HRL episode 20260827_HRL_MIDDAY

Public episode JSON embedded as readable text for automated access.

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  "episode_id": "20260827_HRL_MIDDAY",
  "episode_url": "https://trydingday.com/data/agents/v1/episodes/20260827_HRL_MIDDAY.html",
  "public_page_url": "https://trydingday.com/coverage/hrl/2026-08-27/midday/",
  "published_at": "2026-08-27T15:16:05.836152Z",
  "updated_at": "2026-09-18T22:19:26.439899Z",
  "lifecycle": {
    "tracking_status": "closed",
    "active_for_tracking": false,
    "stage": "closed"
  },
  "instrument": {
    "type": "equity",
    "symbol": "HRL",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "name": "Hormel Foods Corporation"
  },
  "technical_reference": {
    "status": "ok",
    "reference_price": 21.43,
    "model_downside_reference": 20.53,
    "model_upside_scenario_1": 22.32,
    "model_upside_scenario_2": 23.23,
    "atr_14": 0.6,
    "method": "reference_price_plus_minus_atr14"
  },
  "public_content": {
    "date": "August 27, 2026",
    "generated_at": "2026-08-27T15:16:05.836152Z",
    "original_published_at": null,
    "session_tag": "midday",
    "label": "Market coverage",
    "try_label": "Raw Try",
    "public_status": "Raw Try",
    "why_today": "",
    "entry_reasoning": "",
    "reference_price": 21.43,
    "scanner": {
      "price": 21.43,
      "reference": 21.43,
      "score": null,
      "score_version": "v0_legacy_reconstructed",
      "change": -9.53,
      "volume": 9993698.0,
      "average_volume": 4727071.0,
      "volume_ratio": 2.16,
      "rsi": 16.0,
      "ema_trend": "23.55 > 24.14 > 24.33",
      "position_52w": 80.64,
      "atr_14": 0.6,
      "vwap": 21.76,
      "vwap_state": "below",
      "vwap_distance_pct": -1.52,
      "vwap_reading": {
        "price": 21.76,
        "state": "below",
        "distance_pct": -1.52
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      "range_position": 0.04,
      "gap_pct": 0.0,
      "relative_strength": {
        "excess_pct": -10.28,
        "index": "SPY",
        "index_chg_pct": 0.75,
        "status": "normal"
      },
      "volume_percentile": {
        "median_vol": 4018600,
        "percentile": 96.9,
        "status": "exceptional",
        "today_vol": 9993698
      },
      "extension": {
        "atr": 0.6,
        "dist_atr": -4.53,
        "ema_ref": 24.14,
        "status": "below"
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      "atr_move_signal": {
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        "status": "noise",
        "z": -3.4
      },
      "sector_breadth": null,
      "sentiment": null,
      "sentiment_score": null,
      "earnings_warning": {
        "days_away": 0,
        "earnings_date": "2026-08-27",
        "has_earnings_soon": true,
        "status": "earnings_day"
      },
      "options_snapshot": null,
      "extended_hours": {
        "ext_pct": null,
        "market_state": "REGULAR",
        "phase": "regular",
        "post_market_pct": null,
        "pre_market_pct": null,
        "status": "none"
      },
      "coiled_spring": {
        "component_count": 0,
        "components": {},
        "count": 0,
        "detector_version": "coiled-compression-ohlc.v1",
        "reason": "coiled_ohlc_detector_runs_on_research_and_known_ticker_rails",
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        "status": "not_evaluated"
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      "short_pct_float": 5.87,
      "days_to_cover": 5.07,
      "catalyst": "Unusual volume S&P500 stocks in Thursday's session",
      "sector": "Consumer Defensive",
      "exchange": "NYSE",
      "sec_signal": "NO_RECENT_FORM4_SIGNAL"
    },
    "levels": {
      "reference": 21.43,
      "downside": 20.53,
      "upside_1": 22.32,
      "upside_2": 23.23
    },
    "review": {
      "score": null,
      "status": "Majority with dissent",
      "summary": "Raw Try: HRL is the most researchable candidate because the earnings beat, margin expansion and issuer evidence define a testable reset question. The 9.53% decline, 2.16x volume, below-VWAP structure and near-low close prevent a Try of the Day; stabilization and VWAP recovery remain unresolved.",
      "views": [
        {
          "name": "Elena Vartanyan",
          "role": "independent statistical auditor",
          "icon": "🎯",
          "view": "Separate the observed market reaction from the inference that a reset can stabilize.",
          "reasoning": "Do not promote one event day or a historical model rank into a demonstrated edge."
        },
        {
          "name": "Marcus Feld",
          "role": "information, fundamentals and catalyst analyst",
          "icon": "🦊",
          "view": "Trace the issuer event and identify the mechanism that could explain the repricing.",
          "reasoning": "Require direct evidence and keep the sales and outlook counter-case visible."
        },
        {
          "name": "Nate Brooks",
          "role": "market structure and timing analyst",
          "icon": "📈",
          "view": "Read participation, VWAP and range position for follow-through rather than headline direction.",
          "reasoning": "Abandon a continuation reading when the tape remains weak after the event."
        },
        {
          "name": "Priya Nandakumar",
          "role": "institutional risk and execution manager",
          "icon": "🛡️",
          "view": "Test whether the thesis survives adverse price structure and execution risk.",
          "reasoning": "Treat the near-low, below-VWAP tape as a live invalidation boundary, not a footnote."
