IDT episode 20260930_IDT_MIDDAY

Public episode JSON embedded as readable text for automated access.

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  "published_at": "2026-09-30T20:27:47.411595Z",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-21T22:22:17.725292Z",
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  "instrument": {
    "type": "equity",
    "symbol": "IDT",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "name": "IDT Corporation"
  },
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    "model_upside_scenario_1": 84.2,
    "model_upside_scenario_2": 88.43,
    "atr_14": 2.82,
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  "public_content": {
    "date": "September 30, 2026",
    "generated_at": "2026-09-30T20:27:47.411595Z",
    "original_published_at": null,
    "session_tag": "midday",
    "label": "Market coverage",
    "try_label": "Try of the Day",
    "public_status": "Try of the Day",
    "why_today": "",
    "entry_reasoning": "",
    "reference_price": 79.97,
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      "price": 79.97,
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      "score": 6,
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      "change": 5.84,
      "volume": 716102,
      "average_volume": 218687,
      "volume_ratio": 3.27,
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      "vwap_distance_pct": 1.85,
      "vwap_reading": {
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        "distance_pct": 1.85
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      "range_position": 0.906,
      "gap_pct": 0.0,
      "relative_strength": {
        "excess_pct": 6.07,
        "index": "SPY",
        "index_chg_pct": -0.23,
        "status": "idiosyncratic"
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      "volume_percentile": {
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        "percentile": 96.8,
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        "status": "clear"
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      "short_pct_float": 3.5,
      "days_to_cover": 3.39,
      "catalyst": "Why IDT Stock Is Rocketing Higher Today",
      "sector": "Communication Services",
      "exchange": "NYSE",
      "sec_signal": "NO_RECENT_FORM4_SIGNAL (G)"
    },
    "levels": {
      "reference": 79.97,
      "downside": 75.74,
      "upside_1": 84.2,
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    "review": {
      "score": 6,
      "status": "Try Of The Day",
      "summary": "IDT remains the provisional Try of the Day. Its recent results reported year-over-year growth in gross profit, operating income and adjusted EBITDA; its September 30 quote snapshot reported a 5.84% change on above-average volume. The separate intraday signal placed price above VWAP. The EPS miss, extended price and unavailable horizon forecasts remain material limits.",
      "views": [
        {
          "name": "Kenji Osei",
          "role": "AI Systems & Market Data Integrity Analyst",
          "icon": "๐Ÿง ",
          "view": "The shared market snapshot is complete across seven rows, but it was captured at 14:10 UTC. By the recovery cutoff it was nearly seven hours old. I would treat it as the earlier session's backdrop, not a synchronized reading of these later candidate captures.",
          "reasoning": "The case identity and selection remain unchanged. I have also separated the two IDT price fields: the quote snapshot level is $79.97, while the intraday signal level is $79.95. The snapshot's +5.84% is the change; neither price level is a change."
        },
        {
          "name": "Elena Vartanyan",
          "role": "independent statistical auditor",
          "icon": "๐ŸŽฏ",
          "view": "At that snapshot, the S&P 500 was at 7,712.45, up 0.54%; the Nasdaq 100 was at 30,567.244, up 0.75%; and the Russell 2000 was at 2,813.8582, up 0.21%. Those are separate level and change readings. The VIX was at 15.67, down 2.31%.",
          "reasoning": "The auditor's findings concern the clarity and public safety of the presentation. With the shortlist corrected and the uncleared detail removed, the prior provisional Try of the Day remains supported without reopening candidate selection."
        },
        {
          "name": "Marcus Feld",
          "role": "information, fundamentals and catalyst analyst",
          "icon": "๐ŸฆŠ",
          "view": "The later headlines complicate that calm opening picture: reporting covered lower bond yields after mild inflation, rising oil amid stalled U.S.-Iran talks, and strength in technology ahead of Micron earnings. Those are broad forces, not explanations for a specific company's move.",
          "reasoning": "The shortlist keeps ACMR, EPRX, SKYA and SOTK as the strongest contrasts in the prior comparison. ACMR has a calmer tape but unquantified backlog; EPRX has a reported clinical result in a three-patient cohort; SKYA has an unresolved governance question; SOTK has a sized order but a weakening intraday reading."
        },
        {
          "name": "Priya Nandakumar",
          "role": "institutional risk and execution manager",
          "icon": "๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ",
          "view": "And we do not have a validated aggregate breadth capture. A separate report described narrowing participation, but it cannot fill that coverage gap. The broader cut gives us context, not a market-wide verdict.",
          "reasoning": "IDT's countercase stays visible: the quarter missed EPS consensus, the price is extended and the sealed trajectory has one point. Horizon-model outputs are unavailable, so there is no model forecast supporting the decision."
        },
        {
          "name": "Nate Brooks",
          "role": "market structure and timing analyst",
          "icon": "๐Ÿ“ˆ",
          "view": "On September 30 the captured quote was $79.95, up 5.84% on 3.27 times average volume. It was above VWAP at $78.52; VWAP is the average traded price weighted by volume, a reference for where the session's trading has centered. The intraday reading was rising.",
          "reasoning": "VWAP is the session's volume-weighted average traded price; being above it is a useful session reference, not proof that support will persist. The next regular sessions still have to confirm the move."
