HCM episode 20260903_HCM_MIDDAY

Public episode JSON embedded as readable text for automated access.

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  "episode_id": "20260903_HCM_MIDDAY",
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  "public_page_url": "https://trydingday.com/coverage/hcm/2026-09-03/midday/",
  "published_at": "2026-09-03T17:51:44.718228Z",
  "updated_at": "2026-09-25T22:24:44Z",
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  "instrument": {
    "type": "equity",
    "symbol": "HCM",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "name": "HUTCHMED (China) Limited"
  },
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    "status": "ok",
    "reference_price": 13.83,
    "model_downside_reference": 13.21,
    "model_upside_scenario_1": 14.45,
    "model_upside_scenario_2": 15.06,
    "atr_14": 0.41,
    "method": "reference_price_plus_minus_atr14"
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  "public_content": {
    "date": "September 3, 2026",
    "generated_at": "2026-09-03T17:51:44.718228Z",
    "original_published_at": null,
    "session_tag": "midday",
    "label": "Market coverage",
    "try_label": "Try of the Day",
    "public_status": "Try of the Day",
    "why_today": "HCM offers the clearest balanced public research question in the sealed set: an issuer-linked oncology partnership thesis, a 14.87% move on 4.09x volume, price above VWAP and strong relative performance, with enough extension and execution uncertainty to keep the conclusion conditional.",
    "entry_reasoning": "Panel thesis: HCM merits a fifteen-session public research follow-up because the GSK partnership and A830 licensing record provide a specific mechanism to test against the observed tape; the filing does not prove commercial value, clinical success or that the headline caused the whole move. Invalidation boundary: The thesis weakens if the above-VWAP structure fails, participation fades materially, the post-gap path cannot hold its constructive range, or subsequent issuer evidence does not support the proposed partnership mechanism.",
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      "score": 7,
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      "change": 14.87,
      "volume": 229980,
      "average_volume": 56190,
      "volume_ratio": 4.09,
      "rsi": 72.4,
      "ema_trend": "12.53 > 12.28 > 11.82",
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      "range_position": 0.834,
      "gap_pct": 0.0,
      "relative_strength": {
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        "index_chg_pct": 0.96,
        "status": "tailwind"
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        "percentile": 98.4,
        "status": "exceptional",
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      "days_to_cover": 3.91,
      "catalyst": "HUTCHMED (China) Limited (HCM) Discusses Strategic Partnership With GSK and Licensing of Oncology Asset A830 Transcript",
      "sector": "Healthcare",
      "exchange": "NASDAQ",
      "sec_signal": "NO_RECENT_FORM4_SIGNAL"
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      "upside_1": 14.45,
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    "review": {
      "score": 7,
      "status": "Majority with dissent",
      "summary": "The panel selects HCM as Try of the Day for a bounded public research case. Its issuer-linked oncology partnership thesis, direct SEC record, exceptional participation and constructive intraday structure align, while causality, commercial value and persistence remain conditional.",
      "views": [
        {
          "name": "Elena Vartanyan",
          "role": "independent statistical auditor",
          "icon": "🎯",
          "view": "HCM is the most balanced case: a direct issuer record, exceptional participation and a constructive intraday structure, but the causal chain remains conditional.",
          "reasoning": "A clean combination of tape and filing still does not prove that the partnership caused the move or will create durable value."
        },
        {
          "name": "Marcus Feld",
          "role": "information, fundamentals and catalyst analyst",
          "icon": "🦊",
          "view": "The GSK partnership and A830 licensing transcript give HCM a specific company question rather than a generic momentum story.",
          "reasoning": "The SEC record establishes disclosure provenance; it does not by itself establish commercial or clinical success."
        },
        {
          "name": "Kenji Osei",
          "role": "AI Systems & Market Data Integrity Analyst",
          "icon": "🧠",
          "view": "The sealed HCM packet is complete enough to compare: the market read is above VWAP, participation is exceptional and the primary source is traceable.",
          "reasoning": "The global breadth layer is unavailable, and the options feed is secondary evidence with a very wide quoted spread."
        },
        {
          "name": "Priya Nandakumar",
          "role": "institutional risk and execution manager",
          "icon": "🛡️",
          "view": "The case has a measurable public research horizon because the issuer mechanism can be followed against later evidence and market response.",
          "reasoning": "A 3.78 ATR extension, high RSI and limited option depth leave the post-event path vulnerable to reversal and slippage."
        },
        {
          "name": "Nate Brooks",
          "role": "market structure and timing analyst",
          "icon": "📈",
          "view": "HCM combines a rising intraday read, price above VWAP and a strong multi-window recovery better than the louder but more reflexive alternatives.",
          "reasoning": "The one-year chart still sits below prior highs and the current move is already extended, so continuation is not a default assumption."