        },
        {
          "name": "Kenji Osei",
          "role": "AI Systems & Market Data Integrity Analyst",
          "icon": "🧠",
          "view": "Keep the sealed source lineage, timestamps and missing fields explicit.",
          "reasoning": "Do not fill gaps with model output or turn completeness into confirmation."
        }
      ],
      "conviction": {
        "status_phrase": "majority-with-dissent",
        "basis": "Support — the issuer record shows an earnings beat and margin expansion with a concrete reset mechanism; Counter-case — HRL fell 9.53% on heavy volume, underperformed SPY and closed near the session low below VWAP; Unresolved — the next sessions must show whether the reset stabilizes or the sales and outlook pressure persists.",
        "risk": "",
        "resolution_pct": 54.0,
        "counter_case_pct": 31.0,
        "unresolved_pct": 15.0
      },
      "context_roundtable": {
        "mode": "coffee",
        "status": "complete",
        "consulted_voice_ids": [
          "elena",
          "marcus",
          "kenji",
          "priya",
          "nate"
        ],
        "summary": "The broader session combined firmer technology-led headline conditions with narrow breadth, rate-policy uncertainty around Jackson Hole and oil moving on Middle East diplomacy versus supply risk. The Coffee roundtable used that context to test whether HRL's adverse reaction was an isolated earnings reset or part of a wider risk-sensitive tape; it did not change the formal Raw Try resolution.",
        "long_read": "The public context was constructive in headline form but less uniform underneath. Treasury and Federal Reserve attention kept rate expectations active, while oil and the dollar added macro sensitivity. A visible X discussion framed weekly lows in SMH, QQQ and SPY as structural hold levels, and another stressed discipline when a trade is losing; these are contextual observations, not signals for HRL. Against that backdrop, HRL's heavy-volume decline and near-low close remain a candidate-specific warning. The roundtable therefore preserves the formal thesis as a narrow stabilization test with no portfolio or execution instruction.",
        "transcript": [
          {
            "speaker_id": "elena",
            "text": "The headline tape is firmer, but the breadth description is mixed: technology leadership does not equal a broad risk-on session. Jackson Hole rate uncertainty keeps the market sensitive to duration and valuation."
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "nate",
            "text": "The visible X tape discussion adds a useful structural check: the weekly low across SMH, QQQ and SPY was framed as the level that should hold. That is an index-context observation, not confirmation for any single stock.",
            "source_urls": [
              "https://x.com/alphatrends/status/2092735150572662935"
            ]
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "marcus",
            "text": "The company-event layer is also split. Nvidia and other technology earnings support the headline bid, while HRL's issuer event produced an adverse reaction. A market that rewards one set of earnings and sells another requires company-specific comparison."
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "priya",
            "text": "Oil's decline on diplomacy is not a clean relief signal because supply risk remains in the background. That keeps gaps and cross-asset reversals relevant to any next-session read.",
            "source_urls": [
              "https://investorshub.advfn.com/market-news/article/35160/oil-extends-decline-as-middle-east-diplomacy-raises-hopes-for-improved-supply-flows"
            ]
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "kenji",
            "text": "The contextual sources agree on uncertainty, but they do not replace the sealed candidate records. Their role is to explain the backdrop, while HRL's exact price, volume and VWAP fields remain the decision evidence."
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "elena",
            "text": "The dollar and Treasury backdrop reinforce the need to distinguish a broad headline move from durable participation. A narrow leadership session can hide a weak response in a defensive consumer name.",
            "source_urls": [
              "https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/rupee-narrow-range-abundant-dollar-061007123.html",
              "https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/policy/articles/commerzbank-says-treasuries-pare-gains-101559294.html"
            ]
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "nate",
            "text": "For HRL, the important contrast is simple: volume was exceptional, but price finished near the low and below VWAP. That is more informative for the next check than the broad futures headline."
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "marcus",
            "text": "Energy infrastructure news shows why a sector headline cannot be transplanted into HRL. A pipeline acquisition may be material for its issuer, yet it is only market context here, not a food-company catalyst.",
            "source_urls": [
              "https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/08/27/this-energy-giant-just-bought-500-miles-of-pipeline-in-america-s-busiest-oil-field-here-s-why"
            ]
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "priya",
            "text": "The most useful external discipline is the least dramatic one: do not speculate with a losing trade. In this review that means preserving the falsifier and waiting for observable stabilization, not narrating a recovery from one earnings beat.",
            "source_urls": [
              "https://x.com/PeterLBrandt/status/2092760209252921608"
            ]
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "kenji",
            "text": "The X discussion about asset-management consolidation is relevant only as a reminder that capability and distribution are being repriced across markets. It has no issuer-level connection to HRL and does not enter the formal thesis.",
            "source_urls": [
              "https://x.com/MebFaber/status/2092700375631699969"
            ]
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "elena",
            "text": "The context therefore sharpens, rather than softens, the boundary: HRL can be followed as a research question because its event is attributable, but the wider tape does not validate a continuation claim."
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "nate",
            "text": "I would keep the next observation narrow: range position, VWAP, participation and whether a new low arrives. Those checks decide whether the reset stabilizes; macro headlines alone cannot."
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "marcus",
            "text": "The Coffee conclusion is consistent with the Desk: HRL remains the clearest candidate-specific reset, while WTM, HIPO and AMGN lack either participation or a confirming reaction. The formal Raw Try stays unchanged."
