SYNA episode 20261003_SYNA_MIDDAY
Public episode JSON embedded as readable text for automated access.
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"published_at": "2026-10-03T16:27:26.890186Z",
"updated_at": "2026-10-23T22:17:02Z",
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"instrument": {
"type": "equity",
"symbol": "SYNA",
"exchange": "NASDAQ",
"name": "Synaptics Incorporated"
},
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"status": "ok",
"reference_price": 121.33,
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"public_content": {
"date": "October 3, 2026",
"generated_at": "2026-10-03T16:27:26.890186Z",
"original_published_at": null,
"session_tag": "midday",
"label": "Market coverage",
"try_label": "Raw Try",
"public_status": "Raw Try",
"why_today": "The revised $123 all-cash offer produced a sharp, high-volume repricing. The evidence supports following the transaction status, but does not establish that it will close or that the share price has a favorable 15-session path.",
"entry_reasoning": "Panel thesis: Synaptics is a researchable transaction case: the disclosed move to a $123 all-cash offer coincided with a sharp, high-volume repricing. The next 15 sessions can test whether public transaction updates support that consideration and whether the market continues to price the event around it. Invalidation boundary: A formal termination or material revision of the $123 consideration, or a disclosed closing obstacle that invalidates the stated terms, falsifies the transaction thesis. A sustained move away from the offer context without new supporting transaction information would also weaken it.",
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"score": 4,
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"change": 14.3,
"volume": 6243569,
"average_volume": 707061,
"volume_ratio": 8.83,
"rsi": 76.45,
"ema_trend": "104.64 > 101.01 > 103.41",
"position_52w": 81.09,
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"status": "healthy"
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"status": "strong",
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"etf": "XLK",
"status": "green"
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"short_pct_float": 10.84,
"days_to_cover": 3.59,
"catalyst": "Top Midday Gainers",
"sector": "Technology",
"exchange": "NASDAQ",
"sec_signal": "INSIDER_SELL (S/F)"
},
"levels": {
"reference": 121.33,
"downside": 113.22,
"upside_1": 129.43,
"upside_2": 137.53
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"review": {
"score": 4,
"status": "Raw Try",
"summary": "The revised $123 all-cash offer produced a sharp, high-volume repricing. The evidence supports following the transaction status, but does not establish that it will close or that the share price has a favorable 15-session path.",
"views": [
{
"name": "Elena Vartanyan",
"role": "independent statistical auditor",
"icon": "🎯",
"view": "Before the names, the shared picture is constructive: all three supplied equity benchmarks were higher and the VIX was lower. But breadth was unavailable, so we cannot say how many individual stocks joined the move.",
"reasoning": "I retain the provisional Raw Try on SYNA. The corrected figures reduce the apparent weight of the historical downside sample, and corrected PL data improves that alternative, but neither correction removes SYNA's proximity to the cash consideration or resolves completion risk. The selected identity and case remain unchanged."
},
{
"name": "Marcus Feld",
"role": "information, fundamentals and catalyst analyst",
"icon": "🦊",
"view": "The jobs report gives that backdrop some texture. Payrolls rose by 29,000, and July and August were revised down by 60,000 combined. That may affect rate expectations; it says nothing by itself about any one company's demand.",
"reasoning": "That makes PL's in-cut price response stronger than our prior comparison said, though its volume ratio was lower. The launch and prototype test remain a technical event; the supplied record still does not connect them to a customer order or recurring revenue."
},
{
"name": "Kenji Osei",
"role": "AI Systems & Market Data Integrity Analyst",
"icon": "🧠",
"view": "The 10-year yield finished the captured snapshot at 5.277%, up 4 basis points, after the public market report described a brief dip and rebound. So the rates signal was mixed even on a day when the broad indexes were up.",
"reasoning": "Correction accepted. SYNA's historical H15 adverse-MAE distribution is the eight-case result: median −4.14%, P10 −11.82%. The separate SEC-aware modeled output is P50 −7.88%, P10 −25.06%; it has no supplied eight-case count, and its SEC inputs are not established as point-in-time."
},
{
"name": "Nate Brooks",
"role": "market structure and timing analyst",
"icon": "📈",
"view": "The regular-session observation was above VWAP. That is the session's average traded price, weighted by volume; being above it means the stock traded above that average at the observation, not that the level guarantees future support.",
"reasoning": "There is also a date correction for PL. The October 2 regular-session trajectory records +9.197899% on approximately 1.36 times average volume. The +8.43% and 1.7 times figures came from an October 3 capture and must not be presented as October 2 evidence."