        }
      ],
      "conviction": {
        "status_phrase": "majority-with-dissent",
        "basis": "HCM is the clearest balanced case because a direct issuer-linked mechanism, exceptional participation, above-VWAP structure and relative strength reinforce one another; extension, causal attribution and persistence keep a material counter-case alive.",
        "risk": "",
        "resolution_pct": 66.0,
        "counter_case_pct": 24.0,
        "unresolved_pct": 10.0
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        "mode": "coffee",
        "status": "complete",
        "consulted_voice_ids": [
          "elena",
          "marcus",
          "kenji",
          "priya",
          "nate"
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        "summary": "The public context is mixed rather than directional: policy uncertainty, oil and gold remain active cross-asset signals, while the sealed breadth layer is unavailable. Those forces may amplify an issuer event, but they do not select a candidate or establish causality.",
        "long_read": "The day-first reading keeps the macro layer in its proper place. The Federal Reserve discussion leaves the path dependent on incoming inflation, labor and growth information; market reporting keeps oil, yields and geopolitical risk in view; and the gold report shows that softer dollar and yields can shift cross-asset attention. For this review, that backdrop raises the value of explicit invalidation and makes a company-specific mechanism more useful than a generic momentum label. It does not turn the context into a score, a breadth substitute or a second selection round.",
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          {
            "speaker_id": "elena",
            "text": "The public backdrop is uncertain, so it should bound claims rather than manufacture a market direction. Policy and incoming data can change how an issuer move is interpreted.",
            "source_urls": [
              "https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/waller20260903a.htm"
            ]
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "marcus",
            "text": "Oil, geopolitical risk and earnings are part of the day's attention map. They explain why a headline can travel quickly, but they do not explain HCM without the issuer-linked record.",
            "source_urls": [
              "https://apnews.com/article/stocks-markets-oil-trump-iran-war-7e1bffd68c53b54806be950f01181994"
            ]
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "kenji",
            "text": "The breadth artifact is unavailable in the sealed handoff. That is a confidence boundary, not a negative reading and not a reason to reject a candidate with its own complete evidence."
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "priya",
            "text": "Cross-asset movement increases the importance of survivability after the first reaction. A public case needs a mechanism and a falsifier that remain readable if the backdrop changes.",
            "source_urls": [
              "https://www.kitco.com/news/off-the-wire/2026-09-03/gold-advances-softer-us-dollar-bond-yields-ahead-payrolls-report"
            ]
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "nate",
            "text": "The context does not replace the tape. HCM still has to demonstrate that its constructive structure is more than a single session response, and the chart pack is the direct evidence for that current observation."
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "elena",
            "text": "That leaves one useful bridge into the formal room: use the macro layer to state uncertainty, then compare candidates on their own mechanism, participation and continuity."
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "marcus",
            "text": "Agreed. HCM's advantage is not that macro is favorable; it is that the public question remains specific when macro is noisy."
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "priya",
            "text": "The context therefore supports conditional language and visible limits. It does not change the route or add a second vote."
          }
        ],
        "source_urls": [
          "https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/waller20260903a.htm",
          "https://apnews.com/article/stocks-markets-oil-trump-iran-war-7e1bffd68c53b54806be950f01181994",
          "https://www.kitco.com/news/off-the-wire/2026-09-03/gold-advances-softer-us-dollar-bond-yields-ahead-payrolls-report"
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          "headline": "Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy",
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          "headline": "Gold advances on softer US dollar and bond yields ahead of payrolls report",
          "url": "https://www.kitco.com/news/off-the-wire/2026-09-03/gold-advances-softer-us-dollar-bond-yields-ahead-payrolls-report",
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    "updates": [
      {
        "day": 15,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-25T22:24:44Z",
        "date": "Session 15 · Sep 25, 2026 · 18:24 NASDAQ",
        "text": "At session 15, HCM's canonical result is +0.22% from $13.83. Its path ranged from +4.60% to -8.05%; checkpoints were +1.29% at session 1, -7.84% at 5 and -1.73% at 10. The initial +14.87% move on 4.09 times average volume accompanied a documented GSK partnership and A830 license, but did not prove commercial value, clinical success or price causality. HCM remained strong versus Healthcare over 20 sessions, though session 14 fell 3.27% on 0.64 times average volume without confirmed structure. A fresh $13.94 capture has conflicting -0.5% and +0.29% change fields, which do not alter +0.22%. Final session-average price, RSI, trend and 52-week readings are unavailable. Tracking ends here.",
        "price": 14.0,
        "pct": 0.65,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 1.23,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 1.23,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.72,
        "session_day": 15,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$14.00 · +1.23% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": true,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": true,
        "transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-29a816628eccc15977e2a414225bf23470a767360e2b654090bb61702ca962d4",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:08:48Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 14,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-24T21:53:12.961956Z",
        "date": "Session 14 · Sep 24, 2026 · 17:53 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM gave back 0.54 percentage points to a tracked -0.07% as shares fell 3.27% on volume at 0.64 times the three-month average; its later $13.90 capture sat just below the $13.94 VWAP reference, despite an earlier intraday reading above it. The GSK/A830 partnership remains a specific issuer fact and HCM still leads Healthcare over 20 sessions, but the retreat and lack of confirmed structure weaken market confirmation; with one session left, the continuation thesis is still unresolved.",
        "price": 13.9,
        "pct": -0.07,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 0.51,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 0.51,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.5,
        "session_day": 14,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$13.90 · +0.51% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": true,
        "active_relevant": true,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-5ce4faac33a68f7fa79ee9b2c774e00dcc9212f83d0dab343978d75bdd84deb5",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-24T20:10:05Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 14,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-24T20:17:39.457542Z",
        "date": "Session 14 · Sep 24, 2026 · 16:17 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM's tracked gain held at 0.47%, unchanged from the previous note; this capture offers no fresh share-price, VWAP or turnover reading to show whether the earlier weakness has eased. The GSK/A830 partnership remains a specific issuer mechanism, but market confirmation and commercial value remain unproven.",
        "price": 13.97,
