BWIN episode 20260914_BWIN_MIDDAY
Public episode JSON embedded as readable text for automated access.
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"public_page_url": "https://trydingday.com/coverage/bwin/2026-09-14/midday/",
"published_at": "2026-09-14T18:44:52.266089Z",
"updated_at": "2026-10-05T22:31:55Z",
"lifecycle": {
"tracking_status": "closed",
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"stage": "closed"
},
"instrument": {
"type": "equity",
"symbol": "BWIN",
"exchange": "NASDAQ",
"name": "The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc."
},
"technical_reference": {
"status": "ok",
"reference_price": 31.93,
"model_downside_reference": 30.24,
"model_upside_scenario_1": 33.63,
"model_upside_scenario_2": 35.32,
"atr_14": 1.13,
"method": "reference_price_plus_minus_atr14"
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"public_content": {
"date": "September 14, 2026",
"generated_at": "2026-09-14T18:44:52.266089Z",
"original_published_at": null,
"session_tag": "midday",
"label": "Market coverage",
"try_label": "Try of the Day",
"public_status": "Try of the Day",
"why_today": "The selection is BWIN. Its reported take-private supplies the clearest company-specific mechanism in the group, and the response was supported by exceptional volume, benchmark-relative strength and an orderly trajectory. The claim is deliberately narrow: transaction-driven price support may persist if the disclosed terms remain intact. The limited remaining spread, deal risk and unusually wide indicative options keep the committee at majority with dissent.",
"entry_reasoning": "Panel thesis: BWIN offers the most defensible S0-to-S15 path because a documented transaction event was accompanied by exceptional participation, strong benchmark-relative performance and a stable same-session trajectory near the reported cash consideration. The thesis is continued transaction-driven price support, not operating-growth momentum or an unrestricted upside forecast. Invalidation boundary: An issuer or SEC disclosure denying the transaction, reducing the consideration, introducing a material adverse condition or terminating the agreement would falsify the core mechanism. Without such a disclosure, a sustained loss of the captured $31.82 VWAP accompanied by weakening participation would falsify the near-term continuation reading.",
"reference_price": 31.93,
"scanner": {
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"reference": 31.93,
"score": 4,
"score_version": "v0_legacy_reconstructed",
"change": 7.71,
"volume": 13654398,
"average_volume": 1431224,
"volume_ratio": 9.54,
"rsi": 36.59,
"ema_trend": "29.91 > 29.98 > 28.45",
"position_52w": 97.97,
"atr_14": 1.13,
"vwap": 31.82,
"vwap_state": "above",
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"gap_pct": 0.0,
"relative_strength": {
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"index": "QQQ",
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"status": "idiosyncratic"
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"volume_percentile": {
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"percentile": 100.0,
"status": "exceptional",
"today_vol": 13654398
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"dist_atr": 1.73,
"ema_ref": 29.98,
"status": "healthy"
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"atr_move_signal": {
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"status": "strong",
"z": 2.18
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"sector_breadth": {
"chg_pct": -0.29,
"etf": "XLF",
"status": "neutral"
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"status": "clear"
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"extended_hours": {
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"market_state": "REGULAR",
"phase": "regular",
"post_market_pct": null,
"pre_market_pct": null,
"status": "none"
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"coiled_spring": {
"component_count": 0,
"components": {},
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"detector_version": "coiled-compression-ohlc.v1",
"reason": "coiled_ohlc_detector_runs_on_research_and_known_ticker_rails",
"schema_version": "coiled-features.v2",
"status": "not_evaluated"
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"short_pct_float": 13.66,
"days_to_cover": 10.99,
"catalyst": "Sector Update: Financial Stocks Edge Higher Pre-Bell Monday",
"sector": "Financial Services",
"exchange": "NASDAQ",
"sec_signal": "NO_RECENT_FORM4_SIGNAL"
},
"levels": {
"reference": 31.93,
"downside": 30.24,
"upside_1": 33.63,
"upside_2": 35.32
},
"review": {
"score": 4,
"status": "Try Of The Day",
"summary": "The provisional selection is BWIN. Its reported take-private supplies the clearest company-specific mechanism in the group, and the response was supported by exceptional volume, benchmark-relative strength and an orderly trajectory. The claim is deliberately narrow: transaction-driven price support may persist if the disclosed terms remain intact. The limited remaining spread, deal risk and unusually wide indicative options keep the committee at majority with dissent.",
"views": [
{
"name": "Elena Vartanyan",
"role": "independent statistical auditor",
"icon": "🎯",
"view": "Start with the room, not the tickers. The S&P 500 was down 0.29%, the Nasdaq 100 down 0.45%, and the Russell 2000 up 0.05%. VIX was 16.65 after a 5.11% change. That is pressure, but not indiscriminate liquidation. Fresh breadth was unavailable, so the older proxy does not get promoted into a current fact.",
"reasoning": "That narrows the choice. CRWD wins the immediate tape but not the company-specific explanation. TATT and BR offer better-shaped research questions than confirmed repricing. TLX still needs direct event confirmation. BWIN's upside is capped and the adverse case remains real, but its mechanism, participation and first checkpoint are jointly stronger than the alternatives."