},
{
"name": "Priya Nandakumar",
"role": "institutional risk and execution manager",
"icon": "🛡️",
"view": "That asymmetry keeps me from calling it Try of the Day. The useful question is narrower: do the terms remain intact, and do subsequent public updates support completion? A model estimate cannot resolve that.",
"reasoning": "For SYNA, the active H3, H8, and H15 positive-return estimates are 46.0%, 47.3%, and 48.3%. They are model estimates, not deal-success odds. The separate adverse-tail outputs and their limitations need to stay beside them if we mention them."
}
],
"conviction": {
"status_phrase": "recorded",
"basis": "Editorial confidence in the provisional Raw Try resolution, not a return forecast. The corrected SYNA historical adverse-MAE figures are less severe than the prior presentation implied, while the separate modeled tail remains wide and has unvalidated point-in-time SEC inputs. PL's corrected in-cut move strengthens that alternative but does not establish its commercial mechanism. The selection remains testable, with substantial transaction uncertainty.",
"risk": "",
"resolution_pct": 58.0,
"counter_case_pct": 27.0,
"unresolved_pct": 15.0
},
"context_roundtable": {
"mode": "coffee",
"status": "complete",
"consulted_voice_ids": [
"elena",
"marcus",
"kenji",
"priya",
"nate"
],
"summary": "September payroll growth was weak and prior months were revised down, while the supplied major indexes rose and the VIX fell. The 10-year yield rebounded into the close, and breadth data was unavailable. The mixed backdrop frames the day but does not explain a company-specific transaction repricing.",
"long_read": "The September employment report recorded 29,000 payroll additions, unemployment of 4.2%, and a combined 60,000 downward revision to July and August. The supplied post-session snapshot showed gains in the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Russell 2000, alongside a lower VIX. That combination describes a firmer index tape, but unavailable breadth means we cannot tell how widely individual stocks participated. The 10-year yield was 5.277%, with a reported daily change of +4 basis points; public reporting described an earlier dip below 5.17% followed by a rebound. A basis point is 0.01 percentage point, so four basis points is a 0.04 percentage-point move. The VIX level of 15.31, down 6.59%, indicates lower option-priced expectations of near-term index swings, not an assurance that risk has disappeared. This context can inform how an event-driven move sits within the day's market, but it cannot establish why SYNA repriced or whether its transaction will close.",
"transcript": [
{
"speaker_id": "elena",
"text": "The September report showed only 29,000 payroll additions, and July and August were revised down by 60,000 combined. That is a softer labor signal, though one report alone does not settle the economic outlook.",
"source_urls": [
"https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm"
]
},
{
"speaker_id": "marcus",
"text": "Against that report, the supplied snapshot had the S&P 500 up 0.73%, the Nasdaq 100 up 1.00%, and the Russell 2000 up 0.94%. The equity tape held firm, but those index moves do not tell us how many individual shares advanced."
},
{
"speaker_id": "nate",
"text": "That distinction matters: an index can rise because of its larger constituents while many other stocks lag. Here the validated breadth measure was unavailable, so we cannot call participation broad."
},
{
"speaker_id": "kenji",
"text": "The 10-year Treasury row reports a level of 5.277% and a change of +4 basis points. Those are different things: one is the yield reading; the other is its reported move."
},
{
"speaker_id": "marcus",
"text": "Can we put four basis points into ordinary terms for readers?"
},
{
"speaker_id": "kenji",
"text": "One basis point is 0.01 percentage point, so +4 basis points means the yield moved up 0.04 percentage point from its comparison level. The snapshot's prior level was 5.237%. AP also reported that the yield briefly dipped below 5.17% before rebounding to about 5.28%, making the path uneven.",
"source_urls": [
"https://apnews.com/article/stocks-markets-bonds-us-oil-a2b99562febc21d84955e243c87f5d31"
]
},
{
"speaker_id": "priya",
"text": "The VIX was 15.31, down 6.59%. It is derived from S&P 500 options and reflects priced expectations for near-term swings; a lower reading means less volatility was priced, not that losses are impossible."
},
{
"speaker_id": "elena",
"text": "So the day combined a softer jobs report, stronger supplied index readings, and calmer option pricing, with yields rebounding. That is a mixed set of forces rather than one clean macro signal.",
"source_urls": [
"https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"https://apnews.com/article/stocks-markets-bonds-us-oil-a2b99562febc21d84955e243c87f5d31"
]
},
{
"speaker_id": "nate",
"text": "For the selected SYNA case, the broad tape is useful background, but the recorded repricing followed a company-specific cash-offer change. The market snapshot cannot tell us whether that transaction will close."
