VRA episode 20260916_VRA_MIDDAY
Public episode JSON embedded as readable text for automated access.
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"public_page_url": "https://trydingday.com/coverage/vra/2026-09-16/midday/",
"published_at": "2026-09-16T18:55:03.327587Z",
"updated_at": "2026-10-07T22:17:29.208395Z",
"lifecycle": {
"tracking_status": "closed",
"active_for_tracking": false,
"stage": "closed"
},
"instrument": {
"type": "equity",
"symbol": "VRA",
"exchange": "NASDAQ",
"name": "Vera Bradley, Inc."
},
"technical_reference": {
"status": "ok",
"reference_price": 4.29,
"model_downside_reference": 3.89,
"model_upside_scenario_1": 4.7,
"model_upside_scenario_2": 5.1,
"atr_14": 0.27,
"method": "reference_price_plus_minus_atr14"
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"public_content": {
"date": "September 16, 2026",
"generated_at": "2026-09-16T18:55:03.327587Z",
"original_published_at": null,
"session_tag": "midday",
"label": "Market coverage",
"try_label": "Try of the Day",
"public_status": "Try of the Day",
"why_today": "The Try of the Day remains VRA. Its fiscal Q2 report supplied the strongest supported operating mechanism in the comparison, with revenue of $71.6 million, an exact revenue change of +1.1%, an exact Direct Segment sales change of +8.0%, a return to profitability and reiterated guidance. Participation was exceptional, but the stock later eased from $4.25 to $4.18 and was below the $4.32 VWAP observation. APD and RAYA remain reported candidate stories rather than verified issuer facts because their supplied source and ticker linkage require review.",
"entry_reasoning": "Panel thesis: VRA offers the most defensible prospective S0-S15 path because its high-participation move is tied to an issuer-supported operating inflection: fiscal Q2 revenue increased 1.1% to $71.6 million, Direct Segment sales increased 8.0%, profitability returned and guidance was reiterated. The thesis remains conditional on the post-earnings structure stabilizing and on the improvement proving broader than tariff-related margin support. Invalidation boundary: The thesis is falsified if VRA persistently fails to reclaim the $4.32 event-day VWAP while its ordered trajectory continues to deteriorate, and subsequent issuer evidence shows that profitability was mainly temporary or that Direct Segment growth did not persist.",
"reference_price": 4.29,
"scanner": {
"price": 4.29,
"reference": 4.29,
"score": 4,
"score_version": "v0_legacy_reconstructed",
"change": 4.97,
"volume": 1591460,
"average_volume": 327819,
"volume_ratio": 4.85,
"rsi": 70.47,
"ema_trend": "3.54 > 3.41 > 3.47",
"position_52w": 94.56,
"atr_14": 0.27,
"vwap": 4.32,
"vwap_state": "below",
"vwap_distance_pct": -0.69,
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"range_position": 0.439,
"gap_pct": 0.0,
"relative_strength": {
"excess_pct": 4.05,
"index": "QQQ",
"index_chg_pct": 0.92,
"status": "tailwind"
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"volume_percentile": {
"median_vol": 111700,
"percentile": 98.4,
"status": "exceptional",
"today_vol": 1591460
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"atr": 0.27,
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"status": "healthy"
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"etf": "XLY",
"status": "neutral"
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"sentiment_score": null,
"earnings_warning": {
"days_away": -1,
"earnings_date": "2026-09-15",
"has_earnings_soon": true,
"status": "post_earnings"
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"options_snapshot": null,
"extended_hours": {
"ext_pct": null,
"market_state": "REGULAR",
"phase": "regular",
"post_market_pct": null,
"pre_market_pct": null,
"status": "none"
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"short_pct_float": 3.48,
"days_to_cover": 6.69,
"catalyst": "Vera Bradley (VRA) Q2 2027 Earnings Call Transcript",
"sector": "Consumer Cyclical",
"exchange": "NASDAQ",
"sec_signal": "NO_RECENT_FORM4_SIGNAL"
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"levels": {
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"downside": 3.89,
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"review": {
"score": 4,
"status": "Try Of The Day",
"summary": "The provisional Try of the Day remains VRA. Its fiscal Q2 report supplied the strongest supported operating mechanism in the comparison, with revenue of $71.6 million, an exact revenue change of +1.1%, an exact Direct Segment sales change of +8.0%, a return to profitability and reiterated guidance. Participation was exceptional, but the stock later eased from $4.25 to $4.18 and was below the $4.32 VWAP observation. APD and RAYA remain reported candidate stories rather than verified issuer facts because their supplied source and ticker linkage require review.",
"views": [
{
"name": "Elena Vartanyan",
"role": "independent statistical auditor",
"icon": "🎯",
"view": "The day began with a firm but incomplete market picture. The S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and Russell 2000 were positive, and the 10-year yield was lower by 3.7 basis points. VIX was unavailable, so we cannot describe the volatility regime with the same confidence. None of that selects a company.",
"reasoning": "The selection therefore stays provisional Try of the Day for VRA. Its post-earnings tape still faded from $4.25 to $4.18 and remained below the $4.32 VWAP, and the candidate-horizon model produced no usable outputs. Those limits are disclosed. The Auditor's material concern has been corrected in the alternative wording without adding a candidate, changing the sealed identity or reopening selection."