        }
      ],
      "conviction": {
        "status_phrase": "recorded",
        "basis": "The prior substantive assessment is retained: IDT has a dated operating catalyst and supportive captured market response. The EPS miss, price extension, one-point trajectory and unavailable forecasts leave material counterevidence and uncertainty.",
        "risk": "",
        "resolution_pct": 61.0,
        "counter_case_pct": 25.0,
        "unresolved_pct": 14.0
      },
      "context_roundtable": {
        "mode": "coffee",
        "status": "complete",
        "consulted_voice_ids": [
          "elena",
          "marcus",
          "kenji",
          "priya",
          "nate"
        ],
        "summary": "The early snapshot showed modest gains across major indexes, but the closing picture was mixed: the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 ended lower while the Nasdaq Composite edged higher. Oil, inflation and rates remained cross-currents, and validated breadth was unavailable. IDT's operating results belong to the company-specific story; they do not turn the wider session into a single market narrative.",
        "long_read": "At 14:10 UTC, the supplied market snapshot showed the S&P 500 up 0.54%, the Nasdaq 100 up 0.75% and the Russell 2000 up 0.21%. The US 10-year yield level was 5.238%, with a separate reported daily change of 1.70 basis points lower; one basis point is one-hundredth of a percentage point. Later, an Associated Press closing recap reported the S&P 500 down 0.3%, the Russell 2000 down 0.4% and the Nasdaq Composite up 0.2%. The readings describe different times, and the Nasdaq measures are not identical. The validated breadth layer was unavailable, so index direction cannot tell us how many individual stocks participated.\n\nThe day's news offered competing explanations for the mood. A Wall Street Journal report described global bond yields falling after mild US inflation, while a later AP recap said stronger growth data kept pressure on yields. Reuters reported oil rising by about $1 per barrel amid stalled US-Iran talks and tight fuel markets. Investor's Business Daily had earlier focused on technology and Micron ahead of earnings. That sequence supports a mixed account of rates, energy and technology, not a single causal story.\n\nIDT's September 28 results provide company-level context: the release reported Q4 gross profit up 18%, income from operations up 52% and adjusted EBITDA up 22% year over year. The same record includes the EPS miss, an extended price and only one provider trajectory point; requested horizon-model outputs were unavailable. The session's market background cannot settle whether those operating results will continue or whether the share response will persist.",
        "transcript": [
          {
            "speaker_id": "nate",
            "text": "At the 14:10 UTC snapshot the big indexes were higher. Then the close recap had the S&P and Russell lower, with the Nasdaq Composite just up. That session changed direction; it wasn't a clean green march."
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "kenji",
            "text": "Different timestamps, and Nasdaq 100 in the earlier snapshot versus Nasdaq Composite in the close recap. No contradiction to repair. Breadth means how widely individual stocks participate; that validated reading was unavailable, so three index prints aren't a head count."
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "nate",
            "text": "Fair. I was using the indexes like a census. They're not."
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "marcus",
            "text": "Technology still had the microphone earlier: the market coverage was watching Micron into earnings. By the close, that leadership didn't make the whole board agree. One loud sector isn't the whole room.",
            "source_urls": [
              "https://www.investors.com/market-trend/stock-market-today/dow-jones-sp500-nasdaq-inflation-data-micron-earnings-mu-stock?src=A00220&yptr=yahoo"
            ]
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "elena",
            "text": "Rates deserve the same timestamp discipline. The 10-year yield was at 5.238% in the supplied snapshot, and its reported change was 1.70 basis points lower. Mild-inflation reporting and the later stronger-growth account describe a moving market, not one stable rate message.",
            "source_urls": [
              "https://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/u-s-treasury-yields-fall-on-dovish-leaning-fed-speech-d6451171?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo"
            ]
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "priya",
            "text": "And crude added another complication. Reuters reported a rise of about $1 per barrel amid stalled US-Iran talks and tight fuel markets. That can feed inflation and rate concerns; it doesn't explain a company's results by itself.",
            "source_urls": [
              "https://finance.yahoo.com/energy/articles/oil-gains-trump-denies-willing-043538093.html"
            ]
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "marcus",
            "text": "Which is why Micron's AI spotlight shouldn't be pasted onto IDT. IDT's own report covers retail, fintech and communications businesses, alongside AI products in net2phone. That's a company mix, not a chip-demand proxy."
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "nate",
            "text": "IDT's captured session was up 5.84% on 3.27 times its average volume and above VWAP. VWAP is the session's average traded price weighted by volume; being above it is a useful reference, not a promise that support will hold."
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "elena",
            "text": "The September 28 release reported Q4 gross profit up 18%, operating income up 52% and adjusted EBITDA up 22% year over year. The accepted case record also reports EPS of $0.94 against $0.98 consensus. A growth story with a miss is still a growth story with a miss."
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "marcus",
            "text": "The segment detail makes the operating gains more concrete: Q4 revenue was up 31% at NRS, 12% in Fintech and 10% in net2phone subscription services. Traditional Communications was up 2%. That's several different engines, not one magic lever."
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "priya",
            "text": "And the price is stretched. At 3.45 ATR above its EMA reference, IDT is several typical recent daily ranges above a smoothed trend line. That describes distance; it doesn't predict a reversal. But it makes follow-through the part I care about."
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "kenji",
            "text": "There is no horizon-model forecast to settle that question. No active case was retained, so there is no probability or adverse-tail estimate to quote. Missing output is a coverage limit, not quiet support."
