SIG episode 20260909_SIG_MIDDAY

Public episode JSON embedded as readable text for automated access.

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  "episode_id": "20260909_SIG_MIDDAY",
  "episode_url": "https://trydingday.com/data/agents/v1/episodes/20260909_SIG_MIDDAY.html",
  "public_page_url": "https://trydingday.com/coverage/sig/2026-09-09/midday/",
  "published_at": "2026-09-09T18:44:38.827691Z",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-05T22:31:55Z",
  "lifecycle": {
    "tracking_status": "closed",
    "active_for_tracking": false,
    "stage": "closed"
  },
  "instrument": {
    "type": "equity",
    "symbol": "SIG",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "name": "Signet Jewelers Limited"
  },
  "technical_reference": {
    "status": "ok",
    "reference_price": 98.8,
    "model_downside_reference": 92.75,
    "model_upside_scenario_1": 104.84,
    "model_upside_scenario_2": 110.89,
    "atr_14": 4.03,
    "method": "reference_price_plus_minus_atr14"
  },
  "public_content": {
    "date": "September 9, 2026",
    "generated_at": "2026-09-09T18:44:38.827691Z",
    "original_published_at": null,
    "session_tag": "midday",
    "label": "Market coverage",
    "try_label": "Try of the Day",
    "public_status": "Try of the Day",
    "why_today": "SIG is currently selected because its primary earnings event, strong participation and above-VWAP reaction form the clearest current mechanism-to-tape link in the compared set. The thesis remains conditional because the stock is extended, near its 52-week high and still requires confirmation beyond the initial repricing.",
    "entry_reasoning": "Panel thesis: Signet’s same-day profit beat, raised full-year profit outlook and $125 million buyback are tied to an observable repricing that held above the 97.58 VWAP in a weak market; the current S0-S15 thesis is that the earnings-backed mechanism can persist if the event structure and raised outlook hold. Invalidation boundary: A sustained break below the 97.58 VWAP and the earnings-day range, followed by failure of the raised profit outlook, would falsify continuation.",
    "reference_price": 98.8,
    "scanner": {
      "price": 98.8,
      "reference": 98.8,
      "score": 5,
      "score_version": "v0_legacy_reconstructed",
      "change": 19.51,
      "volume": 1848639,
      "average_volume": 761583,
      "volume_ratio": 2.43,
      "rsi": 69.08,
      "ema_trend": "86.31 > 86.33 > 87.53",
      "position_52w": 89.72,
      "atr_14": 4.03,
      "vwap": 97.58,
      "vwap_state": "above",
      "vwap_distance_pct": 1.25,
      "vwap_reading": {
        "price": 97.58,
        "state": "above",
        "distance_pct": 1.25
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      "range_position": 0.869,
      "gap_pct": 0.0,
      "relative_strength": {
        "excess_pct": 20.06,
        "index": "SPY",
        "index_chg_pct": -0.55,
        "status": "idiosyncratic"
      },
      "volume_percentile": {
        "median_vol": 733700,
        "percentile": 98.4,
        "status": "exceptional",
        "today_vol": 1848639
      },
      "extension": {
        "atr": 4.03,
        "dist_atr": 3.09,
        "ema_ref": 86.33,
        "status": "healthy"
      },
      "atr_move_signal": {
        "atr_pct": 4.08,
        "status": "strong",
        "z": 4.78
      },
      "sector_breadth": {
        "chg_pct": -1.35,
        "etf": "XLY",
        "status": "red"
      },
      "sentiment": null,
      "sentiment_score": null,
      "earnings_warning": {
        "days_away": 0,
        "earnings_date": "2026-09-09",
        "has_earnings_soon": true,
        "status": "earnings_day"
      },
      "options_snapshot": null,
      "extended_hours": {
        "ext_pct": null,
        "market_state": "REGULAR",
        "phase": "regular",
        "post_market_pct": null,
        "pre_market_pct": null,
        "status": "none"
      },
      "coiled_spring": {
        "component_count": 0,
        "components": {},
        "count": 0,
        "detector_version": "coiled-compression-ohlc.v1",
        "reason": "coiled_ohlc_detector_runs_on_research_and_known_ticker_rails",
        "schema_version": "coiled-features.v2",
        "status": "not_evaluated"
      },
      "short_pct_float": 18.47,
      "days_to_cover": 7.89,
      "catalyst": "Pre-Markets Trade Lower Ahead of Inflation Data Thursday, Friday",
      "sector": "Consumer Cyclical",
      "exchange": "NYSE",
      "sec_signal": "TAX_WITHHOLDING_ONLY (F/A)"
    },
    "levels": {
      "reference": 98.8,
      "downside": 92.75,
      "upside_1": 104.84,
      "upside_2": 110.89
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    "review": {
      "score": 5,
      "status": "Try Of The Day",
      "summary": "SIG is provisionally selected because its primary earnings event, strong participation and above-VWAP reaction form the clearest current mechanism-to-tape link in the compared set. The thesis remains conditional because the stock is extended, near its 52-week high and still requires confirmation beyond the initial repricing.",
      "views": [
        {
          "name": "Elena Vartanyan",
          "role": "independent statistical auditor",
          "icon": "🎯",
          "view": "The day comes first. The sealed breadth cut shows 87 advancers against 213 decliners across 300 fresh quotes, with net breadth at minus 42 percent. Oil above $100 and the geopolitical shock create a defensive backdrop, so a headline move is not enough.",
          "reasoning": "I am comfortable calling SIG a Try of the Day provisionally. The mechanism, participation and current structure support the first checkpoint. The unresolved fifteen-session path belongs in the thesis and falsifier, not in a fabricated certainty."