          }
        ],
        "source_urls": [
          "https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/policy/articles/commerzbank-says-treasuries-pare-gains-101559294.html",
          "https://investorshub.advfn.com/market-news/article/35158/gold-steadies-as-investors-await-warshs-jackson-hole-address",
          "https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/rupee-narrow-range-abundant-dollar-061007123.html",
          "https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/08/27/this-energy-giant-just-bought-500-miles-of-pipeline-in-america-s-busiest-oil-field-here-s-why",
          "https://investorshub.advfn.com/market-news/article/35160/oil-extends-decline-as-middle-east-diplomacy-raises-hopes-for-improved-supply-flows",
          "https://www.investors.com/market-trend/stock-market-today/dow-jones-futures-nvidia-crowdstrike-okta-salesforce-earnings-movers?src=A00220&yptr=yahoo",
          "https://x.com/alphatrends/status/2092735150572662935",
          "https://x.com/PeterLBrandt/status/2092760209252921608",
          "https://x.com/MebFaber/status/2092700375631699969"
        ]
      },
      "context_roundtable_sources": [
        {
          "event_id": null,
          "headline": "Commerzbank Says Treasuries Pare Gains, US Equity Futures Higher, Brent Oil Stable",
          "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/policy/articles/commerzbank-says-treasuries-pare-gains-101559294.html",
          "publisher": "MT Newswires via Yahoo Finance",
          "source_quality": "market_context",
          "public_safe": true,
          "published_at": null,
          "available_at": null
        },
        {
          "event_id": null,
          "headline": "Gold steadies as investors await Warsh's Jackson Hole address",
          "url": "https://investorshub.advfn.com/market-news/article/35158/gold-steadies-as-investors-await-warshs-jackson-hole-address",
          "publisher": "InvestorsHub",
          "source_quality": "market_context",
          "public_safe": true,
          "published_at": null,
          "available_at": null
        },
        {
          "event_id": null,
          "headline": "Rupee remains in a narrow range as dollar demand dominates",
          "url": "https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/rupee-narrow-range-abundant-dollar-061007123.html",
          "publisher": "Reuters via Yahoo Finance",
          "source_quality": "market_context",
          "public_safe": true,
          "published_at": null,
          "available_at": null
        },
        {
          "event_id": null,
          "headline": "This energy giant just bought 500 miles of pipeline in America's busiest oil field",
          "url": "https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/08/27/this-energy-giant-just-bought-500-miles-of-pipeline-in-america-s-busiest-oil-field-here-s-why",
          "publisher": "Motley Fool",
          "source_quality": "market_context",
          "public_safe": true,
          "published_at": null,
          "available_at": null
        },
        {
          "event_id": null,
          "headline": "Oil extends decline as Middle East diplomacy raises hopes for improved supply flows",
          "url": "https://investorshub.advfn.com/market-news/article/35160/oil-extends-decline-as-middle-east-diplomacy-raises-hopes-for-improved-supply-flows",
          "publisher": "InvestorsHub",
          "source_quality": "market_context",
          "public_safe": true,
          "published_at": null,
          "available_at": null
        },
        {
          "event_id": null,
          "headline": "Dow futures and tech stocks move on Nvidia and other earnings",
          "url": "https://www.investors.com/market-trend/stock-market-today/dow-jones-futures-nvidia-crowdstrike-okta-salesforce-earnings-movers?src=A00220&yptr=yahoo",
          "publisher": "Investor's Business Daily",
          "source_quality": "market_context",
          "public_safe": true,
          "published_at": null,
          "available_at": null
        },
        {
          "event_id": null,
          "headline": "Weekly low across SMH, QQQ and SPY as a structural hold level",
          "url": "https://x.com/alphatrends/status/2092735150572662935",
          "publisher": "X / Brian Shannon",
          "source_quality": "market_context",
          "public_safe": true,
          "published_at": null,
          "available_at": null
        },
        {
          "event_id": null,
          "headline": "Discipline against speculating with a losing trade",
          "url": "https://x.com/PeterLBrandt/status/2092760209252921608",
          "publisher": "X / Peter L. Brandt",
          "source_quality": "market_context",
          "public_safe": true,
          "published_at": null,
          "available_at": null
        },
        {
          "event_id": null,
          "headline": "Asset-management M&A and the economics of buying capabilities",
          "url": "https://x.com/MebFaber/status/2092700375631699969",
          "publisher": "X / Meb Faber",
          "source_quality": "market_context",
          "public_safe": true,
          "published_at": null,
          "available_at": null
        }
      ]
    },
    "updates": [
      {
        "day": 15,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-18T22:19:26.439899Z",
        "date": "Session 15 · Sep 18, 2026 · 18:19 NYSE",
        "text": "HRL's 15-session tracking closes at -2.78% from the $21.43 entry, ending at $20.83. The path reached +4.55% at best and -4.60% at worst. Fresh closure evidence records $20.83 from the provider, a $20.86 post-market quote (+0.14%) and 2.29 times average volume. Current session-average price, RSI, EMA trend and 52-week position readings are unavailable. The earnings-and-margin reset never produced confirmed stabilization: the latest pre-closure record still put HRL 11.43 points behind Consumer Defensive over twenty sessions. Public tracking ends at session 15.",
        "price": 20.93,
        "pct": -2.29,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -2.33,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -2.33,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.8,
        "session_day": 15,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$20.93 · -2.33% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": true,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": true,
        "transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-d8a698fb3247ef52056aea6fe56dfc737162ec1ac62e7bb88a369dea5c5cad3a",
        "price_as_of": "2026-08-27T21:19:52Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 14,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-17T22:21:31.971058Z",
        "date": "Session 14 · Sep 17, 2026 · 18:21 NYSE",
        "text": "HRL's tracked loss widened 0.11 points to -3.10% as the latest capture slipped 0.10% to USD 20.76. Price was 0.05% above VWAP on 0.71x average volume, with distribution and no confirmed structure; over 20 sessions it trails Consumer Defensive by 11.43 points. The earnings-and-margin case remains under pressure, not stabilized.",
        "price": 20.76,
        "pct": -3.1,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -3.13,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -3.13,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.17,