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "marcus",
            "text": "Then let the operating record make its own case. The oil move and the Micron headline may shape the backdrop, but neither says whether IDT's reported gains will repeat.",
            "source_urls": [
              "https://finance.yahoo.com/energy/articles/oil-gains-trump-denies-willing-043538093.html",
              "https://www.investors.com/market-trend/stock-market-today/dow-jones-sp500-nasdaq-inflation-data-micron-earnings-mu-stock?src=A00220&yptr=yahoo"
            ]
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "priya",
            "text": "Agreed on the separation. I won't pin the oil move on IDT. But with rates and energy pulling attention around, a strong quarter still has to turn into sustained business results.",
            "source_urls": [
              "https://finance.yahoo.com/energy/articles/oil-gains-trump-denies-willing-043538093.html",
              "https://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/u-s-treasury-yields-fall-on-dovish-leaning-fed-speech-d6451171?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo"
            ]
          },
          {
            "speaker_id": "elena",
            "text": "So the session leaves two separate questions on the table: how widely the market participated, which the supplied breadth layer cannot answer, and whether IDT's operating improvement will hold up. The broader tape is context; it isn't the company's next report."
          }
        ],
        "source_urls": [
          "https://www.investors.com/market-trend/stock-market-today/dow-jones-sp500-nasdaq-inflation-data-micron-earnings-mu-stock?src=A00220&yptr=yahoo",
          "https://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/u-s-treasury-yields-fall-on-dovish-leaning-fed-speech-d6451171?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo",
          "https://finance.yahoo.com/energy/articles/oil-gains-trump-denies-willing-043538093.html"
        ]
      },
      "context_roundtable_sources": [
        {
          "event_id": "mi_evt_15162fe9a5cda1c164bac978",
          "headline": "Oil prices rise by about $1/bbl on stalled US-Iran talks and tight fuel markets",
          "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/energy/articles/oil-gains-trump-denies-willing-043538093.html",
          "publisher": "Reuters",
          "source_quality": "market_context",
          "public_safe": true,
          "published_at": "2026-09-30T19:16:26Z",
          "available_at": "2026-09-30T19:56:29.699517+00:00"
        },
        {
          "event_id": "mi_evt_711a671cd6a059acb11a7c40",
          "headline": "Stock Market Today: Nasdaq Up; Micron Holds Firm Ahead Of Earnings Report (Live Coverage)",
          "url": "https://www.investors.com/market-trend/stock-market-today/dow-jones-sp500-nasdaq-inflation-data-micron-earnings-mu-stock?src=A00220&yptr=yahoo",
          "publisher": "Investor's Business Daily",
          "source_quality": "market_context",
          "public_safe": true,
          "published_at": "2026-09-30T19:43:12Z",
          "available_at": "2026-09-30T19:56:29.699517+00:00"
        },
        {
          "event_id": "mi_evt_b214b77b2d7aaaae602b7e33",
          "headline": "Global Bond Yields Fall on Mild U.S. Inflation",
          "url": "https://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/u-s-treasury-yields-fall-on-dovish-leaning-fed-speech-d6451171?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo",
          "publisher": "The Wall Street Journal",
          "source_quality": "market_context",
          "public_safe": true,
          "published_at": "2026-09-30T15:20:00Z",
          "available_at": "2026-09-30T19:56:29.699517+00:00"
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    },
    "updates": [
      {
        "day": 15,
        "timestamp": "2026-10-21T22:22:17.725292Z",
        "date": "Session 15 ยท Oct 21, 2026 ยท 18:22 NYSE",
        "text": "IDT completed session 15 at $82.94, a +3.51% tracked result from its $80.13 entry. Checkpoints were -0.19% (session 1), +0.10% (5), +1.19% (10) and +3.51% (15); the path reached +5.53% at best and -3.57% at worst. It eased from +5.40% after session 14. Q4 gross profit, operating income and adjusted EBITDA grew 18%, 52% and 22%, but EPS missed consensus ($0.94 versus $0.98). Later NRS same-store sales rose 0.1%, while units fell 2.0% and transactions 3.4%. Available after-market captures are stale; no later move is reported. Market tracking ends here.",
        "price": 82.94,
        "pct": 3.51,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 3.71,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 3.71,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.08,
        "session_day": 15,
        "reference_price": 79.97,
        "reference_text": "$82.94 ยท +3.71% from $79.97 base",
        "timing": "",
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        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": true,
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        "terminal_closure": true,
        "transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-60b69f9317b6b6f782d519172c3175868a89e9d5cebb8e23962838783412129a",
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      {
        "day": 14,
        "timestamp": "2026-10-20T21:10:46.568122Z",
        "date": "Session 14 ยท Oct 20, 2026 ยท 17:10 NYSE",
        "text": "IDTโ€™s tracked return rose 3.29 points to +5.4% on session 14; by 15:32 ET the quote was up 2.42%, after the 15:00 reading sat 1.05% above its volume-weighted session average (VWAP) with time-adjusted activity at 0.92 and easing. Fourth-quarter gross profit and operating income grew 18% and 52%, but September NRS same-store sales rose 0.1% while units fell 2.0% and transactions fell 3.4%. At a 52-week high, price action is firm; operating follow-through remains mixed.",
        "price": 83.8,
        "pct": 5.4,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 4.79,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 4.79,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 2.48,
        "session_day": 14,
        "reference_price": 79.97,
        "reference_text": "$83.80 ยท +4.79% from $79.97 base",
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      {
        "day": 13,
        "timestamp": "2026-10-19T22:18:16.034133Z",
        "date": "Session 13 ยท Oct 19, 2026 ยท 18:18 NYSE",
        "text": "IDT's tracked gain barely changed, increasing 0.01 percentage points to 2.11%, while the quote rose 1.43% and held 0.18% above VWAP on 1.26 times average volume. Its 20-session lead over XLC remains 22.92 points, but today's price strength adds no operating evidence to resolve the previously noted Q4 EPS miss.",
        "price": 81.82,
        "pct": 2.11,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 2.31,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 2.31,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.1,
        "session_day": 13,
        "reference_price": 79.97,