        },
        {
          "name": "Marcus Feld",
          "role": "information, fundamentals and catalyst analyst",
          "icon": "🦊",
          "view": "Agreed. That backdrop does not erase idiosyncratic catalysts, but it raises the standard. We need a concrete mechanism and evidence that the tape is responding to that mechanism rather than merely echoing the market.",
          "reasoning": "SIG therefore beats YQ and ODD on bounded continuation. YQ has a strong current revenue and margin comparison but sits 19.22 percent above VWAP with RSI at 82.81. ODD has a real recovery question, yet current revenue was reported down 25 percent and price was below VWAP."
        },
        {
          "name": "Nate Brooks",
          "role": "market structure and timing analyst",
          "icon": "📈",
          "view": "SIG gives us the cleanest first checkpoint. It is above the 97.58 VWAP, the reported distance is 1.25 percent, and the ordered trajectory stays in a narrow positive band around 18.58 to 19.64 percent.",
          "reasoning": "I entered with SSL first on structure, but the extension and missing fundamentals weaken that choice. SIG has less multi-timeframe cleanliness, yet its current event and above-VWAP response are more directly testable."
        },
        {
          "name": "Priya Nandakumar",
          "role": "institutional risk and execution manager",
          "icon": "🛡️",
          "view": "The risk is equally clear. SIG is 3.09 ATR from its EMA reference, near the 52-week high, and short interest is 18.47 percent. A strong reaction can still be a squeeze with a sharp reversal path.",
          "reasoning": "My risk lens would prefer ASO or SUNB on capacity, but I accept SIG as the provisional selection because the next observation is explicit and the adverse case is measurable. This is not a clean-risk call."
        },
        {
          "name": "Kenji Osei",
          "role": "AI Systems & Market Data Integrity Analyst",
          "icon": "🧠",
          "view": "The evidence lineage is sound enough for a provisional decision: a primary SEC event record, a complete current quote capture and five ordered provider observations. The shared horizon-model request failed for every candidate, so there is no model persistence estimate to lean on.",
          "reasoning": "Formal synthesis: select SIG as Try of the Day with majority dissent, based on the sealed evidence and not on a count of specialist rankings. Recheck 97.58 VWAP and the earnings-day range; failure there followed by failure of the raised outlook falsifies continuation."
        }
      ],
      "conviction": {
        "status_phrase": "recorded",
        "basis": "Support comes from a primary earnings disclosure and an above-VWAP reaction that held in a weak session. The counter-case is near-high extension, flat sales guidance, short interest and a negative latest-quarter operating-cash-flow level. Fifteen-session persistence and current-to-prepared-period reconciliation remain unresolved. These percentages express committee balance, not calibrated probabilities.",
        "risk": "",
        "resolution_pct": 58.0,
        "counter_case_pct": 27.0,
        "unresolved_pct": 15.0
      },
      "context_roundtable": {
        "mode": "coffee",
        "status": "complete",
        "consulted_voice_ids": [
          "elena",
          "marcus",
          "kenji",
          "priya",
          "nate"
        ],
        "summary": "September 9 was shaped by an oil-and-rates shock: oil moved above $100 amid escalating Gulf conflict, Treasury yields pressured equities, and the sealed intraday breadth cut showed 87 advancers versus 213 decliners across 300 fresh quotes. The wider lesson is that strong company-specific reactions must be read against a hostile market regime. No current bounded social-media thread added usable public context.",
        "long_read": "The session had a defensive macro character rather than a single clean equity trend. Public reporting described oil moving above $100 as Middle East attacks threatened supply routes, while rising Treasury yields weighed on Wall Street. European equities weakened and Asian markets were mixed. The sealed market cut added a participation warning: 87 advancers and 213 decliners across 300 fresh quotes, for net breadth of -42.0%; the end-of-day breadth layer was unavailable.\n\nThat combination matters because it separates a company event from the market environment around it. Energy-related strength could coexist with pressure on broad equity participation, and technology or earnings optimism did not erase the inflation and rates problem. The market was therefore asking two questions at once: whether a company-specific catalyst was real, and whether the wider tape would allow that catalyst to persist.\n\nThe room returned to SIG as a useful example of that tension. Its sealed earnings mechanism and above-VWAP reaction remain the accepted provisional decision, but the broader day adds context rather than permission: a strong event is not immune to oil, yields or deteriorating breadth. The prepared quarter’s operating-cash-flow figure remains tied to its stated period, and unavailable ML outputs remain unavailable rather than silently becoming a forecast. The public context supports a cautious reading of persistence without changing the sealed decision.",
        "transcript": [
          {
            "speaker_id": "elena",
            "text": "The market arrived with oil above $100 and Treasury yields pressing on equities. That is not a background wallpaper; it is the room’s lighting, and unfortunately it is fluorescent."
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "marcus",
            "text": "Geopolitics is a catalyst only until it becomes weather. Once it becomes weather, every company story has to explain why it can keep raining everywhere else and still grow in one particular building."
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "priya",
            "text": "And weather systems do not care about a beautiful EBITDA bridge. The sealed breadth cut was 87 advancers against 213 decliners across 300 fresh quotes. That is a market saying, rather plainly, that enthusiasm is being rationed.",
            "source_urls": [
              "https://finance.yahoo.com/energy/articles/oil-heads-100-asia-stocks-022658294.html"
            ]
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "nate",
            "text": "The index picture was not a neat collapse, though. Energy held up better while other groups absorbed the pressure. It was a split screen: one side pricing scarcity, the other side pricing the bill for scarcity."
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "kenji",
            "text": "Small correction: 300 fresh quotes are a useful participation sample, not a census of the planet. The correct inference is defensive breadth at that cut, not universal market failure.",
            "source_urls": [
              "https://finance.yahoo.com/energy/articles/oil-heads-100-asia-stocks-022658294.html"
            ]
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "elena",
            "text": "Yes. Breadth is a warning light, not a prophecy. But it changes the burden of proof for every stock that wants to turn a one-day reaction into a durable story."
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "marcus",
            "text": "That is why the SIG case remains interesting without becoming magical. The event is company-specific and the tape responded, but no earnings beat receives diplomatic immunity from oil, rates and a hostile index."