},
{
"name": "Marcus Feld",
"role": "information, fundamentals and catalyst analyst",
"icon": "🦊",
"view": "And the pressure had several engines. Oil-route disruption remained live, WTI was up 1.15% in the captured snapshot, and separate reporting placed the U.S. 10-year yield at 5% ahead of the Fed decision. Five percent is the reported yield level, not a five-percent move. Meanwhile, AI was both an equity concern and an infrastructure buildout story.",
"reasoning": "And CRWD's supplied cause is sector-wide. Strong tape, weak ownership of the catalyst. TATT is the reverse: a primary partnership record and a sensible company mechanism, but only a 1.38% move on 0.18 times average volume. TLX has the potentially material approval story, but this packet gives us trusted reporting rather than the current regulator or issuer confirmation."
},
{
"name": "Priya Nandakumar",
"role": "institutional risk and execution manager",
"icon": "🛡️",
"view": "So any large candidate move has to survive a simple challenge: is this the company, or is it the weather? A company-specific event can stand out in this tape. A fashionable explanation borrowed from the whole market cannot.",
"reasoning": "BR still deserves the defence. Roughly $197.9 million of average daily dollar volume, a 12.61-basis-point observed spread, and price above $173.54 VWAP make it the cleanest thing here to observe without pretending friction vanished. But 0.21 times average volume is thin confirmation, and the expansion announcement has no supplied customer or cash-flow bridge."
},
{
"name": "Kenji Osei",
"role": "AI Systems & Market Data Integrity Analyst",
"icon": "🧠",
"view": "One provenance point before anyone starts counting hands. All five specialist reports completed. They were independently written from the same base selected artifact and then attached to a separate bundle representation. That is declared derivation, not five independent evidence packets and not a material hash conflict.",
"reasoning": "Then the provisional record is precise: BWIN, episode n0:BWIN:2026-09-14, as Try of the Day with majority dissent. The dissent concerns transaction asymmetry and terms, not candidate identity or evidence provenance. The next check is direct terms reconciliation and the first following-session hold; no final Coffee, profile enrichment or logo decision belongs in this phase."
},
{
"name": "Nate Brooks",
"role": "market structure and timing analyst",
"icon": "📈",
"view": "The tape agrees, with limits. Five prints sat between $31.925 and $31.93, and price was above the $31.82 VWAP. VWAP is the session's average price weighted by traded volume; holding above it means the move was not immediately surrendered to the average participant. It does not prove fifteen-session persistence.",
"reasoning": "CRWD is the harder tape challenge. It moved 15.09%, beat QQQ by 16.19%, held above $230.35 VWAP and had the cleanest higher-timeframe climb in the chart review. But it was already near 99.6% of its yearly high and 1.79 ATR above its EMA reference. ATR is the recent normal trading range; 1.79 times that range says the starting point is stretched."