        "reference_text": "$81.82 ยท +2.31% from $79.97 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
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      {
        "day": 13,
        "timestamp": "2026-10-19T20:01:19.658587Z",
        "date": "Session 13 ยท Oct 19, 2026 ยท 16:01 NYSE",
        "text": "IDT's tracked gain added 1.43 percentage points to 2.10% since its last public note, while the quote rose 1.52%, held 0.18% above VWAP and traded at 0.70 times normal volume. Its 20-session lead over XLC is 22.74 points; the growth story still faces the unresolved Q4 EPS miss, with no new operating confirmation in this price update.",
        "price": 81.9,
        "pct": 2.1,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 2.41,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 2.41,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 1.53,
        "session_day": 13,
        "reference_price": 79.97,
        "reference_text": "$81.90 ยท +2.41% from $79.97 base",
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      {
        "day": 12,
        "timestamp": "2026-10-16T22:05:45.172221Z",
        "date": "Session 12 ยท Oct 16, 2026 ยท 18:05 NYSE",
        "text": "IDT's tracked gain narrowed 0.63 points to 0.67% after a 1.91% decline that closed near the session low on 0.76 times normal volume. Its 20-session return still exceeds Communication Services by 15.95 points, but the Q4 growth-versus-EPS tension has no new operating confirmation; the market path weakened while the fundamental question remains open.",
        "price": 80.67,
        "pct": 0.67,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 0.88,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 0.88,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.63,
        "session_day": 12,
        "reference_price": 79.97,
        "reference_text": "$80.67 ยท +0.88% from $79.97 base",
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      {
        "day": 12,
        "timestamp": "2026-10-16T20:09:59.286168Z",
        "date": "Session 12 ยท Oct 16, 2026 ยท 16:09 NYSE",
        "text": "IDT's tracked gain fell 1.13 points to 1.30%; the latest quote dropped 1.29%, sat 0.56% below the volume-weighted average near the session low, and traded at 0.39x normal volume. It still leads Communication Services by 16.99 points over 20 sessions, but the Q4 growth-versus-EPS tension has no new operating confirmation.",
        "price": 81.175,
        "pct": 1.3,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 1.51,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 1.51,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.08,
        "session_day": 12,
        "reference_price": 79.97,
        "reference_text": "$81.17 ยท +1.51% from $79.97 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
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        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": null,
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 12,
        "timestamp": "2026-10-16T14:22:44.863836Z",
        "date": "Session 12 ยท Oct 16, 2026 ยท 10:22 NYSE",
        "text": "IDT's tracked gain eased 0.20 points to 2.43% as the latest quote fell 0.24%, 0.67% below VWAP on only 0.04 of normal volume. A 16.44-point 20-session lead over Communication Services remains, but Q4 gross-profit and operating-income growth still have to be weighed against the EPS miss; the weak capture adds no operating confirmation.",
        "price": 82.04,
        "pct": 2.43,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 2.59,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 2.59,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.25,
        "session_day": 12,
        "reference_price": 79.97,
        "reference_text": "$82.04 ยท +2.59% from $79.97 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": null,
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 11,
        "timestamp": "2026-10-15T22:10:50.854639Z",
        "date": "Session 11 ยท Oct 15, 2026 ยท 18:10 NYSE",
        "text": "IDT's tracked gain rose 1.00 percentage point to 2.63%, and the latest quote was up 1.43% on 0.93 times average volume. The market has repaired some of the prior session's weakness, but RSI at 86 and price above the three supplied moving averages show an extended move. Q4 gross-profit and operating-income growth still sit alongside the EPS miss, so the operating catalyst remains qualified by that counterevidence.",
        "price": 82.24,
        "pct": 2.63,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 2.84,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 2.84,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 1.61,
        "session_day": 11,
        "reference_price": 79.97,
        "reference_text": "$82.24 ยท +2.84% from $79.97 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": null,
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 11,
        "timestamp": "2026-10-15T20:16:44.668002Z",
        "date": "Session 11 ยท Oct 15, 2026 ยท 16:16 NYSE",
        "text": "IDT's tracked gain slipped 0.04 points to 1.63%; shares eased 0.15% and finished 0.60% below VWAP near the range low on 0.38 times normal volume. Its 20-session lead over XLC remains 17.36 points, while Q4 gross-profit and operating-income growth still sit alongside an EPS miss. The longer relative record holds, but today's tape softens the near-term read.",
        "price": 80.955,
        "pct": 1.63,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 1.23,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 1.23,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.38,
        "session_day": 11,
        "reference_price": 79.97,
        "reference_text": "$80.95 ยท +1.23% from $79.97 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": null,
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 11,
        "timestamp": "2026-10-15T15:33:24.963793Z",
        "date": "Session 11 ยท Oct 15, 2026 ยท 11:33 NYSE",
        "text": "IDT's tracked gain recovered 0.48 points to 1.67%; shares rose 1.24% and held 0.35% above VWAP, while the 20-session lead over XLC widened to 18.85 points. That repairs the market read after the prior fade, but turnover remained just 5% of its 20-day average and the mixed earnings picture still lacks a later operating result.",
        "price": 82.06,
        "pct": 1.67,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 2.61,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 2.61,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 1.22,
        "session_day": 11,
        "reference_price": 79.97,
        "reference_text": "$82.06 ยท +2.61% from $79.97 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": null,
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 10,
        "timestamp": "2026-10-14T21:42:35.260167Z",
        "date": "Session 10 ยท Oct 14, 2026 ยท 17:42 NYSE",