        "pct": 0.47,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 1.01,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 1.01,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.04,
        "session_day": 14,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$13.97 · +1.01% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:08:48Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 14,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-24T14:21:12.715677Z",
        "date": "Session 14 · Sep 24, 2026 · 10:21 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM's tracked gain fell 2.84 points to 0.47% as shares dropped 2.75% and slipped below the session's volume-weighted average price on very light trading. It still leads Healthcare by 16.54 points over 20 sessions, but today's weakness and lack of a confirmed price pattern put market support for the GSK partnership and licensing case under pressure; commercial value remains unproven.",
        "price": 13.975,
        "pct": 0.47,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 1.05,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 1.05,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -2.85,
        "session_day": 14,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$13.97 · +1.05% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-24T14:06:20.904650Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 13,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-23T21:45:07.416673Z",
        "date": "Session 13 · Sep 23, 2026 · 17:45 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM's tracked gain increased 0.15 points to 3.31% after a 2.13% advance, with the close 0.48% above VWAP and dollar volume at 1.31 times its 20-day average. A 21.36-point lead over Healthcare supports a constructive market read around the GSK partnership and licensing record, though price strength does not establish commercial conversion.",
        "price": 14.37,
        "pct": 3.31,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 3.9,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 3.9,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.43,
        "session_day": 13,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$14.37 · +3.90% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-23T20:36:29Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 13,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-23T20:29:30.251249Z",
        "date": "Session 13 · Sep 23, 2026 · 16:29 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM's tracked gain increased 0.79 points to 3.16% as shares rose 1.71%, held 0.48% above VWAP near the upper part of the range and kept a 20-session lead over its sector. Yet dollar volume was only 0.44 times its 20-day average and price stood 1.8 average true ranges above its reference; the oncology-partnership case has price support, but participation remains thin.",
        "price": 14.31,
        "pct": 3.16,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 3.47,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 3.47,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.51,
        "session_day": 13,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$14.31 · +3.47% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
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        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-23T19:35:00.588557Z",
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      },
      {
        "day": 13,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-23T15:00:00.589521Z",
        "date": "Session 13 · Sep 23, 2026 · 11:00 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM's tracked gain improved 1.22 points to 2.37% after a 1.21% rise that reclaimed VWAP, but volume was only 0.24x average and no structure is confirmed. The oncology-partnership question remains issuer-specific; stronger tape has not yet established durable continuation.",
        "price": 14.24,
        "pct": 2.37,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 2.96,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 2.96,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 1.22,
        "session_day": 13,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$14.24 · +2.96% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-23T14:07:21.397247Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 12,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-22T21:37:05.960128Z",
        "date": "Session 12 · Sep 22, 2026 · 17:37 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM's tracked gain is now 1.15%, 0.07 points below the previous note after a 2.83% decline that closed below VWAP. The oncology-partnership question remains issuer-specific and the stock still leads Healthcare over 20 sessions, but weak participation and no confirmed structure keep durable continuation unproven.",
        "price": 14.07,
        "pct": 1.15,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 1.74,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 1.74,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.07,
        "session_day": 12,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$14.07 · +1.74% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
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        "price_as_of": "2026-09-22T21:08:47Z",
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      {
        "day": 12,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-22T20:31:22.056113Z",
        "date": "Session 12 · Sep 22, 2026 · 16:31 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM's tracked gain eased to 1.22% after a 2.76% decline, with price 0.15% below VWAP on 0.35x average volume. The oncology-partnership question remains issuer-specific and Healthcare-relative, but weak participation and no confirmed structure keep durable continuation unproven.",
        "price": 14.08,
        "pct": 1.22,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 1.81,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 1.81,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.21,
        "session_day": 12,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$14.08 · +1.81% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
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        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-22T19:21:53.147856Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 12,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-22T15:14:16.591773Z",
        "date": "Session 12 · Sep 22, 2026 · 11:14 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM's tracked gain fell 2.37 points to 1.73% as price declined 2.56% to 14.11 and closed 0.26% below VWAP at the bottom of its range. Participation was 0.07x average volume and no structure is confirmed; the GSK/A830 partnership remains a specific issuer question, but the current tape does not confirm durable continuation.",
        "price": 14.11,
        "pct": 1.73,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 2.02,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 2.02,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -2.68,
        "session_day": 12,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$14.11 · +2.02% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
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        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-22T14:06:32.230182Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 11,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-21T22:18:51.124535Z",
        "date": "Session 11 · Sep 21, 2026 · 18:18 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM improved its tracked gain by 0.47 points to 4.10% as price rose 5.93% to 14.48, held 0.85% above VWAP near the range high and traded at 1.70 times average volume. The oncology-partnership case has stronger company-relative support, but decelerating participation and no confirmed structure keep durability conditional.",
        "price": 14.48,
        "pct": 4.1,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 4.7,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 4.7,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.31,
        "session_day": 11,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$14.48 · +4.70% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-21T20:10:08Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 11,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-21T20:02:25.007701Z",