}
],
"conviction": {
"status_phrase": "recorded",
"basis": "The documented transaction, exceptional participation and stable event tape support BWIN. The capped consideration and binary deal risk preserve the BR and CRWD objections, while transaction-term reconciliation and the next-session hold remain open.",
"risk": "",
"resolution_pct": 61.0,
"counter_case_pct": 25.0,
"unresolved_pct": 14.0
},
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"mode": "coffee",
"status": "unavailable",
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"summary": "",
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"transcript": []
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"updates": [
{
"day": 15,
"timestamp": "2026-10-05T22:31:55Z",
"date": "Session 15 · Oct 5, 2026 · 18:31 NASDAQ",
"text": "The completed session-15 result was +7.81%, and all four recorded checkpoints stayed positive. The original thesis tied a direct SEC filing to a separately reported $32.50 cash consideration; the filing established the issuer event, while the consideration figure came from secondary reporting. Strong initial participation and a stable price near the reported consideration supported the market reaction, but they do not show that the deal closed. At the October 5 evidence capture, BWIN was $31.90; a separate after-hours quote was $31.89. The dossier contains no verified closing status or changed terms, and final RSI, trend and range readings were unavailable. The fifteen-session tracking is complete.",
"price": 31.82,
"pct": 7.55,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.34,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.34,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.16,
"session_day": 15,
"reference_price": 31.93,
"reference_text": "$31.82 · -0.34% from $31.93 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": true,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": true,
"transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-6acb0d85b294dc294048f2a11574f6a279bde8c6301c446f1e197764404ea55c",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-14T20:53:26Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 14,
"timestamp": "2026-10-03T11:25:56.037378Z",
"date": "Session 14 · Oct 3, 2026 · 07:25 NASDAQ",
"text": "BWIN's tracked gain edged to 7.45% from 7.43%, while its $31.77 capture sat just below the $31.78 session VWAP on near-average volume, down from 1.79 times average in the last note. Its 20-session lead over Financial Services remains 10.42 points, but the price is still well below the $32.50 consideration and the latest record adds no confirmation that the deal is advancing.",
"price": 31.77,
"pct": 7.45,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.5,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.5,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.06,
"session_day": 14,
"reference_price": 31.93,
"reference_text": "$31.77 · -0.50% from $31.93 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-02T20:36:37Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 12,
"timestamp": "2026-09-30T21:57:57.946355Z",
"date": "Session 12 · Sep 30, 2026 · 17:57 NASDAQ",
"text": "BWIN tracked gain eased 0.14 points to 7.43% as the $31.79 capture sat just below the $31.82 VWAP despite volume at 1.79 times average. It remains below the $32.50 cash consideration, while its 20-session lead over Financial Services stands at 11.70 points; heavier trading has not confirmed transaction progress or removed closing risk.",
"price": 31.795,
"pct": 7.43,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.42,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.42,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.09,
"session_day": 12,
"reference_price": 31.93,
"reference_text": "$31.80 · -0.42% from $31.93 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-30T19:58:16.738162Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 12,
"timestamp": "2026-09-30T21:57:57.946355Z",
"date": "Session 12 · Sep 30, 2026 · 17:57 NASDAQ",
"text": "BWIN tracked gain eased 0.14 points to 7.43% as the $31.79 capture sat just below the $31.82 VWAP despite volume at 1.79 times average. It remains below the $32.50 cash consideration, while its 20-session lead over Financial Services stands at 11.70 points; heavier trading has not confirmed transaction progress or removed closing risk.",
"price": 31.79,
"pct": 7.43,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.44,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.44,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.02,
"session_day": 12,
"reference_price": 31.93,
"reference_text": "$31.79 · -0.44% from $31.93 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-30T20:49:46Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 12,
"timestamp": "2026-09-30T15:18:17.432707Z",
"date": "Session 12 · Sep 30, 2026 · 11:18 NASDAQ",
"text": "BWIN's tracked gain recovered 0.17 percentage points to 7.57%, while the 10 a.m. capture at $31.83 sat almost exactly at VWAP on just 5% of average volume so far. Shares remain about 2.1% below the reported $32.50 cash consideration, and the 20-session lead over Financial Services widened to 11.04 points. The quiet hold near VWAP supports the transaction repricing, but the packet adds no new confirmation of terms or closing progress.",
