CRK episode 20260901_CRK_MIDDAY
Public episode JSON embedded as readable text for automated access.
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"published_at": "2026-09-01T22:45:59.979078Z",
"updated_at": "2026-09-23T21:06:01.023613Z",
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"instrument": {
"type": "equity",
"symbol": "CRK",
"exchange": "NYSE",
"name": "Comstock Resources, Inc."
},
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"status": "ok",
"reference_price": 16.02,
"model_downside_reference": 15.03,
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"method": "reference_price_plus_minus_atr14"
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"date": "September 1, 2026",
"generated_at": "2026-09-01T22:45:59.979078Z",
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"session_tag": "midday",
"label": "Market coverage",
"try_label": "Try of the Day",
"public_status": "Try of the Day",
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"reference_price": 16.02,
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"price": 16.02,
"reference": 16.02,
"score": 7,
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"range_position": 0.926,
"gap_pct": 0.0,
"relative_strength": {
"excess_pct": 11.71,
"index": "SPY",
"index_chg_pct": -0.69,
"status": "idiosyncratic"
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"volume_percentile": {
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"percentile": 100.0,
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"status": "green"
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"status": "clear"
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"days_to_cover": 10.81,
"catalyst": "Most Active Options Report: GPRO, NVS, CRK, HWM, FRVO",
"sector": "Energy",
"exchange": "NYSE",
"sec_signal": "NO_RECENT_FORM4_SIGNAL"
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"levels": {
"reference": 16.02,
"downside": 15.03,
"upside_1": 17.01,
"upside_2": 18.0
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"review": {
"score": 7,
"status": "Majority with dissent",
"summary": "The panel selects CRK as Try of the Day for a bounded public research case. The observed tape and relative-strength evidence are strong, while the proposed transaction mechanism and continuation remain conditional because reported detail is unverified and one provider point cannot establish persistence.",
"views": [
{
"name": "Elena Vartanyan",
"role": "independent statistical auditor",
"icon": "🎯",
"view": "The sealed comparison covers 124 candidates, but only supplied observations count. CRK is up 11.02% at 16.02 on 4.66x volume; the 30-minute read places 16.03 above 15.66 VWAP at 92.6% of the range. That is strong observation, not proof of persistence. The broad market context is risk-off, so attribution matters.",
"reasoning": "Select CRK as a bounded research case, not a forecast. The falsifiers are loss of the above-VWAP and up-trend structure, failure to substantiate the proposed transaction, or evidence that the move is only sector beta. Those conditions keep the editorial claim auditable."
},
{
"name": "Marcus Feld",
"role": "information, fundamentals and catalyst analyst",
"icon": "🦊",
"view": "CRK has a direct SEC 8-K record, plus reports of a proposed $1.65 billion SOCAR asset transaction and a separate $450 million drilling venture. Those reports are not independently verified in the packet, so the mechanism is researchable, not settled. Energy's 20-session return of 10.68% is context, not causality.",
"reasoning": "Agreed. The case is still more than a naked spike: CRK shows a 20.45% 20-session asset return versus 10.68% for the energy proxy and -1.24% for the market, a 9.77-point sector excess. That supports an energy-linked relative-strength observation, not proof that the transaction caused the move."
},
{
"name": "Kenji Osei",
"role": "AI Systems & Market Data Integrity Analyst",
"icon": "🧠",
"view": "The CRK information record is complete, with one primary SEC channel and scan headlines. One provider trajectory point is now sealed, but it does not establish continuation. That limits continuation claims. The chart pack has no CRK view; missing visual evidence is non-blocking and cannot become negative evidence.",
"reasoning": "The options rail is complete but indicative: 340 quoted contracts and trade pressure of -0.031621 are secondary, not directional. No Greeks, implied volatility, or open interest are available for inference. The clean evidence is price, volume, VWAP, relative strength, and the explicit source-status split."
