VICR episode 20260922_VICR_DAILY
Public episode JSON embedded as readable text for automated access.
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"published_at": "2026-09-22T18:08:51.445325Z",
"updated_at": "2026-10-13T22:19:16.884277Z",
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"type": "equity",
"symbol": "VICR",
"exchange": "NASDAQ",
"name": "Vicor Corporation"
},
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"reference_price": 250.82,
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"date": "September 22, 2026",
"generated_at": "2026-09-22T18:08:51.445325Z",
"original_published_at": null,
"session_tag": "daily",
"label": "Market coverage",
"try_label": "Try of the Day",
"public_status": "Try of the Day",
"why_today": "VICR remains currently selected because its guidance-led thesis is supported by primary filing references, two ordered observations, strong relative performance and price above VWAP. The comparison now makes clear that LMT, RKTO and EDU also have two ordered observations, while RKTO's strongest mechanism record is not used as a public claim.",
"entry_reasoning": "Panel thesis: VICR's guidance-led repricing offers the most defensible prospective S0-S15 path in this unchanged candidate pool if the reported growth outlook converts into continued relative strength and operating follow-through. Invalidation boundary: A break below $249.65 accompanied by renewed relative weakness, or failure of the guidance thesis to produce follow-through, would falsify the continuation case.",
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"change": 12.1,
"volume": 757702.0,
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"volume_ratio": 0.86,
"rsi": 76.94,
"ema_trend": "213.13 > 205.69 > 224.34",
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"days_to_cover": 2.3,
"catalyst": "How Much Upside is Left in Vicor (VICR)? Wall Street Analysts Think 60.61%",
"sector": "Technology",
"exchange": "NASDAQ",
"sec_signal": null
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"levels": {
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"downside": 227.13,
"upside_1": 274.5,
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"review": {
"score": null,
"status": "Try Of The Day",
"summary": "VICR remains provisionally selected because its guidance-led thesis is supported by primary filing references, two ordered observations, strong relative performance and price above VWAP. The comparison now makes clear that LMT, RKTO and EDU also have two ordered observations, while RKTO's strongest mechanism record is not used as a public claim.",
"views": [
{
"name": "Elena Vartanyan",
"role": "independent statistical auditor",
"icon": "๐ฏ",
"view": "The day opens with modest risk appetite: the major indexes are higher, volatility is contained and the ten-year yield is lower. Validated breadth is unavailable, so the market backdrop can frame the comparison but cannot choose for us.",
"reasoning": "The model remains contextual. VICR's 51.84% H15 positive-return probability is not a vote, and it must be read alongside the -9.09% median adverse-MAE estimate, the -21.62% adverse-tail P10 and incomplete current-session coverage."
},
{
"name": "Nate Brooks",
"role": "market structure and timing analyst",
"icon": "๐",
"view": "The broad tape is supportive, but the candidate tape is mixed. When I say a stock is above VWAP, I mean it is trading above the session's volume-weighted average price. That is a practical test of whether the event is holding intraday, not proof of a durable trend.",
"reasoning": "And the numbers must stay in their lanes. $249.65 is VICR's VWAP level. The +11.66 figure is an exact excess change versus QQQ. One is a reference level; the other is a measured difference."
},
{
"name": "Marcus Feld",
"role": "information, fundamentals and catalyst analyst",
"icon": "๐ฆ",
"view": "The mechanisms are not equivalent. VICR has reported Q3 growth guidance above 20% with a primary filing trail. ONON has Investor Day targets and a buyback. LMT has a contract thesis, while RKTO has an acquisition announcement with undisclosed terms.",
"reasoning": "So the correction removes an unfair advantage from the presentation without manufacturing one for the alternatives. VICR still has the clearer public mechanism and the stronger live confirmation."
},
{
"name": "Priya Nandakumar",
"role": "institutional risk and execution manager",
"icon": "๐ก๏ธ",
"view": "The first objection is liquidity. A quote spread is the distance between the displayed bid and ask; here it is a warning about fragility, not an executable cost estimate. VICR's observed spread is 1,394.94 basis points, while RKTO's is 6,070.31.",
"reasoning": "I accept the unchanged Try of the Day, with the same dissent. The next check is still VWAP, relative strength and operational follow-through. If those fail together, the thesis fails."
},
{
"name": "Kenji Osei",
"role": "AI Systems & Market Data Integrity Analyst",
"icon": "๐ง ",
"view": "VICR has two ordered trajectory points and no identity concern. Its information record contains two SEC 8-K references and trusted reporting. The SEC fundamentals are still context-only: the packet explicitly says point-in-time enforcement was not applied.",
"reasoning": "LMT and EDU now receive their proper two-point acknowledgment. Their completeness does not resolve their weaker current evidence: LMT is below VWAP with low participation, while EDU is below VWAP on only 0.07 times average volume."