        "date": "Session 11 · Sep 21, 2026 · 16:02 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM's tracked gain improved 0.68 point to 3.63% as the stock rose 5.61% to 14.44, held 0.85% above VWAP near the range high and kept a 17.51-point Healthcare-relative lead. The GSK/A830 mechanism is better supported by today's tape, but 0.75 times average dollar volume and no confirmed structure leave durability unproven.",
        "price": 14.4375,
        "pct": 3.63,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 4.39,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 4.39,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.92,
        "session_day": 11,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$14.44 · +4.39% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-21T19:23:03.095376Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 11,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-21T14:37:39.144960Z",
        "date": "Session 11 · Sep 21, 2026 · 10:37 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM repaired 4.68 points of tracked return to a 2.95% gain as price reached 14.31, 0.52% above VWAP and near the top of its range, but volume was only 0.46 times average and no structure was confirmed. The GSK/A830 mechanism and strong Healthcare-relative record keep the thesis alive; the model's roughly 48%-49% same-direction read and broad remaining range qualify the repair rather than confirm durable continuation.",
        "price": 14.31,
        "pct": 2.95,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 3.47,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 3.47,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 4.63,
        "session_day": 11,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$14.31 · +3.47% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": true,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-0f2b754ff570589d30b1dcfe7b025e9ea10b39b622a67377a411a77c1d679d6b",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-21T14:09:41.346729Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 10,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-18T22:28:34.944914Z",
        "date": "Session 10 · Sep 18, 2026 · 18:28 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM's tracked loss widened 0.49 points to -1.73% as price slipped 1.09% to 13.67, just above 13.66 VWAP near the top of its range on only 0.23x average volume. The GSK/A830 partnership remains a concrete mechanism with strong relative support, but thin participation and absent structure keep continuation unresolved.",
        "price": 13.67,
        "pct": -1.73,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -1.16,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -1.16,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.58,
        "session_day": 10,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$13.67 · -1.16% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-18T20:10:03Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 10,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-18T20:14:44.113848Z",
        "date": "Session 10 · Sep 18, 2026 · 16:14 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM's tracked loss stands at -1.24% after the latest capture slipped 0.51% to 13.75 on only 0.14x average volume. The GSK/A830 partnership remains a concrete operating mechanism with relative support, but thin participation and no current structure leave durable continuation unresolved.",
        "price": 13.75,
        "pct": -1.24,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -0.58,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -0.58,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 1.3,
        "session_day": 10,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$13.75 · -0.58% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-18T19:21:09.426587Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 10,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-18T14:41:45.197545Z",
        "date": "Session 10 · Sep 18, 2026 · 10:41 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM's tracked loss widened 1.79 points to -2.44% as price fell 1.81% to $13.57; VWAP was unavailable and volume was only 0.06x average. The GSK/A830 mechanism and 10.62-point sector-relative lead remain supportive, but absent intraday confirmation and thin participation leave durable continuation unresolved.",
        "price": 13.57,
        "pct": -2.44,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -1.88,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -1.88,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.81,
        "session_day": 10,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$13.57 · -1.88% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-18T14:06:06.717745Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 9,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-17T22:21:38.647245Z",
        "date": "Session 9 · Sep 17, 2026 · 18:21 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM's tracked loss widened 0.15 points to -0.65% even as the latest capture rose 2.67% to USD 13.82 and held 0.40% above VWAP. Volume is 0.52x average with no confirmed structure; 20-session relative strength remains supportive at +9.77% versus Healthcare at -3.91%, but the 5721.59-basis-point spread leaves durable continuation unresolved.",
        "price": 13.82,
        "pct": -0.65,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -0.07,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -0.07,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.14,
        "session_day": 9,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$13.82 · -0.07% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-17T20:10:04Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 9,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-17T14:38:26.314279Z",
        "date": "Session 9 · Sep 17, 2026 · 10:38 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM's tracked loss improved 3.17 points to -0.50% as the latest capture rose 2.82% to $13.84; intraday VWAP was unavailable and volume was 0.25x average. The GSK/A830 partnership remains a specific mechanism and twenty-session relative performance is strong, but no confirmed structure and a very wide observed quote spread leave durable continuation unresolved.",
        "price": 13.84,
        "pct": -0.5,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 0.07,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 0.07,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 3.25,
        "session_day": 9,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$13.84 · +0.07% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": true,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-cd2a9cdc19b9411d600dd245255c3fc66b426afdda0e68c1a55dc45492ff53f1",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-17T14:10:17.742927Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 8,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-16T20:27:43.029594Z",
        "date": "Session 8 · Sep 16, 2026 · 16:27 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM's tracked loss widened 0.33 points to -3.67% after a 2.90% fall to .39. Price finished 0.61% below VWAP on 0.26x average volume at the bottom of its range, with no confirmed structure; the partnership-and-licensing case remains a live test, not confirmation.",
        "price": 13.39,
        "pct": -3.67,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -3.18,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -3.18,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.4,
        "session_day": 8,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$13.39 · -3.18% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-16T19:21:13.018409Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 8,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-16T14:49:03.848166Z",
        "date": "Session 8 · Sep 16, 2026 · 10:49 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM tracked loss is 3,34% as the latest capture moved 2,50% to USD 13,45, with price below VWAP on 0,09 times time-adjusted participation. The tracked result widened 2,48 points, but The partnership and licensing case remains a live test, not durable confirmation.",