"price": 31.825,
"pct": 7.57,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.33,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.33,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.14,
"session_day": 12,
"reference_price": 31.93,
"reference_text": "$31.82 · -0.33% from $31.93 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-30T14:10:11.628897Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 11,
"timestamp": "2026-09-29T21:53:05.458363Z",
"date": "Session 11 · Sep 29, 2026 · 17:53 NASDAQ",
"text": "BWIN's tracked gain slipped 0.17 points to +7.40% as shares eased 0.13% to $31.78, just below VWAP, despite volume at 1.37 times its three-month average. The price remains below the $32.50 cash offer and its 9.42-point 20-session lead over Financial Services persists; neither the quiet response nor stronger participation resolves closing risk.",
"price": 31.78,
"pct": 7.4,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.47,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.47,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.19,
"session_day": 11,
"reference_price": 31.93,
"reference_text": "$31.78 · -0.47% from $31.93 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-29T20:10:08Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 11,
"timestamp": "2026-09-29T19:46:47.818104Z",
"date": "Session 11 · Sep 29, 2026 · 15:46 NASDAQ",
"text": "BWIN's tracked gain edged up 0.03 points to +7.57% as price stayed nearly flat at $31.84, just below the $31.85 session volume-weighted average price. It remains 2.03% below the reported $32.50 cash offer and 9.60 points ahead of Financial Services over 20 sessions, but dollar volume was only 34% of normal; the muted hold leaves the transaction repricing intact while closing terms and completion risk remain unresolved.",
"price": 31.84,
"pct": 7.57,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.28,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.28,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.06,
"session_day": 11,
"reference_price": 31.93,
"reference_text": "$31.84 · -0.28% from $31.93 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-29T19:21:52.249581Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 10,
"timestamp": "2026-09-28T21:56:57.757123Z",
"date": "Session 10 · Sep 28, 2026 · 17:56 NASDAQ",
"text": "BWIN tracked gain dipped 0.11 points to +7.54% as shares eased 0.09% to $31.82, but volume reached 1.27 times its three-month average with price near the $31.83 session volume-weighted average. The stock remains 10.45 points ahead of Financial Services over 20 sessions and just $0.68 below the disclosed $32.50 cash offer; stronger participation still does not settle the closing risk or transaction terms.",
"price": 31.82,
"pct": 7.54,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.34,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.34,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.07,
"session_day": 10,
"reference_price": 31.93,
"reference_text": "$31.82 · -0.34% from $31.93 base",
"timing": "",
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"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-28T20:58:05Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 10,
"timestamp": "2026-09-28T20:09:22.515657Z",
"date": "Session 10 · Sep 28, 2026 · 16:09 NASDAQ",
"text": "BWIN's tracked gain edged up 0.03 points to +7.65% while shares were nearly flat, down 0.02%, at $31.85 and just 0.06% above the session's volume-weighted average price. The unclosed $32.50 cash offer remains the main price anchor; with only 0.64 times average volume, this session adds little evidence that transaction uncertainty has eased.",
"price": 31.845,
"pct": 7.65,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.27,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.27,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.08,
"session_day": 10,
"reference_price": 31.93,
"reference_text": "$31.84 · -0.27% from $31.93 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-28T19:21:40.218900Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 10,
"timestamp": "2026-09-28T15:30:55.544739Z",
"date": "Session 10 · Sep 28, 2026 · 11:30 NASDAQ",
"text": "BWIN held a tracked gain of +7.62%, nearly unchanged from the prior +7.64%, while price sat just above the $31.86 session VWAP. Its 20-session lead over Financial Services persists, but the unclosed $32.50 cash offer remains the main price reference and uncertainty; operating confirmation is limited.",
"price": 31.87,
"pct": 7.62,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.19,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.19,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.06,
"session_day": 10,
"reference_price": 31.93,
"reference_text": "$31.87 · -0.19% from $31.93 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-28T14:06:10.888804Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 9,
"timestamp": "2026-09-25T22:48:09.740993Z",
"date": "Session 9 · Sep 25, 2026 · 18:48 NASDAQ",
"text": "BWIN's tracked gain eased 0.25 percentage points to 7.64% on session 9. The $31.85 capture sat 0.13% below the $31.89 VWAP on 0.60 times average volume; structure remains early rather than confirmed, while the 20-session lead over Financial Services is 10.85 points. This quiet hold keeps the transaction-driven case intact, but the capture adds no evidence that the agreement has closed or that its conditions are satisfied.",