}
],
"conviction": {
"status_phrase": "recorded",
"basis": "The correction removes a non-public-safe RKTO claim and restores fair trajectory accounting. The sealed evidence still supports VICR through its mechanism, two-point path, relative strength and VWAP position, while extension, spread, weaker intraday slope and unavailable persistence leave a material counter-case.",
"risk": "",
"resolution_pct": 61.0,
"counter_case_pct": 24.0,
"unresolved_pct": 15.0
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"context_roundtable": {
"mode": "coffee",
"status": "complete",
"consulted_voice_ids": [
"elena",
"marcus",
"kenji",
"priya",
"nate"
],
"summary": "The day remains a supportive but not uniform risk session. The sealed market cut showed modest gains in the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and Russell 2000, contained volatility, a lower ten-year yield, a steady dollar and mixed commodities, while validated breadth was unavailable. Fresh context adds two opposing forces: oil relief and firm equities on one side, and continuing AI, trade, rare-earth and data-center policy friction on the other. The wider setting helps explain why power infrastructure matters, but it does not prove business follow-through or alter the sealed VICR decision.",
"long_read": "Elena opens with the sealed 2026-09-22 cut captured at 14:06:27Z: the S&P 500 was up 0.08%, the Nasdaq 100 0.46% and the Russell 2000 0.70%; the VIX was 14.65 after a 1.48% decline. That is a calm-looking tape, but breadth was unavailable. Breadth means the balance of advancing and declining securities, so without it the panel cannot say that participation was broad rather than concentrated.\n\nFresh reporting describes Wall Street holding near record levels while Brent briefly fell below $98, consistent with the initial cut's contained-volatility reading. At the same time, reporting on the Trump-Xi meeting describes tensions over AI, trade, Iran and rare-earth supply even as both sides seek stability. Texas has also paused new data-center permit approvals while electricity and water-use questions are audited. These are not background decorations: they connect the AI infrastructure story to energy availability, supply chains and policy execution.\n\nThat context naturally reaches VICR. Its official investor-relations release says Q3 sequential growth guidance was raised from nearly 10% to more than 20% after royalties from a recently announced non-exclusive Vertical Power Delivery license. Vicor also says it is expanding ChiP fabrication capacity and that its first fab is approaching capacity. Those are company-reported mechanisms, not independent proof that the stock's path will persist. The practical question remains whether the guidance and capacity story produce follow-through while the broader market continues to support risk.\n\nThe room keeps the distinction intact. Lower yields and contained volatility can make growth and infrastructure narratives easier for investors to carry, but oil diplomacy can reverse and data-center approvals can slow. The final Coffee therefore preserves conditionality, treats the model as contextual rather than predictive, and leaves the sealed Try of the Day decision unchanged.",
"transcript": [
{
"speaker_id": "elena",
"text": "The sealed cut was calm on the surface: the S&P 500 was up 0.08%, the Nasdaq 100 0.46% and the Russell 2000 0.70%, with the VIX at 14.65 after a 1.48% decline. But breadth was unavailable. Breadth is the count of advancing versus declining securities, so we cannot call this a fully broad rally.",
"source_urls": [
"https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/articles/wall-st-futures-pause-ai-101907090.html"
]
},
{
"speaker_id": "nate",
"text": "The index tape still looks constructive, and fresh reporting has Wall Street holding near record levels while Brent briefly moved below $98. That supports the initial read of contained pressure, but it is a session condition, not a guarantee that every AI-linked name is participating.",
"source_urls": [
"https://finance.yahoo.com/energy/articles/oil-rises-slightly-ahead-potential-003404571.html"
]
},
{
"speaker_id": "marcus",
"text": "The geopolitical backdrop is doing two things at once. The Trump-Xi meeting keeps AI, trade and rare-earth supply in the same conversation, while both sides still want stability. That is a useful setting for power-infrastructure stories, but diplomacy is not a purchase order.",
"source_urls": [
"https://x.com/BonnieGlaser/status/2102040173873627156"
]
},
{
"speaker_id": "priya",
"text": "And the physical constraint is not theoretical. Texas has paused new data-center permit approvals while electricity and water-use information is reviewed. Demand for computing can be strong and still meet a regulatory bottleneck; the two facts can coexist without one proving the other."
},
{
"speaker_id": "kenji",
"text": "Timing matters here. The sealed market snapshot is fixed at 14:06:27Z. The fresh articles are later context for Coffee, not a rewrite of that cut. We should use them to interpret the day, not smuggle later information backward into the formal selection."
},
{
"speaker_id": "nate",
"text": "The rates and currency mix also refuses to give us a single clean signal: the US 10-year was at 4.949%, with the supplied change shown as -1.40 basis points, while DXY was 100.465 and up 0.04%. Lower yields can help long-duration stories, but the steady dollar and mixed commodities keep the macro message qualified.",
"source_urls": [
"https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/articles/wall-st-futures-pause-ai-101907090.html"
]
},
{
"speaker_id": "marcus",
"text": "That is why the selected case belongs in the day's wider conversation without becoming the conversation. Vicor's official release says Q3 sequential growth guidance moved from nearly 10% to more than 20% after royalties from a non-exclusive Vertical Power Delivery license. That is a mechanism; it is not yet proof of durable market follow-through."
},
{
"speaker_id": "priya",
"text": "The capacity angle sharpens the question. Vicor says its first ChiP fab is approaching capacity and that additional sites will support Fab-2 and Fab-3. More capacity can make a growth story more usable, but only if customers, timing and execution line up. Otherwise it is an impressive factory story with no bridge to results."
},
{
"speaker_id": "elena",
"text": "The model should stay in its box. The sealed VICR H15 positive-return probability was 51.84%, but the same evidence included a -9.09% median adverse-MAE estimate, a -21.62% adverse-tail P10 and incomplete current-session coverage. That is bounded context, not a vote or a promise."
},
{
"speaker_id": "kenji",
"text": "The Auditor's source-boundary correction also belongs in the room's discipline. A public conversation should not repeat a mechanism from a record that was not cleared for public use. Broad context is strongest when every claim has the right evidentiary status, even when the omission makes the story less colourful."
},
{
"speaker_id": "marcus",
"text": "The broader AI story is therefore a barbell: technology demand and power-density needs on one side, policy, energy and supply-chain friction on the other. The company-specific guidance connects to the first side, while Texas and the US-China discussions remind us that the second side can decide the pace."
},
{
"speaker_id": "priya",
"text": "Oil relief is helpful, but it is not protection. The sealed context linked lower oil to hopes around Hormuz, while fresh reporting still describes a market watching the same geopolitical channel. A low VIX can make the room feel safer than the headline risk actually is.",
"source_urls": [
"https://finance.yahoo.com/energy/articles/oil-rises-slightly-ahead-potential-003404571.html"
]
},
{
"speaker_id": "elena",
"text": "So the day-context conclusion is narrow and useful: risk appetite is present, volatility is contained, breadth is unverified, and policy and geopolitical constraints remain active. Nothing in this Coffee pass votes again or changes the sealed Try of the Day decision.",
"source_urls": [
"https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/articles/wall-st-futures-pause-ai-101907090.html"
]
}
],
"source_urls": [
"https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/articles/wall-st-futures-pause-ai-101907090.html",
"https://finance.yahoo.com/energy/articles/oil-rises-slightly-ahead-potential-003404571.html",
"https://x.com/BonnieGlaser/status/2102040173873627156"
]
},
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"event_id": "mi_evt_05e40c861b6bee8e2ab441e6",
