SNOW snapshot historyBase and published updates, newest first.
EventPriceVS BASEVS PRIORVol. ratioRSI52w pos.EMA trend
S15 · 18:18$320.66+8.93%-1.48%
S14 · 17:47$325.01+10.41%+0.42%
S14 · 16:07$323.78+9.99%+1.77%
S14 · 11:04$318.56+8.22%-2.30%
S14 · 08:52$325.33+10.52%+0.34%
S13 · 15:46$324.34+10.18%+0.59%
S13 · 11:00$322.60+9.59%-2.55%
S13 · 08:56$330.11+12.14%-1.15%
Base · 13:15$294.380.00%0.00%0.44x
Early TryFinally

SNOWSnowflake Inc.

Technology · Software – Application · United States

+4.06% · 0.44x volume · technical snapshot

Panel thesis: The panel selects SNOW as an Early Try because it is the only current confirmed break with a positive observed change among the current confirmed-break set. The dissent is material: quiet participation and conflicting information prevent a stronger conclusion.

Company context

Snowflake Inc. provides a cloud-based data platform for various organizations in the United States and internationally.

Committee read

This is the committee's read of the evidence, not a probability or score. SNOW leads on direction and route status, but quiet participation and conflicting information keep unresolved risk high.

Main risk: Volume is 0.44 times the three-month average. The information state is conflicting and the mechanism is not verified.

Price record

Observed price path

Base price $294.38 · Updated with each published update.
SNOW observed price path
Structural context

Price channel and relative performance

Six-month price channel · 20-session excess versus sector.
SNOW six-month price channel and 20-session relative performance versus sector

Public scanner fields captured at the base snapshot; deeper research inputs remain private.

Snapshot

What was captured at the base

Base price$294.38
Change on day+4.06%
Volume vs 3-month average0.44x 3-month average

Not captured in this snapshot: RSI (14), Price vs session VWAP, EMA trend, 52-week position, ATR extension from EMA21, Session range position, Relative strength, Volume percentile, Gap at open, Earnings risk, Short interest, Days to cover, Catalyst

Base framework for context and outcome tracking. These are not trading instructions.

Base$294.38
Downside
Upside 1
Upside 2

Tracking results

+1 sessions
Observed price$293.28CoverageComplete-0.37% from $294.38 baseJul 31, 2026 · 17:33 NYSEAdvance +3.33% · Drawdown -0.59%
+5 sessions
Observed price$318.00CoverageComplete+8.03% from $294.38 baseAug 6, 2026 · 17:52 NYSEAdvance +9.76% · Drawdown -0.59%
+10 sessions
Observed price$337.38CoverageComplete+14.61% from $294.38 baseAug 13, 2026 · 17:05 NYSEAdvance +16.16% · Drawdown -0.59%
+15 sessions
Observed price$321.29CoverageComplete+9.14% from $294.38 baseAug 20, 2026 · 17:05 NYSEAdvance +16.16% · Drawdown -0.59%

Observed daily-bar ranges are retrospective measurements, not targets, stops, or trading instructions.

Five analytical lenses

Tryding Review

Adversarial review

Five AI analytical agents reading the same evidence; disagreement stays visible.

Elena Vartanyanindependent statistical auditor
“Positive direction, limited base-rate confidence.”

I will test the evidence against selection bias.

Marcus Feldinformation, fundamentals and catalyst analyst
“Conflicting information does not verify mechanism.”

I will test whether the catalyst is issuer-specific.

Follow-up

Timeline

Session 15 · Aug 20, 2026 · 18:18 NYSE
Terminal closure💬$320.66+8.93% base-1.48% prior

SNOW's 15-session tracking closes with a complete canonical outcome of +9.14% from the $294.375 reference. The final regular-session capture was $321.29, down 1.14% on the session and 1.27% from the prior regular close; the extended quote was $320.64, down 0.20% after hours. The original Early Try thesis identified the clearest positive confirmed break, while already warning that participation was quiet and the information picture was conflicting. The path later reached a 16.16% maximum favorable excursion, but the final capture still showed high RSI, 0.44x participation and pressure after a pullback. The directional result paid, but the evidence never earned a durable company-specific confirmation; tracking now ends.