        "text": "IDT's tracked gain fell 0.88 points to 1.19%; shares lost 1.94% at the regular-session cut, sat 0.51% below VWAP at the day's low, and were flat after hours. Its 20-session lead over XLC remains 18.51 points, but that longer record does not offset today's fade. The issuer-reported growth still sits beside an earlier EPS miss, and the sealed evidence has no later operating result to resolve the mixed earnings picture.",
        "price": 81.08,
        "pct": 1.19,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 1.39,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 1.39,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.9,
        "session_day": 10,
        "reference_price": 79.97,
        "reference_text": "$81.08 ยท +1.39% from $79.97 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": null,
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 10,
        "timestamp": "2026-10-14T20:37:17.987982Z",
        "date": "Session 10 ยท Oct 14, 2026 ยท 16:37 NYSE",
        "text": "IDT's tracked gain eased 0.44 points to 2.07% as shares fell 1.06%, sat 0.51% below VWAP and reached the captured session low. Its 20-session lead over Communication Services remains 19.65 points, but the setback from a 52-week high does not resolve the earlier EPS miss or the mixed earnings picture.",
        "price": 81.8,
        "pct": 2.07,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 2.29,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 2.29,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.09,
        "session_day": 10,
        "reference_price": 79.97,
        "reference_text": "$81.80 ยท +2.29% from $79.97 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": null,
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 10,
        "timestamp": "2026-10-14T15:09:45.666525Z",
        "date": "Session 10 ยท Oct 14, 2026 ยท 11:09 NYSE",
        "text": "For IDT, the tracked gain eased 0.67 points to 2.51%, although shares were nearly flat, above VWAP and near the session high. Its 20-session lead over Communication Services widened to 20.42 points, but shares remain near the 52-week high and the earlier EPS miss keeps the mixed earnings picture unresolved.",
        "price": 82.6707,
        "pct": 2.51,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 3.38,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 3.38,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.01,
        "session_day": 10,
        "reference_price": 79.97,
        "reference_text": "$82.67 ยท +3.38% from $79.97 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": null,
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 9,
        "timestamp": "2026-10-13T21:47:04.257300Z",
        "date": "Session 9 ยท Oct 13, 2026 ยท 17:47 NYSE",
        "text": "IDT's tracked gain increased 0.85 points to 3.18% as shares rose 1.54%; its 20-session lead over Communication Services widened to 17.95 points, with dollar turnover at 0.92 times its 20-day average. The stronger relative tape adds support, but the shares remain near their 52-week high and the earlier EPS miss still leaves the mixed earnings picture unresolved.",
        "price": 82.68,
        "pct": 3.18,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 3.39,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 3.39,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.86,
        "session_day": 9,
        "reference_price": 79.97,
        "reference_text": "$82.68 ยท +3.39% from $79.97 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": null,
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 9,
        "timestamp": "2026-10-13T20:08:06.766315Z",
        "date": "Session 9 ยท Oct 13, 2026 ยท 16:08 NYSE",
        "text": "IDTโ€™s tracked gain improved 0.32 points to 2.33%, while shares added 0.69% but stayed below VWAP on 0.48 times average volume. The 16.66-point 20-session lead over Communication Services remains intact; this mixed tape does not resolve stronger gross profit and operating income against the EPS miss.",
        "price": 81.99,
        "pct": 2.33,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 2.53,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 2.53,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.18,
        "session_day": 9,
        "reference_price": 79.97,
        "reference_text": "$81.99 ยท +2.53% from $79.97 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": null,
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 9,
        "timestamp": "2026-10-13T15:28:23.325093Z",
        "date": "Session 9 ยท Oct 13, 2026 ยท 11:28 NYSE",
        "text": "IDT's tracked gain improved 0.39 percentage points to 2.01% as shares rose 0.87% and sat 0.15% above the day's volume-weighted average price. The 20-session lead over Communication Services remains 16.92 points, though current volume is only 0.06 times average. The earnings release showed stronger gross profit and operating income but missed EPS; this light-volume recovery does not resolve that mixed result.",
        "price": 82.14,
        "pct": 2.01,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 2.71,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 2.71,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.88,
        "session_day": 9,
        "reference_price": 79.97,
        "reference_text": "$82.14 ยท +2.71% from $79.97 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": null,
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 8,
        "timestamp": "2026-10-12T22:07:02.409157Z",
        "date": "Session 8 ยท Oct 12, 2026 ยท 18:07 NYSE",
        "text": "IDT's tracked gain slipped 0.36 points to 1.62%; shares were nearly flat on the day but ended 0.86% below the volume-weighted average price on 0.89 times average volume. The stock still leads Communication Services by 17.81 points over 20 sessions, but the earlier earnings miss and unavailable forecasts remain unresolved, so the relative record does not yet establish a durable operating re-rating.",
        "price": 81.43,
        "pct": 1.62,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 1.83,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 1.83,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.98,
        "session_day": 8,
        "reference_price": 79.97,
        "reference_text": "$81.43 ยท +1.83% from $79.97 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": null,
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 8,
        "timestamp": "2026-10-12T20:16:40.120072Z",
        "date": "Session 8 ยท Oct 12, 2026 ยท 16:16 NYSE",
        "text": "IDT's tracked gain increased 1.76 points to 2.61%, with shares up 0.90% and 0.05% above VWAP on 0.39 times average volume. Price has improved, but light, decelerating participation adds limited confirmation; the earlier EPS miss and unavailable forecasts remain unresolved, so the move does not yet establish a durable operating re-rating.",
        "price": 82.22,
        "pct": 1.98,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 2.81,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 2.81,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.62,
        "session_day": 8,
        "reference_price": 79.97,
        "reference_text": "$82.22 ยท +2.81% from $79.97 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": null,