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "priya",
            "text": "Exactly. The public mistake would be to hear “above VWAP” and translate it into “safe.” Above VWAP is a piece of structure. It is not a signed treaty with the next fifteen sessions."
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "nate",
            "text": "The tape can lend a thesis credibility, but it cannot lend it immunity. If breadth keeps deteriorating, individual strength starts to look borrowed. Sometimes the market sends the invoice later."
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "kenji",
            "text": "And the data boundaries stay boring but important. The EOD breadth layer was unavailable, and the model questions were unavailable. An empty model field is not a bearish score, just as an unavailable EOD layer is not a hidden conclusion.",
            "source_urls": [
              "https://finance.yahoo.com/energy/articles/oil-heads-100-asia-stocks-022658294.html"
            ]
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "marcus",
            "text": "The alternatives tell the same story in different accents. Some had cleaner operating bases, some cleaner charts, some louder current events. None could be separated from the regime risk by simply turning up the volume on its headline."
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "elena",
            "text": "That is the useful tension: broad context should calibrate the claim, not erase the company evidence. A defensive day can contain a valid idiosyncratic reaction. It just makes the word “persistent” more expensive."
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "priya",
            "text": "And if the next check fails, the market will not care that the original thesis was elegantly written. Oil, yields and liquidity are very rude editors."
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "nate",
            "text": "The day leaves us with a split question rather than a tidy answer: can a specific earnings reaction keep its shape while the broad tape keeps losing breadth? That is more honest than pretending the index supplied a verdict."
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "kenji",
            "text": "And no fresh social-media thread is needed to decorate that uncertainty. The public record already gives us the useful contradiction: real company events can coexist with a market regime that refuses to make continuation easy."
          }
        ],
        "source_urls": [
          "https://finance.yahoo.com/energy/articles/oil-heads-100-asia-stocks-022658294.html"
        ]
      },
      "context_roundtable_sources": [
        {
          "event_id": "mi_evt_85169d944b95f5a3efe2846f",
          "headline": "Oil tops $100, European stocks drop on fresh Gulf attacks",
          "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/energy/articles/oil-heads-100-asia-stocks-022658294.html",
          "publisher": "Reuters",
          "source_quality": "market_context",
          "public_safe": true,
          "published_at": "2026-09-09T09:56:14Z",
          "available_at": "2026-09-09T10:40:06.080779+00:00"
        }
      ]
    },
    "updates": [
      {
        "day": 18,
        "timestamp": "2026-10-05T22:31:55Z",
        "date": "Session 18 · Oct 5, 2026 · 18:31 NYSE",
        "text": "At the completed fifteenth session, Signet’s tracked return was +3.58%. The original thesis linked a profit beat, a raised full-year outlook and an announced $125 million buyback to a sharp earnings-day repricing, then asked whether demand would persist. The result stayed positive, but it fell from +5.59% at session 14 and the record never confirmed durable price structure or proved that the company event alone caused the return. A separate October 5 after-hours quote was $100.89 as of 21:04 Atlantic/Canary, about +2.12% against the publication reference; that later mark does not replace the session-15 result. Final RSI, trend and 52-week-position readings were unavailable. Tracking is closed.",
        "price": 102.44,
        "pct": 3.69,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 3.68,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 3.68,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.91,
        "session_day": 18,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$102.44 · +3.68% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": true,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": true,
        "transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-c36b3951c7bcd0bfa4e2f7b94c4703b9675b3ea35c4e2c801c89f2bf4b4dadf7",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-09T21:18:47Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 14,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-29T21:47:59.729396Z",
        "date": "Session 14 · Sep 29, 2026 · 17:47 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG's tracked gain rose 0.34 points to +5.59% as shares added 0.99% and held above VWAP, but trading volume was 0.69 times its three-month average and dollar volume remained about half its 20-day norm. Its 33-point lead over Consumer Cyclical keeps the earnings and buyback case credible; with no confirmed price structure, durable continuation remains unproven.",
        "price": 104.32,
        "pct": 5.59,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 5.59,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 5.59,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.34,
        "session_day": 14,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$104.32 · +5.59% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-29T20:00:40Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 14,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-29T19:43:54.032251Z",
        "date": "Session 14 · Sep 29, 2026 · 15:43 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG's tracked gain rose 0.69 points to +5.25% after shares gained 0.67% and held 0.32% above the session's volume-weighted average price. Its 32.63-point lead over Consumer Cyclical across 20 sessions remains strong, but dollar volume was just 32% of its 20-day norm and no price structure is confirmed, leaving the earnings and buyback case credible but still short of proof.",
        "price": 103.99,
        "pct": 5.25,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 5.25,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 5.25,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.7,
        "session_day": 14,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$103.99 · +5.25% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-29T19:21:52.249581Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 13,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-28T21:55:08.809282Z",
        "date": "Session 13 · Sep 28, 2026 · 17:55 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG tracked gain eased 0.12 points to +4.56%, while shares rose 1.02% to $103.30 and held 0.41% above the session volume-weighted average price. Its 20-session lead over Consumer Cyclical reached 31.91 points, but dollar volume remained at 54% of its 20-day norm and price structure is still unconfirmed; the earnings and buyback thesis remains ahead of proof.",
        "price": 103.3,
        "pct": 4.56,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 4.55,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 4.55,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.05,
        "session_day": 13,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$103.30 · +4.55% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-28T20:05:20Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 13,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-28T20:09:19.415673Z",
        "date": "Session 13 · Sep 28, 2026 · 16:09 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG's tracked gain rose 0.32 points to +4.68% as shares advanced 0.96%, but the latest capture was only 0.35% above the session's volume-weighted average price on 0.37 times average volume. Its 31.59-point 20-session lead over Consumer Cyclical remains large; today's thin participation does little to confirm that the earnings outlook or planned repurchases are driving durable demand.",
        "price": 103.245,
        "pct": 4.68,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 4.5,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 4.5,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.07,
        "session_day": 13,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$103.25 · +4.50% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-28T19:21:40.218900Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 13,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-28T15:26:45.712928Z",