}
],
"source_urls": [
"https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"https://apnews.com/article/stocks-markets-bonds-us-oil-a2b99562febc21d84955e243c87f5d31"
]
},
"context_roundtable_sources": [
{
"event_id": null,
"headline": "THE EMPLOYMENT SITUATION - SEPTEMBER 2026",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"publisher": "U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics",
"source_quality": "primary",
"public_safe": true,
"published_at": null,
"available_at": null
},
{
"event_id": null,
"headline": "US stocks rise near their record after the latest jobs report eases worries about inflation",
"url": "https://apnews.com/article/stocks-markets-bonds-us-oil-a2b99562febc21d84955e243c87f5d31",
"publisher": "Associated Press",
"source_quality": "trusted_reporting",
"public_safe": true,
"published_at": null,
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"updates": [
{
"day": 15,
"timestamp": "2026-10-23T22:17:02Z",
"date": "Session 15 · Oct 23, 2026 · 18:17 NASDAQ",
"text": "The session-15 capture is $117.26, up 0.19% from the previous regular close at $117.04. The canonical session-15 outcome remains pending, so this capture is not a final tracked return; SYNA remains below both the $121.62 entry and the $123 offer. The dossier contains no later transaction disclosure, and no separate extended-hours quote or current momentum, trend, or one-year-range reading was available. The public tracking window ends here; the outcome record remains pending.",
"price": 117.26,
"pct": -3.58,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -3.35,
"return_vs_base_pct": -3.35,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.19,
"session_day": 15,
"reference_price": 121.33,
"reference_text": "$117.26 · -3.35% from $121.33 base",
"timing": "",
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"relevant": true,
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"terminal_closure": true,
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"price_as_of": "2026-10-02T22:42:26Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 14,
"timestamp": "2026-10-22T22:03:59.158277Z",
"date": "Session 14 · Oct 22, 2026 · 18:03 NASDAQ",
"text": "By session 14, the tracked loss widened 0.19 points to 3.77%; shares fell 0.39% to $117.04 below VWAP on 1.24 times average volume. The 20-session lead over Technology remains 27.23 points, but price is still below the $123 cash offer and the prepared record adds no new transaction evidence, leaving completion risk unresolved.",
"price": 117.04,
"pct": -3.77,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -3.54,
"return_vs_base_pct": -3.54,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.18,
"session_day": 14,
"reference_price": 121.33,
"reference_text": "$117.04 · -3.54% from $121.33 base",
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"price_as_of": "2026-10-22T20:43:52Z",
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{
"day": 14,
"timestamp": "2026-10-22T20:06:01.292643Z",
"date": "Session 14 · Oct 22, 2026 · 16:06 NASDAQ",
"text": "SYNA's tracked loss edged to 3.58% on session 14 as shares slipped 0.21% to $117.26, just below VWAP on 0.81 times average volume. The 20-session lead over Technology widened to 27.52 points, but shares remain below the announced $123 all-cash offer and the prepared record adds no new transaction evidence. Relative market strength persists; the offer terms and any formal closing update remain the central test.",
"price": 117.255,
"pct": -3.58,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -3.36,
"return_vs_base_pct": -3.36,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.2,
"session_day": 14,
"reference_price": 121.33,
"reference_text": "$117.25 · -3.36% from $121.33 base",
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"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
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"price_as_of": "2026-10-22T19:21:50.306215Z",
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{
"day": 13,
"timestamp": "2026-10-21T21:52:09.984454Z",
"date": "Session 13 · Oct 21, 2026 · 17:52 NASDAQ",
"text": "SYNA improved just 0.01 points to a -3.39% tracked loss on session 13. The latest quote was $117.50, nearly flat and just above VWAP, but still below the $123 all-cash offer. Its twenty-session return remains 23.26 points ahead of Technology; no new transaction evidence changes the offer terms as the central test.",
"price": 117.5,
"pct": -3.39,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -3.16,
"return_vs_base_pct": -3.16,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.01,
"session_day": 13,
"reference_price": 121.33,
"reference_text": "$117.50 · -3.16% from $121.33 base",
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"relevant": false,
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"price_as_of": "2026-10-21T20:00:48Z",
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{
"day": 13,
"timestamp": "2026-10-21T00:35:42.551065Z",
"date": "Session 13 · Oct 20, 2026 · 20:35 NASDAQ",