},
{
"name": "Marcus Feld",
"role": "information, fundamentals and catalyst analyst",
"icon": "🦊",
"view": "The wider tension was monetary and geopolitical. The sealed context had persistent inflation, a pending Federal Reserve decision, war-related energy costs and builder sentiment at 32. A company case therefore needs a mechanism that can remain visible after the day's macro event passes.",
"reasoning": "Agreed. The correction removes an overstatement, not the comparison. APD remains the strongest conditional counter-case if its story and ticker linkage are later verified; RAYA remains a highly participated but representation-risky report. VRA still has the better supported operating mechanism."
},
{
"name": "Kenji Osei",
"role": "AI Systems & Market Data Integrity Analyst",
"icon": "🧠",
"view": "The intraday breadth proxy was complete and constructive across capitalization groups. That means the firm index tape had broad participation in the measured universe. The end-of-day layer was unavailable, however, and breadth is a session measurement—not evidence that any individual candidate deserves selection.",
"reasoning": "The Auditor's point is a public-attribution correction, not a change to the case. APD and RAYA are reported candidate stories in the sealed packet. Their narrative records are marked public_safe=false and retain unresolved ticker linkage, so I will not call either item a verified issuer announcement. Their price, volume and VWAP observations remain usable as market facts."
},
{
"name": "Priya Nandakumar",
"role": "institutional risk and execution manager",
"icon": "🛡️",
"view": "Lower yields and easing oil helped the session, but the pending policy decision left gap risk unresolved. I want a case whose thesis survives ordinary volatility, not one that works only if today's favorable index tone continues.",
"reasoning": "That distinction changes how the alternatives should be read. APD may have a meaningful reported contract story, but its -0.41% move on 0.23 times average volume did not confirm it. RAYA may have a reported distribution roadmap, but the 5773.2-basis-point quote-spread proxy means the displayed price is a poor guide to executable consensus. Neither claim should be promoted beyond what the record supports."
},
{
"name": "Nate Brooks",
"role": "market structure and timing analyst",
"icon": "📈",
"view": "The shared charts showed real dispersion: some candidates were breaking from bases, some were extending old moves, and some were only bouncing within longer declines. The longer daily and weekly views end at the supplied chart cut, so I will use them for structure, not as substitutes for the ordered intraday observations.",
"reasoning": "VWAP is the session's average traded price weighted by volume. Trading below it means the latest observed price was below where the average dollar changed hands that day. Practically, buyers had not yet regained control of the event-day average, so $4.32 becomes a useful confirmation point rather than a forecast."
}
],
"conviction": {
"status_phrase": "recorded",
"basis": "Resolution support remains VRA's issuer-supported earnings mechanism, exceptional participation and multi-frame breakout. The counter-case is the fading path below VWAP and APD's more liquid but unverified reported contract story. The unresolved share reflects the next-session structure, durability without tariff support, unresolved APD/RAYA attribution and unavailable ML and volatility evidence.",
"risk": "",
"resolution_pct": 61.0,
"counter_case_pct": 24.0,
"unresolved_pct": 15.0
},
"context_roundtable": {
"mode": "coffee",
"status": "complete",
"consulted_voice_ids": [
"elena",
"marcus",
"kenji",
"priya",
"nate"
],
"summary": "The day was firm in major equity benchmarks but incomplete as a risk read: inflation and hike-day framing persisted alongside geopolitical fuel costs and weak builder sentiment, while VIX and end-of-day breadth coverage were unavailable. The Coffee records how that setting bears on VRA without changing the sealed provisional decision.",
"long_read": "At the sealed snapshot, the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and Russell 2000 had positive supplied changes, the 10-year yield was slightly lower, the dollar was steady and commodities were mixed. Intraday breadth was constructive, but its end-of-day layer and VIX were unavailable. Core PCE remaining above 2% for 65 months and the Fed being framed as a hike-day event keep policy sensitivity central. Against that backdrop, VRA's issuer-reported operating improvement remains a durability question: its tape cooled from $4.25 to $4.18 below the $4.32 VWAP, and no candidate-horizon ML output was retained. This is context and coverage discipline, not a second selection.",
"transcript": [
{
"speaker_id": "elena",
"text": "The sealed 16:54 snapshot was firm but incomplete: the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and Russell 2000 supplied changes of +0.32%, +0.79% and +0.48%. The 10-year yield stood at 4.959% with a supplied move of −3.70 basis points. A basis point is one hundredth of a percentage point, so that is modest easing, not a regime break. VRA's tape then cooled from $4.25 to $4.18 below its $4.32 VWAP. VWAP is the volume-weighted average traded price; trading below it means the average session buyer is not yet supporting price. No candidate-horizon ML output was retained, so no probability or adverse-tail estimate is treated as certainty."
},
{
"speaker_id": "nate",
"text": "Market breadth means how widely gains are shared across a tracked universe. The sealed intraday proxy was fully covered and constructive, but the end-of-day breadth layer and VIX were unavailable. That makes the risk-on reading a bounded context signal, not protection against a stock-specific reversal."
