WBD episode 20260921_WBD_MIDDAY
Public episode JSON embedded as readable text for automated access.
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"public_page_url": "https://trydingday.com/coverage/wbd/2026-09-21/midday/",
"published_at": "2026-09-21T18:05:05.482831Z",
"updated_at": "2026-10-12T22:21:23.228882Z",
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"stage": "closed"
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"instrument": {
"type": "equity",
"symbol": "WBD",
"exchange": "NASDAQ",
"name": "Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc."
},
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"date": "September 21, 2026",
"generated_at": "2026-09-21T18:05:05.482831Z",
"original_published_at": null,
"session_tag": "midday",
"label": "Market coverage",
"try_label": "Try of the Day",
"public_status": "Try of the Day",
"why_today": "The Desk currently selects WBD because a specific merger-settlement mechanism is supported by exceptional participation, above-VWAP structure and a strengthening trajectory. The selection remains conditional on continued transaction progress and price confirmation.",
"entry_reasoning": "Panel thesis: WBD has the most defensible current S0-S15 path in the sealed pool: a specific merger-settlement mechanism is accompanied by exceptional participation, above-VWAP structure and strengthening trajectory. The thesis is conditional on continued transaction progress and price confirmation. Invalidation boundary: Material deterioration, delay, repricing or failure of the merger path, combined with loss of the VWAP reference and the $29.77 technical reference, would falsify the thesis.",
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"catalyst": "Paramount settles with US states in big step towards closing Warner Bros merger, source says",
"sector": "Communication Services",
"exchange": "NASDAQ",
"sec_signal": "INSIDER_SELL (S)"
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"review": {
"score": 5,
"status": "Resolved",
"summary": "The Desk provisionally selects WBD because a specific merger-settlement mechanism is supported by exceptional participation, above-VWAP structure and a strengthening trajectory. The selection remains conditional on continued transaction progress and price confirmation.",
"views": [
{
"name": "Elena Vartanyan",
"role": "independent statistical auditor",
"icon": "🎯",
"view": "Let us fix the day before we touch the candidates. The shared snapshot is constructive: the S&P 500 rose 1.34%, the Nasdaq 100 rose 2.47%, the Russell 2000 rose 0.62%, and the VIX was 15.12. The ten-year yield was 4.953%, with a supplied change of minus 4.50 basis points. That is a supportive setting, not a selection.",
"reasoning": "Then the provisional formal decision is Try of the Day for WBD, episode n0:WBD:2026-09-21. The thesis is conditional on continued merger progress and retention of the supplied VWAP and technical references. The comparison is sealed against all ten delivered Desk candidates. No final Coffee or publication enrichment is generated in this phase."
},
{
"name": "Marcus Feld",
"role": "information, fundamentals and catalyst analyst",
"icon": "🦊",
"view": "And the wider news cut is not tranquil. The IMF describes uncertainty as the new normal, the ECB records expected cost pressure from the Middle East war, and tanker rates are reported sharply higher. Those forces can shape transmission and financing, but none of them is an issuer-specific mechanism until the candidate evidence connects the dots.",
"reasoning": "The alternatives are useful checks. CAE has a concrete contract but only 0.70 volume ratio. TWI has an asset-sale agreement but a 200% spread proxy. VEEV has the strongest operating context, yet its price change was minus 0.08% on 0.23 volume ratio. Strong company evidence without current confirmation is not the same thesis."
},
{
"name": "Kenji Osei",
"role": "AI Systems & Market Data Integrity Analyst",
"icon": "🧠",
"view": "One boundary before we proceed: the breadth layer is only an intraday proxy. Breadth means how many names advance versus decline across the monitored universe. Coverage is partial, the EOD layer is unavailable, and nine symbols have no quote. I will use it only to describe the session, never to rank a candidate.",
"reasoning": "The source distinction matters. The settlement report documents reported progress; it does not document completion. WBD's price and volume document market response; they do not prove the deal will close. I also note that RVLV has two episode records, but they remain one ticker and one evidence family, not two votes."
},
{
"name": "Priya Nandakumar",
"role": "institutional risk and execution manager",
"icon": "🛡️",
"view": "Good. A rising market can make weak stories look healthy. The question is whether each name has a mechanism that can survive the first reaction, not whether the backdrop gives every chart permission to be optimistic.",
"reasoning": "I accept WBD as the comparative Try, with a reservation that should stay in the public case. This is not a claim that the merger is assured or that the extension is safe. My support depends on the next check being explicit and the falsifier being binding."
},
{
"name": "Nate Brooks",
"role": "market structure and timing analyst",
"icon": "📈",
"view": "The broad tape is also uneven. Nasdaq leadership is stronger than the Russell move, so this is not blanket small-cap sponsorship. I want the candidate that held its own structure after the headline, not merely the one with the largest first print.",
"reasoning": "LITS, DFDV, MX, VGZ and BNC all show stronger immediate percentage moves than CAE or VEEV, but each has a contradiction: unconfirmed clinical evidence, financing and crypto exposure, adverse model tails, below-VWAP structure, or an issuer-mechanism mismatch. WBD is the only one where event, participation and trajectory line up this clearly."
}
],
"conviction": {
"status_phrase": "recorded",
"basis": "WBD wins on mechanism, participation and first-session confirmation. Merger dependency, extension and the adverse tail materially limit confidence. These percentages are editorial confidence, not model probabilities.",
"risk": "",
"resolution_pct": 62.0,
"counter_case_pct": 23.0,
"unresolved_pct": 15.0
},
"context_roundtable": {
"mode": "coffee",
"status": "complete",
"consulted_voice_ids": [
"elena",
"marcus",
"kenji",
"priya",
"nate"
],
"summary": "The Coffee reviewed the sealed day context as a selective risk-supportive session rather than a uniform market advance. It connected partial breadth, geopolitical cost uncertainty, rates, company history and the reported transaction context without reopening or changing the WBD decision.",
"long_read": "The day opened a constructive but selective market setting. The S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and Russell 2000 were all higher at the sealed cut, while the VIX remained at 15.12 and the US 10-year yield was reported at 4.953%. A level tells us where an indicator stood; a change tells us how it moved during the comparison window. Keeping those separate prevents a market level from being mistaken for a return.\n\nThe breadth proxy was useful only as a bounded backdrop. It had 97% fresh quote coverage, nine unresolved names and no captured end-of-day layer. That is enough to say the session had meaningful but incomplete participation data, not enough to claim that every part of the market shared the same strength.\n\nWarner Bros. Discovery brings a long operating history into the selected case. The company combines WarnerMedia and Discovery assets, with a portfolio spanning film, television, streaming, news, sports and gaming. Its own history also shows why the transaction thesis must remain conditional: official filings and company materials describe a proposed acquisition process with conditions and timing risk, not an outcome that can be treated as complete merely because settlement progress was reported.\n\nThe broad context therefore supports disciplined interpretation rather than a new score. Lower yields and firm indices may help risk appetite, while the ECB's warning about Middle East-related business costs reminds us that macro conditions can also raise execution and financing uncertainty. The Coffee preserves those tensions as context around the sealed WBD thesis; it does not rescore candidates or reopen the Desk.",
"transcript": [
{
"speaker_id": "elena",
"text": "Let us start with the market, not the company. At the sealed cut, the S&P 500 was at 7,752.7 after a reported 1.34% move, while the Nasdaq 100 was at 30,375.918 after 2.47%. A level tells us position; a change tells us the session move. That distinction keeps the backdrop descriptive rather than predictive."
},
{
"speaker_id": "kenji",
"text": "The breadth reading needs the same discipline. The intraday proxy had 97% fresh coverage, but nine names had no quote and the end-of-day layer was unavailable. Breadth is a count of advancing and declining names; here it is a partial measurement, so it can frame the session but cannot establish universal participation."
},
{
"speaker_id": "marcus",
"text": "The wider public context adds a second layer. The IMF described resilience alongside recurring shocks, and the ECB recorded expectations that Middle East disruption would raise business costs. Those are broad forces. They matter only when connected to a company's revenues, costs, financing or transaction conditions.",
"source_urls": [
"https://x.com/IMFNews/status/2101765596937396348",
"https://x.com/ecb/status/2102005779985203583"
]
},
{
"speaker_id": "nate",
"text": "That makes the WBD episode interesting as a market-reaction case, not as a reason to rewrite the day. The Nasdaq move was much stronger than the Russell move, so the risk-on tone was selective. A company-specific response has to be read inside that uneven tape."
},
{
"speaker_id": "priya",
"text": "And selective risk appetite does not remove transaction risk. A reported settlement step is evidence about process. It is not evidence that every closing condition has been satisfied, that timing is fixed or that the economics are already delivered."
},
{
"speaker_id": "elena",
"text": "The company profile gives useful scale without becoming a stock argument. Warner Bros. Discovery describes a portfolio across television, film and streaming, with brands such as Warner Bros., HBO, Max, Discovery, CNN, DC and TNT Sports. Scale explains the breadth of the case; it does not prove the next market path."
},
{
"speaker_id": "marcus",
"text": "The history is unusually layered. Discovery announced the combined name in 2021, the WarnerMedia combination closed in 2022, and Warner Bros. celebrated its centennial in 2023. That is not just trivia: it explains why a single corporate event can touch studios, streaming, sports, news and a very large content library."
},
{
"speaker_id": "kenji",
"text": "The annual report is also a useful provenance reminder. It describes the proposed Paramount Skydance transaction and separately lists risks around approvals, timing and completion. The practical consequence is simple: company-reported transaction language must remain conditional until the relevant conditions are actually resolved."
},
{
"speaker_id": "nate",
"text": "For the selected episode, VWAP is the volume-weighted average traded price. Being above it describes where the observed transactions concentrated relative to the session average; it does not promise continuation. That is why the next observation matters more than the label attached to the first reaction."
},
{
"speaker_id": "priya",
"text": "The macro cost signal keeps the same boundary visible. If Middle East-related disruption raises business costs, the market may demand more evidence before assigning value to a complex transaction. That does not overturn the sealed thesis; it explains why timing, conditions and economics remain separate questions.",
"source_urls": [
"https://x.com/ecb/status/2102005779985203583"
]
},
{
"speaker_id": "elena",
"text": "So the Coffee closes as context, not as another vote. The day was supportive but incomplete, the company has substantial and historically layered assets, and the transaction remains a process that must be observed. The formal WBD decision, thesis, next check and falsifier remain unchanged."
}
],
"source_urls": [
"https://x.com/IMFNews/status/2101765596937396348",
"https://x.com/ecb/status/2102005779985203583"
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"event_id": "mi_evt_07c2ff854fac87bff5306dd2",
"headline": "IMF sees resilience amid repeated shocks, with uncertainty as the new normal",
"url": "https://x.com/IMFNews/status/2101765596937396348",
"publisher": "IMF",
"source_quality": "primary",
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"published_at": "2026-09-20T20:34:00Z",
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"headline": "Firms expect the Middle East war to raise business costs",
"url": "https://x.com/ecb/status/2102005779985203583",
"publisher": "European Central Bank",
"source_quality": "primary",
"public_safe": true,
"published_at": "2026-09-21T16:01:57.921866Z",
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},
"updates": [
{
"day": 15,
"timestamp": "2026-10-12T22:21:23.228882Z",
"date": "Session 15 · Oct 12, 2026 · 18:21 NASDAQ",
"text": "WBD reaches session 15 with its canonical final outcome still pending. The ledger records +0.82% at session 1, +1.05% at session 5 and +1.21% at session 10; it contains no session-15 return. A fresh post-phase market-data capture listed $30.95 against the $30.55 reference, but supplied no separate extended-hours quote. The original case rested on reported merger-settlement progress and an unusually strong opening response, not proof of completion. The later dossier adds no verified completion or new transaction milestone. This is a data limitation, so no final return is reported or inferred; tracking ends here.",
"price": 30.95,
"pct": 1.21,
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"reference_text": "$30.95 · +1.31% from $30.55 base",
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"relevant": true,
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},
{
"day": 14,
"timestamp": "2026-10-09T14:48:23.149736Z",
"date": "Session 14 · Oct 9, 2026 · 10:48 NASDAQ",
"text": "WBD remains at +1.21% through session 14, unchanged from the last public note; the sealed cut adds no new share-price or VWAP observation. It also contains no merger milestone, so settlement progress and market confirmation remain unresolved rather than contradicted. The existing merger thesis still depends on transaction progress and price confirmation.",
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{
"day": 13,
"timestamp": "2026-10-08T21:53:58.060295Z",
"date": "Session 13 · Oct 8, 2026 · 17:53 NASDAQ",
"text": "WBD's tracked return remains +1.21% through session 13, with no new share-price or VWAP observation in today's capture. The supplied evidence adds no merger milestone, so settlement progress and price confirmation remain unresolved.",
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"pct": 1.21,
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{
"day": 13,
"timestamp": "2026-10-08T20:15:20.187114Z",
"date": "Session 13 · Oct 8, 2026 · 16:15 NASDAQ",
"text": "WBD's tracked return remains +1.21%, unchanged from the prior note, and the prepared capture contains no new price or VWAP reading; the 10.08-point Communication Services lead is only the last reported value. The merger thesis is unchanged: no supplied evidence establishes completion or a fresh deal milestone, so settlement risk remains.",
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{
"day": 13,
"timestamp": "2026-10-08T15:01:52.872364Z",
"date": "Session 13 · Oct 8, 2026 · 11:01 NASDAQ",
"text": "WBD tracked return remains +1.21%, and the handoff contains no new share-price or VWAP observation. The latest supplied comparison still showed a 10.08-point lead over Communication Services, but it cannot confirm current price support or a completed merger; settlement progress and its effect on shares remain unresolved.",
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{
"day": 12,
"timestamp": "2026-10-07T22:09:18.285706Z",
"date": "Session 12 · Oct 7, 2026 · 18:09 NASDAQ",
"text": "On session 12, WBD tracked return was unchanged at +1.21%, with no new price or intraday VWAP observation available in the prepared capture. Its prior twenty-session lead over Communication Services was 10.08 points, but no transaction completion is established. The handoff therefore adds no fresh market confirmation or deal progress; merger settlement and its price effect remain unresolved.",
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{
"day": 12,
"timestamp": "2026-10-07T20:34:30.614122Z",
"date": "Session 12 · Oct 7, 2026 · 16:34 NASDAQ",
"text": "WBD's tracked return is unchanged at +1.21%, and the latest $30.95 quote was flat. No fresh intraday range or VWAP read is available to confirm short-term positioning. The stock still leads Communication Services by 10.08 points over twenty sessions, but no transaction completion appears in the evidence. Deal progress and its price effect remain unresolved.",
"price": 30.95,
"pct": 1.21,
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{
"day": 12,
"timestamp": "2026-10-07T15:07:41.532067Z",
"date": "Session 12 · Oct 7, 2026 · 11:07 NASDAQ",
"text": "WBD's tracked return is unchanged at +1.21%, and the $30.95 capture was flat. The prepared record contains no current intraday bars or VWAP reading, so this update cannot confirm where price stands against that benchmark. WBD remains 10.08 points ahead of Communication Services over 20 sessions, but no transaction completion appears in the evidence; deal progress and its price effect remain unresolved.",
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{
"day": 11,
"timestamp": "2026-10-06T20:03:27.640053Z",
"date": "Session 11 · Oct 6, 2026 · 16:03 NASDAQ",
"text": "WBD's tracked return remains +1.21%, unchanged from the prior public note. The $30.95 capture was flat on unusually heavy reported volume and sits near its 52-week high, but current VWAP data is unavailable, so the session's position against that benchmark cannot be assessed. The transaction was not shown as closed in the prepared record; both deal completion and the price response remain unresolved.",
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{
"day": 11,
"timestamp": "2026-10-06T15:45:12.322791Z",
"date": "Session 11 · Oct 6, 2026 · 11:45 NASDAQ",
"text": "WBD tracked gain held at 1.21% while the current $30.95 capture was flat; its 20-session lead over Communication Services eased to 9.45 points. The capture has no volume-weighted average price reading, and the merger settlement still does not show the transaction has closed, leaving price confirmation and deal completion unresolved.",
"price": 30.95,
"pct": 1.21,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 1.31,
"return_vs_base_pct": 1.31,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 11,
"reference_price": 30.55,
"reference_text": "$30.95 · +1.31% from $30.55 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-06T14:06:59.842254Z",
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},
{
"day": 10,
"timestamp": "2026-10-05T22:31:30.289382Z",
"date": "Session 10 · Oct 5, 2026 · 18:31 NASDAQ",
"text": "WBD's tracked gain eased from 1.34% to 1.21%; the $30.95 capture was nearly flat, just 0.06% above VWAP on 1.48 times expected volume. Its 9.93-point 20-session lead over Communication Services and elevated activity keep the price response constructive, but the tape has no confirmed structure and the merger-settlement evidence still does not establish that the transaction has closed.",
"price": 30.95,
"pct": 1.21,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 1.31,
"return_vs_base_pct": 1.31,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.11,
"session_day": 10,
"reference_price": 30.55,
"reference_text": "$30.95 · +1.31% from $30.55 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-05T21:25:41Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 10,
"timestamp": "2026-10-05T20:27:05.372349Z",
"date": "Session 10 · Oct 5, 2026 · 16:27 NASDAQ",
"text": "WBD's tracked gain edged 0.11 points higher to 1.34%. The $30.985 capture rose 0.15%, sat 0.06% above VWAP and finished near the range high on 1.48 times expected volume; its 20-session lead over Communication Services is 9.96 points. The price evidence remains supportive, but it does not establish completion of the merger settlement.",
"price": 30.985,
"pct": 1.34,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 1.42,
"return_vs_base_pct": 1.42,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.14,
"session_day": 10,
"reference_price": 30.55,
"reference_text": "$30.98 · +1.42% from $30.55 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-05T19:21:38.104627Z",
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},
{
"day": 10,
"timestamp": "2026-10-05T15:26:49.722588Z",
"date": "Session 10 · Oct 5, 2026 · 11:26 NASDAQ",
"text": "WBD's tracked gain edged 0.04 points to 1.23%; the $30.94 capture was flat, just below VWAP, on 0.45 times average volume. Its 10.42-point twenty-session lead over Communication Services remains supportive, but price action cannot establish merger completion; the case remains tied to transaction progress.",
"price": 30.94,
"pct": 1.23,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 1.28,
"return_vs_base_pct": 1.28,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.0,
"session_day": 10,
"reference_price": 30.55,
"reference_text": "$30.94 · +1.28% from $30.55 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-05T14:06:51.007319Z",
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},
{
"day": 9,
"timestamp": "2026-10-03T11:27:15.722936Z",
"date": "Session 9 · Oct 3, 2026 · 07:27 NASDAQ",
"text": "WBD's tracked gain slipped 0.02 points to 1.19%, and the $30.94 capture finished just below VWAP near the session low on 1.66 times average volume, down from nearly three times in the prior note. Its 20-session lead over Communication Services widened to 11.76 points, but the price record still does not establish merger completion; support remains tied to transaction progress.",
"price": 30.94,
"pct": 1.19,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 1.28,
"return_vs_base_pct": 1.28,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.03,
"session_day": 9,
"reference_price": 30.55,
"reference_text": "$30.94 · +1.28% from $30.55 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-02T22:42:16Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 7,
"timestamp": "2026-09-30T22:00:03.928246Z",
"date": "Session 7 · Sep 30, 2026 · 18:00 NASDAQ",
"text": "WBD tracked gain improved 0.47 points to 1.21% as the $30.95 capture held above the $30.88 VWAP on nearly three times average volume. Its 20-session lead over Communication Services remains 9.21 points, strengthening the market response; the current record still does not establish merger completion, so price support stays conditional on transaction progress.",
"price": 30.94,
"pct": 1.21,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 1.28,
"return_vs_base_pct": 1.28,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.38,
"session_day": 7,
"reference_price": 30.55,
"reference_text": "$30.94 · +1.28% from $30.55 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-30T19:58:16.738162Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 7,
"timestamp": "2026-09-30T22:00:03.928246Z",
"date": "Session 7 · Sep 30, 2026 · 18:00 NASDAQ",
"text": "WBD tracked gain improved 0.47 points to 1.21% as the $30.95 capture held above the $30.88 VWAP on nearly three times average volume. Its 20-session lead over Communication Services remains 9.21 points, strengthening the market response; the current record still does not establish merger completion, so price support stays conditional on transaction progress.",