"text": "SYNA's tracked loss remained 3.40% on session 13 as shares edged up 0.37% to $117.48, still below the $123 all-cash offer and 0.13% under VWAP. Its 20-session lead over Technology remains 27.31 points, but this small repair adds no transaction evidence; the announced offer terms remain the thesis's central support and test.",
"price": 117.48,
"pct": -3.4,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -3.17,
"return_vs_base_pct": -3.17,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.04,
"session_day": 13,
"reference_price": 121.33,
"reference_text": "$117.48 · -3.17% from $121.33 base",
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"price_as_of": "2026-10-20T21:21:57Z",
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{
"day": 12,
"timestamp": "2026-10-20T23:09:38.954691Z",
"date": "Session 12 · Oct 20, 2026 · 19:09 NASDAQ",
"text": "SYNA tracked loss narrowed 0.36 points to 3.40% as shares rose 0.33% to $117.44 on 1.03 times average volume, still below the $123 all-cash offer and 0.13% below VWAP. The 20-session return remains 25.83 points above Technology, but this modest price repair adds no new transaction evidence and leaves the disclosed offer terms as the central test.",
"price": 117.44,
"pct": -3.4,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -3.21,
"return_vs_base_pct": -3.21,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.32,
"session_day": 12,
"reference_price": 121.33,
"reference_text": "$117.44 · -3.21% from $121.33 base",
"timing": "",
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"relevant": false,
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"terminal_closure": false,
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"price_as_of": "2026-10-20T19:32:17.054310Z",
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{
"day": 11,
"timestamp": "2026-10-19T22:18:33.852516Z",
"date": "Session 11 · Oct 19, 2026 · 18:18 NASDAQ",
"text": "SYNA's tracked loss widened 0.34 percentage points to 3.76% as the quote slipped 0.11%, sat 0.05% below VWAP, and traded on 0.93 times average volume. Shares remain below the all-cash offer despite a 27.31-point 20-session lead over Technology; the transaction frame remains intact, but today's tape adds little confirmation.",
"price": 117.05,
"pct": -3.76,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -3.53,
"return_vs_base_pct": -3.53,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.3,
"session_day": 11,
"reference_price": 121.33,
"reference_text": "$117.05 · -3.53% from $121.33 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
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"price_as_of": "2026-10-19T21:28:11Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
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{
"day": 11,
"timestamp": "2026-10-19T20:01:22.532593Z",
"date": "Session 11 · Oct 19, 2026 · 16:01 NASDAQ",
"text": "SYNA's tracked loss narrowed 0.23 points to 3.42%; the quote rose 0.20% to $117.41 but sat 0.05% below VWAP on 0.54 times normal volume. Shares remain below the $123 all-cash offer, and the 20-session lead over Technology is 27.50 points; the transaction thesis holds as a watch question, with closing and stated consideration unconfirmed.",
"price": 117.41,
"pct": -3.42,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -3.23,
"return_vs_base_pct": -3.23,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.19,
"session_day": 11,
"reference_price": 121.33,
"reference_text": "$117.41 · -3.23% from $121.33 base",
"timing": "",
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"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
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"terminal_closure": false,
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"price_as_of": "2026-10-19T19:21:30.182691Z",
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{
"day": 10,
"timestamp": "2026-10-16T22:05:46.997787Z",
"date": "Session 10 · Oct 16, 2026 · 18:05 NASDAQ",
"text": "SYNA's tracked loss widened 0.30 points to 3.65%, while the latest close held 0.06% above VWAP on 1.49 times normal volume. Price remains below the 123-dollar all-cash offer, and the 20-session Technology lead is 29.08 points; that cushion supports the transaction frame, but completion and the stated consideration are still unconfirmed.",
"price": 117.18,
"pct": -3.65,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -3.42,
"return_vs_base_pct": -3.42,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.21,
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"reference_price": 121.33,
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"price_as_of": "2026-10-16T21:21:26Z",
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{
"day": 10,
"timestamp": "2026-10-16T20:10:20.041346Z",
"date": "Session 10 · Oct 16, 2026 · 16:10 NASDAQ",
"text": "The tracked loss for SYNA widened 0.02 points to 3.35%, while the latest quote slipped 0.10% and held 0.06% above the volume-weighted average on 1.22x normal volume. Price remains about 4.5% below the $123 cash offer and leads Technology by 29.22 points over 20 sessions; completion is still unconfirmed.",
"price": 117.435,