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 8,
        "timestamp": "2026-10-12T19:44:42.339888Z",
        "date": "Session 8 ยท Oct 12, 2026 ยท 15:44 NYSE",
        "text": "IDT's tracked gain rose 1.13 percentage points to 1.98%, and its 20-session lead over Communication Services now stands at 18.21 points. Shares are 0.29% higher today but sit 0.50% below their volume-weighted average price on 0.44 times average volume; the earlier earnings miss and unavailable forecasts remain unresolved, so the stronger return does not settle the operating case.",
        "price": 81.725,
        "pct": 1.98,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 2.19,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 2.19,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 1.26,
        "session_day": 8,
        "reference_price": 79.97,
        "reference_text": "$81.72 ยท +2.19% from $79.97 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": null,
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      },
      {
        "day": 7,
        "timestamp": "2026-10-09T14:49:18.813751Z",
        "date": "Session 7 ยท Oct 9, 2026 ยท 10:49 NYSE",
        "text": "IDT tracked gain increased 0.20 points to 0.85%; the current quote is up 0.07% and 0.84% above VWAP, but volume is only 0.06 times average. The twenty-session lead over Communication Services remains 15.78 points, while the high price position does not repair the earlier earnings miss or resolve the unavailable forecasts.",
        "price": 80.71,
        "pct": 0.85,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 0.93,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 0.93,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.08,
        "session_day": 7,
        "reference_price": 79.97,
        "reference_text": "$80.71 ยท +0.93% from $79.97 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": null,
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      },
      {
        "day": 6,
        "timestamp": "2026-10-08T21:54:05.951683Z",
        "date": "Session 6 ยท Oct 8, 2026 ยท 17:54 NYSE",
        "text": "IDT's tracked gain eased 0.45 points to 0.65%; shares rose 0.55% to $80.65 and sat 0.07% above VWAP on 0.80 times average volume. The 20-session lead over Communication Services is 15.67 points, but this price support does not establish a durable re-rating of operating gains; the EPS miss and unavailable forecasts remain material limits.",
        "price": 80.65,
        "pct": 0.65,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 0.85,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 0.85,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.71,
        "session_day": 6,
        "reference_price": 79.97,
        "reference_text": "$80.65 ยท +0.85% from $79.97 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": null,
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 6,
        "timestamp": "2026-10-08T20:16:04.266167Z",
        "date": "Session 6 ยท Oct 8, 2026 ยท 16:16 NYSE",
        "text": "IDT's tracked return improved 0.93 points from +0.10% as shares rose 1.26% to $81.22 and sat 0.78% above VWAP, though volume was only 0.40 times average. Its 20-session lead over Communication Services stands at 16.60 points. That strengthens the price evidence, but the reported operating gains still lack a durable market re-rating; the EPS miss and unavailable forecasts remain material limits.",
        "price": 81.22,
        "pct": 1.1,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 1.56,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 1.56,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 1.02,
        "session_day": 6,
        "reference_price": 79.97,
        "reference_text": "$81.22 ยท +1.56% from $79.97 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": null,
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 6,
        "timestamp": "2026-10-08T15:02:14.833313Z",
        "date": "Session 6 ยท Oct 8, 2026 ยท 11:02 NYSE",
        "text": "IDT tracked return recovered 0.07 points to +0.17%, with shares up 0.24% to $80.41 on just 0.06 times average volume. Price hovered 0.03% above VWAP and the lead over Communication Services remained 15.73 points, but light participation leaves the durability of the reported fourth-quarter gains unproven.",
        "price": 80.405,
        "pct": 0.17,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 0.54,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 0.54,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.24,
        "session_day": 6,
        "reference_price": 79.97,
        "reference_text": "$80.41 ยท +0.54% from $79.97 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": null,
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      },
      {
        "day": 5,
        "timestamp": "2026-10-07T22:09:24.782864Z",
        "date": "Session 5 ยท Oct 7, 2026 ยท 18:09 NYSE",
        "text": "On session 5, IDT tracked return eased 0.11 points to +0.10% as shares slipped 0.12% to $80.21 on 1.15 times average volume. Price remained 0.29% below VWAP despite sitting in the upper part of the intraday range; IDT still led Communication Services by 17.62 points over twenty sessions. The cited fourth-quarter gains have not yet been linked to a durable market re-rating.",
        "price": 80.21,
        "pct": 0.1,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 0.3,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 0.3,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.28,
        "session_day": 5,
        "reference_price": 79.97,
        "reference_text": "$80.21 ยท +0.30% from $79.97 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": null,
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 5,
        "timestamp": "2026-10-07T20:37:21.742500Z",
        "date": "Session 5 ยท Oct 7, 2026 ยท 16:37 NYSE",
        "text": "IDT's tracked return improved 0.60 points to +0.21% as the $80.44 capture edged up 0.16%. It remains below VWAP on only 0.43 times average volume, so the bounce has thin confirmation. A 17.44-point twenty-session lead over Communication Services persists, but this session offers no sign that the cited Q4 gains have produced a durable re-rating.",
        "price": 80.435,
        "pct": 0.21,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 0.58,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 0.58,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.78,
        "session_day": 5,
        "reference_price": 79.97,
        "reference_text": "$80.44 ยท +0.58% from $79.97 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": null,
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      },
      {
        "day": 5,
        "timestamp": "2026-10-07T15:09:36.987705Z",
        "date": "Session 5 ยท Oct 7, 2026 ยท 11:09 NYSE",
        "text": "IDT's tracked loss widened 0.35 points to -0.39% as the $79.81 capture fell 0.70%, stood 0.62% below the session average near the day's low and showed very light participation. Its 20-session lead over Communication Services remains 17.44 points, so the longer relative record survives this weak capture. The Q4 operating gains cited earlier still lack evidence here of a durable re-rating.",