"price": 30.95,
"pct": 1.21,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 1.31,
"return_vs_base_pct": 1.31,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.03,
"session_day": 7,
"reference_price": 30.55,
"reference_text": "$30.95 · +1.31% from $30.55 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-30T20:57:05Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 7,
"timestamp": "2026-09-30T15:21:21.637444Z",
"date": "Session 7 · Sep 30, 2026 · 11:21 NASDAQ",
"text": "WBD's tracked gain slipped 0.14 percentage points to 0.74%. At 10 a.m., shares were 30.825 USD, 0.05% below VWAP and near the bottom of the range, with volume at 29% of average so far. The 20-session lead over Communication Services narrowed to 7.66 points; WBD also remains near its yearly high and 2.99 ATR above its EMA reference. The merger has not been shown as closed, leaving price support conditional on transaction progress.",
"price": 30.825,
"pct": 0.74,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.9,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.9,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.08,
"session_day": 7,
"reference_price": 30.55,
"reference_text": "$30.82 · +0.90% from $30.55 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-30T14:10:11.628897Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 6,
"timestamp": "2026-09-29T21:53:17.430280Z",
"date": "Session 6 · Sep 29, 2026 · 17:53 NASDAQ",
"text": "WBD's tracked return edged 0.01 points higher to +0.88% while shares slipped 0.16% to $30.85, just below VWAP. Its 8.12-point 20-session lead over Communication Services and above-normal turnover remain supportive, but the stock is near its yearly high, stretched 3.13 ATR above its EMA reference and still lacks evidence that the merger has closed.",
"price": 30.85,
"pct": 0.88,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.98,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.98,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.01,
"session_day": 6,
"reference_price": 30.55,
"reference_text": "$30.85 · +0.98% from $30.55 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-29T21:22:50Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 6,
"timestamp": "2026-09-29T19:51:15.977073Z",
"date": "Session 6 · Sep 29, 2026 · 15:51 NASDAQ",
"text": "WBD's tracked return slipped 0.18 points to +0.87% as shares fell 0.18% to $30.85, just below session VWAP, on roughly normal volume. It still leads Communication Services by 8.33 points over 20 sessions, but no price structure is confirmed and the stock sits near its 52-week high; without new evidence of merger completion, the price support remains conditional on the transaction.",
"price": 30.845,
"pct": 0.87,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.97,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.97,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.18,
"session_day": 6,
"reference_price": 30.55,
"reference_text": "$30.84 · +0.97% from $30.55 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-29T19:21:52.249581Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 5,
"timestamp": "2026-09-28T21:59:30.419510Z",
"date": "Session 5 · Sep 28, 2026 · 17:59 NASDAQ",
"text": "WBD added 0.12 points to a +1.05% tracked return as shares rose 0.13% to $30.90, held 0.13% above the session volume-weighted average price, and traded at 1.59 times average volume. Its 20-session lead over Communication Services remains 9.00 points, but price is near its 52-week high and 3.47 average daily ranges above its 21-day average while the merger remains unresolved; stronger participation supports the move, not deal completion.",
"price": 30.9,
"pct": 1.05,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 1.15,
"return_vs_base_pct": 1.15,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.12,
"session_day": 5,
"reference_price": 30.55,
"reference_text": "$30.90 · +1.15% from $30.55 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-28T21:26:03Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 5,
"timestamp": "2026-09-28T20:09:26.729431Z",
"date": "Session 5 · Sep 28, 2026 · 16:09 NASDAQ",
"text": "WBD's tracked return added just 0.06 points to +0.93% as shares rose 0.02% and ended only 0.02% above the session's volume-weighted average price. Volume was 1.15 times average, but no structure is confirmed; its 8.91-point 20-session lead over Communication Services persists while the merger remains unsettled, so this quiet move does not resolve transaction risk.",
"price": 30.865,
"pct": 0.93,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 1.03,
"return_vs_base_pct": 1.03,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.06,
"session_day": 5,
"reference_price": 30.55,
"reference_text": "$30.86 · +1.03% from $30.55 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-28T19:21:40.218900Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 5,
"timestamp": "2026-09-28T15:31:01.010962Z",
"date": "Session 5 · Sep 28, 2026 · 11:31 NASDAQ",
"text": "WBD stayed nearly flat at a tracked return of +0.87%, with price just below the $30.85 session VWAP. It continues to outperform Communication Services over 20 sessions and sits near its 52-week high, yet the merger has not settled; this quiet session adds little evidence that transaction risk is resolved.",
"price": 30.845,
"pct": 0.87,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.97,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.97,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.04,
"session_day": 5,
"reference_price": 30.55,
"reference_text": "$30.84 · +0.97% from $30.55 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-28T14:06:10.888804Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 4,
"timestamp": "2026-09-25T22:49:17.063325Z",
"date": "Session 4 · Sep 25, 2026 · 18:49 NASDAQ",
"text": "WBD's tracked gain edged up 0.12 percentage points to 0.92% on session 4. The $30.86 capture was nearly flat and just 0.06% above VWAP on 0.86 times average volume, with no confirmed structure; its 20-session lead over Communication Services is 5.47 points. This steady but quiet tape preserves relative strength without showing new progress on the merger-settlement case or establishing durable price confirmation.",
"price": 30.86,
"pct": 0.92,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 1.01,
"return_vs_base_pct": 1.01,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.08,
"session_day": 4,
"reference_price": 30.55,
"reference_text": "$30.86 · +1.01% from $30.55 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-25T21:29:42Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 4,
"timestamp": "2026-09-25T15:03:41.517113Z",
"date": "Session 4 · Sep 25, 2026 · 11:03 NASDAQ",
"text": "WBD's tracked gain slipped 0.05 percentage points to 0.80%. Shares were nearly flat at $30.84, just above VWAP and toward the upper part of the range, on 0.13 times average dollar volume; the 20-session lead over Communication Services remains 5.38 points. That is a stable but quiet read, not evidence of durable progress in the merger-settlement case, which still depends on transaction progress and price confirmation.",
"price": 30.835,
"pct": 0.8,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.93,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.93,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.02,
"session_day": 4,
"reference_price": 30.55,
"reference_text": "$30.84 · +0.93% from $30.55 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-25T14:06:22.073520Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 3,
"timestamp": "2026-09-24T21:32:58.131362Z",
"date": "Session 3 · Sep 24, 2026 · 17:32 NASDAQ",
"text": "WBD's tracked gain held at 0.85% as shares rose 0.26% to $30.84, 0.19% above VWAP, on 1.70 times average volume; the later post-market capture was $30.82, down 0.07%. Its 20-session return leads Communication Services by 5.99 points, but no price structure is confirmed, so this modest tape support does not yet show durable progress in the merger-settlement case.",
"price": 30.84,
"pct": 0.85,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.95,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.95,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.05,
"session_day": 3,
"reference_price": 30.55,
"reference_text": "$30.84 · +0.95% from $30.55 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-24T21:24:38Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 3,
"timestamp": "2026-09-24T20:21:14.818126Z",
"date": "Session 3 · Sep 24, 2026 · 16:21 NASDAQ",
"text": "WBD's tracked gain edged up 0.23 points to 0.85%; shares rose 0.21% and were 0.15% above VWAP, though the latest intraday pace was only 0.48 times usual and no price pattern is confirmed. The merger-settlement thesis has modest market support, but this small repair adds little evidence of durable transaction-driven follow-through.",
"price": 30.825,
"pct": 0.85,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.9,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.9,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.15,
"session_day": 3,
"reference_price": 30.55,
"reference_text": "$30.82 · +0.90% from $30.55 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-24T19:21:16.869314Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 3,
"timestamp": "2026-09-24T14:21:12.715677Z",
"date": "Session 3 · Sep 24, 2026 · 10:21 NASDAQ",
"text": "WBD's tracked gain edged 0.03 points to 0.62%, while the latest quote was nearly flat and just 0.04% above the session's volume-weighted average on 22% of usual pace. It still leads Communication Services by 6.61 points over 20 sessions, but no price pattern is confirmed; this small repair offers little new evidence for the merger-settlement thesis.",
"price": 30.78,
"pct": 0.62,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.75,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.75,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.06,
"session_day": 3,
"reference_price": 30.55,
"reference_text": "$30.78 · +0.75% from $30.55 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-24T14:06:20.904650Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 2,
"timestamp": "2026-09-23T21:45:07.416673Z",
"date": "Session 2 · Sep 23, 2026 · 17:45 NASDAQ",
"text": "WBD's tracked gain increased 0.26 points to 0.59% after a 0.23% decline, with the close 0.19% below VWAP despite dollar volume at 3.90 times its 20-day average. It still leads Communication Services by 6.97 points over 20 sessions, but heavy turnover without a firm close leaves the merger-settlement mechanism short of fresh price confirmation.",
"price": 30.76,
"pct": 0.59,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.69,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.69,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.2,
"session_day": 2,
"reference_price": 30.55,
"reference_text": "$30.76 · +0.69% from $30.55 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-23T21:09:42Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 2,
"timestamp": "2026-09-23T20:32:27.936154Z",
"date": "Session 2 · Sep 23, 2026 · 16:32 NASDAQ",
"text": "WBD's tracked gain eased 0.37 points to 0.33% after a 0.42% decline that closed 0.19% below VWAP near the session low. Dollar volume was 2.68 times its 20-day average and the price remained 4.19 average true ranges above its reference, despite a 6.39-point 20-session sector lead; the merger-settlement case is intact but today's pullback raises the price-confirmation risk.",
"price": 30.699,
"pct": 0.33,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.49,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.49,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.3,
"session_day": 2,
"reference_price": 30.55,
"reference_text": "$30.70 · +0.49% from $30.55 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-23T19:35:00.588557Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 2,
"timestamp": "2026-09-23T15:00:06.217556Z",
"date": "Session 2 · Sep 23, 2026 · 11:00 NASDAQ",
"text": "WBD's tracked gain eased 0.12 points to 0.70% after a 0.13% decline that slipped below VWAP on 0.65x average volume. The merger-settlement mechanism retains sector-relative support, but the range-floor close and no confirmed structure leave continued progress conditional.",
"price": 30.79,
"pct": 0.7,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.79,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.79,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.13,
"session_day": 2,
"reference_price": 30.55,
"reference_text": "$30.79 · +0.79% from $30.55 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-23T14:07:21.397247Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 1,
"timestamp": "2026-09-22T21:37:05.960128Z",
"date": "Session 1 · Sep 22, 2026 · 17:37 NASDAQ",
"text": "WBD's tracked gain is 0.82%, 0.04 points above the previous note, with price still just above VWAP and participation at 4.50x average. The merger-settlement mechanism retains strong transaction linkage and the stock leads its sector over 20 sessions, but decelerating participation and no confirmed structure leave continued progress as the condition.",
"price": 30.83,
"pct": 0.82,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 0.92,
"return_vs_base_pct": 0.92,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.09,
"session_day": 1,
"reference_price": 30.55,
"reference_text": "$30.83 · +0.92% from $30.55 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $30.80 (-0.09% vs regular close) · Sep 22, 2026 · 17:22 NASDAQ"
},
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"price": 30.8,
"ext_pct": -0.09,
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{
"day": 1,
"timestamp": "2026-09-22T20:31:56.476352Z",
"date": "Session 1 · Sep 22, 2026 · 16:31 NASDAQ",
"text": "WBD's tracked gain held at 0.78% after a 0.02% rise, with price 0.01% above VWAP and 3.58x average volume. The merger-settlement mechanism retains strong transaction linkage and a Communication Services-relative lead, but decelerating participation and no confirmed structure leave continued progress as the condition.",
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"pct": 0.78,
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"reference_text": "$30.80 · +0.83% from $30.55 base",
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{
"day": 1,
"timestamp": "2026-09-22T15:14:40.323128Z",
"date": "Session 1 · Sep 22, 2026 · 11:14 NASDAQ",
"text": "WBD's tracked gain was nearly unchanged at 0.70% as price rose 0.02% to 30.81 and held 0.01% above VWAP in the middle of the range on 1.26x average volume. The merger-settlement thesis retains strong transaction linkage and sector support, but no structure is confirmed and continued progress remains the condition.",
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},
{
"day": 0,
"timestamp": "2026-09-21T22:19:05.444274Z",
"date": "Session 0 · Sep 21, 2026 · 18:19 NASDAQ",
"text": "WBD began its tracked record at a 0.72% gain as price rose 10.79% to 30.80, held 0.70% above VWAP near the top of the range and traded at 11.10 times average volume. The merger-settlement thesis has exceptional initial participation and a 4.87-point Communication Services-relative lead, but no structure is confirmed and transaction progress remains the condition.",
"price": 30.8,
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},
{
"day": 0,
"timestamp": "2026-09-21T20:02:34.129469Z",
"date": "Session 0 · Sep 21, 2026 · 16:02 NASDAQ",
"text": "WBD's first tracked session gained 0.70% as the merger-settlement candidate rose 10.81% to 30.81, held 0.70% above VWAP near the top of its range, and traded at 12.51 times average dollar volume. The transaction thesis has strong initial participation and a 4.54-point Communication Services-relative lead, but no structure is confirmed and the opening reaction remains conditional on transaction progress.",
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{
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"price": 30.9,
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{
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"price": 30.95,
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{
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"facts": [
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"extended_hours_pct": null,
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"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Magnachip Semiconductor Corporation",
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"ema_trend": "2.96 > 3.08 > 3.39",
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"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:14.156213Z",
"facts": [
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"Price gained 18.18%, volume ratio was 3.68 and price was above VWAP by 0.62%.",
"The active model reported 39.39% h15 positive-return probability and a -15.671809% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:09:10Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:18:30Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Vista Gold Corp.",
"episode_id": "n0:VGZ:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "2.3 > 2.25 > 2.16",
"vwap_state": "below",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:39.792352Z",
"facts": [
"A definitive $427 million acquisition supplied a concrete corporate mechanism.",
"Price gained 16.37% and the trajectory reached approximately +18.36%.",
"The stock was below VWAP by 1.13%, with RSI at 72.41 and a 70.11% options spread proxy."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:18:30Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
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{
"symbol": "BNC",
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:20:13Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "CEA Industries Inc.",
"episode_id": "n0:BNC:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "5.33 > 4.44 > 3.67",
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"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:22:10.017629Z",
"facts": [
"Price gained 12.96%, volume ratio was 1.39 and price was above VWAP by 4.24%.",
"The trajectory held near a 12% to 13% gain.",
"The supplied candidate identity and company-specific catalyst records were not cleanly aligned, while the active model ranked the case fourth of four available ranked candidates."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:20:13Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "CAE",
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"vwap_distance_pct": 1.657,
"position_52w_pct": 71.42,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T20:31:44Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "CAE Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:CAE:db8320cd569f2a6d",
"ema_trend": "24.1 > 24.42 > 24.94",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:39Z",
"facts": [
"A reported $300 million US Air Force contract supplied a concrete mechanism.",
"Price gained 3.75%, remained above VWAP by 1.28% and showed a relatively stable trajectory.",
"Volume ratio was 0.70, and the active model reported 51.08% h15 positive-return probability with a -6.181% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T20:31:44Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "RVLV",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 21.1,
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"return_since_base_pct": 0.0,
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"rsi": 41.21,
"vwap": 20.99,
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"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"source": "market_trajectory",
"name": "Revolve Group, Inc.",
"ema_trend": "20.91 > 21.58 > 22.66",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"facts": [
"Both sealed episodes were treated as one ticker and one evidence family.",
"The Donatella Versace collaboration supplied a concrete commercial mechanism.",
"Price gained 2.15%, remained above VWAP by 0.52%, but volume ratio was 0.46 and the longer EMA structure remained downward."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "VEEV",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 261.35,
"base_price": 259.68,
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"session_return_pct": 0.0153,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0153,
"volume_ratio": 0.23,
"rsi": 23.03,
"vwap": 259.85,
"vwap_distance_pct": 0.5773,
"position_52w_pct": 83.74,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:21:31Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Veeva Systems Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:VEEV:04637334069071f4",
"ema_trend": "263.61 > 260.22 > 240.34",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:03Z",
"facts": [
"SEC context supplied substantial latest-quarter operating figures, including $882.948 million revenue and $260.936 million net income.",
"A specific Falcon Router and partnership narrative was present.",
"Price changed -0.08%, volume ratio was 0.23, intraday direction was down and relative performance versus SPY was -1.54 percentage points.",
"The active model reported 56.38% h15 positive-return probability and a -5.245351% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:21:31Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "TWI",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 7.36,
"base_price": 7.385,
"return_since_base_pct": -0.3385,
"session_return_pct": null,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 0.52,
"rsi": 52.88,
"vwap": 7.26,
"vwap_distance_pct": 1.3774,
"position_52w_pct": 62.99,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T20:01:17Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Titan International, Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:TWI:790dd43533bae649",
"ema_trend": "7.25 > 7.27 > 7.36",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:11Z",
"facts": [
"A definitive ITM asset-sale agreement supplied a concrete mechanism.",
"Price gained 5.29%, remained above VWAP by 1.72% and the trajectory held above a 5.5% gain.",
"Volume ratio was 0.52, the options spread proxy reached 200% and the active model reported a -0.085101% h15 median return estimate."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T20:01:17Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
}
],
"benchmarks": [],
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"candidate_prices": 10,
"candidate_technical": 10,
"benchmark_rows": 0
}
}
},
{
"day": 1,
"timestamp": "2026-09-22T15:14:40.323128Z",
"comparison": {
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"base_definition": "Candidates use the publication reference; benchmarks use the previous regular close.",
"source": "sealed_update_market_context + canonical_candidate_snapshot + market_trajectory + public_market_snapshot",
"rows": [
{
"symbol": "WBD",
"role": "selected",
"price": 30.805,
"base_price": 30.545,
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"session_return_pct": 0.02,
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"vwap": 30.8,
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"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-22T14:06:32.230182Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.",
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"ema_trend": "29.06 > 28.53 > 27.9",
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"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:22Z",
"facts": [
"A sealed Reuters report documented settlement progress described as clearing a path toward the Warner Bros. Discovery deal.",
"The quote snapshot showed a +9.87% change and 4.94 volume ratio.",
"The supplied trajectory strengthened from +9.89% to +10.97%, and price was above VWAP by 0.38%.",
"The move was extended by 4.36 ATR and stood at 99.15% of the 52-week high."