},
{
"speaker_id": "marcus",
"text": "Two macro facts resist a simple risk-on story: Core PCE has remained above 2% for 65 months, and the Fed decision was framed as a hike day. VRA's issuer filing records exact changes of 1.1% in fiscal-quarter revenue and 8.0% in Direct Segment sales. The macro backdrop is therefore a test of operating durability, not a cause or a vote for the publication.",
"source_urls": [
"https://x.com/biancoresearch/status/2100224771363393636",
"https://x.com/charliebilello/status/2100218575680053496",
"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1495320/000162828026061971/vra-20260915.htm"
]
},
{
"speaker_id": "priya",
"text": "The geopolitical and demand mix is uneven. The sealed cut carries an estimate of $107 billion in additional U.S. gasoline and diesel spending from the Iran war, while September builder sentiment was reported at a level of 32. For a consumer brand, that argues for watching resilience in demand and margins rather than assuming every firm index move represents broad consumer strength.",
"source_urls": [
"https://x.com/charliebilello/status/2100219798730813839",
"https://x.com/LizAnnSonders/status/2100230045289590865"
]
},
{
"speaker_id": "kenji",
"text": "Tokenized stock-market capitalization reached a reported $2.9 billion in August, which is a market-structure observation, not a valuation signal for VRA. Gold and WTI carried supplied changes of +1.32% and −3.06%, so the cross-asset picture was mixed. The Coffee records those forces and their coverage limits; it does not vote, rescore or reopen the sealed case.",
"source_urls": [
"https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/2100233998999998681"
]
}
],
"source_urls": [
"https://x.com/biancoresearch/status/2100224771363393636",
"https://x.com/charliebilello/status/2100218575680053496",
"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1495320/000162828026061971/vra-20260915.htm",
"https://x.com/charliebilello/status/2100219798730813839",
"https://x.com/LizAnnSonders/status/2100230045289590865",
"https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/2100233998999998681"
]
},
"context_roundtable_sources": [
{
"event_id": null,
"headline": "SEC 8-K filing",
"url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1495320/000162828026061971/vra-20260915.htm",
"publisher": "SEC EDGAR",
"source_quality": "primary",
"public_safe": true,
"published_at": null,
"available_at": null
},
{
"event_id": "mi_evt_bc088dc34885223a456b5d77",
"headline": "The Federal Reserve decision was framed as a hike day.",
"url": "https://x.com/charliebilello/status/2100218575680053496",
"publisher": "charliebilello",
"source_quality": "market_context",
"public_safe": true,
"published_at": "2026-09-16T13:41:43Z",
"available_at": "2026-09-16T13:41:43+00:00"
},
{
"event_id": "mi_evt_b4249c5898d7030153cbc6d9",
"headline": "The Iran war has raised U.S. gasoline and diesel spending by an estimated $107 billion.",
"url": "https://x.com/charliebilello/status/2100219798730813839",
"publisher": "charliebilello",
"source_quality": "market_context",
"public_safe": true,
"published_at": "2026-09-16T13:46:34Z",
"available_at": "2026-09-16T13:46:34+00:00"
},
{
"event_id": "mi_evt_59e1314079fb66dbdc26e6a7",
"headline": "Core PCE has remained above 2% for 65 months.",
"url": "https://x.com/biancoresearch/status/2100224771363393636",
"publisher": "biancoresearch",
"source_quality": "market_context",
"public_safe": true,
"published_at": "2026-09-16T14:06:20Z",
"available_at": "2026-09-16T14:06:20+00:00"
},
{
"event_id": "mi_evt_d6e50b14a1ee0048fa7869b1",
"headline": "September U.S. builder sentiment fell to 32.",
"url": "https://x.com/LizAnnSonders/status/2100230045289590865",
"publisher": "LizAnnSonders",
"source_quality": "market_context",
"public_safe": true,
"published_at": "2026-09-16T14:27:17Z",
"available_at": "2026-09-16T14:27:17+00:00"
},
{
"event_id": "mi_evt_dca28bfab57bee9c436e9813",
"headline": "Tokenized stock market capitalization reached $2.9 billion in August.",
"url": "https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/2100233998999998681",
"publisher": "KobeissiLetter",
"source_quality": "market_context",
"public_safe": true,
"published_at": "2026-09-16T14:43:00Z",
"available_at": "2026-09-16T14:43:00+00:00"
}
]
},
"updates": [
{
"day": 15,
"timestamp": "2026-10-07T22:17:29.208395Z",
"date": "Session 15 · Oct 7, 2026 · 18:17 NASDAQ",
"text": "VRA's 15-session tracking closes at +15.81% from the $4.30 entry, with a best favorable excursion of +21.40% and a worst adverse excursion of -7.67%. After early weakness, price reclaimed the $4.32 event-day average by session 9; the session-15 regular-market capture was $4.98. A separate post-market quote showed $5.15 (+3.41%; timestamped 22:14 Canary). The fiscal Q2 filing supported the original operating case, but no later issuer evidence established that returned profitability and Direct Segment growth would persist without tariff support. The final volume read was 0.41 times average; final momentum, trend and 52-week-position readings were unavailable. Tracking is closed.",
"price": 4.98,
"pct": 15.81,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 16.08,
"return_vs_base_pct": 16.08,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -2.8,
"session_day": 15,
"reference_price": 4.29,
"reference_text": "$4.98 · +16.08% from $4.29 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": true,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": true,
"transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-96cc8860948ae9b4bdb5206c6848eb59f498c4cc62214fe86ced78fe25644a5b",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-16T21:13:43Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 14,
"timestamp": "2026-10-06T20:03:23.328766Z",
"date": "Session 14 · Oct 6, 2026 · 16:03 NASDAQ",