"price": 31.85,
"pct": 7.64,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.25,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.25,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.06,
"session_day": 9,
"reference_price": 31.93,
"reference_text": "$31.85 · -0.25% from $31.93 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-25T20:10:05Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 9,
"timestamp": "2026-09-25T15:03:36.570913Z",
"date": "Session 9 · Sep 25, 2026 · 11:03 NASDAQ",
"text": "BWIN's tracked gain edged up 0.29 percentage points to 7.89%. The 10 a.m. price was $31.87, around VWAP with an early, unconfirmed structure and a 63% range position; dollar volume was only 0.04 times its 20-day average. Its 20-session lead over Financial Services is 11.85 points, but this quiet hold near $32 does not establish transaction completion while the deal conditions remain outstanding.",
"price": 31.87,
"pct": 7.89,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.19,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.19,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
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"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.09,
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"price_as_of": "2026-09-25T14:06:22.073520Z",
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},
{
"day": 8,
"timestamp": "2026-09-24T21:32:58.131362Z",
"date": "Session 8 · Sep 24, 2026 · 17:32 NASDAQ",
"text": "BWIN's tracked gain eased 0.09 percentage points to 7.60% as shares slipped 0.03% to $31.84, 0.09% below VWAP on 1.82 times average volume; the later post-market capture was $31.80, down 0.13%. Its 20-session return still leads Financial Services by 9.41 points, but no price structure is confirmed and today's tape adds little follow-through to the take-private thesis.",
"price": 31.84,
"pct": 7.6,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.28,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.28,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.08,
"session_day": 8,
"reference_price": 31.93,
"reference_text": "$31.84 · -0.28% from $31.93 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-24T20:58:04Z",
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},
{
"day": 8,
"timestamp": "2026-09-24T20:19:38.254716Z",
"date": "Session 8 · Sep 24, 2026 · 16:19 NASDAQ",
"text": "BWIN's tracked gain eased 0.05 points to 7.69%; shares edged up 0.05% but sat 0.02% below VWAP, with volume at 0.91 times average and the latest quote in the lower part of the day's range. The transaction remains the core support, but this tape has not confirmed renewed follow-through.",
"price": 31.865,
"pct": 7.69,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.2,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.2,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.04,
"session_day": 8,
"reference_price": 31.93,
"reference_text": "$31.86 · -0.20% from $31.93 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-24T19:21:16.869314Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 8,
"timestamp": "2026-09-24T14:21:12.715677Z",
"date": "Session 8 · Sep 24, 2026 · 10:21 NASDAQ",
"text": "BWIN's tracked gain edged 0.10 points higher to 7.74% after yesterday's small pullback. The transaction remains the published support, but this capture has no fresh price or session-average reading to show whether shares are holding the event reference. The event-driven thesis remains intact; follow-through is still unconfirmed.",
"price": 31.88,
"pct": 7.74,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.16,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.16,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.09,
"session_day": 8,
"reference_price": 31.93,
"reference_text": "$31.88 · -0.16% from $31.93 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-14T20:53:26Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 7,
"timestamp": "2026-09-23T21:45:07.416673Z",
"date": "Session 7 · Sep 23, 2026 · 17:45 NASDAQ",
"text": "BWIN's tracked gain eased 0.12 points to 7.64% after a 0.31% decline; shares finished just 0.04% below VWAP on dollar volume at 0.83 times their 20-day average. Its 8.23-point lead over Financial Services remains, so the transaction-related advance is holding better than the mild fade suggests, but participation did not build on the earlier move.",
"price": 31.85,
"pct": 7.64,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.25,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.25,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.12,
"session_day": 7,
"reference_price": 31.93,
"reference_text": "$31.85 · -0.25% from $31.93 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-23T20:10:04Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 7,
"timestamp": "2026-09-23T20:31:08.287070Z",
"date": "Session 7 · Sep 23, 2026 · 16:31 NASDAQ",
"text": "BWIN's tracked gain eased 0.20 points to 7.76% after a 0.19% decline that closed just 0.04% below VWAP. Dollar volume was 0.42 times its 20-day average, while a 20-session lead over the sector remains; the take-private case still has cumulative support, but today's low-participation pullback adds no fresh transaction confirmation.",