        "price": 13.445,
        "pct": -3.34,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -2.78,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -2.78,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -2.49,
        "session_day": 8,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$13.45 · -2.78% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-16T14:06:40.306426Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 7,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-15T21:47:20.434667Z",
        "date": "Session 7 · Sep 15, 2026 · 17:47 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM tracked loss widened 0.22 points to -0.86% even after a 0.95% rise to USD 13.79, with price above VWAP on 0.94 times time-adjusted volume. The GSK partnership and A830 licensing case still has a live price test, but no confirmed structure means the latest rebound is not durable confirmation.",
        "price": 13.79,
        "pct": -0.86,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -0.29,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -0.29,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.22,
        "session_day": 7,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$13.79 · -0.29% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-15T20:10:07Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 7,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-15T19:27:19.871047Z",
        "date": "Session 7 · Sep 15, 2026 · 15:27 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM's current tape points to repair: it moved 0,73% to $13,76, with VWAP at 13,68 and volume at 0,79 times its three-month average. The tracked return is -1,08%, versus 0,46 points since the previous public note; Healthcare-relative wording remains supportive with a 9,27 point gap versus Healthcare, so the published thesis is not upgraded beyond what this move supports.",
        "price": 13.76,
        "pct": -1.08,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -0.51,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -0.51,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.46,
        "session_day": 7,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$13.76 · -0.51% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-15T19:21:00.581079Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 7,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-15T16:22:25.549193Z",
        "date": "Session 7 · Sep 15, 2026 · 12:22 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM tracked loss narrowed 0.26 points to -1.54% as the current capture rose 0.26% to $13.70, 0.18% above VWAP on 0.56 times average volume. Healthcare-relative strength remains strong and the immediate price test holds, but no structure is confirmed and participation is fading; the GSK partnership and A830 licensing case has a live test, not durable confirmation.",
        "price": 13.6952,
        "pct": -1.54,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -0.97,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -0.97,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.26,
        "session_day": 7,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$13.70 · -0.97% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-15T15:52:36.865021Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 6,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-14T23:35:39.776146Z",
        "date": "Session 6 · Sep 14, 2026 · 19:35 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM's tracked loss narrowed to -1.80% as the latest capture rose 6.55% to $13.66, above VWAP near the top of its range on accelerating participation. Healthcare relative strength and the renewed price test support the GSK partnership and A830 licensing case, but no confirmed structure means durable confirmation remains premature.",
        "price": 13.66,
        "pct": -1.8,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -1.23,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -1.23,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
        "session_day": 6,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$13.66 · -1.23% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-14T20:10:04Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 6,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-14T22:40:22.013941Z",
        "date": "Session 6 · Sep 14, 2026 · 18:40 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM improved 0.21 points to a tracked loss of -1.80% as the latest capture rose 6.55% to $13.66, 0.59% above VWAP on 1.73x average volume. Healthcare relative strength and accelerating participation restore an immediate test for the GSK partnership and A830 licensing case, but no confirmed structure makes durable confirmation premature.",
        "price": 13.66,
        "pct": -1.8,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -1.23,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -1.23,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.36,
        "session_day": 6,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$13.66 · -1.23% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-14T20:04:02Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 6,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-14T14:44:41.847996Z",
        "date": "Session 6 · Sep 14, 2026 · 10:44 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM tracked loss narrowed 5.83 points to -2.01% as the current capture rose 6.16% to $13.61 and moved 0.67% above VWAP. That repairs the immediate price location after the recent failure, and Healthcare-relative performance remains supportive, but volume is only 0.61 times average and no structure is confirmed; the GSK partnership and A830 licensing case has regained a test, not durable market confirmation.",
        "price": 13.61,
        "pct": -2.01,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -1.59,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -1.59,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 5.71,
        "session_day": 6,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$13.61 · -1.59% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": true,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-1ec83eeede2cbb36064803521b1ec43409f263dea98e7b73d196db04ea8d9ba2",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-14T14:05:55.081234Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 5,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-11T22:10:21.128970Z",
        "date": "Session 5 · Sep 11, 2026 · 18:10 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM's tracked loss widened 0.08 points to -7.84% as the latest capture fell 2.29% to $12.82, below the $12.85 VWAP reference at the session floor on 1.27 times average volume. Healthcare-relative strength remains positive over twenty sessions, but no structure or renewed participation is confirmed, leaving the oncology-partnership case without near-term price support.",
        "price": 12.82,
        "pct": -7.84,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -7.3,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -7.3,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.07,
        "session_day": 5,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$12.82 · -7.30% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-11T20:10:05Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 5,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-11T19:50:51.874034Z",
        "date": "Session 5 · Sep 11, 2026 · 15:50 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM's tracked loss widened 0.21 points to -7.76% as price fell 2.21% to $12.83 and closed below VWAP at the range floor on 0.85 times average volume. Healthcare-relative strength remains positive, but no structure or renewed participation is confirmed; the oncology-partnership case has lost near-term price support.",
        "price": 12.83,
        "pct": -7.76,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -7.23,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -7.23,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.07,
        "session_day": 5,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$12.83 · -7.23% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-11T19:21:33.380908Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 5,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-11T14:46:42.440229Z",