],
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},
{
"symbol": "LITS",
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"price": 1.2602,
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"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:16:48Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Lite Strategy, Inc.",
"episode_id": "n0:LITS:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "1.11 > 1.06 > 1.01",
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"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:23.631685Z",
"facts": [
"The thesis rests on an analyst claim that SLS009 may lead the CDK9 race; issuer or clinical confirmation was not supplied.",
"Price gained 9.73%, volume ratio was 3.49 and price was above VWAP by 2.48%.",
"The active model reported 45.72% h15 positive-return probability and a -12.74488% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
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"nasdaq100": -1.979,
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"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "DFDV",
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:19:36Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "DeFi Development Corp.",
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"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:47.021401Z",
"facts": [
"A primary SEC filing documented additional SOL treasury accumulation.",
"Price gained 8.20%, volume ratio was 2.02 and price was above VWAP by 1.66%.",
"The trajectory faded from approximately +6.19% to +4.79%; the latest supplied SEC context included negative equity and non-current debt."
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"russell2000": 1.0479
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},
{
"symbol": "MX",
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:09:10Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Magnachip Semiconductor Corporation",
"episode_id": "n0:MX:2026-09-21",
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"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:14.156213Z",
"facts": [
"A primary filing documented a $5 million strategic investment connected with SiC technology.",
"Price gained 18.18%, volume ratio was 3.68 and price was above VWAP by 0.62%.",
"The active model reported 39.39% h15 positive-return probability and a -15.671809% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
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{
"symbol": "VGZ",
"role": "alternative",
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"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:18:30Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Vista Gold Corp.",
"episode_id": "n0:VGZ:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "2.3 > 2.25 > 2.16",
"vwap_state": "below",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:39.792352Z",
"facts": [
"A definitive $427 million acquisition supplied a concrete corporate mechanism.",
"Price gained 16.37% and the trajectory reached approximately +18.36%.",
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],
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{
"symbol": "BNC",
"role": "alternative",
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"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:20:13Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "CEA Industries Inc.",
"episode_id": "n0:BNC:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "5.33 > 4.44 > 3.67",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:22:10.017629Z",
"facts": [
"Price gained 12.96%, volume ratio was 1.39 and price was above VWAP by 4.24%.",
"The trajectory held near a 12% to 13% gain.",
"The supplied candidate identity and company-specific catalyst records were not cleanly aligned, while the active model ranked the case fourth of four available ranked candidates."
],
"benchmark_excess_pct": {
"sp500": 0.7856,
"nasdaq100": 0.3289,
"russell2000": 0.4264
},
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:20:13Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "CAE",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 24.54,
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"position_52w_pct": 71.42,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T20:31:44Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "CAE Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:CAE:db8320cd569f2a6d",
"ema_trend": "24.1 > 24.42 > 24.94",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:39Z",
"facts": [
"A reported $300 million US Air Force contract supplied a concrete mechanism.",
"Price gained 3.75%, remained above VWAP by 1.28% and showed a relatively stable trajectory.",
"Volume ratio was 0.70, and the active model reported 51.08% h15 positive-return probability with a -6.181% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T20:31:44Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "RVLV",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 21.1,
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"return_since_base_pct": 0.0,
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"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
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"rsi": 41.21,
"vwap": 20.99,
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"position_52w_pct": 66.62,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"source": "market_trajectory",
"name": "Revolve Group, Inc.",
"ema_trend": "20.91 > 21.58 > 22.66",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"facts": [
"Both sealed episodes were treated as one ticker and one evidence family.",
"The Donatella Versace collaboration supplied a concrete commercial mechanism.",
"Price gained 2.15%, remained above VWAP by 0.52%, but volume ratio was 0.46 and the longer EMA structure remained downward."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "VEEV",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 261.35,
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"session_return_pct": 0.0153,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 0.23,
"rsi": 23.03,
"vwap": 259.85,
"vwap_distance_pct": 0.5773,
"position_52w_pct": 83.74,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:21:31Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Veeva Systems Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:VEEV:04637334069071f4",
"ema_trend": "263.61 > 260.22 > 240.34",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:03Z",
"facts": [
"SEC context supplied substantial latest-quarter operating figures, including $882.948 million revenue and $260.936 million net income.",
"A specific Falcon Router and partnership narrative was present.",
"Price changed -0.08%, volume ratio was 0.23, intraday direction was down and relative performance versus SPY was -1.54 percentage points.",
"The active model reported 56.38% h15 positive-return probability and a -5.245351% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
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"nasdaq100": -0.4168,
"russell2000": -0.3193
},
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:21:31Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "TWI",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 7.36,
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"vwap": 7.26,
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"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T20:01:17Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Titan International, Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:TWI:790dd43533bae649",
"ema_trend": "7.25 > 7.27 > 7.36",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:11Z",
"facts": [
"A definitive ITM asset-sale agreement supplied a concrete mechanism.",
"Price gained 5.29%, remained above VWAP by 1.72% and the trajectory held above a 5.5% gain.",
"Volume ratio was 0.52, the options spread proxy reached 200% and the active model reported a -0.085101% h15 median return estimate."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T20:01:17Z",
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}
],
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{
"id": "sp500",
"symbol": "^GSPC",
"label": "S&P 500",
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"price": 7762.79,
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"as_of": "2026-09-22T15:13:34.048101Z",
"source": "yfinance.ticker_info",
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},
{
"id": "nasdaq100",
"symbol": "^NDX",
"label": "Nasdaq 100",
"role": "benchmark",
"price": 30614.06,
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"return_since_base_pct": 0.4321,
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"as_of": "2026-09-22T15:13:34.048101Z",
"source": "yfinance.ticker_info",
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},
{
"id": "russell2000",
"symbol": "^RUT",
"label": "Russell 2000",
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"return_since_base_pct": 0.3346,
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"as_of": "2026-09-22T15:13:34.048101Z",
"source": "yfinance.ticker_info",
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}
],
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}
},
{
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"A specific Falcon Router and partnership narrative was present.",
"Price changed -0.08%, volume ratio was 0.23, intraday direction was down and relative performance versus SPY was -1.54 percentage points.",
"The active model reported 56.38% h15 positive-return probability and a -5.245351% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
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"source": "yfinance_quote",
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"Price gained 5.29%, remained above VWAP by 1.72% and the trajectory held above a 5.5% gain.",
"Volume ratio was 0.52, the options spread proxy reached 200% and the active model reported a -0.085101% h15 median return estimate."
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{
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"The trajectory faded from approximately +6.19% to +4.79%; the latest supplied SEC context included negative equity and non-current debt."
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"source": "yfinance_quote",
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"facts": [
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"Price gained 18.18%, volume ratio was 3.68 and price was above VWAP by 0.62%.",
"The active model reported 39.39% h15 positive-return probability and a -15.671809% h15 adverse-MAE median."
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"vwap_as_of": null
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"vwap_state": "below",
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"facts": [
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"Price gained 16.37% and the trajectory reached approximately +18.36%.",
"The stock was below VWAP by 1.13%, with RSI at 72.41 and a 70.11% options spread proxy."
],
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{
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:20:13Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
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"facts": [
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"The trajectory held near a 12% to 13% gain.",
"The supplied candidate identity and company-specific catalyst records were not cleanly aligned, while the active model ranked the case fourth of four available ranked candidates."
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"vwap_as_of": null
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{
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T20:31:44Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
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"vwap_state": "above",
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"facts": [
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"Price gained 3.75%, remained above VWAP by 1.28% and showed a relatively stable trajectory.",
"Volume ratio was 0.70, and the active model reported 51.08% h15 positive-return probability with a -6.181% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
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{
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"source": "market_trajectory",
"name": "Revolve Group, Inc.",
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"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"facts": [
"Both sealed episodes were treated as one ticker and one evidence family.",
"The Donatella Versace collaboration supplied a concrete commercial mechanism.",
"Price gained 2.15%, remained above VWAP by 0.52%, but volume ratio was 0.46 and the longer EMA structure remained downward."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
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{
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"position_52w_pct": 83.74,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:21:31Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Veeva Systems Inc.",
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"Price changed -0.08%, volume ratio was 0.23, intraday direction was down and relative performance versus SPY was -1.54 percentage points.",
"The active model reported 56.38% h15 positive-return probability and a -5.245351% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
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{
"symbol": "TWI",
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}
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{
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{
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"as_of": "2026-09-23T19:35:00.588557Z",
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"The move was extended by 4.36 ATR and stood at 99.15% of the 52-week high."
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{
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"Price gained 9.73%, volume ratio was 3.49 and price was above VWAP by 2.48%.",
"The active model reported 45.72% h15 positive-return probability and a -12.74488% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
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{
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"source": "yfinance_quote",
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{
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"source": "yfinance_quote",
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"The active model reported 39.39% h15 positive-return probability and a -15.671809% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
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{
"symbol": "VGZ",
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"rsi": 72.41,
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"position_52w_pct": 84.19,
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:18:30Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Vista Gold Corp.",
"episode_id": "n0:VGZ:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "2.3 > 2.25 > 2.16",
"vwap_state": "below",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:39.792352Z",
"facts": [
"A definitive $427 million acquisition supplied a concrete corporate mechanism.",
"Price gained 16.37% and the trajectory reached approximately +18.36%.",
"The stock was below VWAP by 1.13%, with RSI at 72.41 and a 70.11% options spread proxy."
],
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"nasdaq100": -0.4829,
"russell2000": 0.4379
},
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},
{
"symbol": "BNC",
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"volume_ratio": 1.39,
"rsi": 75.42,
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"position_52w_pct": 56.77,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:20:13Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "CEA Industries Inc.",
"episode_id": "n0:BNC:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "5.33 > 4.44 > 3.67",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:22:10.017629Z",
"facts": [
"Price gained 12.96%, volume ratio was 1.39 and price was above VWAP by 4.24%.",
"The trajectory held near a 12% to 13% gain.",
"The supplied candidate identity and company-specific catalyst records were not cleanly aligned, while the active model ranked the case fourth of four available ranked candidates."
],
"benchmark_excess_pct": {
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"nasdaq100": 1.6139,
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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],
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{
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{
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{
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{
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"source": "yfinance_quote",
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{
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"source": "yfinance_quote",
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"facts": [
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"source": "yfinance_quote",
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:21:31Z",
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{
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{
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{
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"as_of": "2026-09-24T21:24:38Z",
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{
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"The active model reported 39.39% h15 positive-return probability and a -15.671809% h15 adverse-MAE median."
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],
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{
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:21:31Z",
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"The active model reported 56.38% h15 positive-return probability and a -5.245351% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T20:01:17Z",
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],
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}
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"candidate_prices": 10,
"candidate_technical": 10,
"benchmark_rows": 0
}
}
},
{
"day": 4,
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{
"symbol": "WBD",
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"The move was extended by 4.36 ATR and stood at 99.15% of the 52-week high."
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{
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{
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{
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},
{
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:18:30Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
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"facts": [
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],
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{
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:20:13Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
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"facts": [
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],
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},
{
"symbol": "CAE",
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T20:31:44Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
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"facts": [
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"Volume ratio was 0.70, and the active model reported 51.08% h15 positive-return probability with a -6.181% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
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},
{
"symbol": "RVLV",
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"source": "market_trajectory",
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"ema_trend": "20.91 > 21.58 > 22.66",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"facts": [
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"The Donatella Versace collaboration supplied a concrete commercial mechanism.",
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],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
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},
{
"symbol": "VEEV",
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:21:31Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Veeva Systems Inc.",
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"ema_trend": "263.61 > 260.22 > 240.34",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:03Z",
"facts": [
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"A specific Falcon Router and partnership narrative was present.",
"Price changed -0.08%, volume ratio was 0.23, intraday direction was down and relative performance versus SPY was -1.54 percentage points.",
"The active model reported 56.38% h15 positive-return probability and a -5.245351% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
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{
"symbol": "TWI",
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T20:01:17Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Titan International, Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:TWI:790dd43533bae649",
"ema_trend": "7.25 > 7.27 > 7.36",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:11Z",
"facts": [
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"Volume ratio was 0.52, the options spread proxy reached 200% and the active model reported a -0.085101% h15 median return estimate."
],
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{
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{
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"source": "yfinance_quote",
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{
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"source": "market_trajectory",
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"vwap_state": "above",
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{
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{
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{
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"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:39.792352Z",
"facts": [
"A definitive $427 million acquisition supplied a concrete corporate mechanism.",
"Price gained 16.37% and the trajectory reached approximately +18.36%.",
"The stock was below VWAP by 1.13%, with RSI at 72.41 and a 70.11% options spread proxy."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:18:30Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "BNC",
"role": "alternative",
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"vwap_distance_pct": 2.1605,
"position_52w_pct": 56.77,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:20:13Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "CEA Industries Inc.",
"episode_id": "n0:BNC:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "5.33 > 4.44 > 3.67",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:22:10.017629Z",
"facts": [
"Price gained 12.96%, volume ratio was 1.39 and price was above VWAP by 4.24%.",
"The trajectory held near a 12% to 13% gain.",
"The supplied candidate identity and company-specific catalyst records were not cleanly aligned, while the active model ranked the case fourth of four available ranked candidates."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:20:13Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "CAE",
"role": "alternative",
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"return_since_base_pct": 0.3681,
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"volume_ratio": 0.7,
"rsi": 52.61,
"vwap": 24.14,
"vwap_distance_pct": 1.657,
"position_52w_pct": 71.42,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T20:31:44Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "CAE Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:CAE:db8320cd569f2a6d",
"ema_trend": "24.1 > 24.42 > 24.94",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:39Z",
"facts": [
"A reported $300 million US Air Force contract supplied a concrete mechanism.",
"Price gained 3.75%, remained above VWAP by 1.28% and showed a relatively stable trajectory.",
"Volume ratio was 0.70, and the active model reported 51.08% h15 positive-return probability with a -6.181% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T20:31:44Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "RVLV",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 21.1,
"base_price": 21.1,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.0,
"session_return_pct": null,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 0.46,
"rsi": 41.21,
"vwap": 20.99,
"vwap_distance_pct": 0.5241,
"position_52w_pct": 66.62,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"source": "market_trajectory",
"name": "Revolve Group, Inc.",
"ema_trend": "20.91 > 21.58 > 22.66",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"facts": [
"Both sealed episodes were treated as one ticker and one evidence family.",
"The Donatella Versace collaboration supplied a concrete commercial mechanism.",
"Price gained 2.15%, remained above VWAP by 0.52%, but volume ratio was 0.46 and the longer EMA structure remained downward."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "VEEV",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 261.35,
"base_price": 259.68,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.6431,
"session_return_pct": 0.0153,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 0.23,
"rsi": 23.03,
"vwap": 259.85,
"vwap_distance_pct": 0.5773,
"position_52w_pct": 83.74,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:21:31Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Veeva Systems Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:VEEV:04637334069071f4",
"ema_trend": "263.61 > 260.22 > 240.34",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:03Z",
"facts": [
"SEC context supplied substantial latest-quarter operating figures, including $882.948 million revenue and $260.936 million net income.",
"A specific Falcon Router and partnership narrative was present.",
"Price changed -0.08%, volume ratio was 0.23, intraday direction was down and relative performance versus SPY was -1.54 percentage points.",
"The active model reported 56.38% h15 positive-return probability and a -5.245351% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:21:31Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "TWI",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 7.36,
"base_price": 7.385,
"return_since_base_pct": -0.3385,
"session_return_pct": null,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 0.52,
"rsi": 52.88,
"vwap": 7.26,
"vwap_distance_pct": 1.3774,
"position_52w_pct": 62.99,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T20:01:17Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Titan International, Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:TWI:790dd43533bae649",
"ema_trend": "7.25 > 7.27 > 7.36",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:11Z",
"facts": [
"A definitive ITM asset-sale agreement supplied a concrete mechanism.",
"Price gained 5.29%, remained above VWAP by 1.72% and the trajectory held above a 5.5% gain.",
"Volume ratio was 0.52, the options spread proxy reached 200% and the active model reported a -0.085101% h15 median return estimate."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T20:01:17Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
}
],
"benchmarks": [],
"coverage": {
"candidate_rows": 10,
"candidate_prices": 10,
"candidate_technical": 10,
"benchmark_rows": 0
}
}
},
{
"day": 7,
"timestamp": "2026-09-30T15:21:21.637444Z",
"comparison": {
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"source": "sealed_update_market_context + canonical_candidate_snapshot + market_trajectory + public_market_snapshot",
"rows": [
{
"symbol": "WBD",
"role": "selected",
"price": 30.825,
"base_price": 30.545,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.9167,
"session_return_pct": -0.08,
"change_since_prior_pct": -0.0486,
"volume_ratio": 0.29,
"rsi": 80.85,
"vwap": 30.84,
"vwap_distance_pct": -0.0486,
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"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-30T14:10:11.628897Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.",
"episode_id": "n0:WBD:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "30.38 > 29.54 > 28.53",
"vwap_state": "below",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:22Z",
"facts": [
"A sealed Reuters report documented settlement progress described as clearing a path toward the Warner Bros. Discovery deal.",
"The quote snapshot showed a +9.87% change and 4.94 volume ratio.",
"The supplied trajectory strengthened from +9.89% to +10.97%, and price was above VWAP by 0.38%.",
"The move was extended by 4.36 ATR and stood at 99.15% of the 52-week high."
],
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"nasdaq100": -0.8926,
"russell2000": -0.3034
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"vwap_as_of": null
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{
"symbol": "LITS",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 1.2602,
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"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:16:48Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Lite Strategy, Inc.",
"episode_id": "n0:LITS:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "1.11 > 1.06 > 1.01",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:23.631685Z",
"facts": [
"The thesis rests on an analyst claim that SLS009 may lead the CDK9 race; issuer or clinical confirmation was not supplied.",
"Price gained 9.73%, volume ratio was 3.49 and price was above VWAP by 2.48%.",
"The active model reported 45.72% h15 positive-return probability and a -12.74488% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
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"nasdaq100": -2.3595,
"russell2000": -1.7703
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"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "DFDV",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 6.6,
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"session_return_pct": 1.3825,
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"rsi": 60.72,
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"position_52w_pct": 35.47,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:19:36Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "DeFi Development Corp.",
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"ema_trend": "5.48 > 5.03 > 4.25",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:47.021401Z",
"facts": [
"A primary SEC filing documented additional SOL treasury accumulation.",
"Price gained 8.20%, volume ratio was 2.02 and price was above VWAP by 1.66%.",
"The trajectory faded from approximately +6.19% to +4.79%; the latest supplied SEC context included negative equity and non-current debt."