"text": "VRA's tracked return recovered 2.41 points to +18.84%. The $5.10 pre-close capture rose 1.59% and held 0.59% above VWAP, with intraday volume running ahead of its time-adjusted norm. The price remains near its 52-week high and no confirmed structure has formed. Relative leadership is still strong, but this capture does not show that profitability can persist without tariff support.",
"price": 5.1,
"pct": 18.84,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 18.88,
"return_vs_base_pct": 18.88,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 5.64,
"session_day": 14,
"reference_price": 4.29,
"reference_text": "$5.10 · +18.88% from $4.29 base",
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"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-06T19:21:35.651397Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 14,
"timestamp": "2026-10-06T15:39:27.738833Z",
"date": "Session 14 · Oct 6, 2026 · 11:39 NASDAQ",
"text": "VRA's tracked gain slipped another 0.31 points to 16.43% as the current capture fell 3.23%; its 20-session lead over Consumer Cyclical remains large at 46.47 points, below the prior 53.76. Price remains above the $4.32 event-day reference, but no confirmed structure and no new evidence on tariff-independent profit recovery leave durability unresolved.",
"price": 4.8578,
"pct": 16.43,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 13.24,
"return_vs_base_pct": 13.24,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -3.78,
"session_day": 14,
"reference_price": 4.29,
"reference_text": "$4.86 · +13.24% from $4.29 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-06T14:06:59.842254Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 13,
"timestamp": "2026-10-05T22:30:32.226662Z",
"date": "Session 13 · Oct 5, 2026 · 18:30 NASDAQ",
"text": "VRA's tracked gain slipped from 17.91% to 16.74% as the $5.02 capture fell 1.76%; the regular-session read stayed above VWAP on 0.87 times expected volume. Price remains above the $4.32 event-day reference, and its 53.76-point 20-session lead over Consumer Cyclical is still large. The weaker session and unconfirmed structure temper the tape, while durability of Q2 profit recovery without tariff support remains unproven.",
"price": 5.02,
"pct": 16.74,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 17.02,
"return_vs_base_pct": 17.02,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.63,
"session_day": 13,
"reference_price": 4.29,
"reference_text": "$5.02 · +17.02% from $4.29 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-05T21:23:42Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 13,
"timestamp": "2026-10-05T20:26:57.233509Z",
"date": "Session 13 · Oct 5, 2026 · 16:26 NASDAQ",
"text": "VRA's tracked gain increased 0.70 points to 17.91%, although the $5.09 capture fell 0.39%; it stayed 0.73% above VWAP with 0.87 times expected volume. The 55.51-point lead over Consumer Cyclical remains substantial. That keeps the market case strong, while the evidence still does not show whether Q2 profit recovery and margin gains persist without tariff support.",
"price": 5.09,
"pct": 17.91,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 18.65,
"return_vs_base_pct": 18.65,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.93,
"session_day": 13,
"reference_price": 4.29,
"reference_text": "$5.09 · +18.65% from $4.29 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-05T19:21:38.104627Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 13,
"timestamp": "2026-10-05T15:26:06.195177Z",
"date": "Session 13 · Oct 5, 2026 · 11:26 NASDAQ",
"text": "VRA's tracked gain rose 0.31 points to 17.21%; the $5.05 capture held 0.20% above VWAP while time-adjusted volume reached 1.40. A 55.01-point twenty-session sector lead still supports the repricing, but the prior profit improvement's durability without tariff support remains unresolved.",
"price": 5.05,
"pct": 17.21,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 17.72,
"return_vs_base_pct": 17.72,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.39,
"session_day": 13,
"reference_price": 4.29,
"reference_text": "$5.05 · +17.72% from $4.29 base",
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{
"day": 12,
"timestamp": "2026-10-03T11:27:12.758722Z",
"date": "Session 12 · Oct 3, 2026 · 07:27 NASDAQ",
"text": "VRA held its tracked gain at 16.90%, while the later capture rose from $5.03 to $5.11, 0.24% above VWAP on volume at 1.15 times average. Its 20-session lead over Consumer Cyclical widened to 61.30 points, strengthening the tape, but the Q2 profit improvement still lacks evidence of durability without tariff support.",
"price": 5.11,
"pct": 16.9,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 19.11,
"return_vs_base_pct": 19.11,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 1.86,
"session_day": 12,
"reference_price": 4.29,
"reference_text": "$5.11 · +19.11% from $4.29 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-02T21:30:42Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 12,
"timestamp": "2026-10-02T20:09:13.247442Z",
"date": "Session 12 · Oct 2, 2026 · 16:09 NASDAQ",
"text": "VRA's tracked gain rose 9.46 points to +16.90%, the latest capture stayed above VWAP and its 20-session lead over Consumer Cyclical widened to 58.79 points; the price case has strengthened since the last note. Volume remains below average, structure is unconfirmed and the advance is extended, while the near-even model range offers little directional confirmation. The filing-backed Q2 improvement still needs evidence of durability without tariff support.",
"price": 5.03,
"pct": 16.9,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 17.25,
"return_vs_base_pct": 17.25,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 9.56,
"session_day": 12,
"reference_price": 4.29,
"reference_text": "$5.03 · +17.25% from $4.29 base",
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"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": true,
