-08-24T14:06:01.174012Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 8,
"timestamp": "2026-08-21T21:46:17.612734Z",
"date": "Session 8 · Aug 21, 2026 · 17:46 NYSE",
"text": "DUK's latest capture fell 2.31% and left the tracked result at -2.37%, with price 0.76% below the session average near the bottom of its range. Participation reached 1.21x the three-month average, yet the downward EMA order, distribution and utility-sector headwind all point the same way; the earlier capital-action recovery thesis has not survived this capture.",
"price": 119.85,
"pct": -2.4,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -2.4,
"return_vs_base_pct": -2.4,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.11,
"session_day": 8,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$119.85 · -2.40% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $120.15 (+0.25% vs regular close) · Aug 21, 2026 · 17:18 NYSE"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "post",
"price": 120.15,
"ext_pct": 0.25,
"as_of": "2026-08-21T21:18:31Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 8,
"timestamp": "2026-08-21T19:45:18.545503Z",
"date": "Session 8 · Aug 21, 2026 · 15:45 NYSE",
"text": "DUK's tracked result fell 1.61 points to -2.37% as price dropped 2.20% to 0.83% below the session average and near the bottom of its range. Participation was 0.72x and decelerating, with distribution and a sector headwind; the earlier capital-action recovery thesis has not survived this capture.",
"price": 119.99,
"pct": -2.37,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -2.29,
"return_vs_base_pct": -2.29,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.82,
"session_day": 8,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$119.99 · -2.29% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 8,
"timestamp": "2026-08-21T14:39:17.230320Z",
"date": "Session 8 · Aug 21, 2026 · 10:39 NYSE",
"text": "DUK's tracked result fell 0.67 points to -0.76%; price declined 0.38%, sat 0.13% below the session average near the lower range and participation was 0.14x. A utility headwind and sector underperformance mean the earlier event-driven structure has not held; the capital-action thesis remains unconfirmed.",
"price": 122.225,
"pct": -0.76,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.47,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.47,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.38,
"session_day": 8,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$122.22 · -0.47% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 7,
"timestamp": "2026-08-20T21:48:11.493614Z",
"date": "Session 7 · Aug 20, 2026 · 17:48 NYSE",
"text": "DUK's tracked result slipped 0.33 points to -0.09%; the current capture fell 0.74% on 0.65x volume and closed at the range floor, 0.55% below the session average. A marginal 0.16-point edge over utilities cannot offset weak session structure, a utility headwind and neutral flow; the capital-action thesis remains unconfirmed.",
"price": 122.69,
"pct": -0.09,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.09,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.09,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.32,
"session_day": 7,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$122.69 · -0.09% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $123.47 (+0.64% vs regular close) · Aug 20, 2026 · 17:24 NYSE"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "post",
"price": 123.47,
"ext_pct": 0.64,
"as_of": "2026-08-20T21:24:24Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 7,
"timestamp": "2026-08-20T19:26:57.703582Z",
"date": "Session 7 · Aug 20, 2026 · 15:26 NYSE",
"text": "DUK's tracked result slipped 0.53 percentage points to +0.24%; the current capture fell 0.42% on 0.47x volume and sits 0.42% below the session average traded price at the bottom of its range. A small long-term edge over utilities does not offset the weak session structure and neutral flow, leaving the capital-action thesis unconfirmed.",
"price": 123.08,
"pct": 0.24,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.23,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.23,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.79,
"session_day": 7,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$123.08 · +0.23% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 7,
"timestamp": "2026-08-20T15:21:57.946665Z",
"date": "Session 7 · Aug 20, 2026 · 11:21 NYSE",
"text": "DUK's tracked result improved 0.12 points since the last public note to +0.77%; today's capture rose 0.36%, held 0.27% above the session's average traded price and reached only 0.07x volume near the top of its range. The small gain and slight utility outperformance keep the case open, but fading participation, negative flow and a mixed average-price structure leave the capital-action thesis unconfirmed.",
"price": 124.05,
"pct": 0.77,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 1.02,
"return_vs_base_pct": 1.02,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.37,
"session_day": 7,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$124.05 · +1.02% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 6,
"timestamp": "2026-08-19T21:49:19.075133Z",
"date": "Session 6 · Aug 19, 2026 · 17:49 NYSE",
"text": "DUK slipped 0.31% on 0.89x volume and remained 0.26% below the session's average traded price in the lower half of its range, leaving the tracked result at +0.65% on day 6. It still compares slightly better with utilities over the longer period, but the downward average order and neutral flow leave the capital-action explanation unconfirmed.",
"price": 123.6,
"pct": 0.65,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.65,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.65,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.07,
"session_day": 6,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$123.60 · +0.65% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 6,