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"sp500": 0.78,
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"russell2000": 1.1591
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"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:19:36Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "MX",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 3.23,
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"return_since_base_pct": -0.6154,
"session_return_pct": 0.9375,
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"rsi": 55.2,
"vwap": 3.23,
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:09:10Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Magnachip Semiconductor Corporation",
"episode_id": "n0:MX:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "2.96 > 3.08 > 3.39",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:14.156213Z",
"facts": [
"A primary filing documented a $5 million strategic investment connected with SiC technology.",
"Price gained 18.18%, volume ratio was 3.68 and price was above VWAP by 0.62%.",
"The active model reported 39.39% h15 positive-return probability and a -15.671809% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
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"nasdaq100": 0.1249,
"russell2000": 0.7141
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"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
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"role": "alternative",
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"volume_ratio": 2.21,
"rsi": 72.41,
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"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:18:30Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Vista Gold Corp.",
"episode_id": "n0:VGZ:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "2.3 > 2.25 > 2.16",
"vwap_state": "below",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:39.792352Z",
"facts": [
"A definitive $427 million acquisition supplied a concrete corporate mechanism.",
"Price gained 16.37% and the trajectory reached approximately +18.36%.",
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],
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{
"symbol": "BNC",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 6.62,
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"volume_ratio": 1.39,
"rsi": 75.42,
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"position_52w_pct": 56.77,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:20:13Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "CEA Industries Inc.",
"episode_id": "n0:BNC:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "5.33 > 4.44 > 3.67",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:22:10.017629Z",
"facts": [
"Price gained 12.96%, volume ratio was 1.39 and price was above VWAP by 4.24%.",
"The trajectory held near a 12% to 13% gain.",
"The supplied candidate identity and company-specific catalyst records were not cleanly aligned, while the active model ranked the case fourth of four available ranked candidates."
],
"benchmark_excess_pct": {
"sp500": 0.1585,
"nasdaq100": -0.0516,
"russell2000": 0.5376
},
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:20:13Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "CAE",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 24.54,
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"rsi": 52.61,
"vwap": 24.14,
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"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T20:31:44Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "CAE Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:CAE:db8320cd569f2a6d",
"ema_trend": "24.1 > 24.42 > 24.94",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:39Z",
"facts": [
"A reported $300 million US Air Force contract supplied a concrete mechanism.",
"Price gained 3.75%, remained above VWAP by 1.28% and showed a relatively stable trajectory.",
"Volume ratio was 0.70, and the active model reported 51.08% h15 positive-return probability with a -6.181% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T20:31:44Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "RVLV",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 21.1,
"base_price": 21.1,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.0,
"session_return_pct": null,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 0.46,
"rsi": 41.21,
"vwap": 20.99,
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"position_52w_pct": 66.62,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"source": "market_trajectory",
"name": "Revolve Group, Inc.",
"ema_trend": "20.91 > 21.58 > 22.66",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"facts": [
"Both sealed episodes were treated as one ticker and one evidence family.",
"The Donatella Versace collaboration supplied a concrete commercial mechanism.",
"Price gained 2.15%, remained above VWAP by 0.52%, but volume ratio was 0.46 and the longer EMA structure remained downward."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "VEEV",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 261.35,
"base_price": 259.68,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.6431,
"session_return_pct": 0.0153,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 0.23,
"rsi": 23.03,
"vwap": 259.85,
"vwap_distance_pct": 0.5773,
"position_52w_pct": 83.74,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:21:31Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Veeva Systems Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:VEEV:04637334069071f4",
"ema_trend": "263.61 > 260.22 > 240.34",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:03Z",
"facts": [
"SEC context supplied substantial latest-quarter operating figures, including $882.948 million revenue and $260.936 million net income.",
"A specific Falcon Router and partnership narrative was present.",
"Price changed -0.08%, volume ratio was 0.23, intraday direction was down and relative performance versus SPY was -1.54 percentage points.",
"The active model reported 56.38% h15 positive-return probability and a -5.245351% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
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"sp500": -0.5872,
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},
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"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "TWI",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 7.36,
"base_price": 7.385,
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"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 0.52,
"rsi": 52.88,
"vwap": 7.26,
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"position_52w_pct": 62.99,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T20:01:17Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Titan International, Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:TWI:790dd43533bae649",
"ema_trend": "7.25 > 7.27 > 7.36",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:11Z",
"facts": [
"A definitive ITM asset-sale agreement supplied a concrete mechanism.",
"Price gained 5.29%, remained above VWAP by 1.72% and the trajectory held above a 5.5% gain.",
"Volume ratio was 0.52, the options spread proxy reached 200% and the active model reported a -0.085101% h15 median return estimate."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T20:01:17Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
}
],
"benchmarks": [
{
"id": "sp500",
"symbol": "^GSPC",
"label": "S&P 500",
"role": "benchmark",
"price": 7717.06,
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"return_since_base_pct": 0.6025,
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"as_of": "2026-09-30T14:59:02.277945Z",
"source": "yfinance.ticker_info",
"base_definition": "previous regular close"
},
{
"id": "nasdaq100",
"symbol": "^NDX",
"label": "Nasdaq 100",
"role": "benchmark",
"price": 30585.883,
"base_price": 30339.332,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.8126,
"session_return_pct": 0.8126,
"as_of": "2026-09-30T14:59:02.277945Z",
"source": "yfinance.ticker_info",
"base_definition": "previous regular close"
},
{
"id": "russell2000",
"symbol": "^RUT",
"label": "Russell 2000",
"role": "benchmark",
"price": 2814.1946,
"base_price": 2807.922,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.2234,
"session_return_pct": 0.2234,
"as_of": "2026-09-30T14:59:02.277945Z",
"source": "yfinance.ticker_info",
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}
],
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}
}
},
{
"day": 7,
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"comparison": {
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"captured_at": "2026-09-30T22:00:03.928246Z",
"base_definition": "Candidates use the publication reference; benchmarks use the previous regular close.",
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"rows": [
{
"symbol": "WBD",
"role": "selected",
"price": 30.94,
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"return_since_base_pct": 1.2932,
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"rsi": 81.76,
"vwap": 30.88,
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"position_52w_pct": 99.9,
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"as_of": "2026-09-30T20:57:05Z",
"source": "sealed_extended_quote",
"name": "Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.",
"episode_id": "n0:WBD:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "30.4 > 29.55 > 28.53",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:22Z",
"facts": [
"A sealed Reuters report documented settlement progress described as clearing a path toward the Warner Bros. Discovery deal.",
"The quote snapshot showed a +9.87% change and 4.94 volume ratio.",
"The supplied trajectory strengthened from +9.89% to +10.97%, and price was above VWAP by 0.38%.",
"The move was extended by 4.36 ATR and stood at 99.15% of the 52-week high."
],
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"sp500": -0.2825,
"nasdaq100": -0.4926,
"russell2000": 0.0966
},
"price_as_of": "2026-09-30T20:57:05Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "LITS",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 1.2602,
"base_price": 1.24,
"return_since_base_pct": 1.629,
"session_return_pct": -1.5469,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 3.49,
"rsi": 69.08,
"vwap": 1.21,
"vwap_distance_pct": 4.1488,
"position_52w_pct": 42.06,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:16:48Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Lite Strategy, Inc.",
"episode_id": "n0:LITS:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "1.11 > 1.06 > 1.01",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:23.631685Z",
"facts": [
"The thesis rests on an analyst claim that SLS009 may lead the CDK9 race; issuer or clinical confirmation was not supplied.",
"Price gained 9.73%, volume ratio was 3.49 and price was above VWAP by 2.48%.",
"The active model reported 45.72% h15 positive-return probability and a -12.74488% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
"benchmark_excess_pct": {
"sp500": -2.1494,
"nasdaq100": -2.3595,
"russell2000": -1.7703
},
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:16:48Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "DFDV",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 6.6,
"base_price": 6.5571,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.6543,
"session_return_pct": 1.3825,
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"volume_ratio": 2.02,
"rsi": 60.72,
"vwap": 6.45,
"vwap_distance_pct": 2.3256,
"position_52w_pct": 35.47,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:19:36Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "DeFi Development Corp.",
"episode_id": "n0:DFDV:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "5.48 > 5.03 > 4.25",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:47.021401Z",
"facts": [
"A primary SEC filing documented additional SOL treasury accumulation.",
"Price gained 8.20%, volume ratio was 2.02 and price was above VWAP by 1.66%.",
"The trajectory faded from approximately +6.19% to +4.79%; the latest supplied SEC context included negative equity and non-current debt."
],
"benchmark_excess_pct": {
"sp500": 0.78,
"nasdaq100": 0.5699,
"russell2000": 1.1591
},
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:19:36Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "MX",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 3.23,
"base_price": 3.25,
"return_since_base_pct": -0.6154,
"session_return_pct": 0.9375,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 3.68,
"rsi": 55.2,
"vwap": 3.23,
"vwap_distance_pct": 0.0,
"position_52w_pct": 33.01,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:09:10Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Magnachip Semiconductor Corporation",
"episode_id": "n0:MX:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "2.96 > 3.08 > 3.39",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:14.156213Z",
"facts": [
"A primary filing documented a $5 million strategic investment connected with SiC technology.",
"Price gained 18.18%, volume ratio was 3.68 and price was above VWAP by 0.62%.",
"The active model reported 39.39% h15 positive-return probability and a -15.671809% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
"benchmark_excess_pct": {
"sp500": 0.335,
"nasdaq100": 0.1249,
"russell2000": 0.7141
},
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:09:10Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "VGZ",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 2.7034,
"base_price": 2.63,
"return_since_base_pct": 2.7909,
"session_return_pct": -1.3358,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 2.21,
"rsi": 72.41,
"vwap": 2.66,
"vwap_distance_pct": 1.6316,
"position_52w_pct": 84.19,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:18:30Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Vista Gold Corp.",
"episode_id": "n0:VGZ:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "2.3 > 2.25 > 2.16",
"vwap_state": "below",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:39.792352Z",
"facts": [
"A definitive $427 million acquisition supplied a concrete corporate mechanism.",
"Price gained 16.37% and the trajectory reached approximately +18.36%.",
"The stock was below VWAP by 1.13%, with RSI at 72.41 and a 70.11% options spread proxy."
],
"benchmark_excess_pct": {
"sp500": -1.9383,
"nasdaq100": -2.1484,
"russell2000": -1.5592
},
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:18:30Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "BNC",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 6.62,
"base_price": 6.755,
"return_since_base_pct": -1.9985,
"session_return_pct": 0.761,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 1.39,
"rsi": 75.42,
"vwap": 6.48,
"vwap_distance_pct": 2.1605,
"position_52w_pct": 56.77,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:20:13Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "CEA Industries Inc.",
"episode_id": "n0:BNC:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "5.33 > 4.44 > 3.67",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:22:10.017629Z",
"facts": [
"Price gained 12.96%, volume ratio was 1.39 and price was above VWAP by 4.24%.",
"The trajectory held near a 12% to 13% gain.",
"The supplied candidate identity and company-specific catalyst records were not cleanly aligned, while the active model ranked the case fourth of four available ranked candidates."
],
"benchmark_excess_pct": {
"sp500": 0.1585,
"nasdaq100": -0.0516,
"russell2000": 0.5376
},
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:20:13Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "CAE",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 24.54,
"base_price": 24.45,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.3681,
"session_return_pct": null,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 0.7,
"rsi": 52.61,
"vwap": 24.14,
"vwap_distance_pct": 1.657,
"position_52w_pct": 71.42,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T20:31:44Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "CAE Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:CAE:db8320cd569f2a6d",
"ema_trend": "24.1 > 24.42 > 24.94",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:39Z",
"facts": [
"A reported $300 million US Air Force contract supplied a concrete mechanism.",
"Price gained 3.75%, remained above VWAP by 1.28% and showed a relatively stable trajectory.",
"Volume ratio was 0.70, and the active model reported 51.08% h15 positive-return probability with a -6.181% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T20:31:44Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "RVLV",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 21.1,
"base_price": 21.1,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.0,
"session_return_pct": null,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 0.46,
"rsi": 41.21,
"vwap": 20.99,
"vwap_distance_pct": 0.5241,
"position_52w_pct": 66.62,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"source": "market_trajectory",
"name": "Revolve Group, Inc.",
"ema_trend": "20.91 > 21.58 > 22.66",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"facts": [
"Both sealed episodes were treated as one ticker and one evidence family.",
"The Donatella Versace collaboration supplied a concrete commercial mechanism.",
"Price gained 2.15%, remained above VWAP by 0.52%, but volume ratio was 0.46 and the longer EMA structure remained downward."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "VEEV",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 261.35,
"base_price": 259.68,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.6431,
"session_return_pct": 0.0153,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 0.23,
"rsi": 23.03,
"vwap": 259.85,
"vwap_distance_pct": 0.5773,
"position_52w_pct": 83.74,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:21:31Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Veeva Systems Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:VEEV:04637334069071f4",
"ema_trend": "263.61 > 260.22 > 240.34",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:03Z",
"facts": [
"SEC context supplied substantial latest-quarter operating figures, including $882.948 million revenue and $260.936 million net income.",
"A specific Falcon Router and partnership narrative was present.",
"Price changed -0.08%, volume ratio was 0.23, intraday direction was down and relative performance versus SPY was -1.54 percentage points.",
"The active model reported 56.38% h15 positive-return probability and a -5.245351% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
"benchmark_excess_pct": {
"sp500": -0.5872,
"nasdaq100": -0.7973,
"russell2000": -0.2081
},
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:21:31Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "TWI",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 7.36,
"base_price": 7.385,
"return_since_base_pct": -0.3385,
"session_return_pct": null,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 0.52,
"rsi": 52.88,
"vwap": 7.26,
"vwap_distance_pct": 1.3774,
"position_52w_pct": 62.99,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T20:01:17Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Titan International, Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:TWI:790dd43533bae649",
"ema_trend": "7.25 > 7.27 > 7.36",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:11Z",
"facts": [
"A definitive ITM asset-sale agreement supplied a concrete mechanism.",
"Price gained 5.29%, remained above VWAP by 1.72% and the trajectory held above a 5.5% gain.",
"Volume ratio was 0.52, the options spread proxy reached 200% and the active model reported a -0.085101% h15 median return estimate."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T20:01:17Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
}
],
"benchmarks": [
{
"id": "sp500",
"symbol": "^GSPC",
"label": "S&P 500",
"role": "benchmark",
"price": 7717.06,
"base_price": 7670.84,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.6025,
"session_return_pct": 0.6025,
"as_of": "2026-09-30T14:59:02.277945Z",
"source": "yfinance.ticker_info",
"base_definition": "previous regular close"
},
{
"id": "nasdaq100",
"symbol": "^NDX",
"label": "Nasdaq 100",
"role": "benchmark",
"price": 30585.883,
"base_price": 30339.332,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.8126,
"session_return_pct": 0.8126,
"as_of": "2026-09-30T14:59:02.277945Z",
"source": "yfinance.ticker_info",
"base_definition": "previous regular close"
},
{
"id": "russell2000",
"symbol": "^RUT",
"label": "Russell 2000",
"role": "benchmark",
"price": 2814.1946,
"base_price": 2807.922,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.2234,
"session_return_pct": 0.2234,
"as_of": "2026-09-30T14:59:02.277945Z",
"source": "yfinance.ticker_info",
"base_definition": "previous regular close"
}
],
"coverage": {
"candidate_rows": 10,
"candidate_prices": 10,
"candidate_technical": 10,
"benchmark_rows": 3
}
}
},
{
"day": 7,
"timestamp": "2026-09-30T22:00:03.928246Z",
"comparison": {
"schema_version": "public-candidate-comparison.v1",
"captured_at": "2026-09-30T22:00:03.928246Z",
"base_definition": "Candidates use the publication reference; benchmarks use the previous regular close.",
"source": "sealed_update_market_context + canonical_candidate_snapshot + market_trajectory + public_market_snapshot",
"rows": [
{
"symbol": "WBD",
"role": "selected",
"price": 30.94,
"base_price": 30.545,
"return_since_base_pct": 1.2932,
"session_return_pct": 0.29,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 2.53,
"rsi": 81.71,
"vwap": 30.88,
"vwap_distance_pct": 0.1943,
"position_52w_pct": 99.9,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-30T19:58:16.738162Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.",
"episode_id": "n0:WBD:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "30.4 > 29.55 > 28.53",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:22Z",
"facts": [
"A sealed Reuters report documented settlement progress described as clearing a path toward the Warner Bros. Discovery deal.",
"The quote snapshot showed a +9.87% change and 4.94 volume ratio.",
"The supplied trajectory strengthened from +9.89% to +10.97%, and price was above VWAP by 0.38%.",
"The move was extended by 4.36 ATR and stood at 99.15% of the 52-week high."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-30T19:58:16.738162Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "LITS",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 1.2602,
"base_price": 1.24,
"return_since_base_pct": 1.629,
"session_return_pct": -1.5469,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 3.49,
"rsi": 69.08,
"vwap": 1.21,
"vwap_distance_pct": 4.1488,
"position_52w_pct": 42.06,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:16:48Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Lite Strategy, Inc.",
"episode_id": "n0:LITS:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "1.11 > 1.06 > 1.01",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:23.631685Z",
"facts": [
"The thesis rests on an analyst claim that SLS009 may lead the CDK9 race; issuer or clinical confirmation was not supplied.",
"Price gained 9.73%, volume ratio was 3.49 and price was above VWAP by 2.48%.",
"The active model reported 45.72% h15 positive-return probability and a -12.74488% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:16:48Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "DFDV",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 6.6,
"base_price": 6.5571,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.6543,
"session_return_pct": 1.3825,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 2.02,
"rsi": 60.72,
"vwap": 6.45,
"vwap_distance_pct": 2.3256,
"position_52w_pct": 35.47,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:19:36Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "DeFi Development Corp.",
"episode_id": "n0:DFDV:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "5.48 > 5.03 > 4.25",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:47.021401Z",
"facts": [
"A primary SEC filing documented additional SOL treasury accumulation.",
"Price gained 8.20%, volume ratio was 2.02 and price was above VWAP by 1.66%.",
"The trajectory faded from approximately +6.19% to +4.79%; the latest supplied SEC context included negative equity and non-current debt."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:19:36Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "MX",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 3.23,
"base_price": 3.25,
"return_since_base_pct": -0.6154,
"session_return_pct": 0.9375,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 3.68,
"rsi": 55.2,
"vwap": 3.23,
"vwap_distance_pct": 0.0,
"position_52w_pct": 33.01,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:09:10Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Magnachip Semiconductor Corporation",
"episode_id": "n0:MX:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "2.96 > 3.08 > 3.39",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:14.156213Z",
"facts": [
"A primary filing documented a $5 million strategic investment connected with SiC technology.",
"Price gained 18.18%, volume ratio was 3.68 and price was above VWAP by 0.62%.",
"The active model reported 39.39% h15 positive-return probability and a -15.671809% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:09:10Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "VGZ",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 2.7034,
"base_price": 2.63,
"return_since_base_pct": 2.7909,
"session_return_pct": -1.3358,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 2.21,
"rsi": 72.41,
"vwap": 2.66,
"vwap_distance_pct": 1.6316,
"position_52w_pct": 84.19,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:18:30Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Vista Gold Corp.",
"episode_id": "n0:VGZ:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "2.3 > 2.25 > 2.16",
"vwap_state": "below",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:39.792352Z",
"facts": [
"A definitive $427 million acquisition supplied a concrete corporate mechanism.",
"Price gained 16.37% and the trajectory reached approximately +18.36%.",
"The stock was below VWAP by 1.13%, with RSI at 72.41 and a 70.11% options spread proxy."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:18:30Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "BNC",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 6.62,
"base_price": 6.755,
"return_since_base_pct": -1.9985,
"session_return_pct": 0.761,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 1.39,
"rsi": 75.42,
"vwap": 6.48,
"vwap_distance_pct": 2.1605,
"position_52w_pct": 56.77,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:20:13Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "CEA Industries Inc.",
"episode_id": "n0:BNC:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "5.33 > 4.44 > 3.67",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:22:10.017629Z",
"facts": [
"Price gained 12.96%, volume ratio was 1.39 and price was above VWAP by 4.24%.",
"The trajectory held near a 12% to 13% gain.",
"The supplied candidate identity and company-specific catalyst records were not cleanly aligned, while the active model ranked the case fourth of four available ranked candidates."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:20:13Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "CAE",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 24.54,
"base_price": 24.45,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.3681,
"session_return_pct": null,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 0.7,
"rsi": 52.61,
"vwap": 24.14,
"vwap_distance_pct": 1.657,
"position_52w_pct": 71.42,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T20:31:44Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "CAE Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:CAE:db8320cd569f2a6d",
"ema_trend": "24.1 > 24.42 > 24.94",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:39Z",
"facts": [
"A reported $300 million US Air Force contract supplied a concrete mechanism.",
"Price gained 3.75%, remained above VWAP by 1.28% and showed a relatively stable trajectory.",
"Volume ratio was 0.70, and the active model reported 51.08% h15 positive-return probability with a -6.181% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T20:31:44Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "RVLV",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 21.1,
"base_price": 21.1,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.0,
"session_return_pct": null,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 0.46,
"rsi": 41.21,
"vwap": 20.99,
"vwap_distance_pct": 0.5241,
"position_52w_pct": 66.62,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"source": "market_trajectory",
"name": "Revolve Group, Inc.",
"ema_trend": "20.91 > 21.58 > 22.66",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"facts": [
"Both sealed episodes were treated as one ticker and one evidence family.",
"The Donatella Versace collaboration supplied a concrete commercial mechanism.",
"Price gained 2.15%, remained above VWAP by 0.52%, but volume ratio was 0.46 and the longer EMA structure remained downward."