"headline": "US-China AI dialogue lags the technology cycle",
"url": "https://x.com/BonnieGlaser/status/2102040173873627156",
"publisher": "Bonnie Glaser",
"source_quality": "market_context",
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"published_at": "2026-09-22T01:20:56.201636Z",
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"headline": "Oil falls 1% after reports suggest Iran could reopen Hormuz within seven days",
"url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/energy/articles/oil-rises-slightly-ahead-potential-003404571.html",
"publisher": "Reuters",
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"headline": "Wall St futures pause after AI rally, focus on Mideast tensions",
"url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/articles/wall-st-futures-pause-ai-101907090.html",
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"updates": [
{
"day": 15,
"timestamp": "2026-10-13T22:19:16.884277Z",
"date": "Session 15 ยท Oct 13, 2026 ยท 18:19 NASDAQ",
"text": "VICR's canonical 15-session result is +6.55% from the $250.82 reference. The recorded path reached +31.97% at its strongest point and -2.51% at its weakest; publicly tracked return peaked at +23.26% in session 8 and fell to +1.48% on an early session-14 capture before the final outcome. A later post-market provider capture lists $267.24 at 6:03 p.m. ET; a separate earlier post-market field lists $264.57 at 4:09 p.m. ET, marked -1.0%. The published $249.65 price boundary held, but the dossier contains no operating result confirming that guidance became growth; final RSI, trend and 52-week position are unavailable. Tracking ends at session 15.",
"price": 265.76,
"pct": 5.96,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 5.96,
"return_vs_base_pct": 5.96,
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"relevant": true,
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"price_as_of": "2026-09-22T21:21:00Z",
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{
"day": 14,
"timestamp": "2026-10-12T22:05:12.370460Z",
"date": "Session 14 ยท Oct 12, 2026 ยท 18:05 NASDAQ",
"text": "VICR's tracked gain rose 1.10 percentage points to 3.42%, even as shares fell 2.51% on the day and closed just below the volume-weighted average price near the bottom of the range; volume was 0.92 times its three-month average. Its 20-session lead over Technology remains 33.86 points and price stays above $249.65, but neither shows that management's growth guidance is reaching reported results.",
"price": 259.4,
"pct": 3.42,
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"reference_text": "$259.40 ยท +3.42% from $250.82 base",
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"price_as_of": "2026-10-12T20:56:20Z",
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{
"day": 14,
"timestamp": "2026-10-12T19:42:14.545263Z",
"date": "Session 14 ยท Oct 12, 2026 ยท 15:42 NASDAQ",
"text": "VICR's tracked gain is now 2.32%, 0.84 percentage points higher than the previous note, while the current USD 255.45 capture is almost unchanged and remains below its volume-weighted average price near the bottom of the session range on 0.57 times average volume. Its 20-session lead over Technology and the published 249.65 price boundary still support the guidance case, but neither supplies the missing operating follow-through; the price evidence remains unsettled.",
"price": 255.445,
"pct": 2.32,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 1.84,
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"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.02,
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"reference_text": "$255.44 ยท +1.84% from $250.82 base",
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"price_as_of": "2026-10-12T19:23:05.083706Z",
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{
"day": 14,
"timestamp": "2026-10-12T19:06:29.435293Z",
"date": "Session 14 ยท Oct 12, 2026 ยท 15:06 NASDAQ",
"text": "VICR's tracked gain fell 5.52 points to 1.48% as shares dropped 3.98%, traded 1.67% below the volume-weighted average price (VWAP) on 0.53 times three-month average volume. Its 20-session lead over Technology remains 31.92 points, but the near-even one-session model read neither supports the recovery nor explains today's decline. The $249.65 boundary still holds; guidance lacks reported operating follow-through, leaving the price weakness unresolved.",
"price": 255.48,
"pct": 1.48,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 1.86,
"return_vs_base_pct": 1.86,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -5.17,
"session_day": 14,
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"reference_text": "$255.48 ยท +1.86% from $250.82 base",
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"price_as_of": "2026-10-12T18:48:37.209746Z",
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{
"day": 13,
"timestamp": "2026-10-09T19:38:16.630635Z",
"date": "Session 13 ยท Oct 9, 2026 ยท 15:38 NASDAQ",
"text": "VICR's tracked gain rose 2.2 points to 7.0% as shares climbed 2.34% and moved back above VWAP, but volume stayed below half its three-month average. The 20-session lead over Technology remains sizable at 29.57 points, yet it has narrowed from the latest panel's 39.64 points; the near-flat model range adds little confirmation, and the growth guidance still lacks reported operating follow-through.",
"price": 268.46,
"pct": 7.0,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 7.03,
"return_vs_base_pct": 7.03,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 2.82,
"session_day": 13,
"reference_price": 250.82,
"reference_text": "$268.46 ยท +7.03% from $250.82 base",
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{
"day": 13,
"timestamp": "2026-10-09T14:49:05.540920Z",
"date": "Session 13 ยท Oct 9, 2026 ยท 10:49 NASDAQ",
"text": "VICR tracked return improved 0.22 percentage points to +4.80%, but the current quote is 0.36% lower on only 0.08 times average volume and remains 0.62% below VWAP. Its twenty-session lead over Technology is still 26.62 points, smaller than the 40.55 points last reported; the guidance thesis still lacks operating follow-through.",
"price": 261.375,
"pct": 4.8,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 4.21,
"return_vs_base_pct": 4.21,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.37,
"session_day": 13,
"reference_price": 250.82,
"reference_text": "$261.38 ยท +4.21% from $250.82 base",
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{
"day": 12,
"timestamp": "2026-10-08T21:53:59.150779Z",
"date": "Session 12 ยท Oct 8, 2026 ยท 17:53 NASDAQ",
"text": "VICR's tracked gain recovered 0.94 points to 4.58%, even as shares fell 7.24% to $262.32, 0.43% below VWAP on 1.34 times average volume. It still leads Technology by 40.55 points over 20 sessions, but today's reversal and the lack of operating follow-through leave the guidance thesis unconfirmed.",
"price": 262.32,
"pct": 4.58,
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"return_vs_base_pct": 4.58,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
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"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.79,
"session_day": 12,
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"reference_text": "$262.32 ยท +4.58% from $250.82 base",
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"price_as_of": "2026-10-08T20:42:03Z",
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},
{
"day": 12,
"timestamp": "2026-10-08T19:43:07.440123Z",
"date": "Session 12 ยท Oct 8, 2026 ยท 15:43 NASDAQ",
"text": "VICR's tracked gain fell 6.00 points to 3.64% as shares dropped 7.94% and closed below VWAP; the stock still leads Technology by 39.64 points over twenty sessions. That relative record remains strong, but the sharper price break and a model range centered near flat do not supply the missing operating evidence that would show management's growth guidance is converting into results.",
"price": 260.33,
"pct": 3.64,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 3.79,
"return_vs_base_pct": 3.79,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -5.58,
"session_day": 12,
"reference_price": 250.82,
"reference_text": "$260.33 ยท +3.79% from $250.82 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": true,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-4b790fd7a1cb71c5a2c9de10c2914af7f5ec4fd22be0514eee876ac78319a068",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-08T19:22:13.087729Z",
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{
"day": 12,
"timestamp": "2026-10-08T14:37:42.232240Z",
"date": "Session 12 ยท Oct 8, 2026 ยท 10:37 NASDAQ",