        "date": "Session 5 · Sep 11, 2026 · 10:46 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM tracked loss widened 1.87 points to -7.55% as the stock fell 2.13% to $12.84, closed 0.39% below VWAP at the range floor and traded at 0.25 times average volume. Healthcare-relative strength remains positive, but the oncology-partnership case has lost its near-term price support; no structure or renewed participation is confirmed.",
        "price": 12.84,
        "pct": -7.55,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -7.16,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -7.16,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -2.03,
        "session_day": 5,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$12.84 · -7.16% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-11T14:06:25.411176Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 4,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-10T21:47:22.464843Z",
        "date": "Session 4 · Sep 10, 2026 · 17:47 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM's tracked loss widened 0.14 points to -5.68% since the previous public note. The stock fell 3.32% to USD 13.12, finished 0.23% below VWAP near the bottom of its range on 0.69 times average volume, and showed no confirmed structure; Healthcare-relative strength remains positive, but the oncology-partnership thesis currently lacks price support.",
        "price": 13.12,
        "pct": -5.68,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -5.13,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -5.13,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.21,
        "session_day": 4,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$13.12 · -5.13% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-10T20:10:08Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 4,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-10T20:00:46.121461Z",
        "date": "Session 4 · Sep 10, 2026 · 16:00 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM's tracked loss widened 0.29 points to -5.54% since the previous public note. The latest capture fell 3.10% to USD 13.15, 0.23% below VWAP near the bottom of its range on 0.42 times average volume; Healthcare-relative strength remains positive, but the oncology-partnership thesis has no confirmed structure and the current tape offers little price support.",
        "price": 13.15,
        "pct": -5.54,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -4.92,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -4.92,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.22,
        "session_day": 4,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$13.15 · -4.92% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-10T19:21:10.275300Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 4,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-10T14:39:35.520298Z",
        "date": "Session 4 · Sep 10, 2026 · 10:39 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM tracked loss widened 2.81 points to -5.25% since the last public note. The latest capture fell 2.87% to about USD 13.18, 0.90% below VWAP at the bottom of its range on 0.04 times average volume, with decelerating participation and no confirmed structure. Healthcare-relative strength keeps the partnership case specific, but the current tape offers no price support for the published continuation thesis.",
        "price": 13.1801,
        "pct": -5.25,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -4.7,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -4.7,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -2.82,
        "session_day": 4,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$13.18 · -4.70% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": true,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-a129b187db20090df0b50bac176bd7f80347656720ccd5f621a26716ce23c79b",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-10T14:06:15.609526Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 3,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-09T22:21:35.893653Z",
        "date": "Session 3 · Sep 9, 2026 · 18:21 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM's tracked loss narrowed from -2.59% to -2.44% since the last public note as the latest capture fell 2.23% to about .57, below VWAP near the bottom of its range on 0.49x average volume. Healthcare-relative strength remains positive over 20 sessions, but decelerating participation and no confirmed structure leave the partnership case without current price support.",
        "price": 13.57,
        "pct": -2.44,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -1.88,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -1.88,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.04,
        "session_day": 3,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$13.57 · -1.88% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-09T20:10:05Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 3,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-09T20:21:23.038863Z",
        "date": "Session 3 · Sep 9, 2026 · 16:21 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM's tracked loss widened 0.51 points to -2.59% as the latest capture fell 2.27% to about USD 13.57, 0.26% below VWAP on 1.05x average volume. Healthcare-relative strength remains 9.53 points positive over 20 sessions, but decelerating participation and no confirmed structure leave the partnership case without current price support.",
        "price": 13.565,
        "pct": -2.59,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -1.92,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -1.92,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.62,
        "session_day": 3,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$13.56 · -1.92% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-09T19:21:49.561649Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 3,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-09T14:45:46.302984Z",
        "date": "Session 3 · Sep 9, 2026 · 10:45 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM's tracked loss widened 1.86 points to -2.08% as the latest capture fell 1.66% to USD 13.65, 0.41% below VWAP on 0.28x average volume at the bottom of its range. Healthcare-relative strength remains positive over 20 sessions, but accelerating weakness and no confirmed structure leave the partnership case without current price support.",
        "price": 13.65,
        "pct": -2.08,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -1.3,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -1.3,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.66,
        "session_day": 3,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$13.65 · -1.30% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-09T14:06:47.281893Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 2,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-08T22:00:40.952872Z",
        "date": "Session 2 · Sep 8, 2026 · 18:00 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM's tracked loss is unchanged at -0.22% as price fell 1.49% to $13.88 but held 0.08% above VWAP on 1.71x average volume. Strong Healthcare-relative performance and constructive participation keep the partnership question open, yet no confirmed structure shows that demand will persist.",
        "price": 13.88,
        "pct": -0.22,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 0.36,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 0.36,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.11,
        "session_day": 2,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$13.88 · +0.36% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-08T21:08:11Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 2,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-08T19:47:56.311144Z",
        "date": "Session 2 · Sep 8, 2026 · 15:47 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM's tracked loss narrowed 0.21 points to -0.22% as price fell 1.38% to $13.90 but held 0.11% above VWAP on 1.48x average volume. Healthcare-relative performance remains +11.22 points over 20 sessions, yet decelerating activity and no confirmed structure keep the partnership case open rather than proving persistent demand.",
        "price": 13.895,