},
{
"name": "Priya Nandakumar",
"role": "institutional risk and execution manager",
"icon": "🛡️",
"view": "CRK carries 31.3% short float and 10.81 days to cover, and the move is 2.83 ATR above its EMA reference. That can amplify attention and reversal. The 20-day accumulation label and 6.78 dollar-volume ratio help, but neither supplies an entry, a stop, or a trade instruction.",
"reasoning": "Consensus: Try of the Day for public research, with moderate confidence and no trade instruction. The tape and relative-strength evidence lead; the mechanism and continuation remain conditional. The next review should test source confirmation and whether price retains VWAP support with meaningful participation."
},
{
"name": "Nate Brooks",
"role": "market structure and timing analyst",
"icon": "📈",
"view": "The tape is unusually coherent: above VWAP, up intraday trend, +3.694% slope, 0.926 range position, and 6.54 time RVOL. I will not invent a CRK chart reading because none is supplied. The next observation should test whether the VWAP relationship and participation hold.",
"reasoning": "CLYM also holds above VWAP with a 0.902 range position, but only 1.47x volume. FLYE is the larger outlier at +60.58% and 814.07x volume, yet its catalyst is not issuer-specific and its tape is below VWAP with a down trend. Size of move is not mechanism."
}
],
"conviction": {
"status_phrase": "majority-with-dissent",
"basis": "CRK has the strongest supported combination of issuer-linked evidence, sector-relative strength, volume, and above-VWAP structure in the compared shortlist; unverified transaction detail and a single-point trajectory keep the case conditional.",
"risk": "",
"resolution_pct": 58.0,
"counter_case_pct": 24.0,
"unresolved_pct": 18.0
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"observed_outcomes": [
{
"label": "+1 sessions",
"status": "complete",
"return": -3.18,
"reference_text": "-3.18% from $16.02 base",
"price": 15.54,
"updated": "Sep 2, 2026 · 17:06 NYSE",
"mfe": -1.26,
"mae": -4.36
},
{
"label": "+5 sessions",
"status": "complete",
"return": -7.17,
"reference_text": "-7.17% from $16.02 base",
"price": 14.9,
"updated": "Sep 9, 2026 · 17:05 NYSE",
"mfe": -1.25,
"mae": -8.29
},
{
"label": "+10 sessions",
"status": "complete",
"return": -18.38,
"reference_text": "-18.38% from $16.02 base",
"price": 13.1,
"updated": "Sep 16, 2026 · 17:05 NYSE",
"mfe": -1.25,
"mae": -19.13
},
{
"label": "+15 sessions",
"status": "complete",
"return": -16.73,
"reference_text": "-16.73% from $16.02 base",
"price": 13.36,
"updated": "Sep 24, 2026 · 10:18 NYSE",
"mfe": -1.25,
"mae": -22.31
}
],
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"symbol": "AMOD",
"name": "Alpha Modus Holdings, Inc.",
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"news": [
{
"title": "Most Active Options Report: GPRO, NVS, CRK, HWM, FRVO",
"url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/options/articles/most-active-options-report-gpro-143847688.html"
},
{
"title": "Comstock Resources shares rise 5% after $1.65 billion SOCAR agreement and $450 million drilling venture",
"url": "https://investorshub.advfn.com/market-news/article/35404/comstock-resources-shares-rise-5-after-1-65-billion-socar-agreement-and-450-million-drilling-venture"
},
{
"title": "Comstock Resources Enters Into Letter of Intent to Sell Assets to Azerbaijan State Oil Company for $1.65 Billion",
"url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/energy/articles/comstock-resources-enters-letter-intent-120719961.html"
},
{
"title": "Yext Posts Upbeat Q2 Earnings, Joins Fervo Energy, MiniMed Group And Other Big Stocks Moving Higher On Tuesday",
"url": "https://finnhub.io/api/news?id=20f9df177b310e81de962cc9e99f51b99fbe5a45eebcb2746f86481c32e31e0b"
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