"timestamp": "2026-08-19T20:07:28.039433Z",
"date": "Session 6 · Aug 19, 2026 · 16:07 NYSE",
"text": "DUK's latest capture slipped 0.24% on 0.62x volume and remained 0.27% below the session's average traded price, with the price sitting in the lower half of its range. It still compares better with utilities over the longer period, but the downward average order and neutral flow leave the capital-action explanation unconfirmed.",
"price": 123.6901,
"pct": 0.78,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.72,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.72,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.25,
"session_day": 6,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$123.69 · +0.72% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 6,
"timestamp": "2026-08-19T15:17:12.821324Z",
"date": "Session 6 · Aug 19, 2026 · 11:17 NYSE",
"text": "DUK's tracked return is now +0.86% on day 6, down 0.11 points from the last public note as the current capture was flat on 0.21x volume and sat 0.46% below VWAP. The stock still compares better than its utilities backdrop, but the downward average order, neutral flow and weak range position leave the capital-action explanation unconfirmed.",
"price": 123.99,
"pct": 0.86,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.97,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.97,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 6,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$123.99 · +0.97% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 6,
"timestamp": "2026-08-19T12:52:20.213900Z",
"date": "Session 6 · Aug 19, 2026 · 08:52 NYSE",
"text": "DUK's tracked return is +0.97% on day 6, down 0.16 points since the last note. The capture rose 0.33% on 0.80x volume, but the average order still slopes down, the stock has a slight sector headwind and neutral flow; the equity-units pricing event remains a mechanism to test, not a confirmed explanation.",
"price": 123.99,
"pct": 0.97,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.97,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.97,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.21,
"session_day": 6,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$123.99 · +0.97% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 5,
"timestamp": "2026-08-18T19:46:50.762854Z",
"date": "Session 5 · Aug 18, 2026 · 15:46 NYSE",
"text": "DUK's tracked return has fallen 0.45 points since the last public note even as the current capture rose 0.55% on 0.56x volume and remained below the session's average traded price. The equity-units pricing event supplies a concrete mechanism, yet the downward average order, neutral flow and unavailable sector comparison leave the capital-action case unconfirmed.",
"price": 124.255,
"pct": 1.13,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 1.18,
"return_vs_base_pct": 1.18,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.24,
"session_day": 5,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$124.25 · +1.18% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 5,
"timestamp": "2026-08-18T15:00:45.267196Z",
"date": "Session 5 · Aug 18, 2026 · 11:00 NYSE",
"text": "DUK's tracked return is nearly unchanged at +1.58% on day 5, up 0.94 points since the last public note, while the current capture rose 0.78% on 0.17x volume but remains 0.32% below the session's average traded price. The equity-units pricing event supplies a concrete mechanism, yet the downward EMA order, neutral flow and unavailable sector comparison leave the capital-action case unconfirmed.",
"price": 124.545,
"pct": 1.58,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 1.42,
"return_vs_base_pct": 1.42,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.78,
"session_day": 5,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$124.55 · +1.42% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 5,
"timestamp": "2026-08-18T12:58:29.546866Z",
"date": "Session 5 · Aug 18, 2026 · 08:58 NYSE",
"text": "DUK's tracked return is effectively unchanged at +0.64% on day 5 after the latest capture eased 0.27% on 0.55x volume; fresh VWAP data is unavailable in the premarket snapshot. The equity-units pricing event supplies a concrete mechanism, but the downward EMA order, neutral flow and unavailable sector comparison leave the capital-action case unconfirmed.",
"price": 123.58,
"pct": 0.64,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.64,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.64,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.01,
"session_day": 5,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$123.58 · +0.64% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 4,
"timestamp": "2026-08-17T19:46:59.655029Z",
"date": "Session 4 · Aug 17, 2026 · 15:46 NYSE",
"text": "DUK tracked return has improved 0.08 points since the prior public update as the latest capture eased 0.28% on 0.45x relative volume and held almost exactly at VWAP. The equity-units pricing event supplies a concrete mechanism, but the downward EMA order, neutral flow and near-zero sector edge leave the capital-action case unconfirmed.",
"price": 123.57,
"pct": 0.65,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.63,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.63,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.16,
"session_day": 4,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$123.57 · +0.63% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 4,
"timestamp": "2026-08-17T15:06:39.009011Z",
"date": "Session 4 · Aug 17, 2026 · 11:06 NYSE",
"text": "DUK's tracked return is down 0.34 points at +0.57% on day 4 after the latest capture fell 0.44% on 0.10x relative volume. Price is almost exactly at the session's average traded price, but the EMA order points down, the utility sector trails the market by 6.63 points and flow is neutral; the capital-action case remains unconfirmed.",