        "pct": -0.22,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 0.47,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 0.47,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.26,
        "session_day": 2,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$13.89 · +0.47% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-08T19:22:03.550453Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 2,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-08T14:42:30.178959Z",
        "date": "Session 2 · Sep 8, 2026 · 10:42 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM tracked loss widened 1.72 points to -0.43% at session 2 after the latest capture fell 1.64% to $13.86, only 0.04% above VWAP. Healthcare-relative performance remains +10.42 points over 20 sessions, but volume has fallen to 0.46 times average and no structure is confirmed; the partnership question remains open without proof that participation will persist.",
        "price": 13.8595,
        "pct": -0.43,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 0.21,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 0.21,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.67,
        "session_day": 2,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$13.86 · +0.21% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-08T14:06:19.550837Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 1,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-04T22:02:32.410161Z",
        "date": "Session 1 · Sep 4, 2026 · 18:02 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM first tracked gain eased 0.29 points to +1.29% as the latest capture slipped 0.14% to $14.09 and sat 0.35% below VWAP on 2.40 times average volume. Healthcare-relative strength and meaningful participation keep the oncology-partnership question open, but the loss of the earlier price location and absence of confirmed structure provide no proof of persistence.",
        "price": 14.09,
        "pct": 1.29,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 1.88,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 1.88,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.69,
        "session_day": 1,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$14.09 · +1.88% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-04T20:43:09Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 1,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-04T20:02:48.274789Z",
        "date": "Session 1 · Sep 4, 2026 · 16:02 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM is nearly unchanged at +1.58% on its first tracked result, up 0.07 points from the previous note as the latest capture rose 0.53% to $14.19 and held 0.32% above VWAP. Participation remains meaningful at 2.00 times average volume and Healthcare-relative strength is supportive, but the move has given back its earlier range position and no confirmed structure is recorded; the partnership thesis remains an opening question, not proof of persistence.",
        "price": 14.185,
        "pct": 1.58,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 2.57,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 2.57,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.47,
        "session_day": 1,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$14.19 · +2.57% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-04T19:21:46.989147Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 1,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-04T14:57:48.221914Z",
        "date": "Session 1 · Sep 4, 2026 · 10:57 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM's first tracked result is +1.51% from its reference, while the latest capture was nearly flat at $14.12 and 0.35% below VWAP near the lower part of its range on 0.76 times average volume. The oncology-partnership signal still commands attention and relative strength is supportive, but participation is fading and no confirmed structure is recorded; this is an opening observation, not proof of persistence or mechanism.",
        "price": 14.12,
        "pct": 1.51,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 2.1,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 2.1,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.5,
        "session_day": 1,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$14.12 · +2.10% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-04T14:06:17.385242Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 0,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-03T20:19:13.675716Z",
        "date": "Session 0 · Sep 3, 2026 · 16:19 NASDAQ",
        "text": "HCM's first tracked result is +1.51% from its reference after the latest capture jumped 17.86% to $14.19, 2.12% above VWAP near the top of its range on 8.18 times average volume. The oncology-partnership thesis has a forceful price and participation response, but the move is 4.37 ATR above its EMA reference, participation is decelerating and no structure is confirmed; the opening signal is attention, not proof of persistence or mechanism.",
        "price": 14.19,
        "pct": 1.51,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 2.6,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 2.6,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 2.6,
        "session_day": 0,
        "reference_price": 13.83,
        "reference_text": "$14.19 · +2.60% from $13.83 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T19:21:52.173032Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      }
    ],
    "observed_outcomes": [
      {
        "label": "+1 sessions",
        "status": "complete",
        "return": 1.29,
        "reference_text": "+1.29% from $13.83 base",
        "price": 14.09,
        "updated": "Sep 4, 2026 · 17:05 NASDAQ",
        "mfe": 2.98,
        "mae": 1.11
      },
      {
        "label": "+5 sessions",
        "status": "complete",
        "return": -7.84,
        "reference_text": "-7.84% from $13.83 base",
        "price": 12.82,
        "updated": "Sep 11, 2026 · 17:05 NASDAQ",
        "mfe": 2.98,
        "mae": -8.05
      },
      {
        "label": "+10 sessions",
        "status": "complete",
        "return": -1.73,
        "reference_text": "-1.73% from $13.83 base",
        "price": 13.67,
        "updated": "Sep 18, 2026 · 17:05 NASDAQ",
        "mfe": 2.98,
        "mae": -8.05
      },
      {
        "label": "+15 sessions",
        "status": "complete",
        "return": 0.22,
        "reference_text": "+0.22% from $13.83 base",
        "price": 13.94,
        "updated": "Sep 25, 2026 · 17:05 NASDAQ",
        "mfe": 4.6,
        "mae": -8.05
      }
    ],
    "candidate_comparison_history": [
      {
        "day": 0,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-03T20:19:13.675716Z",
        "comparison": {
          "schema_version": "public-candidate-comparison.v1",
          "captured_at": "2026-09-03T20:19:13.675716Z",
          "base_definition": "Candidates use the publication reference; benchmarks use the previous regular close.",
          "source": "sealed_update_market_context + canonical_candidate_snapshot + market_trajectory + public_market_snapshot",
          "rows": [
            {
              "symbol": "HCM",
              "role": "selected",
              "price": 14.19,
              "base_price": 13.83,
              "return_since_base_pct": 2.603,
              "session_return_pct": 17.86,
              "change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
              "volume_ratio": 8.18,
              "rsi": 74.51,
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              "extended_hours_pct": null,
              "as_of": "2026-09-03T19:21:52.173032Z",
              "source": "yfinance_quote",
              "name": "HUTCHMED (China) Limited",
              "episode_id": "n0:HCM:2026-09-03",
              "ema_trend": "12.6 > 12.31 > 12.01",
              "vwap_state": "above",
              "selection_as_of": "2026-09-03T15:17:06.620094Z",
              "facts": [
                "The sealed packet records a 14.87% move to 13.83 on 4.09x volume, with price at 83.4% of the intraday range.",
                "The intraday read is above VWAP at 13.72, with an up trend, 12.14 time-adjusted relative volume and a positive slope.",
                "The packet carries a direct SEC EDGAR 6-K record dated 2026-09-03 and a catalyst tied to the GSK partnership and A830 oncology asset licensing transcript."