        "date": "Session 13 · Sep 28, 2026 · 11:26 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG gained 0.85 points to a tracked return of +4.36%, although price finished just below the $103.36 session VWAP on only 0.05 times average volume. Its 20-session lead over the sector remains wide, but the quiet trading has not confirmed a durable response to the earnings outlook or planned repurchases.",
        "price": 103.175,
        "pct": 4.36,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 4.43,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 4.43,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.93,
        "session_day": 13,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$103.17 · +4.43% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-28T14:06:10.888804Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 12,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-25T22:47:29.096841Z",
        "date": "Session 12 · Sep 25, 2026 · 18:47 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG's tracked gain increased 0.73 percentage points to 3.51% on session 12. The $102.26 capture was just above VWAP at $102.12 on 0.70 times average volume, with no confirmed structure. Signet's raised outlook and buyback remain the earnings thesis, and its 29.54-point 20-session lead over Consumer Cyclical persists, but this light participation does not confirm durable follow-through above the $97.58 event reference.",
        "price": 102.26,
        "pct": 3.51,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 3.5,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 3.5,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 1.46,
        "session_day": 12,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$102.26 · +3.50% from $98.80 base",
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        "market_marker": null,
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        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-25T20:11:47Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 12,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-25T15:01:59.687881Z",
        "date": "Session 12 · Sep 25, 2026 · 11:01 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG's tracked gain increased 1.05 percentage points to 2.78%. At 10 a.m., shares were up 0.31% to $100.82 but sat 0.69% below VWAP near the range low on just 0.04 times average dollar volume. Its 20-session lead over Consumer Cyclical remains 28.33 points and price is still above the $97.58 event VWAP, but this thin current read does not confirm follow-through.",
        "price": 100.815,
        "pct": 2.78,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 2.04,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 2.04,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.32,
        "session_day": 12,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$100.81 · +2.04% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-25T14:06:22.073520Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 11,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-24T21:32:58.131362Z",
        "date": "Session 11 · Sep 24, 2026 · 17:32 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG's tracked gain narrowed 1.03 percentage points to 1.73% as shares rose 0.38% to $100.50, but finished 1.37% below VWAP on 0.66 times average volume; the later post-market capture was unchanged. Its 20-session lead over Consumer Cyclical remains substantial, yet the earnings-and-buyback repricing has not produced confirmed structure or durable follow-through.",
        "price": 100.5,
        "pct": 1.73,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 1.72,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 1.72,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.4,
        "session_day": 11,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$100.50 · +1.72% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-24T20:40:13Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 11,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-24T20:18:46.568529Z",
        "date": "Session 11 · Sep 24, 2026 · 16:18 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG's tracked gain recovered 0.78 points to 2.76%, while shares rose 1.76% but sat 0.02% below VWAP on only 0.37 times average volume. Its 20-session lead over Consumer Cyclical is strong, yet no price pattern is confirmed; the earnings and buyback repricing still lacks evidence of durable follow-through.",
        "price": 101.88,
        "pct": 2.76,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 3.12,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 3.12,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 1.13,
        "session_day": 11,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$101.88 · +3.12% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-24T19:21:16.869314Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 11,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-24T14:21:12.715677Z",
        "date": "Session 11 · Sep 24, 2026 · 10:21 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG's tracked gain recovered 0.64 points to 1.98%, and the current quote moved 0.43% above the session's volume-weighted average after yesterday's close below it. Its 20-session lead over Consumer Cyclical remains 25.53 points, but trading pace is only 17% of usual and no price pattern is confirmed, so the earnings-led repricing still lacks evidence of durability.",
        "price": 100.77,
        "pct": 1.98,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 1.99,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 1.99,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.65,
        "session_day": 11,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$100.77 · +1.99% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-24T14:06:20.904650Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 10,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-23T21:45:07.416673Z",
        "date": "Session 10 · Sep 23, 2026 · 17:45 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG's tracked gain added 0.12 points to 1.34%, although shares slipped 0.30% and closed 0.68% below VWAP on dollar volume near 0.86 times the 20-day average. Its strong 20-session lead over Consumer Cyclical remains intact, but today's softer tape offers little fresh confirmation of the earnings and buyback repricing.",
        "price": 100.12,
        "pct": 1.34,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 1.34,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 1.34,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.01,
        "session_day": 10,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$100.12 · +1.34% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-23T20:00:37Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 10,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-23T20:30:19.539820Z",
        "date": "Session 10 · Sep 23, 2026 · 16:30 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG's tracked gain held at 1.22% as shares eased 0.31% and finished 0.68% below VWAP. Dollar volume was 0.60 times its 20-day average and no structure was confirmed, though the stock still leads its sector by 26.42 points over 20 sessions; the earnings repricing has held cumulatively, but today's tape offers little new confirmation.",
        "price": 100.11,
        "pct": 1.22,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 1.33,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 1.33,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.3,
        "session_day": 10,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$100.11 · +1.33% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-23T19:35:00.588557Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 10,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-23T15:00:02.319317Z",
        "date": "Session 10 · Sep 23, 2026 · 11:00 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG's tracked gain eased 0.42 points to 1.22% after a 0.60% decline, despite price holding just above VWAP; volume was only 0.08x average and no structure is confirmed. The earnings, outlook and buyback mechanism remain specific, but continuation is still conditional.",
        "price": 99.82,
        "pct": 1.22,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 1.03,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 1.03,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.61,