        "price": 79.81,
        "pct": -0.39,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -0.2,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -0.2,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.38,
        "session_day": 5,
        "reference_price": 79.97,
        "reference_text": "$79.81 ยท -0.20% from $79.97 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
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      },
      {
        "day": 4,
        "timestamp": "2026-10-06T20:03:36.454696Z",
        "date": "Session 4 ยท Oct 6, 2026 ยท 16:03 NYSE",
        "text": "IDT's tracked loss narrowed 1.55 points to -0.04%. The $80.11 capture held 0.57% above VWAP, but volume was only 0.75 times its average and intraday participation was fading. Its 17.10-point 20-session lead over Communication Services remains substantial; the Q4 operating gains cited in prior updates still lack evidence here of a durable re-rating.",
        "price": 80.11,
        "pct": -0.04,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 0.18,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 0.18,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 1.52,
        "session_day": 4,
        "reference_price": 79.97,
        "reference_text": "$80.11 ยท +0.18% from $79.97 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": null,
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 4,
        "timestamp": "2026-10-06T15:47:34.280614Z",
        "date": "Session 4 ยท Oct 6, 2026 ยท 11:47 NYSE",
        "text": "IDT tracked return fell 1.53 points to -1.59% as the current capture declined 1.45%; its 20-session lead over Communication Services remains 15.30 points. The Q4 report showed gross profit up 18% and operating income up 52%, yet the current decline and light participation add no evidence that these gains are driving a durable re-rating.",
        "price": 78.8967,
        "pct": -1.59,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -1.34,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -1.34,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.48,
        "session_day": 4,
        "reference_price": 79.97,
        "reference_text": "$78.90 ยท -1.34% from $79.97 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": null,
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 3,
        "timestamp": "2026-10-05T22:34:31.063147Z",
        "date": "Session 3 ยท Oct 5, 2026 ยท 18:34 NYSE",
        "text": "IDT's tracked return fell from +1.95% to -0.06%, even as the $80.08 capture rose 1.48% and stayed above VWAP; volume was only 0.45 times expected. Its 16.71-point 20-session lead over Communication Services remains, but weak participation does not connect this recovery to an operating change. The Q4 release reported gross profit up 18% and operating income up 52% year over year.",
        "price": 80.08,
        "pct": -0.06,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 0.14,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 0.14,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.7,
        "session_day": 3,
        "reference_price": 79.97,
        "reference_text": "$80.08 ยท +0.14% from $79.97 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": null,
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 3,
        "timestamp": "2026-10-05T20:28:38.743552Z",
        "date": "Session 3 ยท Oct 5, 2026 ยท 16:28 NYSE",
        "text": "IDT's tracked return recovered 0.62 points to +1.95%. The $81.45 capture rose 3.21%, held 0.77% above VWAP and ended near the range high, but activity was only 0.45 times expected. The rebound is constructive and the 18.61-point sector lead persists; the prepared record does not connect this price recovery to a specific operating change.",
        "price": 81.445,
        "pct": 1.95,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 1.84,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 1.84,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.51,
        "session_day": 3,
        "reference_price": 79.97,
        "reference_text": "$81.44 ยท +1.84% from $79.97 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": null,
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 3,
        "timestamp": "2026-10-05T14:53:42.524547Z",
        "date": "Session 3 ยท Oct 5, 2026 ยท 10:53 NYSE",
        "text": "IDT tracked return recovered 3.91 points to +1.33%, and the current quote is 0.48% above its session average after the weak close described in the previous note. The rebound remains provisional: early participation is light, the price is near its 52-week high and about 2.6 average daily ranges above its 21-day average, while the earlier earnings-per-share miss still tempers the filing-linked case. A sustained hold above the session average as participation builds would add confirmation.",
        "price": 81.03,
        "pct": 1.33,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": 1.33,
        "return_vs_base_pct": 1.33,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": 2.57,
        "session_day": 3,
        "reference_price": 79.97,
        "reference_text": "$81.03 ยท +1.33% from $79.97 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": true,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-caa63e81a57271f236030f56627a29875547d27432add81734d00bd4af0e4797",
        "price_as_of": null,
        "vwap_as_of": null
      },
      {
        "day": 2,
        "timestamp": "2026-10-03T11:27:23.389058Z",
        "date": "Session 2 ยท Oct 3, 2026 ยท 07:27 NYSE",
        "text": "In its second tracking session, IDT stood at a 2.58% loss after an initial session that rose 5.84%; the $78.98 capture fell 1.25%, sat 0.65% below VWAP and ended in the lower part of the range. Volume remained above average and its 20-session lead over Communication Services was 17.61 points, but the initial public review's call for later sessions to confirm the filing-linked move remains unresolved.",
        "price": 78.98,
        "pct": -2.58,
        "return_vs_entry_pct": -1.24,
        "return_vs_base_pct": -1.24,
        "return_vs_prior_pct": null,
        "previous_regular_close": null,
        "change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.24,
        "session_day": 2,
        "reference_price": 79.97,
        "reference_text": "$78.98 ยท -1.24% from $79.97 base",
        "timing": "",
        "market_marker": null,
        "extended_hours": null,
        "relevant": false,
        "active_relevant": false,
        "terminal_closure": false,
        "transcript_anchor": "",
        "price_as_of": null,
        "vwap_as_of": null
      }
    ],
    "observed_outcomes": [
      {
        "label": "+1 sessions",
        "status": "complete",
        "return": -0.19,
        "reference_text": "-0.19% from $79.97 base",
        "price": 79.98,
        "updated": "Oct 2, 2026 ยท 15:37 NYSE",
        "mfe": 2.07,
        "mae": -3.57