"price": 31.89,
"pct": 7.76,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.13,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.13,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.13,
"session_day": 7,
"reference_price": 31.93,
"reference_text": "$31.89 · -0.13% from $31.93 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-23T19:35:00.588557Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 7,
"timestamp": "2026-09-23T15:00:04.190906Z",
"date": "Session 7 · Sep 23, 2026 · 11:00 NASDAQ",
"text": "BWIN's tracked gain was essentially unchanged at 7.96% after a 0.06% decline, although price held above VWAP with early structure. Volume was only 0.17x average, so the take-private mechanism remains intact without fresh market validation; deal completion remains the condition.",
"price": 31.93,
"pct": 7.96,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.0,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.0,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.06,
"session_day": 7,
"reference_price": 31.93,
"reference_text": "$31.93 · 0.00% from $31.93 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-23T14:07:21.397247Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 6,
"timestamp": "2026-09-22T21:37:05.960128Z",
"date": "Session 6 · Sep 22, 2026 · 17:37 NASDAQ",
"text": "BWIN's tracked gain edged to 7.98%, 0.06 points above the previous note, while price was nearly unchanged just below VWAP and participation improved to 1.78x average. The take-private mechanism remains intact, but the flat tape and absence of confirmed structure add no new validation to the transaction thesis.",
"price": 31.95,
"pct": 7.98,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.06,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.06,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.11,
"session_day": 6,
"reference_price": 31.93,
"reference_text": "$31.95 · +0.06% from $31.93 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-22T20:53:58Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 6,
"timestamp": "2026-09-22T20:31:41.010299Z",
"date": "Session 6 · Sep 22, 2026 · 16:31 NASDAQ",
"text": "BWIN's tracked gain edged to 7.92% with price nearly unchanged, 0.00% below VWAP and 1.43x average volume. The take-private mechanism remains intact and dollar volume is improving, but no new tape evidence strengthens transaction support and no structure is confirmed.",
"price": 31.915,
"pct": 7.92,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.05,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.05,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.04,
"session_day": 6,
"reference_price": 31.93,
"reference_text": "$31.91 · -0.05% from $31.93 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-22T19:21:53.147856Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 6,
"timestamp": "2026-09-22T15:14:24.830895Z",
"date": "Session 6 · Sep 22, 2026 · 11:14 NASDAQ",
"text": "BWIN's tracked gain edged 0.07 point higher to 7.84% as price was nearly unchanged at 31.90 and sat 0.02% below VWAP in the middle of the range. Participation remained light at 0.39x average volume; the take-private mechanism remains intact, but no new tape evidence strengthens transaction support.",
"price": 31.9,
"pct": 7.84,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.09,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.09,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.04,
"session_day": 6,
"reference_price": 31.93,
"reference_text": "$31.90 · -0.09% from $31.93 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-22T14:06:32.230182Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 5,
"timestamp": "2026-09-21T22:18:59.227765Z",
"date": "Session 5 · Sep 21, 2026 · 18:18 NASDAQ",
"text": "BWIN was nearly unchanged at a 7.77% tracked gain as price eased 0.13% to 31.89 and finished 0.06% below VWAP in the lower part of the range. The take-private mechanism remains intact, but the low-range close, 0.83 times average dollar volume and no new structure add no fresh transaction support.",
"price": 31.89,
"pct": 7.77,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.13,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.13,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.04,
"session_day": 5,
"reference_price": 31.93,
"reference_text": "$31.89 · -0.13% from $31.93 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T20:10:08Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 5,
"timestamp": "2026-09-21T20:02:29.843484Z",
"date": "Session 5 · Sep 21, 2026 · 16:02 NASDAQ",
"text": "BWIN's tracked gain was nearly unchanged, easing 0.07 point to 7.79% as price slipped 0.09% to 31.90 and sat just 0.06% below VWAP. The take-private repricing keeps a 2.62-point Financial Services-relative edge, but 0.36 times average dollar volume and a low-range close add no new evidence of transaction support.",
"price": 31.9,
"pct": 7.79,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.09,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.09,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.07,
"session_day": 5,
"reference_price": 31.93,
"reference_text": "$31.90 · -0.09% from $31.93 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T19:23:03.095376Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 5,