"text": "VICR tracked gain fell 3.10 points to 9.64% as shares slipped 2.99% on just 0.10 times average volume. Price remained slightly above the $273.49 VWAP and the published $249.65 boundary, while VICR still led Technology by 45.28 points over twenty sessions. That relative record survives, but no reported operating result yet shows the guidance-led move is producing growth.",
"price": 274.32,
"pct": 9.64,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 9.37,
"return_vs_base_pct": 9.37,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -3.37,
"session_day": 12,
"reference_price": 250.82,
"reference_text": "$274.32 ยท +9.37% from $250.82 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": true,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-3459bf4fed8a3367a7df17e2d9c130b64c43d59f7f58688a04cd2513bccd6a73",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-08T14:06:42.195821Z",
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},
{
"day": 11,
"timestamp": "2026-10-07T22:09:19.344341Z",
"date": "Session 11 ยท Oct 7, 2026 ยท 18:09 NASDAQ",
"text": "On session 11, VICR tracked gain slipped 0.15 points to +12.74% as shares fell 5.52% to $282.78 on roughly average volume. Price remained 0.32% above VWAP and in the lower half of the range, while the twenty-session lead over Technology remained 46.59 points. VICR is still above the published $249.65 boundary, but operating results have not yet confirmed the guidance-led growth thesis.",
"price": 282.78,
"pct": 12.74,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 12.74,
"return_vs_base_pct": 12.74,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.05,
"session_day": 11,
"reference_price": 250.82,
"reference_text": "$282.78 ยท +12.74% from $250.82 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-07T20:54:58Z",
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},
{
"day": 11,
"timestamp": "2026-10-07T20:34:54.209986Z",
"date": "Session 11 ยท Oct 7, 2026 ยท 16:34 NASDAQ",
"text": "VICR's tracked gain slipped 0.50 points to +12.89% while shares fell 5.56% to $282.65. Price is now above VWAP but remains around the lower half of its range; volume stayed below average. The stock remains above the published $249.65 boundary with a 46.87-point twenty-session lead over Technology, though no operating results yet confirm the guidance-led growth.",
"price": 282.65,
"pct": 12.89,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 12.69,
"return_vs_base_pct": 12.69,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.24,
"session_day": 11,
"reference_price": 250.82,
"reference_text": "$282.65 ยท +12.69% from $250.82 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-07T19:21:41.146640Z",
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},
{
"day": 11,
"timestamp": "2026-10-07T14:43:21.129581Z",
"date": "Session 11 ยท Oct 7, 2026 ยท 10:43 NASDAQ",
"text": "VICR's tracked gain fell 6.29 points to +13.39% as the $282.04 capture dropped 5.77%, stood 1.42% below VWAP near the bottom of the observed range, and lagged the S&P 500 by 5.17 points in the same cut. That sharply weakens near-term follow-through, although VICR remains above the published $249.65 boundary and retains a 46.87-point 20-session lead over Technology. The guidance filings remain a company-specific mechanism, but no reported operating result yet shows that projected growth is converting.",
"price": 282.035,
"pct": 13.39,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 12.45,
"return_vs_base_pct": 12.45,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -7.72,
"session_day": 11,
"reference_price": 250.82,
"reference_text": "$282.04 ยท +12.45% from $250.82 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": true,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-1b0cc283b1c1a47b17173d6a6c30825b5a5122f74bb207c88f43cf98396065ef",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-07T14:06:33.450164Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 10,
"timestamp": "2026-10-06T20:03:28.945673Z",
"date": "Session 10 ยท Oct 6, 2026 ยท 16:03 NASDAQ",
"text": "VICR's tracked return slipped 2.32 points to +19.68%. The $301.40 capture fell 1.38%, traded 0.47% below VWAP and saw light volume; its already large 20-session lead over Technology narrowed slightly. The price remains well above the original event reference, but the prepared evidence still does not show the guidance-led growth converting into operating results.",
"price": 301.4,
"pct": 19.68,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 20.17,
"return_vs_base_pct": 20.17,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -2.16,
"session_day": 10,
"reference_price": 250.82,
"reference_text": "$301.40 ยท +20.17% from $250.82 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-06T19:21:35.651397Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 10,
"timestamp": "2026-10-06T15:46:35.590542Z",
"date": "Session 10 ยท Oct 6, 2026 ยท 11:46 NASDAQ",
"text": "VICR tracked gain advanced 0.16 points to 22.00% as its capture rose 0.40%; the 20-session lead over Technology remains exceptional at 50.74 points. Price remains above the $249.65 invalidation reference, while current structure is unconfirmed and no operating results show whether the growth guidance is converting.",
"price": 306.83,
"pct": 22.0,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 22.33,
"return_vs_base_pct": 22.33,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.49,
"session_day": 10,
"reference_price": 250.82,
"reference_text": "$306.83 ยท +22.33% from $250.82 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-06T14:06:59.842254Z",
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},
{
"day": 9,
"timestamp": "2026-10-05T22:31:34.022088Z",
"date": "Session 9 ยท Oct 5, 2026 ยท 18:31 NASDAQ",
"text": "VICR's tracked gain advanced 2.28 points to 21.84%, even as the $305.61 capture fell 1.07% and traded below VWAP on 0.91 times expected volume. Its 54.79-point 20-session lead over Technology remains exceptional, but the near-term tape is soft and the guidance-driven thesis still has no operating results confirming conversion; price remains above the $249.65 invalidation reference.",
"price": 305.61,
"pct": 21.84,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 21.84,
"return_vs_base_pct": 21.84,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 2.19,
"session_day": 9,
"reference_price": 250.82,
"reference_text": "$305.61 ยท +21.84% from $250.82 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-05T21:26:32Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 9,
"timestamp": "2026-10-05T20:27:42.606257Z",
"date": "Session 9 ยท Oct 5, 2026 ยท 16:27 NASDAQ",
"text": "VICR's tracked gain improved 0.45 points to 19.56%, even as the $300.11 capture fell 2.85%, traded 0.31% below VWAP and closed mid-range on 0.91 times expected volume. Its 51.77-point sector lead remains large. The guidance case and longer relative strength persist, but the session weakens near-term follow-through; price alone does not confirm conversion of guidance into results.",
"price": 300.11,
"pct": 19.56,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 19.65,
"return_vs_base_pct": 19.65,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 1.61,
"session_day": 9,
"reference_price": 250.82,
"reference_text": "$300.11 ยท +19.65% from $250.82 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-05T19:21:38.104627Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 9,
"timestamp": "2026-10-05T14:52:18.243519Z",
"date": "Session 9 ยท Oct 5, 2026 ยท 10:52 NASDAQ",
"text": "VICR tracked gain fell 4.15 points to 19.11%; its regular-session capture was down 4.16% and 1.54% below the volume-weighted session average, even as its 20-session lead over Technology remained large. The low-participation setback weakens near-term follow-through, while the guidance-led claim still lacks public evidence of operating growth.",
"price": 296.065,
"pct": 19.11,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 18.04,
"return_vs_base_pct": 18.04,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -5.12,
"session_day": 9,
"reference_price": 250.82,
"reference_text": "$296.06 ยท +18.04% from $250.82 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": true,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-838cb6ff44e75ba63cfe192b68566d7ad115861cd01146fcd1ed9bbd5102f110",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-05T14:06:51.007319Z",
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},
{
"day": 8,
"timestamp": "2026-10-03T11:27:16.889899Z",
"date": "Session 8 ยท Oct 3, 2026 ยท 07:27 NASDAQ",