"price": 123.375,
"pct": 0.57,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.47,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.47,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.44,
"session_day": 4,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$123.38 · +0.47% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 4,
"timestamp": "2026-08-17T12:40:19.522163Z",
"date": "Session 4 · Aug 17, 2026 · 08:40 NYSE",
"text": "DUK's tracked return remains +0.91% on day 4 after a 0.42% rise on 0.73x relative volume. The capital-action mechanism remains relevant, but the downward EMA order, a 6.35-point sector shortfall versus the market and light participation keep the interpretation unconfirmed.",
"price": 123.92,
"pct": 0.91,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.91,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.91,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 4,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$123.92 · +0.91% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "pre",
"text": "Premarket update: $123.35 (-0.45% vs regular close) · Aug 17, 2026 · 08:16 NYSE"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "pre",
"price": 123.35,
"ext_pct": -0.45,
"as_of": "2026-08-17T12:16:53Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 3,
"timestamp": "2026-08-15T00:50:34.730387Z",
"date": "Session 3 · Aug 14, 2026 · 20:50 NYSE",
"text": "DUK's tracked return slipped 0.24 points to +0.91% as the latest capture rose 0.42% on 0.73x relative volume and held just 0.10% above the session's average traded price. The capital-action mechanism remains relevant, but the downward EMA order, a sector backdrop lagging the market and light participation keep the interpretation unconfirmed.",
"price": 123.92,
"pct": 0.91,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.91,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.91,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.3,
"session_day": 3,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$123.92 · +0.91% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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},
{
"day": 3,
"timestamp": "2026-08-14T19:35:52.898279Z",
"date": "Session 3 · Aug 14, 2026 · 15:35 NYSE",
"text": "DUK's tracked return improved 0.86 points to +1.15% as the latest capture rose 0.71% on 0.55x relative volume and held 0.40% above the session's average traded price near the top of its range. Neutral flow, a downward EMA order and a 6.14-point sector shortfall leave the capital-action interpretation unconfirmed.",
"price": 124.285,
"pct": 1.15,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 1.21,
"return_vs_base_pct": 1.21,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.9,
"session_day": 3,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$124.28 · +1.21% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 3,
"timestamp": "2026-08-14T15:10:52.754682Z",
"date": "Session 3 · Aug 14, 2026 · 11:10 NYSE",
"text": "DUK's published return moved 1.09 points lower to +0.29% from the prior public note. The latest capture fell 0.18% on 0.13x relative volume and sat 0.14% below the session's average traded price; neutral flow, a weaker sector backdrop and downward EMAs leave the event interpretation unconfirmed.",
"price": 123.18,
"pct": 0.29,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.31,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.31,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.07,
"session_day": 3,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$123.18 · +0.31% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 3,
"timestamp": "2026-08-14T12:42:17.573430Z",
"date": "Session 3 · Aug 14, 2026 · 08:42 NYSE",
"text": "DUK's latest capture rose 0.81%, improving its tracked return by 0.24 points to +1.38% on 0.69x relative volume and neutral money flow. The price remains modestly ahead of Utilities, but the downward EMA order and light participation leave the published event case unconfirmed.",
"price": 124.49,
"pct": 1.38,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 1.38,
"return_vs_base_pct": 1.38,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.23,
"session_day": 3,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$124.49 · +1.38% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "pre",
"text": "Premarket update: $123.95 (+0.44% vs regular close) · Aug 14, 2026 · 08:19 NYSE"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "pre",
"price": 123.95,
"ext_pct": 0.44,
"as_of": "2026-08-14T12:19:00Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 2,
"timestamp": "2026-08-13T19:37:58.430217Z",
"date": "Session 2 · Aug 13, 2026 · 15:37 NYSE",
"text": "DUK's tracked return gave back 0.02 points from +1.16% as the latest capture rose 0.58% on 0.49x relative volume and held 0.06% above the session's average traded price. The near-average price and 1.76-point advantage over Utilities offer modest support, but the downward EMA order, neutral flow and light participation leave the event case unconfirmed.",
"price": 124.21,
"pct": 1.14,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 1.15,
"return_vs_base_pct": 1.15,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.23,
"session_day": 2,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$124.21 · +1.15% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 2,
"timestamp": "2026-08-13T14:59:03.586801Z",
"date": "Session 2 · Aug 13, 2026 · 10:59 NYSE",
"text": "DUK's tracked return improved 0.60 percentage points to +1.16%, while the latest capture rose 0.81% on only 0.12x volume and held 0.25% above the session's average traded price. A 1.57-point Utilities advantage offers some support, but the downward EMA order and neutral flow leave the event case unconfirmed.",
"price": 124.49,