"timestamp": "2026-09-21T15:04:22.704803Z",
"date": "Session 5 · Sep 21, 2026 · 11:04 NASDAQ",
"text": "BWIN's tracked gain was essentially unchanged, easing 0.05 points to 7.86% as price slipped 0.02% to 31.925 on 0.06 times average volume. Early structure and the 3.44-point Financial Services-relative edge keep the take-private repricing supported, but the quiet tape adds no new closing evidence and the mechanism remains conditional.",
"price": 31.925,
"pct": 7.86,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.02,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.02,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.02,
"session_day": 5,
"reference_price": 31.93,
"reference_text": "$31.93 · -0.02% from $31.93 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T14:09:41.346729Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 4,
"timestamp": "2026-09-18T22:28:42.065350Z",
"date": "Session 4 · Sep 18, 2026 · 18:28 NASDAQ",
"text": "BWIN's tracked gain was essentially unchanged at +7.91% as price eased 0.06% to 31.93, just below 31.94 VWAP on 2.78x average volume near the lower range. The take-private repricing retains a 3.44-point Financial Services-relative edge, but no new structure or closing evidence confirms the mechanism.",
"price": 31.93,
"pct": 7.91,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.0,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.0,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 4,
"reference_price": 31.93,
"reference_text": "$31.93 · 0.00% from $31.93 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-18T20:58:06Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 4,
"timestamp": "2026-09-18T20:15:01.899682Z",
"date": "Session 4 · Sep 18, 2026 · 16:15 NASDAQ",
"text": "BWIN's tracked gain is 7.92% after the latest capture eased 0.06% to 31.93 while volume ran at 1.86x average. The take-private repricing retains a sector-relative edge, but the quiet price change and lack of confirmed structure add no fresh evidence that closing conditions are resolved.",
"price": 31.93,
"pct": 7.92,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.0,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.0,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.02,
"session_day": 4,
"reference_price": 31.93,
"reference_text": "$31.93 · 0.00% from $31.93 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-18T19:21:09.426587Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 4,
"timestamp": "2026-09-18T14:41:50.718973Z",
"date": "Session 4 · Sep 18, 2026 · 10:41 NASDAQ",
"text": "BWIN's tracked gain narrowed 0.09 points to +7.89% as price eased 0.04% to $31.94, 0.08% below VWAP near the lower part of its range on 0.24x average volume. The transaction-repricing case retains a 3.93-point sector-relative edge, but the quiet tape adds no fresh confirmation while closing conditions remain unresolved.",
"price": 31.9373,
"pct": 7.89,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.02,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.02,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.04,
"session_day": 4,
"reference_price": 31.93,
"reference_text": "$31.94 · +0.02% from $31.93 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-18T14:06:06.717745Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 3,
"timestamp": "2026-09-17T22:21:42.532560Z",
"date": "Session 3 · Sep 17, 2026 · 18:21 NASDAQ",
"text": "BWIN's tracked gain narrowed 0.37 points to +7.98% after a 0.28% decline to USD 31.95. Price is 0.18% below VWAP at the range low despite 3.26x average volume; no structure is confirmed, though 20-session relative performance remains positive by 5.35 points versus Financial Services. The transaction-repricing case retains support, but this capture adds no fresh confirmation.",
"price": 31.95,
"pct": 7.98,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.06,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.06,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.38,
"session_day": 3,
"reference_price": 31.93,
"reference_text": "$31.95 · +0.06% from $31.93 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-17T20:11:30Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 3,
"timestamp": "2026-09-17T15:24:57.499962Z",
"date": "Session 3 · Sep 17, 2026 · 11:24 NASDAQ",
"text": "BWIN's tracked gain eased 0.08 points to +8.35% as the latest capture rose 0.09% to USD 32.07. Price is effectively at VWAP on 0.20x average volume, with only early structure; the transaction mechanism and relative strength still support the case, but this quiet tape adds no fresh confirmation.",
"price": 32.07,
"pct": 8.35,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.44,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.44,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.01,
"session_day": 3,
"reference_price": 31.93,
"reference_text": "$32.07 · +0.44% from $31.93 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-17T14:10:17.742927Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 2,
"timestamp": "2026-09-16T20:27:47.650739Z",
"date": "Session 2 · Sep 16, 2026 · 16:27 NASDAQ",
"text": "BWIN's tracked gain eased 0.46 points to +8.43% after a 1.28% fall to .08. Price finished 0.16% below VWAP despite 6.26x average volume, with no confirmed structure; the take-private mechanism remains supported but conditional, without fresh structural confirmation.",