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{
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:20:13Z",
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{
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{
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"source": "yfinance_quote",
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"The trajectory held near a 12% to 13% gain.",
"The supplied candidate identity and company-specific catalyst records were not cleanly aligned, while the active model ranked the case fourth of four available ranked candidates."
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"The Donatella Versace collaboration supplied a concrete commercial mechanism.",
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{
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"source": "yfinance_quote",
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"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:03Z",
"facts": [
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"A specific Falcon Router and partnership narrative was present.",
"Price changed -0.08%, volume ratio was 0.23, intraday direction was down and relative performance versus SPY was -1.54 percentage points.",
"The active model reported 56.38% h15 positive-return probability and a -5.245351% h15 adverse-MAE median."
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"source": "yfinance_quote",
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"facts": [
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"Price gained 5.29%, remained above VWAP by 1.72% and the trajectory held above a 5.5% gain.",
"Volume ratio was 0.52, the options spread proxy reached 200% and the active model reported a -0.085101% h15 median return estimate."
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"vwap_as_of": null
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{
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},
{
"id": "nasdaq100",
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},
{
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],
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}
},
{
"day": 10,
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{
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"The supplied trajectory strengthened from +9.89% to +10.97%, and price was above VWAP by 0.38%.",
"The move was extended by 4.36 ATR and stood at 99.15% of the 52-week high."
],
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{
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{
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"facts": [
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"Price gained 8.20%, volume ratio was 2.02 and price was above VWAP by 1.66%.",
"The trajectory faded from approximately +6.19% to +4.79%; the latest supplied SEC context included negative equity and non-current debt."
],
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{
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"source": "yfinance_quote",
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"facts": [
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"The active model reported 39.39% h15 positive-return probability and a -15.671809% h15 adverse-MAE median."
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{
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"facts": [
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"Price gained 16.37% and the trajectory reached approximately +18.36%.",
"The stock was below VWAP by 1.13%, with RSI at 72.41 and a 70.11% options spread proxy."
],
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{
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:20:13Z",
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"facts": [
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"The trajectory held near a 12% to 13% gain.",
"The supplied candidate identity and company-specific catalyst records were not cleanly aligned, while the active model ranked the case fourth of four available ranked candidates."
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{
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"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "CAE Inc.",
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"facts": [
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"Volume ratio was 0.70, and the active model reported 51.08% h15 positive-return probability with a -6.181% h15 adverse-MAE median."
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{
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"source": "market_trajectory",
"name": "Revolve Group, Inc.",
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"The Donatella Versace collaboration supplied a concrete commercial mechanism.",
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},
{
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:21:31Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Veeva Systems Inc.",
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"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:03Z",
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"A specific Falcon Router and partnership narrative was present.",
"Price changed -0.08%, volume ratio was 0.23, intraday direction was down and relative performance versus SPY was -1.54 percentage points.",
"The active model reported 56.38% h15 positive-return probability and a -5.245351% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
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},
{
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T20:01:17Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Titan International, Inc.",
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"facts": [
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}
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}
}
},
{
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{
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"The quote snapshot showed a +9.87% change and 4.94 volume ratio.",
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{
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"source": "yfinance_quote",
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"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "DFDV",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 6.6,
"base_price": 6.5571,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.6543,
"session_return_pct": 1.3825,
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"volume_ratio": 2.02,
"rsi": 60.72,
"vwap": 6.45,
"vwap_distance_pct": 2.3256,
"position_52w_pct": 35.47,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:19:36Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "DeFi Development Corp.",
"episode_id": "n0:DFDV:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "5.48 > 5.03 > 4.25",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:47.021401Z",
"facts": [
"A primary SEC filing documented additional SOL treasury accumulation.",
"Price gained 8.20%, volume ratio was 2.02 and price was above VWAP by 1.66%.",
"The trajectory faded from approximately +6.19% to +4.79%; the latest supplied SEC context included negative equity and non-current debt."
],
"benchmark_excess_pct": {
"sp500": 0.7191,
"nasdaq100": 0.5109,
"russell2000": 0.8798
},
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:19:36Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "MX",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 3.23,
"base_price": 3.25,
"return_since_base_pct": -0.6154,
"session_return_pct": 0.9375,
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"volume_ratio": 3.68,
"rsi": 55.2,
"vwap": 3.23,
"vwap_distance_pct": 0.0,
"position_52w_pct": 33.01,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:09:10Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Magnachip Semiconductor Corporation",
"episode_id": "n0:MX:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "2.96 > 3.08 > 3.39",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:14.156213Z",
"facts": [
"A primary filing documented a $5 million strategic investment connected with SiC technology.",
"Price gained 18.18%, volume ratio was 3.68 and price was above VWAP by 0.62%.",
"The active model reported 39.39% h15 positive-return probability and a -15.671809% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
"benchmark_excess_pct": {
"sp500": 0.2741,
"nasdaq100": 0.0659,
"russell2000": 0.4348
},
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:09:10Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "VGZ",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 2.7034,
"base_price": 2.63,
"return_since_base_pct": 2.7909,
"session_return_pct": -1.3358,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 2.21,
"rsi": 72.41,
"vwap": 2.66,
"vwap_distance_pct": 1.6316,
"position_52w_pct": 84.19,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:18:30Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Vista Gold Corp.",
"episode_id": "n0:VGZ:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "2.3 > 2.25 > 2.16",
"vwap_state": "below",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:39.792352Z",
"facts": [
"A definitive $427 million acquisition supplied a concrete corporate mechanism.",
"Price gained 16.37% and the trajectory reached approximately +18.36%.",
"The stock was below VWAP by 1.13%, with RSI at 72.41 and a 70.11% options spread proxy."
],
"benchmark_excess_pct": {
"sp500": -1.9992,
"nasdaq100": -2.2074,
"russell2000": -1.8385
},
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:18:30Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "BNC",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 6.62,
"base_price": 6.755,
"return_since_base_pct": -1.9985,
"session_return_pct": 0.761,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 1.39,
"rsi": 75.42,
"vwap": 6.48,
"vwap_distance_pct": 2.1605,
"position_52w_pct": 56.77,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:20:13Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "CEA Industries Inc.",
"episode_id": "n0:BNC:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "5.33 > 4.44 > 3.67",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:22:10.017629Z",
"facts": [
"Price gained 12.96%, volume ratio was 1.39 and price was above VWAP by 4.24%.",
"The trajectory held near a 12% to 13% gain.",
"The supplied candidate identity and company-specific catalyst records were not cleanly aligned, while the active model ranked the case fourth of four available ranked candidates."
],
"benchmark_excess_pct": {
"sp500": 0.0976,
"nasdaq100": -0.1106,
"russell2000": 0.2583
},
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:20:13Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "CAE",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 24.54,
"base_price": 24.45,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.3681,
"session_return_pct": null,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 0.7,
"rsi": 52.61,
"vwap": 24.14,
"vwap_distance_pct": 1.657,
"position_52w_pct": 71.42,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T20:31:44Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "CAE Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:CAE:db8320cd569f2a6d",
"ema_trend": "24.1 > 24.42 > 24.94",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:39Z",
"facts": [
"A reported $300 million US Air Force contract supplied a concrete mechanism.",
"Price gained 3.75%, remained above VWAP by 1.28% and showed a relatively stable trajectory.",
"Volume ratio was 0.70, and the active model reported 51.08% h15 positive-return probability with a -6.181% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T20:31:44Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "RVLV",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 21.1,
"base_price": 21.1,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.0,
"session_return_pct": null,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 0.46,
"rsi": 41.21,
"vwap": 20.99,
"vwap_distance_pct": 0.5241,
"position_52w_pct": 66.62,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"source": "market_trajectory",
"name": "Revolve Group, Inc.",
"ema_trend": "20.91 > 21.58 > 22.66",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"facts": [
"Both sealed episodes were treated as one ticker and one evidence family.",
"The Donatella Versace collaboration supplied a concrete commercial mechanism.",
"Price gained 2.15%, remained above VWAP by 0.52%, but volume ratio was 0.46 and the longer EMA structure remained downward."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "VEEV",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 261.35,
"base_price": 259.68,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.6431,
"session_return_pct": 0.0153,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 0.23,
"rsi": 23.03,
"vwap": 259.85,
"vwap_distance_pct": 0.5773,
"position_52w_pct": 83.74,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:21:31Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Veeva Systems Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:VEEV:04637334069071f4",
"ema_trend": "263.61 > 260.22 > 240.34",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:03Z",
"facts": [
"SEC context supplied substantial latest-quarter operating figures, including $882.948 million revenue and $260.936 million net income.",
"A specific Falcon Router and partnership narrative was present.",
"Price changed -0.08%, volume ratio was 0.23, intraday direction was down and relative performance versus SPY was -1.54 percentage points.",
"The active model reported 56.38% h15 positive-return probability and a -5.245351% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
"benchmark_excess_pct": {
"sp500": -0.6481,
"nasdaq100": -0.8563,
"russell2000": -0.4874
},
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:21:31Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "TWI",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 7.36,
"base_price": 7.385,
"return_since_base_pct": -0.3385,
"session_return_pct": null,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 0.52,
"rsi": 52.88,
"vwap": 7.26,
"vwap_distance_pct": 1.3774,
"position_52w_pct": 62.99,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T20:01:17Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Titan International, Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:TWI:790dd43533bae649",
"ema_trend": "7.25 > 7.27 > 7.36",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:11Z",
"facts": [
"A definitive ITM asset-sale agreement supplied a concrete mechanism.",
"Price gained 5.29%, remained above VWAP by 1.72% and the trajectory held above a 5.5% gain.",
"Volume ratio was 0.52, the options spread proxy reached 200% and the active model reported a -0.085101% h15 median return estimate."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T20:01:17Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
}
],
"benchmarks": [
{
"id": "sp500",
"symbol": "^GSPC",
"label": "S&P 500",
"role": "benchmark",
"price": 7773.95,
"base_price": 7722.72,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.6634,
"session_return_pct": 0.6634,
"as_of": "2026-10-05T22:30:02.530881Z",
"source": "yfinance.ticker_info",
"base_definition": "previous regular close"
},
{
"id": "nasdaq100",
"symbol": "^NDX",
"label": "Nasdaq 100",
"role": "benchmark",
"price": 31076.441,
"base_price": 30807.932,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.8716,
"session_return_pct": 0.8716,
"as_of": "2026-10-05T22:30:02.530881Z",
"source": "yfinance.ticker_info",
"base_definition": "previous regular close"
},
{
"id": "russell2000",
"symbol": "^RUT",
"label": "Russell 2000",
"role": "benchmark",
"price": 2847.1357,
"base_price": 2832.8948,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.5027,
"session_return_pct": 0.5027,
"as_of": "2026-10-05T22:30:02.530881Z",
"source": "yfinance.ticker_info",
"base_definition": "previous regular close"
}
],
"coverage": {
"candidate_rows": 10,
"candidate_prices": 10,
"candidate_technical": 10,
"benchmark_rows": 3
}
}
},
{
"day": 11,
"timestamp": "2026-10-06T15:45:12.322791Z",
"comparison": {
"schema_version": "public-candidate-comparison.v1",
"captured_at": "2026-10-06T15:45:12.322791Z",
"base_definition": "Candidates use the publication reference; benchmarks use the previous regular close.",
"source": "sealed_update_market_context + canonical_candidate_snapshot + market_trajectory + public_market_snapshot",
"rows": [
{
"symbol": "WBD",
"role": "selected",
"price": 30.95,
"base_price": 30.545,
"return_since_base_pct": 1.3259,
"session_return_pct": 0.0055,
"change_since_prior_pct": -0.0968,
"volume_ratio": 11.7,
"rsi": 85.96,
"vwap": 30.43,
"vwap_distance_pct": 1.7088,
"position_52w_pct": 99.9,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-10-06T14:06:59.842254Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.",
"episode_id": "n0:WBD:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "30.67 > 29.9 > 28.81",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:22Z",
"facts": [
"A sealed Reuters report documented settlement progress described as clearing a path toward the Warner Bros. Discovery deal.",
"The quote snapshot showed a +9.87% change and 4.94 volume ratio.",
"The supplied trajectory strengthened from +9.89% to +10.97%, and price was above VWAP by 0.38%.",
"The move was extended by 4.36 ATR and stood at 99.15% of the 52-week high."
],
"benchmark_excess_pct": {
"sp500": -0.7031,
"nasdaq100": -0.7721,
"russell2000": 0.3772
},
"price_as_of": "2026-10-06T14:06:59.842254Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "LITS",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 1.2602,
"base_price": 1.24,
"return_since_base_pct": 1.629,
"session_return_pct": -1.5469,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 3.49,
"rsi": 69.08,
"vwap": 1.21,
"vwap_distance_pct": 4.1488,
"position_52w_pct": 42.06,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:16:48Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Lite Strategy, Inc.",
"episode_id": "n0:LITS:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "1.11 > 1.06 > 1.01",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:23.631685Z",
"facts": [
"The thesis rests on an analyst claim that SLS009 may lead the CDK9 race; issuer or clinical confirmation was not supplied.",
"Price gained 9.73%, volume ratio was 3.49 and price was above VWAP by 2.48%.",
"The active model reported 45.72% h15 positive-return probability and a -12.74488% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
"benchmark_excess_pct": {
"sp500": -2.2555,
"nasdaq100": -2.3245,
"russell2000": -1.1752
},
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:16:48Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "DFDV",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 6.6,
"base_price": 6.5571,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.6543,
"session_return_pct": 1.3825,
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"volume_ratio": 2.02,
"rsi": 60.72,
"vwap": 6.45,
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"position_52w_pct": 35.47,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:19:36Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "DeFi Development Corp.",
"episode_id": "n0:DFDV:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "5.48 > 5.03 > 4.25",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:47.021401Z",
"facts": [
"A primary SEC filing documented additional SOL treasury accumulation.",
"Price gained 8.20%, volume ratio was 2.02 and price was above VWAP by 1.66%.",
"The trajectory faded from approximately +6.19% to +4.79%; the latest supplied SEC context included negative equity and non-current debt."
],
"benchmark_excess_pct": {
"sp500": 0.6739,
"nasdaq100": 0.6049,
"russell2000": 1.7542
},
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:19:36Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "MX",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 3.23,
"base_price": 3.25,
"return_since_base_pct": -0.6154,
"session_return_pct": 0.9375,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 3.68,
"rsi": 55.2,
"vwap": 3.23,
"vwap_distance_pct": 0.0,
"position_52w_pct": 33.01,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:09:10Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Magnachip Semiconductor Corporation",
"episode_id": "n0:MX:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "2.96 > 3.08 > 3.39",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:14.156213Z",
"facts": [
"A primary filing documented a $5 million strategic investment connected with SiC technology.",
"Price gained 18.18%, volume ratio was 3.68 and price was above VWAP by 0.62%.",
"The active model reported 39.39% h15 positive-return probability and a -15.671809% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
"benchmark_excess_pct": {
"sp500": 0.2289,
"nasdaq100": 0.1599,
"russell2000": 1.3092
},
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:09:10Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "VGZ",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 2.7034,
"base_price": 2.63,
"return_since_base_pct": 2.7909,
"session_return_pct": -1.3358,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 2.21,
"rsi": 72.41,
"vwap": 2.66,
"vwap_distance_pct": 1.6316,
"position_52w_pct": 84.19,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:18:30Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Vista Gold Corp.",
"episode_id": "n0:VGZ:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "2.3 > 2.25 > 2.16",
"vwap_state": "below",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:39.792352Z",
"facts": [
"A definitive $427 million acquisition supplied a concrete corporate mechanism.",
"Price gained 16.37% and the trajectory reached approximately +18.36%.",
"The stock was below VWAP by 1.13%, with RSI at 72.41 and a 70.11% options spread proxy."