"text": "VICR's tracked gain held at 23.26%; the $308.90 regular-session capture remained just below VWAP, while a separate after-hours quote near $310 did not change that session reading. Its 65.36-point 20-session lead over Technology remains exceptional, yet the price path still does not show that higher guidance is translating into operating growth.",
"price": 308.9,
"pct": 23.26,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 23.16,
"return_vs_base_pct": 23.16,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.07,
"session_day": 8,
"reference_price": 250.82,
"reference_text": "$308.90 ยท +23.16% from $250.82 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-02T22:41:18Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 8,
"timestamp": "2026-10-02T20:15:29.041065Z",
"date": "Session 8 ยท Oct 2, 2026 ยท 16:15 NASDAQ",
"text": "VICR's tracked gain advanced 8.06 points to +23.26%, widening its 20-session lead over Technology to 65.36 points. The current regular-session capture at $308.75 held much of the prior after-hours jump but sat just below VWAP, with structure unconfirmed and a near-even model path; the guidance-led repricing still lacks evidence of operating growth.",
"price": 308.745,
"pct": 23.26,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 23.09,
"return_vs_base_pct": 23.09,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 7.89,
"session_day": 8,
"reference_price": 250.82,
"reference_text": "$308.75 ยท +23.09% from $250.82 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": true,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-7ea420d909dc18cc3ba508b124659a580a3193f0771395ede537711333f7db53",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-02T19:21:55.629539Z",
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},
{
"day": 6,
"timestamp": "2026-09-30T22:00:28.344263Z",
"date": "Session 6 ยท Sep 30, 2026 ยท 18:00 NASDAQ",
"text": "VICR tracked gain rose 1.61 points to 15.20%. The regular-session capture at $288.94 remained above the $286.65 VWAP, and a separate after-hours quote marked $314, up 8.67%; this extends a 57.59-point 20-session lead over Technology, while the sharp late indication still does not establish that guidance is translating into operating growth.",
"price": 290.05,
"pct": 15.2,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 15.64,
"return_vs_base_pct": 15.64,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 1.74,
"session_day": 6,
"reference_price": 250.82,
"reference_text": "$290.05 ยท +15.64% from $250.82 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-30T19:58:16.738162Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 6,
"timestamp": "2026-09-30T22:00:28.344263Z",
"date": "Session 6 ยท Sep 30, 2026 ยท 18:00 NASDAQ",
"text": "VICR tracked gain rose 1.61 points to 15.20%. The regular-session capture at $288.94 remained above the $286.65 VWAP, and a separate after-hours quote marked $314, up 8.67%; this extends a 57.59-point 20-session lead over Technology, while the sharp late indication still does not establish that guidance is translating into operating growth.",
"price": 288.94,
"pct": 15.2,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 15.2,
"return_vs_base_pct": 15.2,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.44,
"session_day": 6,
"reference_price": 250.82,
"reference_text": "$288.94 ยท +15.20% from $250.82 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-30T20:57:45Z",
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},
{
"day": 6,
"timestamp": "2026-09-30T15:21:51.946669Z",
"date": "Session 6 ยท Sep 30, 2026 ยท 11:21 NASDAQ",
"text": "VICR's tracked gain fell 2.30 percentage points to 13.59%. The 10 a.m. capture at 285.68 USD was down 1.72%, 1.05% below VWAP near the session low, on 11% of average volume so far. Its 20-session lead over Technology remains exceptional at 55.34 points, but no structure is confirmed and price remains 2.41 ATR above its EMA reference. The pullback weakens today's confirmation; the packet still does not show guidance converting into operating growth.",
"price": 285.675,
"pct": 13.59,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 13.9,
"return_vs_base_pct": 13.9,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.99,
"session_day": 6,
"reference_price": 250.82,
"reference_text": "$285.68 ยท +13.90% from $250.82 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-30T14:10:11.628897Z",
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},
{
"day": 5,
"timestamp": "2026-09-29T21:53:19.573472Z",
"date": "Session 5 ยท Sep 29, 2026 ยท 17:53 NASDAQ",
"text": "VICR's tracked gain added 0.26 points to +15.89% as shares rose 1.96% to $290.68 and held 0.58% above VWAP. Its 50.59-point 20-session lead over Technology remains exceptional, while dollar volume was 75% of normal and price sits 2.88 ATR above its EMA reference with no confirmed structure; guidance has yet to show up as operating follow-through.",
"price": 290.68,
"pct": 15.89,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 15.89,
"return_vs_base_pct": 15.89,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.05,
"session_day": 5,
"reference_price": 250.82,
"reference_text": "$290.68 ยท +15.89% from $250.82 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-29T21:22:56Z",
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},
{
"day": 5,
"timestamp": "2026-09-29T19:51:55.753747Z",
"date": "Session 5 ยท Sep 29, 2026 ยท 15:51 NASDAQ",
"text": "VICR's tracked gain rose 1.96 points to +15.63% as shares climbed 1.92% to $290.56 and held 0.54% above session VWAP. Its 20-session lead over Technology widened to 50.43 points, but dollar volume was half its 20-day norm and price remains materially extended above its 21-day average with no confirmed structure; market confirmation has strengthened without showing that guidance has converted into operating results.",
"price": 290.56,
"pct": 15.63,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 15.84,
"return_vs_base_pct": 15.84,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 2.17,
"session_day": 5,
"reference_price": 250.82,
"reference_text": "$290.56 ยท +15.84% from $250.82 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
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"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-29T19:21:52.249581Z",
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},
{
"day": 4,
"timestamp": "2026-09-28T21:59:57.445924Z",
"date": "Session 4 ยท Sep 28, 2026 ยท 17:59 NASDAQ",
"text": "VICR tracked gain eased 0.25 points to +13.67% even as shares rose 1.11% to $285.10 and finished 1.75% above the session volume-weighted average price on average dollar volume. It still leads Technology by 47.09 points over 20 sessions, but stands 2.85 average daily ranges above its 21-day average with RSI near 78 and no confirmed price structure; market strength still does not show that guidance has converted into operating results.",
"price": 285.1,
"pct": 13.67,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 13.67,
"return_vs_base_pct": 13.67,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.74,
"session_day": 4,
"reference_price": 250.82,
"reference_text": "$285.10 ยท +13.67% from $250.82 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-28T21:14:42Z",
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},
{
"day": 4,
"timestamp": "2026-09-28T20:19:22.552829Z",
"date": "Session 4 ยท Sep 28, 2026 ยท 16:19 NASDAQ",
"text": "VICR's tracked return rose 3.14 percentage points to +13.92% as shares gained 1.77% and closed 2.42% above the session's volume-weighted average price near the high, on only 0.51 times average volume. Its 48.18-point 20-session lead over Technology is exceptional, but the model's near-even odds and wide ranges do not confirm that guidance has converted into operating results.",
"price": 286.96,
"pct": 13.92,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 14.41,
"return_vs_base_pct": 14.41,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 3.18,
"session_day": 4,
"reference_price": 250.82,
"reference_text": "$286.96 ยท +14.41% from $250.82 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
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"relevant": true,
"active_relevant": false,
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"transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-e819e23649d6b37f2a35d7493061b4398a1b303ef944926ecbfc57fdd309652e",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-28T19:21:40.218900Z",
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{
"day": 4,
"timestamp": "2026-09-28T15:31:02.109882Z",
"date": "Session 4 ยท Sep 28, 2026 ยท 11:31 NASDAQ",