"pct": 1.16,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 1.38,
"return_vs_base_pct": 1.38,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.82,
"session_day": 2,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$124.49 · +1.38% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 2,
"timestamp": "2026-08-13T12:42:25.840653Z",
"date": "Session 2 · Aug 13, 2026 · 08:42 NYSE",
"text": "DUK tracked return improved 0.14 points from 0.42%, while the latest capture rose 0.24% on 0.68x volume. The price structure is stabilizing and the stock holds a 2.37-point Utilities advantage, but the EMA order still slopes down and neutral flow leaves the event case unconfirmed.",
"price": 123.49,
"pct": 0.56,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.56,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.56,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.14,
"session_day": 2,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$123.49 · +0.56% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "pre",
"text": "Premarket update: $123.90 (+0.32% vs regular close) · Aug 13, 2026 · 08:19 NYSE"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "pre",
"price": 123.9,
"ext_pct": 0.32,
"as_of": "2026-08-13T12:19:32Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
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},
{
"day": 1,
"timestamp": "2026-08-12T20:30:16.041458Z",
"date": "Session 1 · Aug 12, 2026 · 16:30 NYSE",
"text": "DUK's tracked return is 0.42%, up 0.08 points since the previous public note, while the latest capture moved 0.1% on 0.48x volume and sat 0.02% from VWAP. The move is still constructive; a 2.41-point Utilities advantage and the current structure remain relevant, but The latest strength supports continuation, although participation and follow-through still matter.",
"price": 123.31,
"pct": 0.42,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.42,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.42,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.06,
"session_day": 1,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$123.31 · +0.42% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 1,
"timestamp": "2026-08-12T15:00:08.519675Z",
"date": "Session 1 · Aug 12, 2026 · 11:00 NYSE",
"text": "DUK is up 0.34% on day one, only 0.02 points above the last note, while the latest capture gained 0.04% on 0.16x volume and held 0.06% above VWAP. Price remains below the EMA sequence, flow is neutral and utilities trail the market by 5.54 points, so the capital-action question stays open rather than confirmed.",
"price": 123.24,
"pct": 0.34,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.36,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.36,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.04,
"session_day": 1,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$123.24 · +0.36% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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},
{
"day": 1,
"timestamp": "2026-08-12T13:29:34.971120Z",
"date": "Session 1 · Aug 12, 2026 · 09:29 NYSE",
"text": "DUK added 1.65% on 1.54x volume, leaving the tracked return at +0.32% on day 1. That initial strength keeps the capital-action question open, but neutral flow, unsettled EMAs and a 7-point utility lag versus the market still argue for observation rather than confirmation.",
"price": 123.19,
"pct": 0.32,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.32,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.32,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 1,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$123.19 · +0.32% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "pre",
"text": "Premarket update: $123.01 (-0.15% vs regular close) · Aug 12, 2026 · 09:13 NYSE"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "pre",
"price": 123.01,
"ext_pct": -0.15,
"as_of": "2026-08-12T13:13:13Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": null,
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},
{
"day": 1,
"timestamp": "2026-08-12T12:42:19.527933Z",
"date": "Session 1 · Aug 12, 2026 · 08:42 NYSE",
"text": "DUK rose 0.32% in tracked return on day 1 as the latest capture gained 1.65% on 1.54x volume. That initial strength keeps the financing question open, but utilities lagged the market by 7.00 points, flow was neutral and the EMA structure remains unsettled.",
"price": 123.19,
"pct": 0.32,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.32,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.32,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.32,
"session_day": 1,
"reference_price": 122.8,
"reference_text": "$123.19 · +0.32% from $122.80 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "pre",
"text": "Premarket update: $123.00 (-0.15% vs regular close) · Aug 12, 2026 · 08:14 NYSE"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "pre",
"price": 123.0,
"ext_pct": -0.15,
"as_of": "2026-08-12T12:14:38Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
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{
"label": "+1 sessions",
"status": "complete",
"return": 0.56,
"reference_text": "+0.56% from $122.80 base",
"price": 123.49,
"updated": "Aug 13, 2026 · 03:06 NYSE",
"mfe": 0.77,
"mae": -0.24
},
{
"label": "+5 sessions",
"status": "complete",
"return": 0.97,
"reference_text": "+0.97% from $122.80 base",
"price": 123.99,
"updated": "Aug 18, 2026 · 17:13 NYSE",
"mfe": 2.31,
"mae": -0.24
},
{
"label": "+10 sessions",
"status": "complete",
"return": -0.99,
"reference_text": "-0.99% from $122.80 base",
"price": 121.59,
"updated": "Aug 25, 2026 · 17:05 NYSE",
"mfe": 2.33,
"mae": -2.49
},
{
"label": "+15 sessions",
"status": "complete",
"return": -1.96,
"reference_text": "-1.96% from $122.80 base",
"price": 120.39,
"updated": "Sep 1, 2026 · 17:05 NYSE",
"mfe": 2.33,
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}
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