],
"benchmark_excess_pct": {
"sp500": -2.0444,
"nasdaq100": -2.1134,
"russell2000": -0.9641
},
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:18:30Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "BNC",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 6.62,
"base_price": 6.755,
"return_since_base_pct": -1.9985,
"session_return_pct": 0.761,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 1.39,
"rsi": 75.42,
"vwap": 6.48,
"vwap_distance_pct": 2.1605,
"position_52w_pct": 56.77,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:20:13Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "CEA Industries Inc.",
"episode_id": "n0:BNC:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "5.33 > 4.44 > 3.67",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:22:10.017629Z",
"facts": [
"Price gained 12.96%, volume ratio was 1.39 and price was above VWAP by 4.24%.",
"The trajectory held near a 12% to 13% gain.",
"The supplied candidate identity and company-specific catalyst records were not cleanly aligned, while the active model ranked the case fourth of four available ranked candidates."
],
"benchmark_excess_pct": {
"sp500": 0.0524,
"nasdaq100": -0.0166,
"russell2000": 1.1327
},
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:20:13Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "CAE",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 24.54,
"base_price": 24.45,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.3681,
"session_return_pct": null,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 0.7,
"rsi": 52.61,
"vwap": 24.14,
"vwap_distance_pct": 1.657,
"position_52w_pct": 71.42,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T20:31:44Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "CAE Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:CAE:db8320cd569f2a6d",
"ema_trend": "24.1 > 24.42 > 24.94",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:39Z",
"facts": [
"A reported $300 million US Air Force contract supplied a concrete mechanism.",
"Price gained 3.75%, remained above VWAP by 1.28% and showed a relatively stable trajectory.",
"Volume ratio was 0.70, and the active model reported 51.08% h15 positive-return probability with a -6.181% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T20:31:44Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "RVLV",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 21.1,
"base_price": 21.1,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.0,
"session_return_pct": null,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 0.46,
"rsi": 41.21,
"vwap": 20.99,
"vwap_distance_pct": 0.5241,
"position_52w_pct": 66.62,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"source": "market_trajectory",
"name": "Revolve Group, Inc.",
"ema_trend": "20.91 > 21.58 > 22.66",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"facts": [
"Both sealed episodes were treated as one ticker and one evidence family.",
"The Donatella Versace collaboration supplied a concrete commercial mechanism.",
"Price gained 2.15%, remained above VWAP by 0.52%, but volume ratio was 0.46 and the longer EMA structure remained downward."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "VEEV",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 261.35,
"base_price": 259.68,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.6431,
"session_return_pct": 0.0153,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 0.23,
"rsi": 23.03,
"vwap": 259.85,
"vwap_distance_pct": 0.5773,
"position_52w_pct": 83.74,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
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"source": "yfinance_quote",
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"A specific Falcon Router and partnership narrative was present.",
"Price changed -0.08%, volume ratio was 0.23, intraday direction was down and relative performance versus SPY was -1.54 percentage points.",
"The active model reported 56.38% h15 positive-return probability and a -5.245351% h15 adverse-MAE median."
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"facts": [
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"Price gained 5.29%, remained above VWAP by 1.72% and the trajectory held above a 5.5% gain.",
"Volume ratio was 0.52, the options spread proxy reached 200% and the active model reported a -0.085101% h15 median return estimate."
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{
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{
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{
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:18:30Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
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"facts": [
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:20:13Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
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"facts": [
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"The supplied candidate identity and company-specific catalyst records were not cleanly aligned, while the active model ranked the case fourth of four available ranked candidates."
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"nasdaq100": 0.2739,
"russell2000": 1.4753
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{
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"source": "yfinance_quote",
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"facts": [
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"Volume ratio was 0.70, and the active model reported 51.08% h15 positive-return probability with a -6.181% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
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"source": "market_trajectory",
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"facts": [
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{
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:21:31Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T20:01:17Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
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}
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{
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{
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],
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}
},
{
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{
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"as_of": "2026-10-07T14:06:33.450164Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
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"The move was extended by 4.36 ATR and stood at 99.15% of the 52-week high."
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{
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{
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"source": "yfinance_quote",
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"facts": [
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{
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"source": "yfinance_quote",
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"ema_trend": "2.96 > 3.08 > 3.39",
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"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:14.156213Z",
"facts": [
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"Price gained 18.18%, volume ratio was 3.68 and price was above VWAP by 0.62%.",
"The active model reported 39.39% h15 positive-return probability and a -15.671809% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
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"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:18:30Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Vista Gold Corp.",
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"vwap_state": "below",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:39.792352Z",
"facts": [
"A definitive $427 million acquisition supplied a concrete corporate mechanism.",
"Price gained 16.37% and the trajectory reached approximately +18.36%.",
"The stock was below VWAP by 1.13%, with RSI at 72.41 and a 70.11% options spread proxy."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:18:30Z",
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{
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:20:13Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "CEA Industries Inc.",
"episode_id": "n0:BNC:2026-09-21",
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"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:22:10.017629Z",
"facts": [
"Price gained 12.96%, volume ratio was 1.39 and price was above VWAP by 4.24%.",
"The trajectory held near a 12% to 13% gain.",
"The supplied candidate identity and company-specific catalyst records were not cleanly aligned, while the active model ranked the case fourth of four available ranked candidates."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:20:13Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "CAE",
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"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T20:31:44Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "CAE Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:CAE:db8320cd569f2a6d",
"ema_trend": "24.1 > 24.42 > 24.94",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:39Z",
"facts": [
"A reported $300 million US Air Force contract supplied a concrete mechanism.",
"Price gained 3.75%, remained above VWAP by 1.28% and showed a relatively stable trajectory.",
"Volume ratio was 0.70, and the active model reported 51.08% h15 positive-return probability with a -6.181% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T20:31:44Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "RVLV",
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"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"source": "market_trajectory",
"name": "Revolve Group, Inc.",
"ema_trend": "20.91 > 21.58 > 22.66",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"facts": [
"Both sealed episodes were treated as one ticker and one evidence family.",
"The Donatella Versace collaboration supplied a concrete commercial mechanism.",
"Price gained 2.15%, remained above VWAP by 0.52%, but volume ratio was 0.46 and the longer EMA structure remained downward."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "VEEV",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 261.35,
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"volume_ratio": 0.23,
"rsi": 23.03,
"vwap": 259.85,
"vwap_distance_pct": 0.5773,
"position_52w_pct": 83.74,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:21:31Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Veeva Systems Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:VEEV:04637334069071f4",
"ema_trend": "263.61 > 260.22 > 240.34",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:03Z",
"facts": [
"SEC context supplied substantial latest-quarter operating figures, including $882.948 million revenue and $260.936 million net income.",
"A specific Falcon Router and partnership narrative was present.",
"Price changed -0.08%, volume ratio was 0.23, intraday direction was down and relative performance versus SPY was -1.54 percentage points.",
"The active model reported 56.38% h15 positive-return probability and a -5.245351% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:21:31Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "TWI",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 7.36,
"base_price": 7.385,
"return_since_base_pct": -0.3385,
"session_return_pct": null,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 0.52,
"rsi": 52.88,
"vwap": 7.26,
"vwap_distance_pct": 1.3774,
"position_52w_pct": 62.99,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T20:01:17Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Titan International, Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:TWI:790dd43533bae649",
"ema_trend": "7.25 > 7.27 > 7.36",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:11Z",
"facts": [
"A definitive ITM asset-sale agreement supplied a concrete mechanism.",
"Price gained 5.29%, remained above VWAP by 1.72% and the trajectory held above a 5.5% gain.",
"Volume ratio was 0.52, the options spread proxy reached 200% and the active model reported a -0.085101% h15 median return estimate."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T20:01:17Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
}
],
"benchmarks": [],
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"candidate_prices": 10,
"candidate_technical": 10,
"benchmark_rows": 0
}
}
},
{
"day": 12,
"timestamp": "2026-10-07T20:34:30.614122Z",
"comparison": {
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"base_definition": "Candidates use the publication reference; benchmarks use the previous regular close.",
"source": "sealed_update_market_context + canonical_candidate_snapshot + market_trajectory + public_market_snapshot",
"rows": [
{
"symbol": "WBD",
"role": "selected",
"price": 30.8017,
"base_price": 30.545,
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"session_return_pct": 0.0055,
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"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:21:02Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.",
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"ema_trend": "28.57 > 28.28 > 27.75",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:22Z",
"facts": [
"A sealed Reuters report documented settlement progress described as clearing a path toward the Warner Bros. Discovery deal.",
"The quote snapshot showed a +9.87% change and 4.94 volume ratio.",
"The supplied trajectory strengthened from +9.89% to +10.97%, and price was above VWAP by 0.38%.",
"The move was extended by 4.36 ATR and stood at 99.15% of the 52-week high."
],
"benchmark_excess_pct": {
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"russell2000": 1.3161
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"vwap_as_of": null
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{
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"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:16:48Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Lite Strategy, Inc.",
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"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:23.631685Z",
"facts": [
"The thesis rests on an analyst claim that SLS009 may lead the CDK9 race; issuer or clinical confirmation was not supplied.",
"Price gained 9.73%, volume ratio was 3.49 and price was above VWAP by 2.48%.",
"The active model reported 45.72% h15 positive-return probability and a -12.74488% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
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"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
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"role": "alternative",
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:19:36Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "DeFi Development Corp.",
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"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:47.021401Z",
"facts": [
"A primary SEC filing documented additional SOL treasury accumulation.",
"Price gained 8.20%, volume ratio was 2.02 and price was above VWAP by 1.66%.",
"The trajectory faded from approximately +6.19% to +4.79%; the latest supplied SEC context included negative equity and non-current debt."
],
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"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:19:36Z",
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{
"symbol": "MX",
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"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:09:10Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Magnachip Semiconductor Corporation",
"episode_id": "n0:MX:2026-09-21",
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"facts": [
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"Price gained 18.18%, volume ratio was 3.68 and price was above VWAP by 0.62%.",
"The active model reported 39.39% h15 positive-return probability and a -15.671809% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
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{
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:18:30Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Vista Gold Corp.",
"episode_id": "n0:VGZ:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "2.3 > 2.25 > 2.16",
"vwap_state": "below",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:39.792352Z",
"facts": [
"A definitive $427 million acquisition supplied a concrete corporate mechanism.",
"Price gained 16.37% and the trajectory reached approximately +18.36%.",
"The stock was below VWAP by 1.13%, with RSI at 72.41 and a 70.11% options spread proxy."
],
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},
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:18:30Z",
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},
{
"symbol": "BNC",
"role": "alternative",
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"volume_ratio": 1.39,
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"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:20:13Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "CEA Industries Inc.",
"episode_id": "n0:BNC:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "5.33 > 4.44 > 3.67",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:22:10.017629Z",
"facts": [
"Price gained 12.96%, volume ratio was 1.39 and price was above VWAP by 4.24%.",
"The trajectory held near a 12% to 13% gain.",
"The supplied candidate identity and company-specific catalyst records were not cleanly aligned, while the active model ranked the case fourth of four available ranked candidates."
],
"benchmark_excess_pct": {
"sp500": 0.9805,
"nasdaq100": 0.9679,
"russell2000": 2.0716
},
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:20:13Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "CAE",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 24.54,
"base_price": 24.45,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.3681,
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"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T20:31:44Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "CAE Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:CAE:db8320cd569f2a6d",
"ema_trend": "24.1 > 24.42 > 24.94",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:39Z",
"facts": [
"A reported $300 million US Air Force contract supplied a concrete mechanism.",
"Price gained 3.75%, remained above VWAP by 1.28% and showed a relatively stable trajectory.",
"Volume ratio was 0.70, and the active model reported 51.08% h15 positive-return probability with a -6.181% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T20:31:44Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "RVLV",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 21.1,
"base_price": 21.1,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.0,
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"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
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"rsi": 41.21,
"vwap": 20.99,
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"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"source": "market_trajectory",
"name": "Revolve Group, Inc.",
"ema_trend": "20.91 > 21.58 > 22.66",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"facts": [
"Both sealed episodes were treated as one ticker and one evidence family.",
"The Donatella Versace collaboration supplied a concrete commercial mechanism.",
"Price gained 2.15%, remained above VWAP by 0.52%, but volume ratio was 0.46 and the longer EMA structure remained downward."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "VEEV",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 261.35,
"base_price": 259.68,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.6431,
"session_return_pct": 0.0153,
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"volume_ratio": 0.23,
"rsi": 23.03,
"vwap": 259.85,
"vwap_distance_pct": 0.5773,
"position_52w_pct": 83.74,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:21:31Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Veeva Systems Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:VEEV:04637334069071f4",
"ema_trend": "263.61 > 260.22 > 240.34",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:03Z",
"facts": [
"SEC context supplied substantial latest-quarter operating figures, including $882.948 million revenue and $260.936 million net income.",
"A specific Falcon Router and partnership narrative was present.",
"Price changed -0.08%, volume ratio was 0.23, intraday direction was down and relative performance versus SPY was -1.54 percentage points.",
"The active model reported 56.38% h15 positive-return probability and a -5.245351% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
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"nasdaq100": 0.2222,
"russell2000": 1.3259
},
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:21:31Z",
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},
{
"symbol": "TWI",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 7.36,
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"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T20:01:17Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Titan International, Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:TWI:790dd43533bae649",
"ema_trend": "7.25 > 7.27 > 7.36",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:11Z",
"facts": [
"A definitive ITM asset-sale agreement supplied a concrete mechanism.",
"Price gained 5.29%, remained above VWAP by 1.72% and the trajectory held above a 5.5% gain.",
"Volume ratio was 0.52, the options spread proxy reached 200% and the active model reported a -0.085101% h15 median return estimate."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T20:01:17Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
}
],
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{
"id": "sp500",
"symbol": "^GSPC",
"label": "S&P 500",
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"as_of": "2026-10-07T20:30:43.184621Z",
"source": "yfinance.ticker_info",
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},
{
"id": "nasdaq100",
"symbol": "^NDX",
"label": "Nasdaq 100",
"role": "benchmark",
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"as_of": "2026-10-07T20:30:43.184621Z",
"source": "yfinance.ticker_info",
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},
{
"id": "russell2000",
"symbol": "^RUT",
"label": "Russell 2000",
"role": "benchmark",
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"as_of": "2026-10-07T20:30:43.184621Z",
"source": "yfinance.ticker_info",
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}
],
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}
}
},
{
"day": 12,
"timestamp": "2026-10-07T22:09:18.285706Z",
"comparison": {
"schema_version": "public-candidate-comparison.v1",
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"base_definition": "Candidates use the publication reference; benchmarks use the previous regular close.",
"source": "sealed_update_market_context + canonical_candidate_snapshot + market_trajectory + public_market_snapshot",
"rows": [
{
"symbol": "WBD",
"role": "selected",
"price": 30.8017,
"base_price": 30.545,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.8404,
"session_return_pct": 0.0055,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 4.94,
"rsi": 71.09,
"vwap": 30.43,
"vwap_distance_pct": 1.2215,
"position_52w_pct": 99.15,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:21:02Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.",
"episode_id": "n0:WBD:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "28.57 > 28.28 > 27.75",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:22Z",
"facts": [
"A sealed Reuters report documented settlement progress described as clearing a path toward the Warner Bros. Discovery deal.",
"The quote snapshot showed a +9.87% change and 4.94 volume ratio.",
"The supplied trajectory strengthened from +9.89% to +10.97%, and price was above VWAP by 0.38%.",
"The move was extended by 4.36 ATR and stood at 99.15% of the 52-week high."
],
"benchmark_excess_pct": {
"sp500": 0.225,
"nasdaq100": 0.2124,
"russell2000": 1.3161
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"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:21:02Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "LITS",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 1.2602,
"base_price": 1.24,
"return_since_base_pct": 1.629,
"session_return_pct": -1.5469,
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"volume_ratio": 3.49,
"rsi": 69.08,
"vwap": 1.21,
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"position_52w_pct": 42.06,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:16:48Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Lite Strategy, Inc.",
"episode_id": "n0:LITS:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "1.11 > 1.06 > 1.01",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:23.631685Z",
"facts": [
"The thesis rests on an analyst claim that SLS009 may lead the CDK9 race; issuer or clinical confirmation was not supplied.",
"Price gained 9.73%, volume ratio was 3.49 and price was above VWAP by 2.48%.",
"The active model reported 45.72% h15 positive-return probability and a -12.74488% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
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"sp500": -1.3274,
"nasdaq100": -1.34,
"russell2000": -0.2363
},
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:16:48Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "DFDV",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 6.6,
"base_price": 6.5571,
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"session_return_pct": 1.3825,
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"rsi": 60.72,
"vwap": 6.45,
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"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:19:36Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "DeFi Development Corp.",
"episode_id": "n0:DFDV:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "5.48 > 5.03 > 4.25",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:47.021401Z",
"facts": [
"A primary SEC filing documented additional SOL treasury accumulation.",
"Price gained 8.20%, volume ratio was 2.02 and price was above VWAP by 1.66%.",
"The trajectory faded from approximately +6.19% to +4.79%; the latest supplied SEC context included negative equity and non-current debt."
],
"benchmark_excess_pct": {
"sp500": 1.602,
"nasdaq100": 1.5894,
"russell2000": 2.6931
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"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:19:36Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "MX",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 3.23,
"base_price": 3.25,
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"volume_ratio": 3.68,
"rsi": 55.2,
"vwap": 3.23,
"vwap_distance_pct": 0.0,
"position_52w_pct": 33.01,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:09:10Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Magnachip Semiconductor Corporation",
"episode_id": "n0:MX:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "2.96 > 3.08 > 3.39",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:14.156213Z",
"facts": [
"A primary filing documented a $5 million strategic investment connected with SiC technology.",
"Price gained 18.18%, volume ratio was 3.68 and price was above VWAP by 0.62%.",
"The active model reported 39.39% h15 positive-return probability and a -15.671809% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
"benchmark_excess_pct": {
"sp500": 1.157,
"nasdaq100": 1.1444,
"russell2000": 2.2481
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"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:09:10Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "VGZ",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 2.7034,
"base_price": 2.63,
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"session_return_pct": -1.3358,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 2.21,
"rsi": 72.41,
"vwap": 2.66,
"vwap_distance_pct": 1.6316,
"position_52w_pct": 84.19,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:18:30Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Vista Gold Corp.",
"episode_id": "n0:VGZ:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "2.3 > 2.25 > 2.16",
"vwap_state": "below",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:39.792352Z",
"facts": [
"A definitive $427 million acquisition supplied a concrete corporate mechanism.",
"Price gained 16.37% and the trajectory reached approximately +18.36%.",
"The stock was below VWAP by 1.13%, with RSI at 72.41 and a 70.11% options spread proxy."