"active_relevant": true,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-22009d70d468a4633ae825b7c74c8b88a98eb29c114bc0c1de265753e1555501",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-02T19:21:55.629539Z",
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{
"day": 10,
"timestamp": "2026-09-30T21:58:47.103858Z",
"date": "Session 10 · Sep 30, 2026 · 17:58 NASDAQ",
"text": "VRA tracked gain held at 7.44% in a later capture at $4.62, 1.76% above VWAP with volume near its three-month average and a high position in the session range. It retains a 49.85-point 20-session lead over Consumer Cyclical, but its structure remains unconfirmed and the move does not show that Q2 profitability can persist without tariff support.",
"price": 4.62,
"pct": 7.44,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 7.69,
"return_vs_base_pct": 7.69,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.46,
"session_day": 10,
"reference_price": 4.29,
"reference_text": "$4.62 · +7.69% from $4.29 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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"price_as_of": "2026-09-30T20:50:00Z",
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},
{
"day": 10,
"timestamp": "2026-09-30T20:55:49.085437Z",
"date": "Session 10 · Sep 30, 2026 · 16:55 NASDAQ",
"text": "VRA’s tracked gain rose 5.35 percentage points to 7.44%; by 3:58 p.m., shares at $4.60 stood above the $4.32 earnings-day reference and the session’s volume-weighted average price, while volume had recovered from 7% of average at 10 a.m. to 0.97 times average. The 49.57-point 20-session lead over Consumer Cyclical strengthens the price case, but an extended move without confirmed structure still cannot show that Q2 profitability and Direct Segment growth persist without tariff support.",
"price": 4.6,
"pct": 7.44,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 7.23,
"return_vs_base_pct": 7.23,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 4.9,
"session_day": 10,
"reference_price": 4.29,
"reference_text": "$4.60 · +7.23% from $4.29 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": true,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-14fe7b2cf90e22af54952d80323193c51ba552ea6cb8396ee5292728ab57fcbe",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-30T19:58:16.738162Z",
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{
"day": 10,
"timestamp": "2026-09-30T15:19:35.740234Z",
"date": "Session 10 · Sep 30, 2026 · 11:19 NASDAQ",
"text": "VRA's tracked return improved 2.79 percentage points to a 2.09% gain. The 10 a.m. capture at 4.39 USD was 1.39% above VWAP and near the top of the range, but volume was only 7% of average so far and no structure is confirmed. Its 20-session lead over Consumer Cyclical reached 42.11 points, with accumulation still positive; the price recovery repairs the event-level test, while low participation leaves earnings durability unresolved.",
"price": 4.39,
"pct": 2.09,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 2.33,
"return_vs_base_pct": 2.33,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 2.8,
"session_day": 10,
"reference_price": 4.29,
"reference_text": "$4.39 · +2.33% from $4.29 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-30T14:10:11.628897Z",
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},
{
"day": 9,
"timestamp": "2026-09-29T21:53:10.275419Z",
"date": "Session 9 · Sep 29, 2026 · 17:53 NASDAQ",
"text": "VRA's tracked loss narrowed 0.23 points to 0.70% as shares rose 2.89% to $4.27, close to the $4.26 session VWAP. A 31.97-point 20-session lead over Consumer Cyclical and positive accumulation remain supportive, but dollar volume was only 32% of normal and no structure is confirmed, leaving the post-earnings improvement unproven.",
"price": 4.27,
"pct": -0.7,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.47,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.47,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.23,
"session_day": 9,
"reference_price": 4.29,
"reference_text": "$4.27 · -0.47% from $4.29 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-29T20:10:09Z",
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},
{
"day": 9,
"timestamp": "2026-09-29T19:49:04.647850Z",
"date": "Session 9 · Sep 29, 2026 · 15:49 NASDAQ",
"text": "VRA's tracked return fell 1.86 points to a 0.93% loss as shares eased from $4.39 to $4.26, still up 2.65% versus the prior regular close but around session VWAP and below the $4.32 event level. Its 31.53-point 20-session lead over Consumer Cyclical persists, and 20-day accumulation remains positive, yet dollar volume is only 25% of normal and no structure is confirmed; the post-earnings improvement is not yet a durable repair.",
"price": 4.26,
"pct": -0.93,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -0.7,
"return_vs_base_pct": -0.7,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -3.03,
"session_day": 9,
"reference_price": 4.29,
"reference_text": "$4.26 · -0.70% from $4.29 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-29T19:21:52.249581Z",
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},
{
"day": 9,
"timestamp": "2026-09-29T14:54:43.191584Z",
"date": "Session 9 · Sep 29, 2026 · 10:54 NASDAQ",
"text": "VRA's tracked return improved 4.42 points to +0.93% as shares rose 5.78% to $4.39, above both the $4.32 event reference and $4.30 session VWAP; its 20-session lead over Consumer Cyclical widened to 35.56 points. The prior price failure has repaired, but volume is only 0.18 times average and structure remains unconfirmed. The active model sits just below even with a near-flat median and wide range, so it neither explains the jump nor settles earnings durability.",
"price": 4.39,
"pct": 0.93,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 2.33,