"text": "VICR narrowed its tracked gain by 1.64 points to +10.78% as price slipped below the $279.49 session VWAP on light volume. It still leads Technology sharply over 20 sessions, but the move remains extended and lacks confirmed structure; strong guidance has yet to show the operating conversion needed to settle the thesis.",
"price": 278.99,
"pct": 10.78,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 11.23,
"return_vs_base_pct": 11.23,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.19,
"session_day": 4,
"reference_price": 250.82,
"reference_text": "$278.99 ยท +11.23% from $250.82 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
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"relevant": false,
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"price_as_of": "2026-09-28T14:06:10.888804Z",
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{
"day": 3,
"timestamp": "2026-09-25T22:49:30.358562Z",
"date": "Session 3 ยท Sep 25, 2026 ยท 18:49 NASDAQ",
"text": "VICR's tracked return slipped 0.01 percentage points to 12.42% on session 3, despite the $281.96 capture rising 2.14% for the day. Price remained 1.33% below the $285.75 VWAP on 0.83 times average volume, with no confirmed structure; its 20-session lead over Technology is still 34.40 points. The relative record remains strong, but this mixed tape does not establish operating conversion from the guidance-led repricing.",
"price": 281.96,
"pct": 12.42,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 12.42,
"return_vs_base_pct": 12.42,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.41,
"session_day": 3,
"reference_price": 250.82,
"reference_text": "$281.96 ยท +12.42% from $250.82 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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"price_as_of": "2026-09-25T21:28:18Z",
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{
"day": 3,
"timestamp": "2026-09-25T15:03:42.564060Z",
"date": "Session 3 ยท Sep 25, 2026 ยท 11:03 NASDAQ",
"text": "VICR's tracked return climbed 2.37 percentage points to 12.43% as shares rose 2.51% to $283, just 0.04% above VWAP and around 64% of the range on 0.14 times average dollar volume. The 20-session lead over Technology remains 35.23 points, a strong relative record, but no price structure is confirmed and the guidance outlook has not yet shown operating conversion. The bounce improves the tape without settling that question.",
"price": 283.0,
"pct": 12.43,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 12.83,
"return_vs_base_pct": 12.83,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 2.77,
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"reference_price": 250.82,
"reference_text": "$283.00 ยท +12.83% from $250.82 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
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"relevant": false,
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"price_as_of": "2026-09-25T14:06:22.073520Z",
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},
{
"day": 2,
"timestamp": "2026-09-24T21:32:58.131362Z",
"date": "Session 2 ยท Sep 24, 2026 ยท 17:32 NASDAQ",
"text": "VICR's tracked return fell 1.38 percentage points to 10.06% as shares dropped 2.51% to $276.06; they still closed 1.21% above VWAP on 0.90 times average volume, and the later post-market capture was $274.06, down 0.72%. The 20-session lead over Technology remains 34.71 points, but no structure is confirmed and the price setback does not show that guidance has converted into operating growth.",
"price": 276.06,
"pct": 10.06,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 10.06,
"return_vs_base_pct": 10.06,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.56,
"session_day": 2,
"reference_price": 250.82,
"reference_text": "$276.06 ยท +10.06% from $250.82 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-24T21:20:49Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 2,
"timestamp": "2026-09-24T19:48:28.830566Z",
"date": "Session 2 ยท Sep 24, 2026 ยท 15:48 NASDAQ",
"text": "VICR tracked return recovered 4.65 percentage points to 11.44% by the 2:21 p.m. ET snapshot; shares were 2.65% above VWAP despite remaining down 1.13% on the day, and the 20-session lead over Technology widened to 36.69 points. Trading pace had slowed to 0.65 of usual while the stock stayed 3.54 ATR above its reference average, so the rebound restores some price confirmation but does not show that guidance has converted into operating growth.",
"price": 279.97,
"pct": 11.44,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 11.62,
"return_vs_base_pct": 11.62,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 3.91,
"session_day": 2,
"reference_price": 250.82,
"reference_text": "$279.97 ยท +11.62% from $250.82 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": true,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-d21aa8fbaac9fa49e439567c7c72d980bf069c0ff796e38a9db1348786ca72d0",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-24T19:21:16.869314Z",
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},
{
"day": 2,
"timestamp": "2026-09-24T15:36:33.734277Z",
"date": "Session 2 ยท Sep 24, 2026 ยท 11:36 NASDAQ",
"text": "VICR's tracked gain fell 6.10 points to 6.79%; at the 10:06 a.m. ET snapshot, shares were down 4.59%, 0.50% below the session's volume-weighted average price, with trading pace at 0.73 of usual. It still leads Technology by 32.40 points over 20 sessions, but today's retreat weakens the guidance-led market confirmation; the model's near-even, roughly -3.0% to +3.4% next-session range leaves sustained growth unresolved.",
"price": 270.17,
"pct": 6.79,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 7.71,
"return_vs_base_pct": 7.71,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -5.18,
"session_day": 2,
"reference_price": 250.82,
"reference_text": "$270.17 ยท +7.71% from $250.82 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": true,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-549f5b567400f55c29e4c0ff446c6c68b90486f477b173964f4ed0876f6fdfc5",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-24T14:06:20.904650Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 1,
"timestamp": "2026-09-23T21:45:07.416673Z",
"date": "Session 1 ยท Sep 23, 2026 ยท 17:45 NASDAQ",
"text": "VICR's tracked gain slipped 0.36 points to 12.89% even as shares rose 5.52%, finishing 3.72% above VWAP on dollar volume at 2.98 times the 20-day average. Its 40.55-point Technology lead and strong close reinforce the guidance-led repricing; the remaining question is whether the outlook converts into sustained growth, not whether buyers appeared today.",
"price": 283.16,
"pct": 12.89,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 12.89,
"return_vs_base_pct": 12.89,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.53,
"session_day": 1,
"reference_price": 250.82,
"reference_text": "$283.16 ยท +12.89% from $250.82 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-23T21:09:36Z",
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},
{
"day": 1,
"timestamp": "2026-09-23T20:08:49.344238Z",
"date": "Session 1 ยท Sep 23, 2026 ยท 16:08 NASDAQ",
"text": "VICR tracked gain rose to 13.25%, up 7.76 points from the last public note, as shares added 6.02% while the S&P 500 fell 0.72%; price held 3.67% above the session volume weighted average near the high, with dollar volume at 2.37 times its 20-day average. That strengthens the guidance-led repricing case, but price sits 4.26 average true ranges above its reference average, RSI is 81.4 and no price structure is confirmed; the model's near-even continuation read and wide remaining-return range (-10% to +13%) do not establish operating follow-through.",
"price": 284.485,
"pct": 13.25,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 13.42,
"return_vs_base_pct": 13.42,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 7.07,
"session_day": 1,
"reference_price": 250.82,
"reference_text": "$284.49 ยท +13.42% from $250.82 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": true,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-2d9959a568c28ceef537430d4178a9e7c8f1e707c35a327e82bb84e62fbe0566",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-23T19:35:00.588557Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 1,
"timestamp": "2026-09-23T15:00:07.198058Z",
"date": "Session 1 ยท Sep 23, 2026 ยท 11:00 NASDAQ",
"text": "VICR's tracked gain eased 1.50 points to 5.49% after a 0.60% decline, while price remained 0.30% above VWAP on 0.30x volume. Guidance and Technology-relative strength remain supportive, but the 3.58-ATR extension, high RSI and no structure keep follow-through conditional.",