"pct": -3.35,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -3.21,
"return_vs_base_pct": -3.21,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.25,
"session_day": 10,
"reference_price": 121.33,
"reference_text": "$117.44 · -3.21% from $121.33 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-16T19:21:22.647785Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
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{
"day": 10,
"timestamp": "2026-10-16T14:22:44.863836Z",
"date": "Session 10 · Oct 16, 2026 · 10:22 NASDAQ",
"text": "SYNA's tracked loss narrowed just 0.02 points to 3.33%, and the latest quote held 0.12% above VWAP. It remains about 4.3% below the $123 cash offer; its 20-session lead over Technology is still 28.20 points, but there is no new evidence of completion or lower deal risk, so the transaction outcome remains unresolved.",
"price": 117.74,
"pct": -3.33,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -2.96,
"return_vs_base_pct": -2.96,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.16,
"session_day": 10,
"reference_price": 121.33,
"reference_text": "$117.74 · -2.96% from $121.33 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-16T14:06:07.820265Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 9,
"timestamp": "2026-10-15T22:11:08.841470Z",
"date": "Session 9 · Oct 15, 2026 · 18:11 NASDAQ",
"text": "SYNA's tracked loss narrowed by 0.22 percentage points to 3.35%, while the latest quote was nearly flat at +0.16% on 2.18 times average volume. Price remains about 4.4% below the $123 cash offer, leaving deal value as an anchor but no new evidence of completion or reduced deal risk. The transaction repricing persists, while the close and its durability remain unresolved.",
"price": 117.55,
"pct": -3.35,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -3.12,
"return_vs_base_pct": -3.12,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.28,
"session_day": 9,
"reference_price": 121.33,
"reference_text": "$117.55 · -3.12% from $121.33 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-15T20:00:26Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 9,
"timestamp": "2026-10-15T20:17:04.955488Z",
"date": "Session 9 · Oct 15, 2026 · 16:17 NASDAQ",
"text": "SYNA's tracked loss narrowed 0.11 points to 3.57%; the latest quote was nearly flat but sat just below VWAP, and price remains about 4.7% under the cash offer. Its 20-session lead over Technology is still 27.90 points, so the transaction repricing remains intact, though no deal update has narrowed the gap.",
"price": 117.2,
"pct": -3.57,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -3.4,
"return_vs_base_pct": -3.4,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.06,
"session_day": 9,
"reference_price": 121.33,
"reference_text": "$117.20 · -3.40% from $121.33 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-15T19:21:33.629030Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 9,
"timestamp": "2026-10-15T15:34:01.783351Z",
"date": "Session 9 · Oct 15, 2026 · 11:34 NASDAQ",
"text": "SYNA's tracked loss widened 0.18 points to 3.68% as shares slipped 0.19% and traded 0.10% below VWAP near the lower third of the range. The price remains about 4.8% below the $123 all-cash offer; its 20-session lead over Technology is 29.52 points, but that strength still does not establish deal completion.",
"price": 117.135,
"pct": -3.68,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -3.46,
"return_vs_base_pct": -3.46,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.19,
"session_day": 9,
"reference_price": 121.33,
"reference_text": "$117.14 · -3.46% from $121.33 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-15T14:06:44.673876Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 8,
"timestamp": "2026-10-14T21:43:12.472969Z",
"date": "Session 8 · Oct 14, 2026 · 17:43 NASDAQ",
"text": "SYNA's tracked loss widened 0.33 points to 3.50%; shares fell 1.74% at the latest regular-session cut and remained 4.6% below the 123 all-cash offer, with after-hours trading unchanged. Its 20-session lead over XLK remains 27.98 points, but that relative strength does not close the offer gap or establish that the transaction will finish. No new transaction disclosure in this handoff changes that completion risk.",
"price": 117.36,
"pct": -3.5,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -3.27,
"return_vs_base_pct": -3.27,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.35,
"session_day": 8,
"reference_price": 121.33,
"reference_text": "$117.36 · -3.27% from $121.33 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-14T20:00:37Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 8,
"timestamp": "2026-10-14T20:37:20.147882Z",
"date": "Session 8 · Oct 14, 2026 · 16:37 NASDAQ",
"text": "Synaptics' tracked loss narrowed 0.13 points to 3.17% as shares hovered just above VWAP after a 1.38% daily decline; its 20-session lead over Technology remains 28.34 points. The $123 all-cash offer still exceeds the $117.79 capture, and neither relative strength nor higher volume answers whether the transaction will close.",
"price": 117.79,
"pct": -3.17,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -2.92,