"return_vs_base_pct": 2.33,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 5.59,
"session_day": 9,
"reference_price": 4.29,
"reference_text": "$4.39 · +2.33% from $4.29 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": true,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-a7168a2b54a87db92200b33432ce4479cdebfbe04bbd66532685f13954533571",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-29T14:06:23.151493Z",
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{
"day": 8,
"timestamp": "2026-09-28T21:58:02.183205Z",
"date": "Session 8 · Sep 28, 2026 · 17:58 NASDAQ",
"text": "VRA tracked loss widened 0.23 points to -3.49% even as shares rose 3.11% to $4.15 and held slightly above the session volume-weighted average price. The stock remains 32.38 points ahead of Consumer Cyclical over 20 sessions, yet it is still below the $4.32 event reference, dollar volume is 36% of its 20-day average, and price structure is unconfirmed; the reported earnings improvement has not settled margin durability.",
"price": 4.15,
"pct": -3.49,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -3.26,
"return_vs_base_pct": -3.26,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 8,
"reference_price": 4.29,
"reference_text": "$4.15 · -3.26% from $4.29 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-28T20:10:05Z",
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},
{
"day": 8,
"timestamp": "2026-09-28T20:09:24.709443Z",
"date": "Session 8 · Sep 28, 2026 · 16:09 NASDAQ",
"text": "VRA's tracked loss narrowed 0.34 points to -3.26% as shares rose 3.11% and held 0.32% above the session's volume-weighted average price, on 0.67 times average volume. The 20-session lead over Consumer Cyclical is 32.23 points, but price remains below the $4.32 event reference; the improved quarter supports the operating case while tariff and margin durability remain open.",
"price": 4.15,
"pct": -3.26,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -3.26,
"return_vs_base_pct": -3.26,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.35,
"session_day": 8,
"reference_price": 4.29,
"reference_text": "$4.15 · -3.26% from $4.29 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-28T19:21:40.218900Z",
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{
"day": 8,
"timestamp": "2026-09-28T15:30:57.834953Z",
"date": "Session 8 · Sep 28, 2026 · 11:30 NASDAQ",
"text": "VRA narrowed its tracked loss by 2.80 points to 3.60% as shares rose 2.73% above the $4.12 session VWAP on stronger-than-expected intraday volume. The latest quarter showed modest revenue growth, stronger direct sales, a return to profit and reaffirmed guidance; price remains below the $4.32 event VWAP, leaving tariff-related margin durability unresolved.",
"price": 4.135,
"pct": -3.6,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -3.61,
"return_vs_base_pct": -3.61,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 2.57,
"session_day": 8,
"reference_price": 4.29,
"reference_text": "$4.13 · -3.61% from $4.29 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-28T14:06:10.888804Z",
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},
{
"day": 7,
"timestamp": "2026-09-25T22:48:35.951184Z",
"date": "Session 7 · Sep 25, 2026 · 18:48 NASDAQ",
"text": "VRA's tracked loss widened 1.28 percentage points to 6.40% on session 7. The $4.025 capture was down 1.11% and 0.62% below VWAP on 0.80 times average volume, with no confirmed structure; the 20-session lead over Consumer Cyclical remains 25.10 points. That relative strength has not restored the $4.32 event-VWAP test, and the earnings improvement still does not establish that profitability extends beyond tariff-related support.",
"price": 4.025,
"pct": -6.4,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -6.18,
"return_vs_base_pct": -6.18,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.59,
"session_day": 7,
"reference_price": 4.29,
"reference_text": "$4.03 · -6.18% from $4.29 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-25T20:29:34Z",
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},
{
"day": 7,
"timestamp": "2026-09-25T15:03:38.319019Z",
"date": "Session 7 · Sep 25, 2026 · 11:03 NASDAQ",
"text": "VRA's tracked loss narrowed 0.23 percentage points to -5.12%, but shares slipped 0.49% to $4.05, 0.74% below VWAP at the range low on 0.02 times average dollar volume. The 20-session lead over Consumer Cyclical remains 26.52 points and the reported earnings improvement still supports the thesis, yet the $4.32 event VWAP remains unreclaimed; this thin read does not establish post-earnings stability beyond tariff-related margin support.",
"price": 4.05,
"pct": -5.12,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -5.59,
"return_vs_base_pct": -5.59,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.46,
"session_day": 7,
"reference_price": 4.29,
"reference_text": "$4.05 · -5.59% from $4.29 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-25T14:06:22.073520Z",
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},
{
"day": 6,
"timestamp": "2026-09-24T21:32:58.131362Z",
"date": "Session 6 · Sep 24, 2026 · 17:32 NASDAQ",
"text": "VRA's tracked loss widened 0.12 percentage points to 5.35% even as shares rose 0.74% to $4.07; they remained 0.49% below VWAP on 0.74 times average volume, with no confirmed structure. The 20-session lead over Consumer Cyclical is still 33.66 points and the reported fiscal-quarter improvement remains relevant, but the tape has not confirmed that gains extend beyond tariff relief.",
"price": 4.07,
"pct": -5.35,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -5.13,
"return_vs_base_pct": -5.13,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.11,
"session_day": 6,
"reference_price": 4.29,
"reference_text": "$4.07 · -5.13% from $4.29 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-24T20:10:05Z",
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},
{
"day": 6,