      },
      {
        "label": "+5 sessions",
        "status": "complete",
        "return": 0.1,
        "reference_text": "+0.10% from $79.97 base",
        "price": 80.21,
        "updated": "Oct 7, 2026 ยท 17:34 NYSE",
        "mfe": 2.72,
        "mae": -3.57
      },
      {
        "label": "+10 sessions",
        "status": "complete",
        "return": 1.19,
        "reference_text": "+1.19% from $79.97 base",
        "price": 81.08,
        "updated": "Oct 14, 2026 ยท 17:05 NYSE",
        "mfe": 3.47,
        "mae": -3.57
      },
      {
        "label": "+15 sessions",
        "status": "complete",
        "return": 3.51,
        "reference_text": "+3.51% from $79.97 base",
        "price": 82.94,
        "updated": "Oct 21, 2026 ยท 17:05 NYSE",
        "mfe": 5.53,
        "mae": -3.57
      }
    ],
    "candidate_comparison_history": [
      {
        "day": 2,
        "timestamp": "2026-10-03T11:27:23.389058Z",
        "comparison": {
          "schema_version": "public-candidate-comparison.v1",
          "captured_at": "2026-10-03T11:27:23.389058Z",
          "base_definition": "Candidates use the publication reference; benchmarks use the previous regular close.",
          "source": "sealed_update_market_context + canonical_candidate_snapshot + market_trajectory + public_market_snapshot",
          "rows": [
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              "name": "Connect Biopharma Holdings Limited",
              "ema_trend": "1.17 > 1.46 > 1.8",
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              "selection_as_of": "2026-09-30T20:27:50.961569Z",
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              "vwap_state": "below",
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              "symbol": "AURE",
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              "name": "Aurelion Inc.",
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              "symbol": "CBNK",
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              "extended_hours_pct": null,
              "as_of": "2026-09-30T20:28:04.253218Z",
              "source": "market_trajectory",
              "name": "Capital Bancorp, Inc.",
              "ema_trend": "36.64 > 36.45 > 36.29",
              "vwap_state": "below",
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              "ema_trend": "5.07 > 4.95 > 5.03",
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              "selection_as_of": "2026-09-30T20:28:06.859680Z",
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              "as_of": "2026-09-30T20:28:09.071692Z",
              "source": "market_trajectory",
              "name": "Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited",
              "ema_trend": "2.08 > 2.33 > 2.88",
              "vwap_state": "below",
              "selection_as_of": "2026-09-30T20:28:09.071692Z",
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              "symbol": "AHRT",
              "role": "alternative",
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              "source": "market_trajectory",
              "name": "AH REALTY TRUST INC",
              "ema_trend": "6.08 > 6.24 > 6.49",
              "vwap_state": "above",
              "selection_as_of": "2026-09-30T20:28:13.365440Z",
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              "extended_hours_pct": null,
              "as_of": "2026-09-30T20:28:17.600820Z",
              "source": "market_trajectory",
              "name": "PowerCompute, Inc.",
              "ema_trend": "1.06 > 1.11 > 1.51",
              "vwap_state": "above",
              "selection_as_of": "2026-09-30T20:28:17.600820Z",
              "price_as_of": "2026-09-30T20:28:17.600820Z",
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              "symbol": "HPE-PC",
              "role": "alternative",
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              "source": "market_trajectory",
              "name": "Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co",
              "price_as_of": null,
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            },
            {
              "symbol": "HKD",
              "role": "alternative",
              "price": 1.79,
              "base_price": 1.79,
              "return_since_base_pct": 0.0,
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              "source": "market_trajectory",
              "name": "AMTD Digital Inc.",
              "ema_trend": "1.71 > 1.7 > 1.67",
              "vwap_state": "above",
              "selection_as_of": "2026-09-30T20:28:23.152115Z",
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              "as_of": "2026-09-30T20:28:25.859838Z",
              "source": "market_trajectory",
              "name": "PMV Pharmaceuticals, Inc.",
              "ema_trend": "1.45 > 1.4 > 1.34",
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              "selection_as_of": "2026-09-30T20:28:25.859838Z",
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              "extended_hours_pct": -0.25,
              "as_of": "2026-10-02T22:38:38Z",
              "source": "sealed_extended_quote",
              "name": "United Therapeutics Corporation",
              "ema_trend": "518.18 > 508.73 > 513.12",
              "vwap_state": "below",
              "price_as_of": "2026-10-02T22:38:38Z",
              "vwap_as_of": null
            },
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              "return_since_base_pct": 0.0,
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              "extended_hours_pct": null,
              "as_of": "2026-09-30T20:28:42.724086Z",
              "source": "market_trajectory",
              "name": "OnKure Therapeutics, Inc.",
              "ema_trend": "2.86 > 3.1 > 3.5",
              "vwap_state": "above",
              "selection_as_of": "2026-09-30T20:28:42.724086Z",
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            },
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              "role": "alternative",
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              "base_price": 152.99,
              "return_since_base_pct": 0.0,
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              "vwap": 155.07,
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              "extended_hours_pct": null,
              "as_of": "2026-09-30T20:28:45.469618Z",
              "source": "market_trajectory",
              "name": "Rogers Corporation",
              "ema_trend": "139.13 > 135.08 > 133.1",
              "vwap_state": "below",
              "selection_as_of": "2026-09-30T20:28:45.469618Z",
              "price_as_of": "2026-09-30T20:28:45.469618Z",
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            },
            {
              "symbol": "SGMT",
              "role": "alternative",
              "price": 9.88,
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              "return_since_base_pct": 0.0,
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