        "session_day": 14,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$20.76 · -3.13% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-17T20:15:05Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 14,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-17T15:23:55.952026Z",
        "date": "Session 14 · Sep 17, 2026 · 11:23 NYSE",
        "text": "HRL's tracked loss worsened 0.19 points to -2.99% despite a 0.07% rise to USD 20.80. Price remains 0.15% below VWAP on 0.04x average volume, with distribution and no confirmed structure, while its 20-session decline trails Consumer Defensive by 11.13 points. With the prior earnings-and-margin case still not repaired, this is continued pressure, not stabilization.",
        "price": 20.795,
        "pct": -2.99,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -2.96,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -2.96,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.3,
        "session_day": 14,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$20.80 · -2.96% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-17T14:10:17.742927Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 13,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-16T20:27:38.381182Z",
        "date": "Session 13 · Sep 16, 2026 · 16:27 NYSE",
        "text": "HRL's tracked loss was nearly unchanged, easing 0.02 points to -2.80% after a 0.34% rise to .86. Price remained 0.03% below VWAP on 0.30x average volume with no confirmed structure; the latest tape does not repair the earnings-and-margin case.",
        "price": 20.8599,
        "pct": -2.8,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -2.66,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -2.66,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.42,
        "session_day": 13,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$20.86 · -2.66% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-16T19:21:13.018409Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 13,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-16T14:49:00.821343Z",
        "date": "Session 13 · Sep 16, 2026 · 10:49 NYSE",
        "text": "HRL tracked loss is 2,78% as the latest capture moved 0,10% to USD 20,77, with price below VWAP on 0,04 times time-adjusted participation. The tracked result improved 0,18 points, but The earnings-and-margin reset remains under pressure rather than repaired.",
        "price": 20.77,
        "pct": -2.78,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -3.08,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -3.08,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.09,
        "session_day": 13,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$20.77 · -3.08% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-16T14:06:40.306426Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 12,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-15T21:47:12.779182Z",
        "date": "Session 12 · Sep 15, 2026 · 17:47 NYSE",
        "text": "HRL tracked loss narrowed 0.25 points to -2.96% even as the latest capture fell 0.81% to USD 20.79, a small improvement that lacks clean price confirmation. The stock sits above VWAP on subdued participation with no confirmed structure, so the earnings-and-margin reset remains under pressure rather than repaired.",
        "price": 20.79,
        "pct": -2.96,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -2.99,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -2.99,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.17,
        "session_day": 12,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$20.79 · -2.99% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-15T21:15:01Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 12,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-15T19:27:19.871047Z",
        "date": "Session 12 · Sep 15, 2026 · 15:27 NYSE",
        "text": "HRL's current tape points to stable uncertainty: it moved -0,64% to $20,83, with VWAP at 20,77 and volume at 0,46 times its three-month average. The tracked return is -2,71%, versus 0,79 points since the previous public note; Consumer Defensive-relative wording remains supportive with a -12,28 point gap versus Consumer Defensive, so the published thesis is not upgraded beyond what this move supports.",
        "price": 20.8256,
        "pct": -2.71,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -2.82,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -2.82,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.7,
        "session_day": 12,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$20.83 · -2.82% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-15T19:21:00.581079Z",
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      },
      {
        "day": 12,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-15T16:22:20.688306Z",
        "date": "Session 12 · Sep 15, 2026 · 12:22 NYSE",
        "text": "HRL tracked loss widened 1.33 points to -3.50% as the current capture fell 1.36% to $20.68, 0.27% below VWAP near the bottom of its range on 0.20 times average volume. Severe Consumer Defensive underperformance, distribution and no confirmed structure keep the earnings-and-margin reset under pressure; this is deterioration, not repaired stabilization.",
        "price": 20.675,
        "pct": -3.5,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -3.52,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -3.52,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.33,
        "session_day": 12,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$20.68 · -3.52% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-15T15:52:36.865021Z",
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      },
      {
        "day": 11,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-14T23:33:16.259750Z",
        "date": "Session 11 · Sep 14, 2026 · 19:33 NYSE",
        "text": "HRL's tracked loss widened slightly to -2.17% even as the latest capture rose 1.90% to $20.96; price remained just below VWAP with no confirmed structure. The rebound is still a tentative stabilization: severe underperformance versus Consumer Defensive and continued distribution have not established a repaired trend.",
        "price": 20.96,
        "pct": -2.17,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -2.19,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -2.19,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.04,
        "session_day": 11,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$20.96 · -2.19% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-14T22:40:03Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 11,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-14T22:40:24.044969Z",
        "date": "Session 11 · Sep 14, 2026 · 18:40 NYSE",
        "text": "HRL tracked loss widened 0.19 points to -2.13% as the latest capture rose 1.94% to $20.97, still 0.20% below VWAP on 0.67x average volume. Severe Consumer Defensive relative weakness and no confirmed structure keep the earnings-and-margin reset in tentative stabilization rather than repaired-trend territory.",
        "price": 20.969,
        "pct": -2.17,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -2.15,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -2.15,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.11,