        "session_day": 10,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$99.82 · +1.03% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-23T14:07:21.397247Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 9,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-22T21:37:05.960128Z",
        "date": "Session 9 · Sep 22, 2026 · 17:37 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG's tracked gain fell to 1.64%, down 1.76 points from the previous note, although the stock rose 1.81% and finished just below VWAP. The earnings, outlook and buyback mechanism remain specific and the long-term relative record is strong, but sub-average participation and no confirmed structure keep continuation conditional.",
        "price": 100.42,
        "pct": 1.64,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 1.64,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 1.64,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.41,
        "session_day": 9,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$100.42 · +1.64% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-22T20:00:38Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 9,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-22T20:31:31.430419Z",
        "date": "Session 9 · Sep 22, 2026 · 16:31 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG's tracked gain rose to 3.40% after a 3.23% advance, yet price sat 0.02% below VWAP on 0.49x average volume. The earnings, outlook and buyback mechanism remain specific, but weak participation and no confirmed structure keep continuation conditional.",
        "price": 101.815,
        "pct": 3.4,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 3.05,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 3.05,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.19,
        "session_day": 9,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$101.81 · +3.05% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-22T19:21:53.147856Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 9,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-22T14:42:18.361025Z",
        "date": "Session 9 · Sep 22, 2026 · 10:42 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG's tracked result recovered 2.98 points to +2.81% as price rose 3.04% and moved 0.77% above VWAP. The earnings, outlook and buyback mechanism remains specific and the twenty-session relative record is strong, but participation was only 0.05x average, structure is unconfirmed and the near-zero model median leaves the continuation case conditional rather than restored.",
        "price": 101.63,
        "pct": 2.81,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 2.86,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 2.86,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 3.03,
        "session_day": 9,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$101.63 · +2.86% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": true,
        "active_relevant": true,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-91470d0101cca4fcada96207eab5de72cd13dddd17d2bb670431d781ad6eb272",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-22T14:06:32.230182Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 8,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-21T22:18:55.267526Z",
        "date": "Session 8 · Sep 21, 2026 · 18:18 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG tracked result slipped 0.76 points to -0.17% as price fell 1.74% to 98.63 and finished 0.39% below VWAP on 1.10 times average volume. The earnings, outlook and buyback case still has a 26.12-point Consumer Cyclical-relative lead and accumulation, but the initial repricing is losing support without confirmed structure.",
        "price": 98.63,
        "pct": -0.17,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -0.17,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -0.17,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.9,
        "session_day": 8,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$98.63 · -0.17% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-21T20:44:11Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 8,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-21T20:02:27.067847Z",
        "date": "Session 8 · Sep 21, 2026 · 16:02 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG's tracked result improved 1.07 points from -0.48% to +0.59% despite a 0.86% decline to 99.52; price remains 0.39% below VWAP with 0.50 times average dollar volume. The earnings, outlook and buyback case and its 26.92-point relative lead remain supportive, but no confirmed structure means the gain has not yet restored continuation.",
        "price": 99.52,
        "pct": 0.59,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 0.73,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 0.73,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.95,
        "session_day": 8,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$99.52 · +0.73% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-21T19:23:03.095376Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 8,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-21T14:40:13.951028Z",
        "date": "Session 8 · Sep 21, 2026 · 10:40 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG's tracked result deteriorated 2.08 points from a 1.60% gain to a 0.48% loss as the latest capture fell 1.79% to 98.58, 0.63% below VWAP near the bottom of its range on only 0.08 times average volume. The earnings, outlook and buyback mechanism remains specific and the twenty-session relative record is strong, but a model read that drifts from roughly 48% to 46% same-direction persistence qualifies rather than repairs the failed hold.",
        "price": 98.58,
        "pct": -0.48,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -0.22,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -0.22,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.82,
        "session_day": 8,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$98.58 · -0.22% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": true,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-57a91a56633e37a9f68840a5761bca1fefb5ac9c4dd32bf99a68ba6223068465",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-21T14:09:41.346729Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 7,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-18T22:28:38.838209Z",
        "date": "Session 7 · Sep 18, 2026 · 18:28 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG's tracked gain edged down 0.02 points to +1.60% as price fell 1.05% to 100.38, just below 100.49 VWAP on 2.11x average volume. The earnings-and-buyback mechanism retains strong relative support and accumulation, but the soft tape and absent structure still do not confirm continuation.",
        "price": 100.38,
        "pct": 1.6,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 1.6,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 1.6,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.11,
        "session_day": 7,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$100.38 · +1.60% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-18T21:05:00Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 7,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-18T20:14:48.967893Z",
        "date": "Session 7 · Sep 18, 2026 · 16:14 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG's tracked gain is 1.62% after the latest capture fell 0.95% to 100.49 on 0.52x average volume. The earnings-and-buyback mechanism still has relative support, but the weak, low-range tape and absent structure do not confirm durable continuation.",
        "price": 100.49,
        "pct": 1.62,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 1.71,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 1.71,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.48,
        "session_day": 7,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$100.49 · +1.71% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-18T19:21:09.426587Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 7,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-18T14:41:48.000434Z",
        "date": "Session 7 · Sep 18, 2026 · 10:41 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG's tracked gain narrowed 1.38 points to +1.31% as the latest capture fell 1.41% to $100.02 and moved 0.29% below VWAP on 0.11x average volume. Accumulation and a 28.49-point sector-relative lead keep the earnings-and-buyback case supported, but the low-range tape has not confirmed durable continuation.",
        "price": 100.02,
        "pct": 1.31,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 1.23,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 1.23,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.45,