"price": 32.075,
"pct": 8.43,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.45,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.45,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.38,
"session_day": 2,
"reference_price": 31.93,
"reference_text": "$32.08 · +0.45% from $31.93 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-16T19:21:13.018409Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 2,
"timestamp": "2026-09-16T14:49:08.148038Z",
"date": "Session 2 · Sep 16, 2026 · 10:49 NASDAQ",
"text": "BWIN tracked gain is 8,89% as the latest capture moved 0,91% to USD 32,20, with price above VWAP on 2,42 times time-adjusted participation. The tracked result widened 0,91 points, but The take-private mechanism remains supported but conditional on closing and structure.",
"price": 32.195,
"pct": 8.89,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.83,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.83,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.92,
"session_day": 2,
"reference_price": 31.93,
"reference_text": "$32.20 · +0.83% from $31.93 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-16T14:06:40.306426Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 1,
"timestamp": "2026-09-15T21:47:27.233750Z",
"date": "Session 1 · Sep 15, 2026 · 17:47 NASDAQ",
"text": "BWIN tracked gain eased 0.07 points to +9.80% after a 1.53% rise to USD 32.49, holding above VWAP with exceptionally high time-adjusted participation at 9.85 times. Price and activity still support the take-private mechanism, but no confirmed structure and remaining term and closing uncertainty keep the transaction thesis conditional.",
"price": 32.49,
"pct": 9.8,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 1.75,
"return_vs_base_pct": 1.75,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.04,
"session_day": 1,
"reference_price": 31.93,
"reference_text": "$32.49 · +1.75% from $31.93 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $32.40 (-0.28% vs regular close) · Sep 15, 2026 · 17:19 NASDAQ"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "post",
"price": 32.4,
"ext_pct": -0.28,
"as_of": "2026-09-15T21:19:40Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-15T21:19:40Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 1,
"timestamp": "2026-09-15T19:27:19.871047Z",
"date": "Session 1 · Sep 15, 2026 · 15:27 NASDAQ",
"text": "BWIN's current tape points to repair: it moved 1,56% to $32,50, with VWAP at 32,44 and volume at 4,39 times its three-month average. The tracked return is 9,87%, versus -0,47 points since the previous public note; Financial Services-relative wording remains neutral with a 6,84 point gap versus Financial Services, so the published thesis is not upgraded beyond what this move supports.",
"price": 32.5,
"pct": 9.87,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 1.79,
"return_vs_base_pct": 1.79,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.12,
"session_day": 1,
"reference_price": 31.93,
"reference_text": "$32.50 · +1.79% from $31.93 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-15T19:21:00.581079Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 1,
"timestamp": "2026-09-15T16:22:30.773708Z",
"date": "Session 1 · Sep 15, 2026 · 12:22 NASDAQ",
"text": "BWIN tracked gain improved 2.20 points to +10.34% as the current capture rose 1.69% to $32.54, 0.62% above VWAP near the top of its range on 2.03 times average volume. The take-private mechanism still has strong price and participation support, but no structure is confirmed and the limited remaining spread, term uncertainty and closing risk keep the transaction thesis conditional.",
"price": 32.54,
"pct": 10.34,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 1.91,
"return_vs_base_pct": 1.91,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 1.69,
"session_day": 1,
"reference_price": 31.93,
"reference_text": "$32.54 · +1.91% from $31.93 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-15T15:52:36.865021Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 0,
"timestamp": "2026-09-14T23:37:26.023455Z",
"date": "Session 0 · Sep 14, 2026 · 19:37 NASDAQ",
"text": "BWIN opened public tracking at +8.14%; the latest capture held $32.00, above VWAP with exceptional participation. That supports transaction-driven repricing, but no structure and an unresolved terms and closing-risk record mean the deal thesis remains conditional on the disclosed transaction staying intact.",
"price": 32.0,
"pct": 8.14,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.22,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.22,
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{
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"date": "Session 0 · Sep 14, 2026 · 16:36 NASDAQ",
"text": "BWIN opened its public tracking at +8.14% as the reported take-private response held at $32.00, 0.47% above VWAP with 15.52x average volume. That first checkpoint supports the transaction-driven repricing and benchmark-relative strength, but it does not settle the limited spread or closing risk: no structure is confirmed, the compact record does not fully reconcile the terms, and the thesis remains conditional on the disclosed deal staying intact.",
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