"timestamp": "2026-09-24T20:20:13.016480Z",
"date": "Session 6 · Sep 24, 2026 · 16:20 NASDAQ",
"text": "VRA's tracked loss widened 1.97 points to 5.23%, even as shares rose 0.62%; they remained 0.64% below VWAP on 0.58 times average volume, with no confirmed pattern. Its 33.32-point 20-session lead over Consumer Cyclical remains substantial, but the operating improvement still needs to prove it extends beyond tariff relief.",
"price": 4.065,
"pct": -5.23,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -5.24,
"return_vs_base_pct": -5.24,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.6,
"session_day": 6,
"reference_price": 4.29,
"reference_text": "$4.07 · -5.24% from $4.29 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-24T19:21:16.869314Z",
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},
{
"day": 6,
"timestamp": "2026-09-24T14:21:12.715677Z",
"date": "Session 6 · Sep 24, 2026 · 10:21 NASDAQ",
"text": "VRA's tracked loss narrowed 2.79 points to 3.26% as shares rose 2.32% and moved 1.45% above the session's volume-weighted average. The 35.95-point 20-session lead over Consumer Cyclical is intact, but trading pace was about half usual and no price pattern is confirmed; the operating improvement still needs to prove broader than tariff relief.",
"price": 4.1339,
"pct": -3.26,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -3.64,
"return_vs_base_pct": -3.64,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 2.19,
"session_day": 6,
"reference_price": 4.29,
"reference_text": "$4.13 · -3.64% from $4.29 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-24T14:06:20.904650Z",
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},
{
"day": 5,
"timestamp": "2026-09-23T21:45:07.416673Z",
"date": "Session 5 · Sep 23, 2026 · 17:45 NASDAQ",
"text": "VRA's tracked loss narrowed 0.23 points to 6.05% even as shares fell 5.83%, closing 0.85% below VWAP on dollar volume at just 0.29 times the 20-day average. Its 33.91-point lead over Consumer Cyclical persists, but a sharp low-participation decline weakens the evidence that the operating inflection is translating into steady price support.",
"price": 4.04,
"pct": -6.05,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -5.83,
"return_vs_base_pct": -5.83,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.23,
"session_day": 5,
"reference_price": 4.29,
"reference_text": "$4.04 · -5.83% from $4.29 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-23T20:40:34Z",
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},
{
"day": 5,
"timestamp": "2026-09-23T20:31:37.284979Z",
"date": "Session 5 · Sep 23, 2026 · 16:31 NASDAQ",
"text": "VRA's tracked loss deepened 0.99 points to 6.28% after a 6.06% drop that closed 0.85% below VWAP near the session low. Dollar volume was only 0.23 times its 20-day average; the 20-session sector-relative lead remains, but this reversal weakens price confirmation of the fiscal-quarter improvement.",
"price": 4.03,
"pct": -6.28,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -6.06,
"return_vs_base_pct": -6.06,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -4.2,
"session_day": 5,
"reference_price": 4.29,
"reference_text": "$4.03 · -6.06% from $4.29 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-23T19:35:00.588557Z",
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},
{
"day": 5,
"timestamp": "2026-09-23T14:37:43.306225Z",
"date": "Session 5 · Sep 23, 2026 · 10:37 NASDAQ",
"text": "VRA's tracked loss widened 5.06 points to 5.29% after a 1.86% decline that finished 0.47% below VWAP at the bottom of its range on only 0.04x average volume. The issuer-reported earnings improvement and 20-session Consumer Cyclical-relative lead remain visible, but the thin, weak tape leaves post-earnings stability and profitability durability unresolved; the near-even model range adds no repair.",
"price": 4.21,
"pct": -5.29,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -1.86,
"return_vs_base_pct": -1.86,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.86,
"session_day": 5,
"reference_price": 4.29,
"reference_text": "$4.21 · -1.86% from $4.29 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": true,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-81249f10b8453a5691fa9b77d5ce449c87caba35e23fb84708ccbfa4a5e3f376",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-23T14:07:21.397247Z",
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{
"day": 4,
"timestamp": "2026-09-22T21:37:05.960128Z",
"date": "Session 4 · Sep 22, 2026 · 17:37 NASDAQ",
"text": "VRA's tracked result slipped to a 0.23% loss, 0.70 points below the previous note, despite a 3.12% rise that held above VWAP. The earnings case retains strong Consumer Cyclical-relative support and accumulation is constructive, but participation remains below average and no confirmed structure leaves stability and profitability durability unresolved.",
"price": 4.29,
"pct": -0.23,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.0,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.0,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.35,
"session_day": 4,
"reference_price": 4.29,
"reference_text": "$4.29 · 0.00% from $4.29 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
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"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-22T20:10:04Z",
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{
"day": 4,
"timestamp": "2026-09-22T20:31:46.892868Z",
"date": "Session 4 · Sep 22, 2026 · 16:31 NASDAQ",
"text": "VRA's tracked result improved to +0.47% after a 3.49% rise, with price 0.65% above VWAP in the upper range on 0.61x average volume. The earnings case retains strong Consumer Cyclical-relative support, but decelerating participation and no confirmed structure leave stability and profitability durability unresolved.",
"price": 4.305,