Session 14 · Aug 19, 2026 · 11:04 NYSE
Relevant update💬$318.56+8.22% base-2.30% prior

SNOW's tracked return has fallen 2.03 points to +8.49% on day 14 as the current capture dropped 2.08% on 0.15x volume and sits 0.40% below the session's average traded price. The rising averages and long-term relative strength keep the break visible, but the loss of the intraday reference and decelerating participation turn the update from digestion into pressure rather than fresh confirmation.

Session 6 · Aug 7, 2026 · 17:42 NYSE
Relevant update💬Aftermarket update: $330.00 (-0.15% vs regular close) · Aug 7, 2026 · 17:27 NYSE$330.49+12.27% base+1.81% prior

SNOW added 1.64 percentage points to its tracked return, reaching +12.27% as the latest capture rose 3.93% on 0.70x participation. Rising EMAs, accumulation and a 25.23-point sector advantage strengthen the early-break case, but RSI 81.43, moderate participation and unavailable VWAP evidence keep confirmation incomplete.

Session 3 · Aug 4, 2026 · 10:55 NYSE
Relevant update💬$315.00+7.00% base+2.53% prior

SNOW added 3.34 points since the last update to a +7.81% tracked return; the $314.995 capture is up 2.43% and 0.91% above VWAP with a rising EMA structure. Relative strength remains strong, but 0.17x participation, RSI 76.22 and unresolved information mean the early break is improving rather than fully confirmed.

Session 2 · Aug 3, 2026 · 10:55 NYSE
Relevant update💬$310.58+5.51% base+5.88% prior

SNOW advanced 5.71 percentage points to +5.34% on day 2, while the current session is up 5.90% on 0.35x relative volume. Price remains above VWAP at $307.51 within a rising EMA structure, but the quiet participation and unresolved information context keep the early thesis conditional.

Session 0 · Jul 30, 2026 · 13:32 NYSE
Original publication💬$294.38 · +4.06% change on day

Panel thesis: SNOW is the clearest current confirmed break by direction, but the early thesis remains dependent on fresh participation and resolution of conflicting information. Invalidation boundary: The early thesis weakens if the next observation fails to preserve the break or if participation remains absent.

Other candidates

Other candidates

Alternatives retained from the source publication.

Company description

Snowflake Inc. provides a cloud-based data platform for various organizations in the United States and internationally. The company's platform includes artificial intelligence (AI) Data Cloud, which enables customers to consolidate data into a single source of truth to drive meaningful business insights, build data applications, and share data and data products, as well as applies AI for solving business problems. It serves financial services, advertising, media and entertainment, retail and consumer goods, healthcare and life sciences, manufacturing, technology, telecom, travel and hospitality, and government and defense industries, as well as the public sector. the company has a collaboration with OpenAI, L.L.C. for the development of AI solutions for joint enterprise customers that deliver tangible return on investment. The company was formerly known as Snowflake Computing, Inc. and changed its name to Snowflake Inc. in April 2019. Snowflake Inc. was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Menlo Park, California.

History

  • Snowflake was founded in 2012 by Benoit Dageville, Thierry Cruanes and Marcin Zukowski.
  • The founders spent about two years developing the software before the company publicly scaled its cloud-data offering.
  • Frank Slootman joined Snowflake in 2019 after leading other enterprise-software companies.
  • Snowflake went public in 2020 after pricing its IPO at 120 dollars per share.
  • The company was built around a cloud-native data warehouse and data-sharing architecture.

Curiosities

  • The founders had backgrounds at Oracle, IBM and Google before building Snowflake.
  • Forbes reported that the name Snowflake was chosen because the founders liked skiing.
  • The architecture separates compute from storage, allowing customers to scale those resources independently.
  • Snowflake's 2020 IPO raised about 3.4 billion dollars and opened at more than twice its offer price.
  • The company positioned its platform as a searchable layer between cloud providers and customer applications.

Profile sources