        "session_day": 11,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$20.97 · -2.15% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-14T20:03:33Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 11,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-14T14:57:01.026021Z",
        "date": "Session 11 · Sep 14, 2026 · 10:57 NYSE",
        "text": "HRL tracked loss narrowed 2.05 points to -1.94% as the current capture rose 2.05% to $20.99 and moved 0.44% above VWAP. The rebound reaches the top of the range, but participation is only 0.06 times average, distribution persists and the stock remains far weaker than Consumer Defensive over 20 sessions; this is a tentative stabilization, not a repaired trend.",
        "price": 20.9923,
        "pct": -1.94,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -2.04,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -2.04,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 1.97,
        "session_day": 11,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$20.99 · -2.04% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-14T14:05:55.081234Z",
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      },
      {
        "day": 10,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-11T22:10:15.542010Z",
        "date": "Session 10 · Sep 11, 2026 · 18:10 NYSE",
        "text": "HRL's tracked loss narrowed 0.44 points to -3.99% even as the latest capture fell 1.30% to $20.57 near the lower part of the range and around the $20.54 VWAP reference on 1.03 times average volume. Severe relative weakness, distribution and the absence of confirmed structure remain, so the earnings-and-margin reset is still an unresolved stabilization case rather than a repaired trend.",
        "price": 20.57,
        "pct": -3.99,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -4.01,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -4.01,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.42,
        "session_day": 10,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$20.57 · -4.01% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-11T21:31:51Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 10,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-11T19:50:42.096655Z",
        "date": "Session 10 · Sep 11, 2026 · 15:50 NYSE",
        "text": "HRL's tracked loss widened 0.49 points to -4.43% as price fell 1.73% to $20.48 and settled below VWAP near the session floor on 0.54 times average volume. Distribution and severe relative weakness persist with no confirmed structure, so the earnings-and-margin reset remains an unresolved stabilization case.",
        "price": 20.48,
        "pct": -4.43,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -4.43,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -4.43,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.51,
        "session_day": 10,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$20.48 · -4.43% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-11T19:21:33.380908Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 10,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-11T14:46:32.004498Z",
        "date": "Session 10 · Sep 11, 2026 · 10:46 NYSE",
        "text": "HRL tracked loss widened 1.21 points to -3.94% as the stock fell 1.20% to $20.59, ended 0.75% below VWAP near the session floor and traded at 0.07 times average volume. The prior earnings-and-margin reset remains unresolved: persistent distribution, severe relative underperformance and no confirmed structure now outweigh the earlier hope that the selloff might stabilize.",
        "price": 20.59,
        "pct": -3.94,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -3.92,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -3.92,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.17,
        "session_day": 10,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$20.59 · -3.92% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-11T14:06:25.411176Z",
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      },
      {
        "day": 9,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-10T21:45:27.190845Z",
        "date": "Session 9 · Sep 10, 2026 · 17:45 NYSE",
        "text": "HRL's tracked loss widened 0.14 points to -2.73% since the previous public note. The stock fell 0.62% to USD 20.84 and held only 0.14% above VWAP mid-range on 0.93 times average volume; distribution and severe twenty-session underperformance remain, so the earnings-and-margin reset is still a question rather than a confirmed stabilization.",
        "price": 20.84,
        "pct": -2.73,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -2.75,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -2.75,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.14,
        "session_day": 9,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$20.84 · -2.75% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-10T21:05:00Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 9,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-10T19:41:50.720514Z",
        "date": "Session 9 · Sep 10, 2026 · 15:41 NYSE",
        "text": "HRL tracked return slipped 0.14 points to -2.59% since the previous public note, with the stock down 0.47% at USD 20.87. It finished just 0.14% above VWAP in the middle of the range, but participation was only 0.47 times average, distribution remained present, and HRL is down 14.43% over twenty sessions versus a 2.34% decline for Consumer Defensive. The earnings-and-margin reset remains a factual question; stabilization is still unconfirmed.",
        "price": 20.8709,
        "pct": -2.59,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -2.61,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -2.61,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.1,
        "session_day": 9,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$20.87 · -2.61% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": true,
        "active_relevant": true,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-eef220d367ee5b168f1f45fe29f2ef28462b6a7d8c039a7fa8d292af2dc58c92",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-10T19:21:10.275300Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 9,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-10T14:49:23.479217Z",
        "date": "Session 9 · Sep 10, 2026 · 10:49 NYSE",
        "text": "HRL tracked loss widened 0.33 points to -2.45% since the last public note. The latest capture fell 0.57% to about USD 20.85, 0.37% below VWAP near the bottom of its range on only 0.05 times average volume, with decelerating participation and no confirmed structure. The current evidence still does not show stabilization.",
        "price": 20.85,
        "pct": -2.45,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -2.71,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -2.71,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.56,
        "session_day": 9,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$20.85 · -2.71% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-10T14:06:15.609526Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 8,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-09T22:21:27.985009Z",
        "date": "Session 8 · Sep 9, 2026 · 18:21 NYSE",