"return_vs_base_pct": -2.92,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.17,
"session_day": 8,
"reference_price": 121.33,
"reference_text": "$117.79 · -2.92% from $121.33 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-14T19:41:13.876792Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 8,
"timestamp": "2026-10-14T14:34:29.896296Z",
"date": "Session 8 · Oct 14, 2026 · 10:34 NASDAQ",
"text": "SYNA's tracked return fell 1.51 points to -3.30% as shares fell 1.56% at the capture, traded 0.34% below the session average near the low on almost three times normal early-session pace; its 20-session return still leads Technology by 26.49 points, but price is about 4.4% below the $123 cash offer. The model puts same-direction persistence at 47.2% by session 15 with a near-zero median and a wide range; it cannot settle whether the deal closes.",
"price": 117.58,
"pct": -3.3,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -3.09,
"return_vs_base_pct": -3.09,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -1.53,
"session_day": 8,
"reference_price": 121.33,
"reference_text": "$117.58 · -3.09% from $121.33 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": true,
"active_relevant": true,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "transcript-entry-ec17e354068437d4d29eab8a9009944dab7cd24c3d20f1e0aeaa4deae2881de4",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-14T14:06:37.850462Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 7,
"timestamp": "2026-10-13T21:48:04.367685Z",
"date": "Session 7 · Oct 13, 2026 · 17:48 NASDAQ",
"text": "SYNA's tracked loss narrowed by 0.05 points to 1.79% as shares edged up 0.03% and sat 0.16% above VWAP; dollar turnover was 0.53 times average. Its 15.91-point lead over Technology remains, but price stays below the $123 all-cash offer and the quiet tape adds no evidence on whether the transaction will close.",
"price": 119.44,
"pct": -1.79,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -1.56,
"return_vs_base_pct": -1.56,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.04,
"session_day": 7,
"reference_price": 121.33,
"reference_text": "$119.44 · -1.56% from $121.33 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-13T21:04:28Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 7,
"timestamp": "2026-10-13T20:08:11.084667Z",
"date": "Session 7 · Oct 13, 2026 · 16:08 NASDAQ",
"text": "SYNA’s tracked loss widened 0.07 points to 1.84% as shares were nearly flat at -0.01%, barely above VWAP, on 0.52 times average volume. Its 15.94-point 20-session lead over Technology remains strong, but this quiet tape does not clarify the $123 all-cash offer’s path to closing.",
"price": 119.385,
"pct": -1.84,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -1.6,
"return_vs_base_pct": -1.6,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.01,
"session_day": 7,
"reference_price": 121.33,
"reference_text": "$119.39 · -1.60% from $121.33 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-13T19:24:51.998952Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 7,
"timestamp": "2026-10-13T15:28:46.078153Z",
"date": "Session 7 · Oct 13, 2026 · 11:28 NASDAQ",
"text": "SYNA's tracked loss narrowed 0.06 percentage points to 1.77%; shares were nearly flat at -0.02% and only 0.05% above the day's volume-weighted average price. Its 20-session lead over Technology holds at 16.09 points. That relative strength keeps the transaction repricing intact, but this observation offers no new confirmation about the $123 cash offer or its path to closing.",
"price": 119.375,
"pct": -1.77,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -1.61,
"return_vs_base_pct": -1.61,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.02,
"session_day": 7,
"reference_price": 121.33,
"reference_text": "$119.38 · -1.61% from $121.33 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-13T14:06:26.349567Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 6,
"timestamp": "2026-10-12T22:07:40.548781Z",
"date": "Session 6 · Oct 12, 2026 · 18:07 NASDAQ",
"text": "SYNA's tracked loss widened 0.12 points to 1.83% as shares fell 0.35% to $119.40, below the $123 all-cash offer, and closed under the volume-weighted average price on 0.68 times average volume. Its 19.04-point 20-session lead over Technology persists, but the packet adds no transaction progress, leaving the completion risk unchanged.",
"price": 119.4,
"pct": -1.83,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -1.59,
"return_vs_base_pct": -1.59,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.15,
"session_day": 6,
"reference_price": 121.33,
"reference_text": "$119.40 · -1.59% from $121.33 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-12T20:00:43Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 6,
"timestamp": "2026-10-12T20:18:25.934042Z",
"date": "Session 6 · Oct 12, 2026 · 16:18 NASDAQ",
"text": "SYNA's tracked loss narrowed by 0.32 points to 1.64%, but shares slipped 0.20% and stayed 0.13% below VWAP on 0.38 times average volume. The price remains below the $123 cash offer and the packet contains no new transaction progress; the modest improvement in the tracked result does not change the deal's unresolved completion risk.",