],
"benchmark_excess_pct": {
"sp500": -1.1163,
"nasdaq100": -1.1289,
"russell2000": -0.0252
},
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:18:30Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "BNC",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 6.62,
"base_price": 6.755,
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"session_return_pct": 0.761,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 1.39,
"rsi": 75.42,
"vwap": 6.48,
"vwap_distance_pct": 2.1605,
"position_52w_pct": 56.77,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:20:13Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "CEA Industries Inc.",
"episode_id": "n0:BNC:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "5.33 > 4.44 > 3.67",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:22:10.017629Z",
"facts": [
"Price gained 12.96%, volume ratio was 1.39 and price was above VWAP by 4.24%.",
"The trajectory held near a 12% to 13% gain.",
"The supplied candidate identity and company-specific catalyst records were not cleanly aligned, while the active model ranked the case fourth of four available ranked candidates."
],
"benchmark_excess_pct": {
"sp500": 0.9805,
"nasdaq100": 0.9679,
"russell2000": 2.0716
},
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:20:13Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "CAE",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 24.54,
"base_price": 24.45,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.3681,
"session_return_pct": null,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 0.7,
"rsi": 52.61,
"vwap": 24.14,
"vwap_distance_pct": 1.657,
"position_52w_pct": 71.42,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T20:31:44Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "CAE Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:CAE:db8320cd569f2a6d",
"ema_trend": "24.1 > 24.42 > 24.94",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:39Z",
"facts": [
"A reported $300 million US Air Force contract supplied a concrete mechanism.",
"Price gained 3.75%, remained above VWAP by 1.28% and showed a relatively stable trajectory.",
"Volume ratio was 0.70, and the active model reported 51.08% h15 positive-return probability with a -6.181% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T20:31:44Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "RVLV",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 21.1,
"base_price": 21.1,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.0,
"session_return_pct": null,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 0.46,
"rsi": 41.21,
"vwap": 20.99,
"vwap_distance_pct": 0.5241,
"position_52w_pct": 66.62,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"source": "market_trajectory",
"name": "Revolve Group, Inc.",
"ema_trend": "20.91 > 21.58 > 22.66",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"facts": [
"Both sealed episodes were treated as one ticker and one evidence family.",
"The Donatella Versace collaboration supplied a concrete commercial mechanism.",
"Price gained 2.15%, remained above VWAP by 0.52%, but volume ratio was 0.46 and the longer EMA structure remained downward."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "VEEV",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 261.35,
"base_price": 259.68,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.6431,
"session_return_pct": 0.0153,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 0.23,
"rsi": 23.03,
"vwap": 259.85,
"vwap_distance_pct": 0.5773,
"position_52w_pct": 83.74,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:21:31Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Veeva Systems Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:VEEV:04637334069071f4",
"ema_trend": "263.61 > 260.22 > 240.34",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:03Z",
"facts": [
"SEC context supplied substantial latest-quarter operating figures, including $882.948 million revenue and $260.936 million net income.",
"A specific Falcon Router and partnership narrative was present.",
"Price changed -0.08%, volume ratio was 0.23, intraday direction was down and relative performance versus SPY was -1.54 percentage points.",
"The active model reported 56.38% h15 positive-return probability and a -5.245351% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
"benchmark_excess_pct": {
"sp500": 0.2348,
"nasdaq100": 0.2222,
"russell2000": 1.3259
},
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:21:31Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "TWI",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 7.36,
"base_price": 7.385,
"return_since_base_pct": -0.3385,
"session_return_pct": null,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 0.52,
"rsi": 52.88,
"vwap": 7.26,
"vwap_distance_pct": 1.3774,
"position_52w_pct": 62.99,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T20:01:17Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Titan International, Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:TWI:790dd43533bae649",
"ema_trend": "7.25 > 7.27 > 7.36",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:11Z",
"facts": [
"A definitive ITM asset-sale agreement supplied a concrete mechanism.",
"Price gained 5.29%, remained above VWAP by 1.72% and the trajectory held above a 5.5% gain.",
"Volume ratio was 0.52, the options spread proxy reached 200% and the active model reported a -0.085101% h15 median return estimate."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T20:01:17Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
}
],
"benchmarks": [
{
"id": "sp500",
"symbol": "^GSPC",
"label": "S&P 500",
"role": "benchmark",
"price": 7801.77,
"base_price": 7818.93,
"return_since_base_pct": -0.2195,
"session_return_pct": -0.2195,
"as_of": "2026-10-07T22:09:00.135906Z",
"source": "yfinance.ticker_info",
"base_definition": "previous regular close"
},
{
"id": "nasdaq100",
"symbol": "^NDX",
"label": "Nasdaq 100",
"role": "benchmark",
"price": 31160.076,
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"return_since_base_pct": -0.2069,
"session_return_pct": -0.2069,
"as_of": "2026-10-07T22:09:00.135906Z",
"source": "yfinance.ticker_info",
"base_definition": "previous regular close"
},
{
"id": "russell2000",
"symbol": "^RUT",
"label": "Russell 2000",
"role": "benchmark",
"price": 2793.204,
"base_price": 2830.2974,
"return_since_base_pct": -1.3106,
"session_return_pct": -1.3106,
"as_of": "2026-10-07T22:09:00.135906Z",
"source": "yfinance.ticker_info",
"base_definition": "previous regular close"
}
],
"coverage": {
"candidate_rows": 10,
"candidate_prices": 10,
"candidate_technical": 10,
"benchmark_rows": 3
}
}
},
{
"day": 13,
"timestamp": "2026-10-08T15:01:52.872364Z",
"comparison": {
"schema_version": "public-candidate-comparison.v1",
"captured_at": "2026-10-08T15:01:52.872364Z",
"base_definition": "Candidates use the publication reference; benchmarks use the previous regular close.",
"source": "sealed_update_market_context + canonical_candidate_snapshot + market_trajectory + public_market_snapshot",
"rows": [
{
"symbol": "WBD",
"role": "selected",
"price": 30.8017,
"base_price": 30.545,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.8404,
"session_return_pct": 0.0055,
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"volume_ratio": 4.94,
"rsi": 71.09,
"vwap": 30.43,
"vwap_distance_pct": 1.2215,
"position_52w_pct": 99.15,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:21:02Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.",
"episode_id": "n0:WBD:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "28.57 > 28.28 > 27.75",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:22Z",
"facts": [
"A sealed Reuters report documented settlement progress described as clearing a path toward the Warner Bros. Discovery deal.",
"The quote snapshot showed a +9.87% change and 4.94 volume ratio.",
"The supplied trajectory strengthened from +9.89% to +10.97%, and price was above VWAP by 0.38%.",
"The move was extended by 4.36 ATR and stood at 99.15% of the 52-week high."
],
"benchmark_excess_pct": {
"sp500": 0.3079,
"nasdaq100": 0.4718,
"russell2000": 0.5857
},
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:21:02Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "LITS",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 1.2602,
"base_price": 1.24,
"return_since_base_pct": 1.629,
"session_return_pct": -1.5469,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 3.49,
"rsi": 69.08,
"vwap": 1.21,
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"position_52w_pct": 42.06,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:16:48Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Lite Strategy, Inc.",
"episode_id": "n0:LITS:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "1.11 > 1.06 > 1.01",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:23.631685Z",
"facts": [
"The thesis rests on an analyst claim that SLS009 may lead the CDK9 race; issuer or clinical confirmation was not supplied.",
"Price gained 9.73%, volume ratio was 3.49 and price was above VWAP by 2.48%.",
"The active model reported 45.72% h15 positive-return probability and a -12.74488% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
"benchmark_excess_pct": {
"sp500": -1.2445,
"nasdaq100": -1.0806,
"russell2000": -0.9667
},
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:16:48Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "DFDV",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 6.6,
"base_price": 6.5571,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.6543,
"session_return_pct": 1.3825,
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"volume_ratio": 2.02,
"rsi": 60.72,
"vwap": 6.45,
"vwap_distance_pct": 2.3256,
"position_52w_pct": 35.47,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:19:36Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "DeFi Development Corp.",
"episode_id": "n0:DFDV:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "5.48 > 5.03 > 4.25",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:47.021401Z",
"facts": [
"A primary SEC filing documented additional SOL treasury accumulation.",
"Price gained 8.20%, volume ratio was 2.02 and price was above VWAP by 1.66%.",
"The trajectory faded from approximately +6.19% to +4.79%; the latest supplied SEC context included negative equity and non-current debt."
],
"benchmark_excess_pct": {
"sp500": 1.6849,
"nasdaq100": 1.8488,
"russell2000": 1.9627
},
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:19:36Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "MX",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 3.23,
"base_price": 3.25,
"return_since_base_pct": -0.6154,
"session_return_pct": 0.9375,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 3.68,
"rsi": 55.2,
"vwap": 3.23,
"vwap_distance_pct": 0.0,
"position_52w_pct": 33.01,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:09:10Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Magnachip Semiconductor Corporation",
"episode_id": "n0:MX:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "2.96 > 3.08 > 3.39",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:14.156213Z",
"facts": [
"A primary filing documented a $5 million strategic investment connected with SiC technology.",
"Price gained 18.18%, volume ratio was 3.68 and price was above VWAP by 0.62%.",
"The active model reported 39.39% h15 positive-return probability and a -15.671809% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
"benchmark_excess_pct": {
"sp500": 1.2399,
"nasdaq100": 1.4038,
"russell2000": 1.5177
},
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:09:10Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "VGZ",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 2.7034,
"base_price": 2.63,
"return_since_base_pct": 2.7909,
"session_return_pct": -1.3358,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 2.21,
"rsi": 72.41,
"vwap": 2.66,
"vwap_distance_pct": 1.6316,
"position_52w_pct": 84.19,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:18:30Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Vista Gold Corp.",
"episode_id": "n0:VGZ:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "2.3 > 2.25 > 2.16",
"vwap_state": "below",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:39.792352Z",
"facts": [
"A definitive $427 million acquisition supplied a concrete corporate mechanism.",
"Price gained 16.37% and the trajectory reached approximately +18.36%.",
"The stock was below VWAP by 1.13%, with RSI at 72.41 and a 70.11% options spread proxy."
],
"benchmark_excess_pct": {
"sp500": -1.0334,
"nasdaq100": -0.8695,
"russell2000": -0.7556
},
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:18:30Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "BNC",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 6.62,
"base_price": 6.755,
"return_since_base_pct": -1.9985,
"session_return_pct": 0.761,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 1.39,
"rsi": 75.42,
"vwap": 6.48,
"vwap_distance_pct": 2.1605,
"position_52w_pct": 56.77,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:20:13Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "CEA Industries Inc.",
"episode_id": "n0:BNC:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "5.33 > 4.44 > 3.67",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:22:10.017629Z",
"facts": [
"Price gained 12.96%, volume ratio was 1.39 and price was above VWAP by 4.24%.",
"The trajectory held near a 12% to 13% gain.",
"The supplied candidate identity and company-specific catalyst records were not cleanly aligned, while the active model ranked the case fourth of four available ranked candidates."
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{
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"Price gained 3.75%, remained above VWAP by 1.28% and showed a relatively stable trajectory.",
"Volume ratio was 0.70, and the active model reported 51.08% h15 positive-return probability with a -6.181% h15 adverse-MAE median."
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"The Donatella Versace collaboration supplied a concrete commercial mechanism.",
"Price gained 2.15%, remained above VWAP by 0.52%, but volume ratio was 0.46 and the longer EMA structure remained downward."
],
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{
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:21:31Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Veeva Systems Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:VEEV:04637334069071f4",
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"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:03Z",
"facts": [
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"A specific Falcon Router and partnership narrative was present.",
"Price changed -0.08%, volume ratio was 0.23, intraday direction was down and relative performance versus SPY was -1.54 percentage points.",
"The active model reported 56.38% h15 positive-return probability and a -5.245351% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
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"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Titan International, Inc.",
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"vwap_state": "above",
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"facts": [
"A definitive ITM asset-sale agreement supplied a concrete mechanism.",
"Price gained 5.29%, remained above VWAP by 1.72% and the trajectory held above a 5.5% gain.",
"Volume ratio was 0.52, the options spread proxy reached 200% and the active model reported a -0.085101% h15 median return estimate."
],
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"vwap_as_of": null
}
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{
"id": "sp500",
"symbol": "^GSPC",
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},
{
"id": "nasdaq100",
"symbol": "^NDX",
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},
{
"id": "russell2000",
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}
],
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"candidate_prices": 10,
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}
}
},
{
"day": 13,
"timestamp": "2026-10-08T20:15:20.187114Z",
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"rows": [
{
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"The quote snapshot showed a +9.87% change and 4.94 volume ratio.",
"The supplied trajectory strengthened from +9.89% to +10.97%, and price was above VWAP by 0.38%.",
"The move was extended by 4.36 ATR and stood at 99.15% of the 52-week high."
],
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"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
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],
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"vwap_as_of": null
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{
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"facts": [
"A primary SEC filing documented additional SOL treasury accumulation.",
"Price gained 8.20%, volume ratio was 2.02 and price was above VWAP by 1.66%.",
"The trajectory faded from approximately +6.19% to +4.79%; the latest supplied SEC context included negative equity and non-current debt."
],
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"vwap_as_of": null
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{
"symbol": "MX",
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:09:10Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
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"ema_trend": "2.96 > 3.08 > 3.39",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:14.156213Z",
"facts": [
"A primary filing documented a $5 million strategic investment connected with SiC technology.",
"Price gained 18.18%, volume ratio was 3.68 and price was above VWAP by 0.62%.",
"The active model reported 39.39% h15 positive-return probability and a -15.671809% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:09:10Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "VGZ",
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:18:30Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Vista Gold Corp.",
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"ema_trend": "2.3 > 2.25 > 2.16",
"vwap_state": "below",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:39.792352Z",
"facts": [
"A definitive $427 million acquisition supplied a concrete corporate mechanism.",
"Price gained 16.37% and the trajectory reached approximately +18.36%.",
"The stock was below VWAP by 1.13%, with RSI at 72.41 and a 70.11% options spread proxy."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:18:30Z",
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},
{
"symbol": "BNC",
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:20:13Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "CEA Industries Inc.",
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"facts": [
"Price gained 12.96%, volume ratio was 1.39 and price was above VWAP by 4.24%.",
"The trajectory held near a 12% to 13% gain.",
"The supplied candidate identity and company-specific catalyst records were not cleanly aligned, while the active model ranked the case fourth of four available ranked candidates."
],
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},
{
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"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "CAE Inc.",
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"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:39Z",
"facts": [
"A reported $300 million US Air Force contract supplied a concrete mechanism.",
"Price gained 3.75%, remained above VWAP by 1.28% and showed a relatively stable trajectory.",
"Volume ratio was 0.70, and the active model reported 51.08% h15 positive-return probability with a -6.181% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
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},
{
"symbol": "RVLV",
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"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"source": "market_trajectory",
"name": "Revolve Group, Inc.",
"ema_trend": "20.91 > 21.58 > 22.66",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"facts": [
"Both sealed episodes were treated as one ticker and one evidence family.",
"The Donatella Versace collaboration supplied a concrete commercial mechanism.",
"Price gained 2.15%, remained above VWAP by 0.52%, but volume ratio was 0.46 and the longer EMA structure remained downward."
],
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"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "VEEV",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 261.35,
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"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:21:31Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Veeva Systems Inc.",
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"ema_trend": "263.61 > 260.22 > 240.34",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:03Z",
"facts": [
"SEC context supplied substantial latest-quarter operating figures, including $882.948 million revenue and $260.936 million net income.",
"A specific Falcon Router and partnership narrative was present.",
"Price changed -0.08%, volume ratio was 0.23, intraday direction was down and relative performance versus SPY was -1.54 percentage points.",
"The active model reported 56.38% h15 positive-return probability and a -5.245351% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:21:31Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "TWI",
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T20:01:17Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Titan International, Inc.",
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"ema_trend": "7.25 > 7.27 > 7.36",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:11Z",
"facts": [
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"Price gained 5.29%, remained above VWAP by 1.72% and the trajectory held above a 5.5% gain.",
"Volume ratio was 0.52, the options spread proxy reached 200% and the active model reported a -0.085101% h15 median return estimate."
],
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}
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}
}
},
{
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"rows": [
{
"symbol": "WBD",
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"price": 30.8017,
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"source": "yfinance_quote",
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"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:22Z",
"facts": [
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"The quote snapshot showed a +9.87% change and 4.94 volume ratio.",
"The supplied trajectory strengthened from +9.89% to +10.97%, and price was above VWAP by 0.38%.",
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],
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},
{
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:16:48Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Lite Strategy, Inc.",
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"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:23.631685Z",
"facts": [
"The thesis rests on an analyst claim that SLS009 may lead the CDK9 race; issuer or clinical confirmation was not supplied.",
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"The active model reported 45.72% h15 positive-return probability and a -12.74488% h15 adverse-MAE median."
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},
{
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:19:36Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "DeFi Development Corp.",
"episode_id": "n0:DFDV:2026-09-21",
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"facts": [
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"Price gained 8.20%, volume ratio was 2.02 and price was above VWAP by 1.66%.",
"The trajectory faded from approximately +6.19% to +4.79%; the latest supplied SEC context included negative equity and non-current debt."
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{
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"extended_hours_pct": null,
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"source": "yfinance_quote",
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"facts": [
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"Price gained 18.18%, volume ratio was 3.68 and price was above VWAP by 0.62%.",
"The active model reported 39.39% h15 positive-return probability and a -15.671809% h15 adverse-MAE median."
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{
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"source": "yfinance_quote",
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"vwap_state": "below",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:39.792352Z",
"facts": [
"A definitive $427 million acquisition supplied a concrete corporate mechanism.",
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"The stock was below VWAP by 1.13%, with RSI at 72.41 and a 70.11% options spread proxy."
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{
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:20:13Z",
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"facts": [
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"The trajectory held near a 12% to 13% gain.",
"The supplied candidate identity and company-specific catalyst records were not cleanly aligned, while the active model ranked the case fourth of four available ranked candidates."
],
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"vwap_as_of": null
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{
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"facts": [
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"Price gained 3.75%, remained above VWAP by 1.28% and showed a relatively stable trajectory.",
"Volume ratio was 0.70, and the active model reported 51.08% h15 positive-return probability with a -6.181% h15 adverse-MAE median."
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"rsi": 41.21,
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"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"source": "market_trajectory",
"name": "Revolve Group, Inc.",
"ema_trend": "20.91 > 21.58 > 22.66",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"facts": [
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"The Donatella Versace collaboration supplied a concrete commercial mechanism.",
"Price gained 2.15%, remained above VWAP by 0.52%, but volume ratio was 0.46 and the longer EMA structure remained downward."