        "session_day": 7,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$100.02 · +1.23% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-18T14:06:06.717745Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 6,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-17T22:21:40.243990Z",
        "date": "Session 6 · Sep 17, 2026 · 18:21 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG's tracked gain narrowed 0.31 points to +2.69% as the latest capture fell 1.45% to USD 101.45. Price is 0.95% above VWAP on 0.97x average volume with accumulation, but RSI is 73.33 and no structure is confirmed; the 20-session return still leads Consumer Cyclical by 25.09 points, leaving earnings-linked continuation supportive but unproven.",
        "price": 101.45,
        "pct": 2.69,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 2.68,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 2.68,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.11,
        "session_day": 6,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$101.45 · +2.68% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-17T20:10:04Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 6,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-17T15:24:56.190801Z",
        "date": "Session 6 · Sep 17, 2026 · 11:24 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG's tracked gain gave back 1.20 points to +3.00% as the latest capture fell 1.56% to USD 101.34. Price moved 0.94% below VWAP near the range low on 0.09x average volume, although accumulation and 20-session relative strength remain supportive. The earnings-linked repricing survives, but the latest tape does not confirm durable continuation.",
        "price": 101.335,
        "pct": 3.0,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 2.57,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 2.57,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.62,
        "session_day": 6,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$101.33 · +2.57% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-17T14:10:17.742927Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 5,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-16T22:22:15.178785Z",
        "date": "Session 5 · Sep 16, 2026 · 18:22 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG's tracked gain improved 0.41 points to +4.20% as the latest capture rose 3.07% to $102.94 on 1.32 times average volume. The earnings-linked repricing still has relative strength behind it, but price slipped below VWAP with decelerating participation near the 52-week high and no confirmed structure; the event case survives, while durable continuation remains unproven.",
        "price": 102.94,
        "pct": 4.2,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 4.19,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 4.19,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.43,
        "session_day": 5,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$102.94 · +4.19% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": true,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-cb4de3c6bf5d7339abc2a48245780bdcd59a8fb5d1a417fc13bb6c6957a77146",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-16T20:00:35Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 5,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-16T20:27:45.522063Z",
        "date": "Session 5 · Sep 16, 2026 · 16:27 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG's tracked gain eased 0.04 points to +3.79% after a 2.64% rise to .51. Price finished 0.54% below VWAP on 0.80x average volume with no confirmed structure; the earnings-linked repricing remains short of confirmed continuation.",
        "price": 102.51,
        "pct": 3.79,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 3.76,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 3.76,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.05,
        "session_day": 5,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$102.51 · +3.76% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-16T19:21:13.018409Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 5,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-16T14:49:05.986053Z",
        "date": "Session 5 · Sep 16, 2026 · 10:49 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG tracked gain is 3,83% as the latest capture moved 2,60% to USD 102,47, with price above VWAP on 0,10 times time-adjusted participation. The tracked result improved 2,74 points, but The earnings-linked repricing remains short of confirmed continuation.",
        "price": 102.47,
        "pct": 3.83,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 3.71,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 3.71,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 2.63,
        "session_day": 5,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$102.47 · +3.71% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-16T14:06:40.306426Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 4,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-15T21:47:23.922861Z",
        "date": "Session 4 · Sep 15, 2026 · 17:47 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG tracked gain is almost unchanged at +1.09%, with the latest capture down 0.87% to USD 99.87 and below VWAP on 0.56 times time-adjusted volume. The earnings question retains supportive longer-window context, but fading participation and no confirmed structure leave the initial repricing short of continuation.",
        "price": 99.87,
        "pct": 1.09,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 1.08,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 1.08,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.05,
        "session_day": 4,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$99.87 · +1.08% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-15T21:05:00Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 4,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-15T19:27:19.871047Z",
        "date": "Session 4 · Sep 15, 2026 · 15:27 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG's current tape points to stable uncertainty: it moved -0,82% to $99,92, with VWAP at 100,43 and volume at 0,73 times its three-month average. The tracked return is 1,08%, versus -1,07 points since the previous public note; Consumer Cyclical-relative wording remains headwind with a 21,06 point gap versus Consumer Cyclical, so the published thesis is not upgraded beyond what this move supports.",
        "price": 99.92,
        "pct": 1.08,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 1.13,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 1.13,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.04,
        "session_day": 4,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$99.92 · +1.13% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-15T19:21:00.581079Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 4,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-15T16:22:27.493121Z",
        "date": "Session 4 · Sep 15, 2026 · 12:22 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG tracked gain improved 0.17 points to +2.15% as the current capture rose 0.19% to $100.94, 0.43% above VWAP on only 0.34 times average volume. Strong Consumer Cyclical-relative performance and accumulation still support the earnings question, but participation is fading and no structure is confirmed, so the initial repricing has not yet become durable continuation.",
        "price": 100.94,
        "pct": 2.15,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 2.17,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 2.17,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.2,
        "session_day": 4,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$100.94 · +2.17% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-15T15:52:36.865021Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 3,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-14T23:36:32.386099Z",
        "date": "Session 3 · Sep 14, 2026 · 19:36 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG's tracked gain improved to +1.98% as the latest capture rose 0.49% to $100.75, above VWAP near the top of its range. Strong relative performance supports the earnings-backed question, but no structure and decelerating participation leave durable continuation unproven despite the stronger session.",
        "price": 100.75,
        "pct": 1.98,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 1.97,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 1.97,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.02,