"price": 119.58,
"pct": -1.71,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -1.44,
"return_vs_base_pct": -1.44,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.04,
"session_day": 6,
"reference_price": 121.33,
"reference_text": "$119.58 · -1.44% from $121.33 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-12T18:48:37.209746Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 6,
"timestamp": "2026-10-12T19:45:24.077258Z",
"date": "Session 6 · Oct 12, 2026 · 15:45 NASDAQ",
"text": "SYNA's tracked loss narrowed 0.25 percentage points to 1.71%, yet shares remain below the USD 123 cash offer and 0.15% under their volume-weighted average price on 0.41 times average volume. Its 19.41-point 20-session lead over Technology still reflects the transaction repricing, but the packet adds no offer progress, leaving the price gap and the transaction outcome unresolved.",
"price": 119.535,
"pct": -1.71,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -1.48,
"return_vs_base_pct": -1.48,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.15,
"session_day": 6,
"reference_price": 121.33,
"reference_text": "$119.53 · -1.48% from $121.33 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-12T19:23:05.083706Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 5,
"timestamp": "2026-10-09T14:49:22.706300Z",
"date": "Session 5 · Oct 9, 2026 · 10:49 NASDAQ",
"text": "SYNA tracked loss narrowed 0.13 points to 1.96%, while the quote rose 0.23% but remains 0.25% below VWAP; volume is 0.57 times average. Its twenty-session lead over Technology remains 12.68 points, but the share price stays below the $123 cash offer and the packet contains no new transaction progress.",
"price": 119.35,
"pct": -1.96,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -1.63,
"return_vs_base_pct": -1.63,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.22,
"session_day": 5,
"reference_price": 121.33,
"reference_text": "$119.35 · -1.63% from $121.33 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-09T14:06:45.252947Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 4,
"timestamp": "2026-10-08T21:54:08.301453Z",
"date": "Session 4 · Oct 8, 2026 · 17:54 NASDAQ",
"text": "SYNA's tracked loss narrowed 0.20 points to 2.09%; shares slipped 0.32% to $119.08, below the $123 cash offer and 0.12% below VWAP on 1.12 times average volume. Its 20-session lead over Technology remains 20.62 points, but the supplied evidence contains no new offer-progress update, leaving the outcome transaction-dependent.",
"price": 119.08,
"pct": -2.09,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -1.85,
"return_vs_base_pct": -1.85,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.12,
"session_day": 4,
"reference_price": 121.33,
"reference_text": "$119.08 · -1.85% from $121.33 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-08T21:16:23Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 4,
"timestamp": "2026-10-08T20:16:29.476703Z",
"date": "Session 4 · Oct 8, 2026 · 16:16 NASDAQ",
"text": "SYNA's tracked loss widened 0.67 points from -1.78% as shares slipped 0.44% to $118.94, below the $123 cash offer and 0.23% below VWAP. Its 20-session lead over Technology remains 20.73 points, but relative strength does not establish transaction progress; the supplied evidence still has no update on whether the offer will close.",
"price": 118.94,
"pct": -2.29,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -1.97,
"return_vs_base_pct": -1.97,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.35,
"session_day": 4,
"reference_price": 121.33,
"reference_text": "$118.94 · -1.97% from $121.33 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-08T19:22:13.087729Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 4,
"timestamp": "2026-10-08T15:02:19.267359Z",
"date": "Session 4 · Oct 8, 2026 · 11:02 NASDAQ",
"text": "SYNA tracked loss narrowed 0.16 points to -1.62% while shares were nearly flat at $119.36 on 0.09 times average volume. Price remained $3.64 below the $123 cash offer but 0.02% above VWAP; the 19.53-point lead over Technology still measures market strength, not whether the transaction will close.",
"price": 119.36,
"pct": -1.62,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -1.62,
"return_vs_base_pct": -1.62,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.08,
"session_day": 4,
"reference_price": 121.33,
"reference_text": "$119.36 · -1.62% from $121.33 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-08T14:06:42.195821Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 3,
"timestamp": "2026-10-07T22:09:27.035628Z",
"date": "Session 3 · Oct 7, 2026 · 18:09 NASDAQ",
"text": "On session 3, SYNA tracked loss narrowed 0.09 points to -1.78%, while shares were nearly flat at $119.46 and remained below the $123 cash offer. Price sat 0.08% above VWAP on 0.86 times average volume; SYNA still led Technology by 19.98 points over twenty sessions. No transaction update resolves whether the offer will close, so the relative-strength record remains separate from completion evidence.",