],
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"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
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"role": "alternative",
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"vwap": 259.85,
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"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:21:31Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Veeva Systems Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:VEEV:04637334069071f4",
"ema_trend": "263.61 > 260.22 > 240.34",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:03Z",
"facts": [
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"A specific Falcon Router and partnership narrative was present.",
"Price changed -0.08%, volume ratio was 0.23, intraday direction was down and relative performance versus SPY was -1.54 percentage points.",
"The active model reported 56.38% h15 positive-return probability and a -5.245351% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
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"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "TWI",
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"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T20:01:17Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Titan International, Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:TWI:790dd43533bae649",
"ema_trend": "7.25 > 7.27 > 7.36",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:11Z",
"facts": [
"A definitive ITM asset-sale agreement supplied a concrete mechanism.",
"Price gained 5.29%, remained above VWAP by 1.72% and the trajectory held above a 5.5% gain.",
"Volume ratio was 0.52, the options spread proxy reached 200% and the active model reported a -0.085101% h15 median return estimate."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T20:01:17Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
}
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"candidate_prices": 10,
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"benchmark_rows": 0
}
}
},
{
"day": 14,
"timestamp": "2026-10-09T14:48:23.149736Z",
"comparison": {
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"rows": [
{
"symbol": "WBD",
"role": "selected",
"price": 30.8017,
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:21:02Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.",
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"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:22Z",
"facts": [
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"The quote snapshot showed a +9.87% change and 4.94 volume ratio.",
"The supplied trajectory strengthened from +9.89% to +10.97%, and price was above VWAP by 0.38%.",
"The move was extended by 4.36 ATR and stood at 99.15% of the 52-week high."
],
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"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
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"role": "alternative",
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:16:48Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Lite Strategy, Inc.",
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"facts": [
"The thesis rests on an analyst claim that SLS009 may lead the CDK9 race; issuer or clinical confirmation was not supplied.",
"Price gained 9.73%, volume ratio was 3.49 and price was above VWAP by 2.48%.",
"The active model reported 45.72% h15 positive-return probability and a -12.74488% h15 adverse-MAE median."
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{
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:19:36Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
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"facts": [
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"Price gained 8.20%, volume ratio was 2.02 and price was above VWAP by 1.66%.",
"The trajectory faded from approximately +6.19% to +4.79%; the latest supplied SEC context included negative equity and non-current debt."
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{
"symbol": "MX",
"role": "alternative",
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"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:09:10Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
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"facts": [
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"Price gained 18.18%, volume ratio was 3.68 and price was above VWAP by 0.62%.",
"The active model reported 39.39% h15 positive-return probability and a -15.671809% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
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"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "VGZ",
"role": "alternative",
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"return_since_base_pct": 2.7909,
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"vwap": 2.66,
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"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:18:30Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Vista Gold Corp.",
"episode_id": "n0:VGZ:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "2.3 > 2.25 > 2.16",
"vwap_state": "below",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:39.792352Z",
"facts": [
"A definitive $427 million acquisition supplied a concrete corporate mechanism.",
"Price gained 16.37% and the trajectory reached approximately +18.36%.",
"The stock was below VWAP by 1.13%, with RSI at 72.41 and a 70.11% options spread proxy."
],
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"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "BNC",
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"price": 6.62,
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"return_since_base_pct": -1.9985,
"session_return_pct": 0.761,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 1.39,
"rsi": 75.42,
"vwap": 6.48,
"vwap_distance_pct": 2.1605,
"position_52w_pct": 56.77,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:20:13Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "CEA Industries Inc.",
"episode_id": "n0:BNC:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "5.33 > 4.44 > 3.67",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:22:10.017629Z",
"facts": [
"Price gained 12.96%, volume ratio was 1.39 and price was above VWAP by 4.24%.",
"The trajectory held near a 12% to 13% gain.",
"The supplied candidate identity and company-specific catalyst records were not cleanly aligned, while the active model ranked the case fourth of four available ranked candidates."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:20:13Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "CAE",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 24.54,
"base_price": 24.45,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.3681,
"session_return_pct": null,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 0.7,
"rsi": 52.61,
"vwap": 24.14,
"vwap_distance_pct": 1.657,
"position_52w_pct": 71.42,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T20:31:44Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "CAE Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:CAE:db8320cd569f2a6d",
"ema_trend": "24.1 > 24.42 > 24.94",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:39Z",
"facts": [
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"Volume ratio was 0.70, and the active model reported 51.08% h15 positive-return probability with a -6.181% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
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{
"symbol": "RVLV",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 21.1,
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"return_since_base_pct": 0.0,
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"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 0.46,
"rsi": 41.21,
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"position_52w_pct": 66.62,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"source": "market_trajectory",
"name": "Revolve Group, Inc.",
"ema_trend": "20.91 > 21.58 > 22.66",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"facts": [
"Both sealed episodes were treated as one ticker and one evidence family.",
"The Donatella Versace collaboration supplied a concrete commercial mechanism.",
"Price gained 2.15%, remained above VWAP by 0.52%, but volume ratio was 0.46 and the longer EMA structure remained downward."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "VEEV",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 261.35,
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"session_return_pct": 0.0153,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 0.23,
"rsi": 23.03,
"vwap": 259.85,
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"position_52w_pct": 83.74,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:21:31Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Veeva Systems Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:VEEV:04637334069071f4",
"ema_trend": "263.61 > 260.22 > 240.34",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:03Z",
"facts": [
"SEC context supplied substantial latest-quarter operating figures, including $882.948 million revenue and $260.936 million net income.",
"A specific Falcon Router and partnership narrative was present.",
"Price changed -0.08%, volume ratio was 0.23, intraday direction was down and relative performance versus SPY was -1.54 percentage points.",
"The active model reported 56.38% h15 positive-return probability and a -5.245351% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:21:31Z",
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},
{
"symbol": "TWI",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 7.36,
"base_price": 7.385,
"return_since_base_pct": -0.3385,
"session_return_pct": null,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 0.52,
"rsi": 52.88,
"vwap": 7.26,
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"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T20:01:17Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Titan International, Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:TWI:790dd43533bae649",
"ema_trend": "7.25 > 7.27 > 7.36",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:11Z",
"facts": [
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"Price gained 5.29%, remained above VWAP by 1.72% and the trajectory held above a 5.5% gain.",
"Volume ratio was 0.52, the options spread proxy reached 200% and the active model reported a -0.085101% h15 median return estimate."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T20:01:17Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
}
],
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"candidate_technical": 10,
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}
}
},
{
"day": 15,
"timestamp": "2026-10-12T22:21:23.228882Z",
"comparison": {
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"source": "sealed_update_market_context + canonical_candidate_snapshot + market_trajectory + public_market_snapshot",
"rows": [
{
"symbol": "WBD",
"role": "selected",
"price": 30.8017,
"base_price": 30.545,
"return_since_base_pct": 0.8404,
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"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 4.94,
"rsi": 71.09,
"vwap": 30.43,
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"position_52w_pct": 99.15,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:21:02Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.",
"episode_id": "n0:WBD:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "28.57 > 28.28 > 27.75",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:22Z",
"facts": [
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"The quote snapshot showed a +9.87% change and 4.94 volume ratio.",
"The supplied trajectory strengthened from +9.89% to +10.97%, and price was above VWAP by 0.38%.",
"The move was extended by 4.36 ATR and stood at 99.15% of the 52-week high."
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"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
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"position_52w_pct": 42.06,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:16:48Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Lite Strategy, Inc.",
"episode_id": "n0:LITS:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "1.11 > 1.06 > 1.01",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:23.631685Z",
"facts": [
"The thesis rests on an analyst claim that SLS009 may lead the CDK9 race; issuer or clinical confirmation was not supplied.",
"Price gained 9.73%, volume ratio was 3.49 and price was above VWAP by 2.48%.",
"The active model reported 45.72% h15 positive-return probability and a -12.74488% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
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"nasdaq100": -0.8396,
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"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "DFDV",
"role": "alternative",
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:19:36Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "DeFi Development Corp.",
"episode_id": "n0:DFDV:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "5.48 > 5.03 > 4.25",
"vwap_state": "above",
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"facts": [
"A primary SEC filing documented additional SOL treasury accumulation.",
"Price gained 8.20%, volume ratio was 2.02 and price was above VWAP by 1.66%.",
"The trajectory faded from approximately +6.19% to +4.79%; the latest supplied SEC context included negative equity and non-current debt."
],
"benchmark_excess_pct": {
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"nasdaq100": 2.0898,
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"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:19:36Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
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{
"symbol": "MX",
"role": "alternative",
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"volume_ratio": 3.68,
"rsi": 55.2,
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"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:09:10Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Magnachip Semiconductor Corporation",
"episode_id": "n0:MX:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "2.96 > 3.08 > 3.39",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:14.156213Z",
"facts": [
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"Price gained 18.18%, volume ratio was 3.68 and price was above VWAP by 0.62%.",
"The active model reported 39.39% h15 positive-return probability and a -15.671809% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
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"sp500": 0.9925,
"nasdaq100": 1.6448,
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"vwap_as_of": null
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{
"symbol": "VGZ",
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"rsi": 72.41,
"vwap": 2.66,
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"position_52w_pct": 84.19,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:18:30Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Vista Gold Corp.",
"episode_id": "n0:VGZ:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "2.3 > 2.25 > 2.16",
"vwap_state": "below",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:19:39.792352Z",
"facts": [
"A definitive $427 million acquisition supplied a concrete corporate mechanism.",
"Price gained 16.37% and the trajectory reached approximately +18.36%.",
"The stock was below VWAP by 1.13%, with RSI at 72.41 and a 70.11% options spread proxy."
],
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"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "BNC",
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"volume_ratio": 1.39,
"rsi": 75.42,
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"position_52w_pct": 56.77,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:20:13Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "CEA Industries Inc.",
"episode_id": "n0:BNC:2026-09-21",
"ema_trend": "5.33 > 4.44 > 3.67",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T15:22:10.017629Z",
"facts": [
"Price gained 12.96%, volume ratio was 1.39 and price was above VWAP by 4.24%.",
"The trajectory held near a 12% to 13% gain.",
"The supplied candidate identity and company-specific catalyst records were not cleanly aligned, while the active model ranked the case fourth of four available ranked candidates."
],
"benchmark_excess_pct": {
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"nasdaq100": 1.4683,
"russell2000": 1.2064
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"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T21:20:13Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
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{
"symbol": "CAE",
"role": "alternative",
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"rsi": 52.61,
"vwap": 24.14,
"vwap_distance_pct": 1.657,
"position_52w_pct": 71.42,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T20:31:44Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "CAE Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:CAE:db8320cd569f2a6d",
"ema_trend": "24.1 > 24.42 > 24.94",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:39Z",
"facts": [
"A reported $300 million US Air Force contract supplied a concrete mechanism.",
"Price gained 3.75%, remained above VWAP by 1.28% and showed a relatively stable trajectory.",
"Volume ratio was 0.70, and the active model reported 51.08% h15 positive-return probability with a -6.181% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T20:31:44Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "RVLV",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 21.1,
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"return_since_base_pct": 0.0,
"session_return_pct": null,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 0.46,
"rsi": 41.21,
"vwap": 20.99,
"vwap_distance_pct": 0.5241,
"position_52w_pct": 66.62,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"source": "market_trajectory",
"name": "Revolve Group, Inc.",
"ema_trend": "20.91 > 21.58 > 22.66",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"facts": [
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"The Donatella Versace collaboration supplied a concrete commercial mechanism.",
"Price gained 2.15%, remained above VWAP by 0.52%, but volume ratio was 0.46 and the longer EMA structure remained downward."
],
"price_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:17:37Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "VEEV",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 261.35,
"base_price": 259.68,
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"session_return_pct": 0.0153,
"change_since_prior_pct": 0.0,
"volume_ratio": 0.23,
"rsi": 23.03,
"vwap": 259.85,
"vwap_distance_pct": 0.5773,
"position_52w_pct": 83.74,
"extended_hours_pct": null,
"as_of": "2026-09-21T21:21:31Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Veeva Systems Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:VEEV:04637334069071f4",
"ema_trend": "263.61 > 260.22 > 240.34",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:03Z",
"facts": [
"SEC context supplied substantial latest-quarter operating figures, including $882.948 million revenue and $260.936 million net income.",
"A specific Falcon Router and partnership narrative was present.",
"Price changed -0.08%, volume ratio was 0.23, intraday direction was down and relative performance versus SPY was -1.54 percentage points.",
"The active model reported 56.38% h15 positive-return probability and a -5.245351% h15 adverse-MAE median."
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"nasdaq100": 0.7226,
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"vwap_as_of": null
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{
"symbol": "TWI",
"role": "alternative",
"price": 7.36,
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"as_of": "2026-09-21T20:01:17Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Titan International, Inc.",
"episode_id": "narrative:TWI:790dd43533bae649",
"ema_trend": "7.25 > 7.27 > 7.36",
"vwap_state": "above",
"selection_as_of": "2026-09-21T17:18:11Z",
"facts": [
"A definitive ITM asset-sale agreement supplied a concrete mechanism.",
"Price gained 5.29%, remained above VWAP by 1.72% and the trajectory held above a 5.5% gain.",
"Volume ratio was 0.52, the options spread proxy reached 200% and the active model reported a -0.085101% h15 median return estimate."
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"vwap_as_of": null
}
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"source": "yfinance.ticker_info",
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},
{
"id": "nasdaq100",
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"role": "benchmark",
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},
{
"id": "russell2000",
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"role": "benchmark",
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"as_of": "2026-10-12T22:20:26.686877Z",
"source": "yfinance.ticker_info",
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],
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"candidate_prices": 10,
"candidate_technical": 10,
"benchmark_rows": 3
}
}
}
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{
"symbol": "LITS",
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"score": 5,
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"vwap_state": "above",
"facts": [
"The thesis rests on an analyst claim that SLS009 may lead the CDK9 race; issuer or clinical confirmation was not supplied.",
"Price gained 9.73%, volume ratio was 3.49 and price was above VWAP by 2.48%.",
"The active model reported 45.72% h15 positive-return probability and a -12.74488% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
"role": "alternative",
"selected": false,
"reason": "Analyst-led catalyst and adverse-tail risk leave the path less defensible than WBD."
},
{
"symbol": "DFDV",
"name": "DeFi Development Corp.",
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"tradingview_url": "https://es.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=NASDAQ%3ADFDV&interval=60",
"score": 9,
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"vwap_distance_pct": null,
"vwap_state": "above",
"facts": [
"A primary SEC filing documented additional SOL treasury accumulation.",
"Price gained 8.20%, volume ratio was 2.02 and price was above VWAP by 1.66%.",
"The trajectory faded from approximately +6.19% to +4.79%; the latest supplied SEC context included negative equity and non-current debt."
],
"role": "alternative",
"selected": false,
"reason": "The mechanism is researchable, yet continuation is less confirmed than WBD."
},
{
"symbol": "MX",
"name": "Magnachip Semiconductor Corporation",
"exchange": "NYSE",
"tradingview_url": "https://es.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=NYSE%3AMX&interval=60",
"score": 7,
"price": 3.25,
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"vwap_distance_pct": null,
"vwap_state": "above",
"facts": [
"A primary filing documented a $5 million strategic investment connected with SiC technology.",
"Price gained 18.18%, volume ratio was 3.68 and price was above VWAP by 0.62%.",
"The active model reported 39.39% h15 positive-return probability and a -15.671809% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
"role": "alternative",
"selected": false,
"reason": "The largest immediate move does not compensate for weak adverse-path evidence."
},
{
"symbol": "VGZ",
"name": "Vista Gold Corp.",
"exchange": "NYSE American",
"tradingview_url": "https://es.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=NYSE%20AMERICAN%3AVGZ&interval=60",
"score": 6,
"price": 2.63,
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"vwap": 2.66,
"vwap_distance_pct": null,
"vwap_state": "below",
"facts": [
"A definitive $427 million acquisition supplied a concrete corporate mechanism.",
"Price gained 16.37% and the trajectory reached approximately +18.36%.",
"The stock was below VWAP by 1.13%, with RSI at 72.41 and a 70.11% options spread proxy."
],
"role": "alternative",
"selected": false,
"reason": "Below-VWAP structure and deal-timing risk weaken the prospective path."
},
{
"symbol": "BNC",
"name": "CEA Industries Inc.",
"exchange": "NasdaqCM",
"tradingview_url": "https://es.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=NASDAQ%3ABNC&interval=60",
"score": 5,
"price": 6.755,
"change": 12.96,
"volume": 2594612,
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"rsi": 75.42,
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"position_52w_pct": 56.77,
"vwap": 6.48,
"vwap_distance_pct": null,
"vwap_state": "above",
"facts": [
"Price gained 12.96%, volume ratio was 1.39 and price was above VWAP by 4.24%.",
"The trajectory held near a 12% to 13% gain.",
"The supplied candidate identity and company-specific catalyst records were not cleanly aligned, while the active model ranked the case fourth of four available ranked candidates."
],
"role": "alternative",
"selected": false,
"reason": "Identity and catalyst ambiguity outweigh the attractive immediate structure."
},
{
"symbol": "CAE",
"name": "CAE Inc.",
"exchange": "NASDAQ",
"tradingview_url": "https://es.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=NASDAQ%3ACAE&interval=60",
"score": null,
"price": 24.45,
"change": null,
"volume": 518533.0,
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"position_52w_pct": 71.42,
"vwap": 24.14,
"vwap_distance_pct": null,
"vwap_state": "above",
"facts": [
"A reported $300 million US Air Force contract supplied a concrete mechanism.",
"Price gained 3.75%, remained above VWAP by 1.28% and showed a relatively stable trajectory.",
"Volume ratio was 0.70, and the active model reported 51.08% h15 positive-return probability with a -6.181% h15 adverse-MAE median."
],
"role": "alternative",
"selected": false,
"reason": "A useful Raw-style thesis, but not the strongest Try of the Day path."
},
{
"symbol": "RVLV",
"name": "Revolve Group, Inc.",
"exchange": "NYSE",
"tradingview_url": "https://es.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=NYSE%3ARVLV&interval=60",
"score": null,
"price": 21.1,
"change": null,
"volume": 398264.0,
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"rsi": 41.21,
"ema_trend": "20.91 > 21.58 > 22.66",
"position_52w_pct": 66.62,
"vwap": 20.99,
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"facts": [
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],
"role": "alternative",
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},
{
"symbol": "VEEV",
"name": "Veeva Systems Inc.",
"exchange": "NYSE",
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"score": null,
"price": 259.68,
"change": null,
"volume": 448163.0,
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"vwap_state": "above",
"facts": [
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"A specific Falcon Router and partnership narrative was present.",
"Price changed -0.08%, volume ratio was 0.23, intraday direction was down and relative performance versus SPY was -1.54 percentage points.",
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],
"role": "alternative",
"selected": false,
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},
{
"symbol": "TWI",
"name": "Titan International, Inc.",
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"tradingview_url": "https://es.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=NYSE%3ATWI&interval=60",
"score": null,
"price": 7.385,
"change": null,
"volume": 293302.0,
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"rsi": 52.88,
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"position_52w_pct": 62.99,
"vwap": 7.26,
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"facts": [
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"Price gained 5.29%, remained above VWAP by 1.72% and the trajectory held above a 5.5% gain.",
"Volume ratio was 0.52, the options spread proxy reached 200% and the active model reported a -0.085101% h15 median return estimate."
],
"role": "alternative",
"selected": false,
"reason": "The transaction is testable, yet the path is less robust than WBD."
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"methodology_url": "https://trydingday.com/methodology/",
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}
}