        "text": "HRL's tracked loss widened from -2.01% to -2.12% since the last public note as the latest capture fell 1.13% to .97, below VWAP near the bottom of its range on 0.78x average volume. The earnings and margin mechanism remains concrete, but distribution, weak participation and no confirmed structure leave the stabilization question unresolved.",
        "price": 20.97,
        "pct": -2.12,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -2.15,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -2.15,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.02,
        "session_day": 8,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$20.97 · -2.15% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-09T21:15:51Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 8,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-09T20:21:15.457164Z",
        "date": "Session 8 · Sep 9, 2026 · 16:21 NYSE",
        "text": "HRL's tracked loss widened 0.89 points to -2.01% as the latest capture fell 1.16% to USD 20.97, 0.60% below VWAP on 0.43x average volume. Distribution, accelerating weakness and no confirmed structure now sit alongside an 11.88-point 20-session lag to Consumer Defensive, leaving the stabilization question unresolved.",
        "price": 20.965,
        "pct": -2.01,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -2.17,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -2.17,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.19,
        "session_day": 8,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$20.96 · -2.17% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-09T19:21:49.561649Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 8,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-09T14:45:37.468468Z",
        "date": "Session 8 · Sep 9, 2026 · 10:45 NYSE",
        "text": "HRL's tracked loss widened 0.12 points to -1.12% even as the latest capture edged 0.05% higher to USD 21.22, 0.13% above VWAP on 0.06x average volume. The move is too thin to establish a turn: no structure is confirmed, distribution persists, and HRL still trails Consumer Defensive by 11.11 points over 20 sessions.",
        "price": 21.22,
        "pct": -1.12,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -0.98,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -0.98,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.05,
        "session_day": 8,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$21.22 · -0.98% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-09T14:06:47.281893Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 7,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-08T22:00:32.533692Z",
        "date": "Session 7 · Sep 8, 2026 · 18:00 NYSE",
        "text": "HRL's tracked loss widened 0.14 points to -1.00% as price fell 1.53% to $21.21 and remained 0.09% below VWAP on 1.02x average volume. The small change does not establish a turn: distribution, absent structure and a 13.04-point 20-session lag versus Consumer Defensive leave the tape without a stabilization signal.",
        "price": 21.21,
        "pct": -1.0,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -1.03,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -1.03,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.03,
        "session_day": 7,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$21.21 · -1.03% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-08T20:16:20Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 7,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-08T19:47:50.166109Z",
        "date": "Session 7 · Sep 8, 2026 · 15:47 NYSE",
        "text": "HRL's tracked loss widened 0.04 points to -0.86% as price fell 1.51% to $21.22 and remained 0.07% below VWAP. The oversold RSI of 20.1 does not supply a turn: volume is 0.57x average, money flow is in distribution and the stock trails Consumer Defensive by 13.16 points over 20 sessions.",
        "price": 21.215,
        "pct": -0.86,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -1.0,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -1.0,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.56,
        "session_day": 7,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$21.21 · -1.00% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-08T19:22:03.550453Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 7,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-08T14:42:20.533340Z",
        "date": "Session 7 · Sep 8, 2026 · 10:42 NYSE",
        "text": "HRL tracked loss widened 1.36 points to -0.82% at session 7 after the latest capture fell 0.95% to $21.34 and stayed 0.18% below VWAP. Volume is 0.12 times average, no structure is confirmed and 20-session performance trails Consumer Defensive by 12.70 points; the earnings-and-margin case remains a watch point, not a stabilization signal.",
        "price": 21.335,
        "pct": -0.82,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -0.44,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -0.44,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.95,
        "session_day": 7,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$21.34 · -0.44% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-08T14:06:19.550837Z",
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      {
        "day": 6,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-04T21:53:34.027670Z",
        "date": "Session 6 · Sep 4, 2026 · 17:53 NYSE",
        "text": "The attempted HRL earnings reset is losing the stabilization argument: the tracked gain fell 0.30 points to +0.54% as the stock slipped 0.65% to $21.54, closed near the bottom of its range and remained 0.83% below VWAP. Distribution is still present, while HRL is down 13.91% over twenty sessions against a 0.63% decline for Consumer Defensive, so the earlier earnings-and-margin case remains a watch point—not confirmed repair.",
        "price": 21.54,
        "pct": 0.54,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 0.51,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 0.51,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.14,
        "session_day": 6,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$21.54 · +0.51% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": true,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-338cdbe941bf558cb40e6d9b160c78e17d532df1e32bcd3212376b3f2600a43d",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-04T21:17:05Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
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      {
        "day": 6,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-04T20:02:40.645298Z",
        "date": "Session 6 · Sep 4, 2026 · 16:02 NYSE",
        "text": "HRL tracked gain slipped 0.75 points to +0.84% as the latest capture fell 0.51% to $21.57 and returned below VWAP near the bottom of its range. Volume is 0.36 times average, distribution remains present and the stock trails Consumer Defensive by 13.16 points over twenty sessions, leaving the earnings-and-margin case under pressure rather than repaired.",
        "price": 21.57,
        "pct": 0.84,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 0.65,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 0.65,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.12,
        "session_day": 6,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$21.57 · +0.65% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-04T19:21:46.989147Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 6,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-04T14:54:14.886829Z",