"price": 119.46,
"pct": -1.78,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -1.54,
"return_vs_base_pct": -1.54,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.16,
"session_day": 3,
"reference_price": 121.33,
"reference_text": "$119.46 · -1.54% from $121.33 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-07T20:01:10Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 3,
"timestamp": "2026-10-07T20:38:03.768060Z",
"date": "Session 3 · Oct 7, 2026 · 16:38 NASDAQ",
"text": "SYNA's tracked loss widened just 0.02 points to -1.87%. The $119.27 capture stayed below the $123 cash offer and VWAP, with only 0.59 times average volume, while the twenty-session lead over Technology remains 20.70 points. The relative record is strong, but this cut brings no transaction update that resolves whether the offer will close.",
"price": 119.265,
"pct": -1.87,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -1.7,
"return_vs_base_pct": -1.7,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.22,
"session_day": 3,
"reference_price": 121.33,
"reference_text": "$119.27 · -1.70% from $121.33 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-07T19:21:41.146640Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 3,
"timestamp": "2026-10-07T15:10:10.050950Z",
"date": "Session 3 · Oct 7, 2026 · 11:10 NASDAQ",
"text": "SYNA's tracked loss barely improved, to -1.85% from -1.86%. The $119.53 capture rose 0.12%, held 0.21% above the session average near the upper part of its range, and leaves the price below the $123 cash offer; its 20-session lead over Technology is 20.70 points. The steadier tape preserves relative strength, but the prepared record contains no transaction update confirming that the offer will close.",
"price": 119.5325,
"pct": -1.85,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -1.48,
"return_vs_base_pct": -1.48,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": 0.22,
"session_day": 3,
"reference_price": 121.33,
"reference_text": "$119.53 · -1.48% from $121.33 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-07T14:06:33.450164Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 2,
"timestamp": "2026-10-06T20:03:38.610041Z",
"date": "Session 2 · Oct 6, 2026 · 16:03 NASDAQ",
"text": "SYNA's tracked loss widened 0.28 points to -1.86%. The $119.27 capture fell 0.38%, traded 0.34% below VWAP near the bottom of its range and came with accelerating intraday activity. It remains below the disclosed $123 all-cash offer, while its 20-session lead over Technology persists. No transaction update in the prepared evidence resolves whether the offer will close.",
"price": 119.27,
"pct": -1.86,
"return_vs_entry_pct": -1.7,
"return_vs_base_pct": -1.7,
"return_vs_prior_pct": null,
"previous_regular_close": null,
"change_vs_prior_session_pct": -0.27,
"session_day": 2,
"reference_price": 121.33,
"reference_text": "$119.27 · -1.70% from $121.33 base",
"timing": "",
"market_marker": null,
"extended_hours": null,
"relevant": false,
"active_relevant": false,
"terminal_closure": false,
"transcript_anchor": "",
"price_as_of": "2026-10-06T19:21:35.651397Z",
"vwap_as_of": null
},
{
"day": 2,
"timestamp": "2026-10-06T15:47:38.799412Z",
"date": "Session 2 · Oct 6, 2026 · 11:47 NASDAQ",
"text": "SYNA tracked loss widened only 0.03 points to 1.58%, with the $119.60 capture still below the $123 all-cash offer. Its 20-session lead over Technology remains 18.29 points, but the 3.42-ATR extension and current price gap leave the transaction outcome unresolved; the offer remains a catalyst rather than a confirmed close.",
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"date": "Session 1 · Oct 5, 2026 · 18:36 NASDAQ",
"text": "SYNA's tracked loss widened slightly, from 1.51% to 1.55%; the $119.73 capture fell 1.13%, below VWAP on 2.83 times expected volume. It remains 13.66 points ahead of Technology over 20 sessions, but the heavy-volume pullback leaves the first-session reaction weak. The $123 all-cash offer remains the catalyst, not evidence that the acquisition will close.",
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"date": "Session 1 · Oct 5, 2026 · 16:28 NASDAQ",
"text": "SYNA's tracked loss widened 0.20 points to 1.51%. The $119.74 capture fell 1.13%, sat 0.16% below VWAP and near the range low despite 2.83 times expected volume; it still leads Technology by 13.57 points over 20 sessions. The $123 all-cash offer remains the catalyst, but the first-session pullback and heavy activity make the price response less supportive without resolving whether the transaction closes.",
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"timestamp": "2026-10-05T15:28:27.429494Z",
"date": "Session 1 · Oct 5, 2026 · 11:28 NASDAQ",
"text": "On its first tracking session, SYNA is down 1.31%; the $120.20 capture sits 0.16% below VWAP despite 1.61 time-adjusted volume, while its twenty-session lead over Technology stands at 14.51 points. The $123 all-cash offer remains the thesis; the early pullback does not resolve transaction terms or completion.",
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