        "session_day": 3,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$100.75 · +1.97% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-14T20:00:41Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 3,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-14T22:40:36.452175Z",
        "date": "Session 3 · Sep 14, 2026 · 18:40 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG improved 2.59 points to a tracked gain of +1.96% as the latest capture rose 0.47% to $100.73, 1.95% above VWAP on 1.27x average volume. Strong Consumer Cyclical relative performance supports the earnings-backed question, but a high range position, decelerating participation and no confirmed structure still withhold durable-continuation evidence.",
        "price": 100.73,
        "pct": 1.98,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 1.95,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 1.95,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 1.87,
        "session_day": 3,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$100.73 · +1.95% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-14T20:00:41Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 3,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-14T14:57:13.690911Z",
        "date": "Session 3 · Sep 14, 2026 · 10:57 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG tracked return slipped 2.11 points to -0.63% as the current capture fell 1.38% to $98.88, still 0.48% above VWAP on only 0.13 times average volume. Strong relative performance remains supportive of the earnings-backed question, but participation is fading and no structure is confirmed, so the initial repricing has not yet become durable continuation.",
        "price": 98.88,
        "pct": -0.63,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 0.08,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 0.08,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.4,
        "session_day": 3,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$98.88 · +0.08% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-14T14:05:55.081234Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 2,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-11T22:10:24.823174Z",
        "date": "Session 2 · Sep 11, 2026 · 18:10 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG's tracked return improved 0.37 points to +1.48% as the latest capture rose 2.61% to $100.26, above the $98.59 VWAP reference in the upper part of its range on 1.23 times average volume. The primary earnings mechanism and Consumer Cyclical relative strength remain supportive, but the stock still has no confirmed structure and the initial repair has not yet become durable continuation.",
        "price": 100.26,
        "pct": 1.48,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 1.48,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 1.48,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.59,
        "session_day": 2,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$100.26 · +1.48% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-11T21:13:52Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 2,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-11T19:41:21.376777Z",
        "date": "Session 2 · Sep 11, 2026 · 15:41 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG has repaired the break that put its earnings-backed thesis under pressure: the tracked return improved 3.73 points from -2.62% at the last panel note to +1.11%, while price moved above VWAP and into the upper part of the range. The repair is not yet durable evidence—volume was 0.72 times average, no structure is confirmed, and the stock remains extended—so the event case survives while continuation stays conditional.",
        "price": 99.68,
        "pct": 1.11,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 0.89,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 0.89,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 1.34,
        "session_day": 2,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$99.68 · +0.89% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": true,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-c9e1eca0b0dd873369a0e230557dbcc841888b8d380c2bf888b79e5487e03013",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-11T19:21:33.380908Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 2,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-11T14:46:44.970264Z",
        "date": "Session 2 · Sep 11, 2026 · 10:46 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG tracked loss narrowed 0.63 points to -0.47% as the stock rose 0.66% to $98.35, but it finished 0.69% below VWAP in the lower part of its range on only 0.09 times average volume. The earnings-backed case keeps longer-window relative strength, yet the initial repricing remains conditional because no structure or fresh participation is confirmed.",
        "price": 98.3517,
        "pct": -0.47,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -0.45,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -0.45,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.65,
        "session_day": 2,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$98.35 · -0.45% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-11T14:06:25.411176Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 1,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-10T21:48:20.493434Z",
        "date": "Session 1 · Sep 10, 2026 · 17:48 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG's tracked loss widened 0.47 points to -1.10% since the previous public note. The stock fell 4.65% to USD 97.71, held just 0.16% above VWAP in the lower third of its range on 2.21 times average volume, and showed no confirmed structure; the earnings-backed case retains relative strength but remains conditional after the initial repricing.",
        "price": 97.71,
        "pct": -1.1,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -1.1,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -1.1,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.14,
        "session_day": 1,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$97.71 · -1.10% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-10T21:15:10Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 1,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-10T20:01:03.722779Z",
        "date": "Session 1 · Sep 10, 2026 · 16:01 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG's tracked loss narrowed 1.99 points to -0.63% since the previous public note. The latest capture fell 4.51% to USD 97.86, yet price sat 0.16% above VWAP in the lower third of its range on 1.62 times average volume; SIG still leads its weak Consumer Cyclical sector over twenty sessions, but no confirmed structure means the earnings-backed continuation remains conditional.",
        "price": 97.855,
        "pct": -0.63,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -0.96,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -0.96,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 1.28,
        "session_day": 1,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$97.86 · -0.96% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-10T19:21:10.275300Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 1,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-10T14:40:17.723055Z",
        "date": "Session 1 · Sep 10, 2026 · 10:40 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG tracked return fell 6.35 points to -2.62% since the last public note. The latest capture dropped 5.75% to USD 96.59, 2.09% below VWAP near the bottom of its range on 0.44 times average volume, with no confirmed structure despite decelerating participation. The earnings-backed case remains specific and Consumer Cyclical-relative strength is still positive, but the opening repricing has lost its short-term hold.",
        "price": 96.585,
        "pct": -2.62,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -2.24,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -2.24,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -5.96,
        "session_day": 1,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$96.58 · -2.24% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": true,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-842cdd6295cca6138f0c6932c1221339ac94e085fa5f76c71bc1571549b92a00",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-10T14:06:15.609526Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 0,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-09T22:09:11.777127Z",