        "date": "Session 6 · Sep 4, 2026 · 10:54 NYSE",
        "text": "HRL's tracked gain edged to +1.59% as the latest capture rose 0.60% to $21.81 and moved above VWAP near 86% of its range. That lift is too lightly participated at 0.05 times average volume to repair the failed recovery; distribution and a 12.76-point twenty-session shortfall to Consumer Defensive keep the earnings-and-margin case under pressure.",
        "price": 21.81,
        "pct": 1.59,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 1.77,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 1.77,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.58,
        "session_day": 6,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$21.81 · +1.77% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-04T14:06:17.385242Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 5,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-03T20:17:43.994383Z",
        "date": "Session 5 · Sep 3, 2026 · 16:17 NYSE",
        "text": "HRL's tracked gain slipped 0.14 points to +1.49% as the latest capture fell 1.66% to $21.69, 0.57% below VWAP near the bottom of its range. Distribution, decelerating participation at 0.57 times average volume and no confirmed structure keep the earnings-and-margin case under pressure; deep twenty-session underperformance versus Consumer Defensive leaves no repair signal in the current tape.",
        "price": 21.685,
        "pct": 1.49,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 1.19,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 1.19,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.51,
        "session_day": 5,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$21.68 · +1.19% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T19:21:52.173032Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 5,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-03T14:55:27.736944Z",
        "date": "Session 5 · Sep 3, 2026 · 10:55 NYSE",
        "text": "HRL's tracked gain fell 1.29 points to +1.63% in the latest capture, with price down 1.16% to 21.795 and 0.85% below VWAP in the lower quarter of the range on 0.10 times average volume. Distribution, no confirmed structure and deep twenty-session underperformance keep the earnings-and-margin case outweighed by lower sales guidance and a failed recovery in the current tape.",
        "price": 21.795,
        "pct": 1.63,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 1.7,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 1.7,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.19,
        "session_day": 5,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$21.80 · +1.70% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T14:06:17.841920Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 4,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-02T22:21:34.466383Z",
        "date": "Session 4 · Sep 2, 2026 · 18:21 NYSE",
        "text": "HRL's tracked gain fell 0.77 points to +2.92% after the latest capture rose 0.27% to .05. Price is 0.85% below VWAP in the lower quarter on 1.02 times average volume, with distribution and no confirmed structure; the earnings beat and margin story remain outweighed by lower sales guidance and a failed recovery in the current tape.",
        "price": 22.05,
        "pct": 2.92,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 2.89,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 2.89,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.68,
        "session_day": 4,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$22.05 · +2.89% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-02T21:23:33Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 4,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-02T15:57:10.195590Z",
        "date": "Session 4 · Sep 2, 2026 · 11:57 NYSE",
        "text": "HRL tracked gain improved 1.05 points to +3.69% after the latest capture rose 0.93% to 22.195. Price is just 0.11% above VWAP around the middle of its range, but volume is only 0.17 times average, distribution remains present and the stock trails Consumer Defensive by 12.02 points over twenty sessions. The earnings-reset question remains open, but this is stabilization to watch, not confirmed repair.",
        "price": 22.195,
        "pct": 3.69,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 3.57,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 3.57,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.96,
        "session_day": 4,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$22.20 · +3.57% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": true,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-c5d4bca969c935e6aa1421d1d7bce733cbfb880ffb64ab1b5dd25b960c3bdd04",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-02T14:44:54.049824Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 3,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-01T22:11:57.395891Z",
        "date": "Session 3 · Sep 1, 2026 · 18:11 NYSE",
        "text": "HRL's tracked gain remains +2.64% as the latest capture rose 0.64% to $21.99. Price is just 0.23% above VWAP, but distribution, a bearish EMA slope, no confirmed structure and a weak position well below the EMA reference make this stabilization rather than confirmed repair; margin improvement still has to outweigh softer sales and guidance.",
        "price": 21.99,
        "pct": 2.64,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 2.61,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 2.61,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.37,
        "session_day": 3,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$21.99 · +2.61% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": {
          "phase": "post",
          "text": "Aftermarket update: $22.00 (+0.05% vs regular close) · Sep 1, 2026 · 17:47 NYSE"
        },
        "extended_hours": {
          "phase": "post",
          "price": 22.0,
          "ext_pct": 0.05,
          "as_of": "2026-09-01T21:47:17Z",
          "persisted": false
        },
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-01T21:47:17Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 3,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-01T21:06:00.485249Z",
        "date": "Session 3 · Sep 1, 2026 · 17:06 NYSE",
        "text": "HRL's tracked gain improved 0.14 points to +2.43% while the capture rose 0.27%. Price remains 0.15% below VWAP in the lower-middle part of its range on 0.67x average volume; despite Consumer Defensive support and index outperformance, distribution, a bearish EMA slope, decelerating participation and no confirmed structure make this stabilization rather than confirmed repair.",
        "price": 21.91,
        "pct": 2.64,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 2.24,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 2.24,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.01,
        "session_day": 3,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$21.91 · +2.24% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-01T19:21:29.772075Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 3,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-01T16:19:16.977086Z",
        "date": "Session 3 · Sep 1, 2026 · 12:19 NYSE",