"price": 266.735,
"pct": 5.49,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 6.35,
"return_vs_base_pct": 6.35,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.64,
"session_day": 1,
"reference_price": 250.82,
"reference_text": "$266.74 ยท +6.35% from $250.82 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-09-23T14:07:21.397247Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 0,
"timestamp": "2026-09-22T21:37:05.960128Z",
"date": "Session 0 ยท Sep 22, 2026 ยท 17:37 NASDAQ",
"text": "VICR is up 6.99% from its initial public baseline, with today's capture up 19.85%, 4.43% above VWAP near the top of the range and 32.23 points ahead of Technology over 20 sessions. The guidance-led case is better supported by the tape and accumulation, but RSI 79.2, a 3.58-ATR extension and a decelerating advance keep follow-through conditional.",
"price": 268.34,
"pct": 6.99,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 6.99,
"return_vs_base_pct": 6.99,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.88,
"session_day": 0,
"reference_price": 250.82,
"reference_text": "$268.34 ยท +6.99% from $250.82 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": {
"phase": "post",
"text": "Aftermarket update: $268.11 (-0.09% vs regular close) ยท Sep 22, 2026 ยท 17:26 NASDAQ"
},
"extended_hours": {
"phase": "post",
"price": 268.11,
"ext_pct": -0.09,
"as_of": "2026-09-22T21:26:00Z",
"persisted": false
},
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
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"price_as_of": "2026-09-22T21:26:00Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 0,
"timestamp": "2026-09-22T19:59:10.909935Z",
"date": "Session 0 ยท Sep 22, 2026 ยท 15:59 NASDAQ",
"text": "VICR is up 6.65% from the initial public baseline, with the latest capture at $266.14, 4.43% above VWAP and near the top of its range; twenty-session performance leads Technology by 31.14 points and accumulation remains supportive. The guidance-led case is better supported in the current tape, but RSI 79.2, a 3.58-ATR extension and a decelerating intraday advance keep continued follow-through conditional.",
"price": 266.1359,
"pct": 6.65,
"return_vs_entry_pct": 6.11,
"return_vs_base_pct": 6.11,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 6.11,
"session_day": 0,
"reference_price": 250.82,
"reference_text": "$266.14 ยท +6.11% from $250.82 base",
"timing": "",
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"relevant": true,
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"price_as_of": "2026-09-22T19:21:53.147856Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
}
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{
"label": "+1 sessions",
"status": "complete",
"return": 12.89,
"reference_text": "+12.89% from $250.82 base",
"price": 283.16,
"updated": "Sep 23, 2026 ยท 17:06 NASDAQ",
"mfe": 13.8,
"mae": 4.43
},
{
"label": "+5 sessions",
"status": "complete",
"return": 15.89,
"reference_text": "+15.89% from $250.82 base",
"price": 290.68,
"updated": "Sep 29, 2026 ยท 17:05 NASDAQ",
"mfe": 18.41,
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{
"label": "+10 sessions",
"status": "complete",
"return": 19.32,
"reference_text": "+19.32% from $250.82 base",
"price": 299.29,
"updated": "Oct 6, 2026 ยท 17:49 NASDAQ",
"mfe": 31.97,
"mae": 4.43
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{
"label": "+15 sessions",
"status": "complete",
"return": 6.55,
"reference_text": "+6.55% from $250.82 base",
"price": 267.24,
"updated": "Oct 13, 2026 ยท 17:06 NASDAQ",
"mfe": 31.97,
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{
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"source": "yfinance_quote",
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"price_as_of": "2026-09-22T21:19:31Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "EDU",
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"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc.",
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"price_as_of": "2026-09-22T20:03:52Z",
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}
],
"benchmarks": [],
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"candidate_prices": 10,
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}
},
{
"day": 15,
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"comparison": {
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"source": "sealed_update_market_context + canonical_candidate_snapshot + market_trajectory + public_market_snapshot",
"rows": [
{
"symbol": "VICR",
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{
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"name": "On Holding AG",
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{
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},
{
"symbol": "RKTO",
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"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Rocket One Inc.",
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"price_as_of": "2026-09-22T20:59:34Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "SHOP",
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"as_of": "2026-09-22T21:20:59Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Shopify Inc.",
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"price_as_of": "2026-09-22T21:20:59Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"symbol": "GRAB",
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"as_of": "2026-09-22T21:20:52Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Grab Holdings Limited",
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},
{
"symbol": "CBAT",
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"as_of": "2026-09-22T21:09:40Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "CBAK Energy Technology Limited",
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"price_as_of": "2026-09-22T21:09:40Z",
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},
{
"symbol": "GLOO",
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"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Gloo Holdings, Inc.",
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},
{
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"as_of": "2026-09-22T21:19:31Z",
"source": "yfinance_quote",
"name": "Akanda Corp.",
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{
"symbol": "EDU",
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"source": "yfinance_quote",
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],
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}
],
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{
"symbol": "ONON",
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{
"name": "Current change",
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"value": "+12.29%"
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{
"name": "Volume ratio",
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"value": "2.97 times average"
},
{
"name": "VWAP",
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"value": "$30.55; price above VWAP"
},
{
"name": "Trajectory",
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}
],
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},
{
"symbol": "LMT",
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"score": null,
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{
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{
"name": "Trajectory",
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{
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},
{
"name": "VWAP",
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},
{
"name": "Mechanism",
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"value": "Reported Army PrSM Increment 2 contract"
}
],
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},
{
"symbol": "RKTO",
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{
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{
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},
{
"name": "VWAP",
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},
{
"name": "Observed quote spread",
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"value": "6,070.31 basis points"
},
{
"name": "Public-safe mechanism evidence",
"source": "sealed information safety classification",
"value": "Insufficient for a public thesis in this correction pass"
}
],
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"selected": false,
"reason": "RKTO has positive tape and two ordered observations, but its strongest mechanism record is not cleared for public use. The public comparison therefore relies only on its market evidence, which is too fragile to support selection."