"pct": 0.47,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.35,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.35,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 1.87,
"session_day": 4,
"reference_price": 4.29,
"reference_text": "$4.30 · +0.35% from $4.29 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
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"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-22T19:21:53.147856Z",
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{
"day": 4,
"timestamp": "2026-09-22T15:14:29.108583Z",
"date": "Session 4 · Sep 22, 2026 · 11:14 NASDAQ",
"text": "VRA recovered 2.79 points to a -0.47% tracked loss as price rose 1.56% to 4.23, but remained 0.63% below VWAP near the bottom of the range on 0.13x average volume. The earnings and sector-relative case remains traceable, but no confirmed structure leaves post-event stability and profitability durability unresolved.",
"price": 4.225,
"pct": -0.47,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -1.52,
"return_vs_base_pct": -1.52,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 1.51,
"session_day": 4,
"reference_price": 4.29,
"reference_text": "$4.22 · -1.52% from $4.29 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
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{
"day": 3,
"timestamp": "2026-09-21T22:19:02.729933Z",
"date": "Session 3 · Sep 21, 2026 · 18:19 NASDAQ",
"text": "VRA tracked loss widened 0.70 points to -3.26% as price fell 2.12% to 4.16, finished 2.12% below VWAP in the lower quarter of its range and traded at 2.02 times average volume. The earnings case retains a 36.97-point Consumer Cyclical-relative lead and accumulation, but the weak close leaves post-event stability and profitability durability unresolved.",
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{
"day": 3,
"timestamp": "2026-09-21T20:02:30.834659Z",
"date": "Session 3 · Sep 21, 2026 · 16:02 NASDAQ",
"text": "VRA's tracked loss widened 1.21 points to -2.56% after a 1.53% decline to 4.19, 2.12% below VWAP near the lower quarter of its range. Accumulation and a 37.47-point Consumer Cyclical-relative lead keep the earnings case alive, but 1.65 times average volume attached to a weak close leaves post-event stability and profitability durability unresolved.",
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{
"day": 3,
"timestamp": "2026-09-21T15:04:34.832347Z",
"date": "Session 3 · Sep 21, 2026 · 11:04 NASDAQ",
"text": "VRA's tracked loss widened 0.19 points to -1.35% as price fell 1.18% to 4.20 on 0.83 times average volume, and no structure is confirmed. Strong accumulation and a 44.64-point Consumer Cyclical-relative lead keep the earnings case credible, but the current fade leaves profitability durability and post-event stability unresolved.",
"price": 4.2,
"pct": -1.35,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -2.1,
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"day": 2,
"timestamp": "2026-09-18T22:28:45.079695Z",
"date": "Session 2 · Sep 18, 2026 · 18:28 NASDAQ",
"text": "VRA's tracked loss widened 0.93 points to -1.16% while price was flat at 4.25, just below 4.26 VWAP on 0.89x average volume. Accumulation and a 44.64-point Consumer Cyclical-relative lead keep the earnings case credible, yet absent structure and open profitability durability leave confirmation pending.",
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"day": 2,
"timestamp": "2026-09-18T20:15:11.193125Z",
"date": "Session 2 · Sep 18, 2026 · 16:15 NASDAQ",
"text": "VRA's tracked loss is -0.23% after the latest capture rose 0.89% to 4.29 on 0.49x average volume. Strong accumulation and a large Consumer Cyclical-relative lead keep the earnings case credible, yet no structure is confirmed and profitability durability remains open.",
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"date": "Session 2 · Sep 18, 2026 · 10:41 NASDAQ",
"text": "VRA's tracked loss widened 0.47 points to -1.63% as price fell 1.17% to $4.20, 0.24% below VWAP on 0.13x average volume. Strong accumulation and a 43.20-point sector-relative lead keep the earnings case credible, but the post-earnings structure has not stabilized and profitability durability remains unconfirmed.",
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"timestamp": "2026-09-17T21:03:50.757054Z",
"date": "Session 1 · Sep 17, 2026 · 17:03 NASDAQ",
"text": "VRA's tracked loss improved 4.07 points to -1.16% as the latest capture rose 5.72% on 1.63x average volume, but no structure is confirmed. The issuer-backed earnings case still has strong relative support—VRA is up 35.78% over 20 sessions versus Consumer Cyclical at -6.07%—while RSI at 69.04, a 2.72-ATR extension and the post-close fade keep stabilization conditional.",
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"day": 1,
"timestamp": "2026-09-17T15:24:59.568067Z",
"date": "Session 1 · Sep 17, 2026 · 11:24 NASDAQ",
"text": "VRA's tracked loss widened 0.83 points to -5.23% even as price rose 1.49% to USD 4.08 and moved 0.21% above VWAP. Volume was 0.37x average and no structure is confirmed, while 20-session relative strength remains exceptional at +30.35% versus Consumer Cyclical at -5.76%. The issuer-backed earnings improvement remains credible, but this capture does not yet stabilize the post-earnings test.",
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"day": 0,
"timestamp": "2026-09-16T19:59:22.120568Z",
"date": "Session 0 · Sep 16, 2026 · 15:59 NASDAQ",
"text": "VRA's first tracked session leaves the return at -4.40% even as volume reached 7.35 times average; price finished near the bottom of its range and 3.98% below VWAP. The issuer-backed earnings improvement remains the strongest part of the thesis, but the post-earnings test is already under pressure: exceptional participation has not yet produced a stable structure.",
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