        "text": "HRL's tracked gain improved 0.31 points to +2.29% as the current capture rose 0.27%, but price sat 0.05% below VWAP on 0.11x average volume. Consumer Defensive is supportive, yet distribution, decelerating participation, a bearish EMA slope and no confirmed structure make this stabilization rather than confirmed repair.",
        "price": 21.9081,
        "pct": 2.29,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 2.23,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 2.23,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.27,
        "session_day": 3,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$21.91 · +2.23% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-01T14:13:30.142689Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
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      {
        "day": 2,
        "timestamp": "2026-08-31T22:10:11.492349Z",
        "date": "Session 2 · Aug 31, 2026 · 18:10 NYSE",
        "text": "HRL rose 0.18 points to a 1.98% tracked gain, reaching 0.83% above VWAP on 1.70x average volume. The stronger tape is offset by distribution, a sector headwind and no confirmed structure; after the earlier sales miss and guidance cut, this is stabilization rather than proof of repair.",
        "price": 21.85,
        "pct": 1.98,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 1.96,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 1.96,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.23,
        "session_day": 2,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$21.85 · +1.96% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-08-31T21:40:39Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 2,
        "timestamp": "2026-08-31T20:06:03.418222Z",
        "date": "Session 2 · Aug 31, 2026 · 16:06 NYSE",
        "text": "HRL improved 0.68 points to +1.80%, with price 0.55% above VWAP in the upper half of the range and participation closer to normal at 0.86x average volume. That repair is limited: no confirmed structure, price remains 3.24 ATR below the EMA reference, and distribution with marked 20-session underperformance keeps stabilization unresolved.",
        "price": 21.8,
        "pct": 1.8,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 1.73,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 1.73,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.42,
        "session_day": 2,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$21.80 · +1.73% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-08-31T19:21:03.615633Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
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      {
        "day": 2,
        "timestamp": "2026-08-31T15:00:55.624632Z",
        "date": "Session 2 · Aug 31, 2026 · 11:00 NYSE",
        "text": "HRL improved to +1.12% after a 0.65% rise to 21.71, just above VWAP on 0.14x average volume. The move has not repaired the deeper stabilization question because structure remains unconfirmed and the price is still far below its EMA reference.",
        "price": 21.71,
        "pct": 1.12,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 1.31,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 1.31,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.66,
        "session_day": 2,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$21.71 · +1.31% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-08-31T14:06:24.388513Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
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      {
        "day": 1,
        "timestamp": "2026-08-29T05:57:29.850137Z",
        "date": "Session 1 · Aug 29, 2026 · 01:57 NYSE",
        "text": "HRL tracked result improved 1.01 points to +0.68% as the current capture rose 1.36% to 21.57 on 2.47x average volume. The stronger participation has not repaired the setup: price remains 4.27 ATR below the 24.13 EMA reference, Consumer Defensive trails the market and 20-session flow is distribution, so margin expansion has not demonstrated durable stabilization.",
        "price": 21.57,
        "pct": 0.68,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 0.65,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 0.65,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.77,
        "session_day": 1,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$21.57 · +0.65% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-08-29T05:01:43.976820Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
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      {
        "day": 1,
        "timestamp": "2026-08-28T15:30:46.545055Z",
        "date": "Session 1 · Aug 28, 2026 · 11:30 NYSE",
        "text": "HRL's tracked result is -0.33% after its first session, down 0.33 points as the capture gained 0.59% to 21.41 and sits 0.29% above VWAP on 0.21x average volume. The early move is modest and participation remains light, so this first observation does not yet establish durable follow-through.",
        "price": 21.405,
        "pct": -0.33,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -0.12,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -0.12,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.12,
        "session_day": 1,
        "reference_price": 21.43,
        "reference_text": "$21.41 · -0.12% from $21.43 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-08-28T14:07:04.955352Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
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        "label": "+1 sessions",
        "status": "complete",
        "return": 0.68,
        "reference_text": "+0.68% from $21.43 base",
        "price": 21.57,
        "updated": "Aug 28, 2026 · 17:06 NYSE",
        "mfe": 0.7,
        "mae": -1.33
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      {
        "label": "+5 sessions",
        "status": "complete",
        "return": 1.19,
        "reference_text": "+1.19% from $21.43 base",
        "price": 21.68,
        "updated": "Sep 3, 2026 · 17:06 NYSE",
        "mfe": 4.55,
        "mae": -1.33
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      {
        "label": "+10 sessions",
        "status": "complete",
        "return": -3.99,
        "reference_text": "-3.99% from $21.43 base",
        "price": 20.57,
        "updated": "Sep 11, 2026 · 17:05 NYSE",
        "mfe": 4.55,
        "mae": -4.62
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      {
        "label": "+15 sessions",
        "status": "complete",
        "return": -2.78,
        "reference_text": "-2.78% from $21.43 base",
        "price": 20.83,
        "updated": "Sep 18, 2026 · 17:05 NYSE",
        "mfe": 4.55,
        "mae": -4.6
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    ],
    "candidate_comparison_history": [
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        "day": 1,
        "timestamp": "2026-08-28T15:30:46.545055Z",
        "comparison": {
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          "captured_at": "2026-08-28T15:30:46.545055Z",
          "base_definition": "Candidates use the publication reference; benchmarks use the previous regular close.",
          "source": "sealed_update_market_context + canonical_candidate_snapshot + market_trajectory + public_market_snapshot",
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              "symbol": "HRL",
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