},
{
"symbol": "SHOP",
"name": "Shopify Inc.",
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{
"name": "Current change",
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"value": "+7.00%"
},
{
"name": "Volume ratio",
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"value": "1.21 times average"
},
{
"name": "VWAP",
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"value": "$147.80; price below VWAP"
},
{
"name": "Trajectory",
"source": "sealed trajectory",
"value": "One ordered observation"
}
],
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"selected": false,
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},
{
"symbol": "GRAB",
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"facts": [
{
"name": "Current change",
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"value": "+6.88%"
},
{
"name": "20-session asset return versus market",
"source": "sealed panel_market_evidence",
"value": "-11.08% versus +1.32%"
},
{
"name": "Technical position",
"source": "sealed technical evidence",
"value": "Below EMA; RSI 35.95"
},
{
"name": "Trajectory",
"source": "sealed trajectory",
"value": "One ordered observation"
}
],
"role": "alternative",
"selected": false,
"reason": "GRAB has a specific transaction mechanism, but the stock remains below its EMA with negative 20-session relative performance and only one ordered observation."
},
{
"symbol": "CBAT",
"name": "CBAK Energy Technology Limited",
"exchange": "NasdaqCM",
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"score": null,
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{
"name": "Current change",
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"value": "+6.90%"
},
{
"name": "Volume ratio",
"source": "sealed quote_snapshot",
"value": "2.36 times average"
},
{
"name": "VWAP",
"source": "sealed panel_market_evidence",
"value": "$1.23; price above VWAP"
},
{
"name": "Trajectory",
"source": "sealed trajectory",
"value": "One ordered observation"
}
],
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"selected": false,
"reason": "CBAT is above VWAP with elevated participation, but it is 3.43 ATR above its EMA reference, earnings are close and the indicative options spread is very wide."
},
{
"symbol": "GLOO",
"name": "Gloo Holdings, Inc.",
"exchange": "NASDAQ",
"tradingview_url": "https://es.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=NASDAQ%3AGLOO&interval=60",
"score": null,
"price": 5.13,
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"vwap": 5.11,
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"facts": [
{
"name": "Current change",
"source": "sealed candidate packet",
"value": "+5.18%"
},
{
"name": "20-session asset return versus market",
"source": "sealed panel_market_evidence",
"value": "+54.05% versus +1.32%"
},
{
"name": "VWAP",
"source": "sealed panel_market_evidence",
"value": "$5.11; price below VWAP"
},
{
"name": "Trajectory",
"source": "sealed trajectory",
"value": "One ordered observation"
}
],
"role": "alternative",
"selected": false,
"reason": "GLOO has a growth mechanism and strong long-run relative performance, but the active tape is below VWAP, intraday momentum is down, RSI is elevated and only one ordered observation is available."
},
{
"symbol": "AKAN",
"name": "Akanda Corp.",
"exchange": "NasdaqCM",
"tradingview_url": "https://es.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=NASDAQ%3AAKAN&interval=60",
"score": null,
"price": 3.31,
"change": null,
"volume": 4724336,
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"volume_ratio": 3.73,
"rsi": 41.52,
"ema_trend": "3.13 > 3.58 > 5.39",
"position_52w_pct": 1.59,
"vwap": 3.3,
"vwap_distance_pct": null,
"vwap_state": "above",
"facts": [
{
"name": "Current change",
"source": "sealed candidate packet",
"value": "+8.66%"
},
{
"name": "Volume ratio",
"source": "sealed quote_snapshot",
"value": "3.73 times average"
},
{
"name": "Volume to float",
"source": "sealed market evidence",
"value": "878.7%"
},
{
"name": "Trajectory",
"source": "sealed trajectory",
"value": "One ordered observation"
}
],
"role": "alternative",
"selected": false,
"reason": "AKAN has a specific primary event, but the very small float, extreme turnover, negative 20-session relative performance and adverse-tail risk make the path highly fragile."
},
{
"symbol": "EDU",
"name": "New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc.",
"exchange": "NYSE",
"tradingview_url": "https://es.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=NYSE%3AEDU&interval=60",
"score": null,
"price": 54.67,
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"rsi": 31.29,
"ema_trend": "55.68 > 56.01 > 54.55",
"position_52w_pct": 84.05,
"vwap": 54.93,
"vwap_distance_pct": null,
"vwap_state": "below",
"facts": [
{
"name": "Current change",
"source": "sealed candidate packet",
"value": "-0.96%"
},
{
"name": "Trajectory",
"source": "sealed trajectory",
"value": "Two ordered observations"
},
{
"name": "Volume ratio",
"source": "sealed quote_snapshot",
"value": "0.07 times average"
},
{
"name": "VWAP",
"source": "sealed panel_market_evidence",
"value": "$54.93; price below VWAP"
},
{
"name": "Catalyst",
"source": "sealed SEC 6-K information",
"value": "Annual-report filing"
}
],
"role": "alternative",
"selected": false,
"reason": "EDU has substantial annual fundamentals and two ordered observations, but the catalyst is administrative and the current tape is quiet, below VWAP and near the bottom of the range."
}
],
"news": [
{
"title": "SEC 8-K filing",
"url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/751978/000119312526387927/d539177d8k.htm"
},
{
"title": "SEC 8-K filing",
"url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/751978/000119312526370420/d161606d8k.htm"
},
{
"title": "How Much Upside is Left in Vicor (VICR)? Wall Street Analysts Think 60.61%",
"url": "https://finnhub.io/api/news?id=f6b082ba448893d458e22b5a06dca44338638e6be602603158c031234acf2686"
},
{
"title": "AMD, Viking Therapeutics, Alibaba, GameStop, Vicor, and More Stocks That Explain Todayโs Market",
"url": "https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-movers-328a306e?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo"
}
],
"transcript_url": null,
"initial_transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-c79b9783e48873889b3da45da3c51b920b5632b4a9bef565f2595d7e45c496ac",
"chart_url": null,
"secondary_chart_url": null,
"forecast_chart_url": null,
"methodology_url": "https://trydingday.com/methodology/",
"track_record_url": "https://trydingday.com/track-record/",
"market_timezone": "America/New_York"
}
}