              ],
              "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T19:21:52.173032Z",
              "vwap_as_of": null
            },
            {
              "symbol": "BNC",
              "role": "alternative",
              "price": 3.33,
              "base_price": 3.37,
              "return_since_base_pct": -1.1869,
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              "change_since_prior_pct": 0.2438,
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              "source": "yfinance_quote",
              "name": "CEA Industries Inc.",
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              "ema_trend": "3.0 > 2.87 > 2.71",
              "vwap_state": "above",
              "selection_as_of": "2026-09-03T15:17:23.413122Z",
              "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T19:49:53Z",
              "vwap_as_of": null
            },
            {
              "symbol": "DLTH",
              "role": "alternative",
              "price": 4.4662,
              "base_price": 4.325,
              "return_since_base_pct": 3.2647,
              "session_return_pct": 23.3738,
              "change_since_prior_pct": -1.0896,
              "volume_ratio": 20.31,
              "rsi": 61.84,
              "vwap": 4.04,
              "vwap_distance_pct": 10.5495,
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              "extended_hours_pct": null,
              "as_of": "2026-09-03T19:50:05Z",
              "source": "yfinance_quote",
              "name": "Duluth Holdings Inc.",
              "episode_id": "n0:DLTH:2026-09-03",
              "ema_trend": "3.83 > 3.88 > 4.05",
              "vwap_state": "above",
              "selection_as_of": "2026-09-03T15:16:29.303105Z",
              "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T19:50:05Z",
              "vwap_as_of": null
            },
            {
              "symbol": "DFDV",
              "role": "alternative",
              "price": 6.085,
              "base_price": 5.78,
              "return_since_base_pct": 5.2768,
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              "change_since_prior_pct": 0.9959,
              "volume_ratio": 1.22,
              "rsi": 83.25,
              "vwap": 5.71,
              "vwap_distance_pct": 6.5674,
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              "extended_hours_pct": null,
              "as_of": "2026-09-03T19:50:10Z",
              "source": "yfinance_quote",
              "name": "DeFi Development Corp.",
              "episode_id": "n0:DFDV:2026-09-03",
              "ema_trend": "4.97 > 4.26 > 3.59",
              "vwap_state": "above",
              "selection_as_of": "2026-09-03T15:18:19.178242Z",
              "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T19:50:10Z",
              "vwap_as_of": null
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            {
              "symbol": "DPRO",
              "role": "alternative",
              "price": 6.475,
              "base_price": 6.05,
              "return_since_base_pct": 7.0248,
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              "volume_ratio": 1.28,
              "rsi": 70.77,
              "vwap": 6.1,
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              "as_of": "2026-09-03T19:50:12Z",
              "source": "yfinance_quote",
              "name": "Draganfly Inc.",
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              "vwap_state": "below",
              "selection_as_of": "2026-09-03T15:18:03.777556Z",
              "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T19:50:12Z",
              "vwap_as_of": null
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          "benchmarks": [],
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        }
      },
      {
        "day": 1,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-04T14:57:48.221914Z",
        "comparison": {
          "schema_version": "public-candidate-comparison.v1",
          "captured_at": "2026-09-04T14:57:48.221914Z",
          "base_definition": "Candidates use the publication reference; benchmarks use the previous regular close.",
          "source": "sealed_update_market_context + canonical_candidate_snapshot + market_trajectory + public_market_snapshot",
          "rows": [
            {
              "symbol": "HCM",
              "role": "selected",
              "price": 14.12,
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              "source": "yfinance_quote",
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              "source": "yfinance_quote",
              "name": "Draganfly Inc.",
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              "id": "nasdaq100",
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              "return_since_base_pct": 0.0281,
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              "as_of": "2026-09-24T21:52:24.582324Z",
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            {
              "id": "russell2000",
              "symbol": "^RUT",
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}