        "date": "Session 0 · Sep 9, 2026 · 18:09 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG's tracked return rose from 1.74% to 3.73% since the last public note as the latest capture gained 23.96% to $102.48 on 5.88x average volume and held above VWAP near the upper part of its range. The earnings-backed mechanism now has stronger immediate support, but the move is extended near the 52-week high and still lacks confirmed structure, so continuation remains conditional.",
        "price": 102.48,
        "pct": 3.73,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 3.72,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 3.72,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 2.24,
        "session_day": 0,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$102.48 · +3.72% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": true,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-278f4000218512fc26930b20349ea30822e5a4052547c58d0b8aeb2acc124509",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-09T21:25:33Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 0,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-09T20:21:27.484031Z",
        "date": "Session 0 · Sep 9, 2026 · 16:21 NYSE",
        "text": "SIG's opening capture rose 21.28% to USD 100.26 on 4.38x average volume and held 1.83% above VWAP in a weak broader market. The primary earnings beat, raised outlook and buyback provide a specific mechanism, but the move is extended near its 52-week high and no confirmed structure is recorded, so the continuation thesis remains conditional.",
        "price": 100.26,
        "pct": 1.74,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 1.48,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 1.48,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 1.48,
        "session_day": 0,
        "reference_price": 98.8,
        "reference_text": "$100.26 · +1.48% from $98.80 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": "2026-09-09T19:21:49.561649Z",
        "vwap_as_of": null
      }
    ],
    "observed_outcomes": [
      {
        "label": "+1 sessions",
        "status": "complete",
        "return": -1.1,
        "reference_text": "-1.10% from $98.80 base",
        "price": 97.71,
        "updated": "Sep 10, 2026 · 17:05 NYSE",
        "mfe": 4.71,
        "mae": -3.51
      },
      {
        "label": "+5 sessions",
        "status": "complete",
        "return": 4.2,
        "reference_text": "+4.20% from $98.80 base",
        "price": 102.94,
        "updated": "Sep 16, 2026 · 17:05 NYSE",
        "mfe": 6.02,
        "mae": -3.51
      },
      {
        "label": "+10 sessions",
        "status": "complete",
        "return": 1.98,
        "reference_text": "+1.98% from $98.80 base",
        "price": 100.75,
        "updated": "Sep 24, 2026 · 10:19 NYSE",
        "mfe": 6.03,
        "mae": -3.51
      },
      {
        "label": "+15 sessions",
        "status": "complete",
        "return": 3.58,
        "reference_text": "+3.58% from $98.80 base",
        "price": 102.33,
        "updated": "Sep 30, 2026 · 17:36 NYSE",
        "mfe": 7.06,
        "mae": -3.51
      }
    ],
    "candidate_comparison_history": [
      {
        "day": 0,
        "timestamp": "2026-09-09T20:21:27.484031Z",
        "comparison": {
          "schema_version": "public-candidate-comparison.v1",
          "captured_at": "2026-09-09T20:21:27.484031Z",
          "base_definition": "Candidates use the publication reference; benchmarks use the previous regular close.",
          "source": "sealed_update_market_context + canonical_candidate_snapshot + market_trajectory + public_market_snapshot",
          "rows": [
            {
              "symbol": "SIG",
              "role": "selected",
              "price": 100.26,
              "base_price": 98.795,
              "return_since_base_pct": 1.4829,
              "session_return_pct": 21.28,
              "change_since_prior_pct": -2.1663,
              "volume_ratio": 4.38,
              "rsi": 70.23,
              "vwap": 98.45,
              "vwap_distance_pct": 1.8385,
              "position_52w_pct": 91.0,
              "extended_hours_pct": null,
              "as_of": "2026-09-09T19:21:49.561649Z",
              "source": "yfinance_quote",
              "name": "Signet Jewelers Limited",
              "episode_id": "n0:SIG:2026-09-09",
              "ema_trend": "86.59 > 86.46 > 87.43",
              "vwap_state": "above",
              "selection_as_of": "2026-09-09T15:16:59.786439Z",
              "facts": [
                "The sealed event record reports a Q2 profit beat, a raised full-year profit outlook and a $125 million buyback.",
                "The quote snapshot reports a 19.51% change on 2.43x volume.",
                "Price was above the 97.58 VWAP by 1.25%; five ordered trajectory observations remained approximately between 18.58% and 19.64%.",
                "Relative strength was reported as 20.06% excess versus SPY."
              ],
              "benchmark_excess_pct": {
                "sp500": 21.7643,
                "nasdaq100": 21.572,
                "russell2000": 22.5964
              },
              "price_as_of": "2026-09-09T19:21:49.561649Z",
              "vwap_as_of": null
            },
            {
              "symbol": "ASO",
              "role": "alternative",
              "price": 51.15,
              "base_price": 48.51,
              "return_since_base_pct": 5.4422,
              "session_return_pct": 8.5,
              "change_since_prior_pct": 0.2352,
              "volume_ratio": 1.28,
              "rsi": 53.11,
              "vwap": 48.65,
              "vwap_distance_pct": 5.1387,
              "position_52w_pct": 77.58,
              "extended_hours_pct": null,
              "as_of": "2026-09-09T20:20:00Z",
              "source": "yfinance_quote",
              "name": "Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.",
              "episode_id": "n0:ASO:2026-09-09",
              "ema_trend": "45.08 > 45.49 > 46.62",
              "vwap_state": "below",
              "selection_as_of": "2026-09-09T15:17:33.012839Z",
              "facts": [
                "A same-day SEC 8-K and Q2 beat with higher full-year guidance are present.",
                "The prepared SEC quarter reports revenue of $1.442 billion, net income of $52.7 million and operating cash flow of $160.6 million.",
                "The stock was reported up 8.50% on 1.28x volume, with a trajectory approximately from 7.65% to 10.59%."
              ],
              "benchmark_excess_pct": {
                "sp500": 8.9843,
                "nasdaq100": 8.792,
                "russell2000": 9.8164
              },
              "price_as_of": "2026-09-09T20:20:00Z",
              "vwap_as_of": null
            },
            {
              "symbol": "SSL",
              "role": "alternative",
              "price": 14.35,
              "base_price": 14.609,
              "return_since_base_pct": -1.7729,
              "session_return_pct": -1.5099,
              "change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
              "volume_ratio": 1.74,
              "rsi": 72.4,
              "vwap": 14.41,
              "vwap_distance_pct": -0.4164,
              "position_52w_pct": 99.83,
              "extended_hours_pct": null,
              "as_of": "2026-09-09T20:04:12Z",
              "source": "yfinance_quote",
              "name": "Sasol Limited",
              "episode_id": "n0:SSL:2026-09-09",
              "ema_trend": "12.83 > 12.27 > 11.75",
              "vwap_state": "above",
              "selection_as_of": "2026-09-09T15:17:08.060320Z",
              "facts": [
                "The supplied event record reports net debt at a decade low, Secunda production at a five-year high and adjusted EBITDA up 17%.",
                "The stock was reported up 9.84% on 1.74x volume and 1.38% above the 14.41 VWAP.",
                "The chart review described a clean multi-timeframe advance and channel breakout."
              ],
              "benchmark_excess_pct": {
                "sp500": -1.0256,
                "nasdaq100": -1.2179,
                "russell2000": -0.1935
              },
              "price_as_of": "2026-09-09T20:04:12Z",
              "vwap_as_of": null
            },
            {
              "symbol": "INNV",
              "role": "alternative",
              "price": 11.03,
              "base_price": 11.89,
              "return_since_base_pct": -7.233,
              "session_return_pct": 13.02,
              "change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
              "volume_ratio": 1.23,
              "rsi": 66.02,
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