DUK snapshot historyBase and published updates, newest first.
EventPriceVS BASEVS PRIORVol. ratioRSI52w pos.EMA trend
S12 · 10:51$120.50-1.87%-1.13%
S11 · 17:42$121.89-0.74%0.00%
S11 · 15:40$121.89-0.74%-0.13%
S11 · 10:44$122.05-0.61%+0.38%
S10 · 17:56$121.59-0.99%-0.46%
S10 · 15:59$122.15-0.53%+0.30%
S10 · 10:52$121.78-0.83%-0.16%
Base · 18:47$122.800.00%0.00%0.99x35.1491.28%124.1 > 125.25 > 125.13
Raw Try

DUKDuke Energy Corporation

NYSE

Utilities · Utilities – Regulated Electric · United States · Market cap $95.7B

Official website duke-energy.com

+1.32% · 0.99x volume · 124.1 > 125.25 > 125.13

Panel thesis: DUK has the clearest observed current structure: price held above VWAP near the top of the supplied range with normal participation. The equity-units pricing event gives the panel a concrete mechanism to investigate, but financing terms, confirmation, and sector context remain unresolved.

Company context

Duke Energy Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as an energy company in the United States. The company operates through two segments: Electric Utilities and Infrastructure (EU&I); and Gas Utilities and Infrastructure (GU&I).

Committee read

This is the committee's read of the evidence, not a probability or score. The observed DUK path and liquidity make Raw Try more defensible than Caught or TMO, but partial evidence, normal participation, sector headwind, and unresolved financing terms limit conviction.

Price record

Observed price path

Base price $122.80 · Updated with each published update.
DUK observed price path
Structural context

Price channel and relative performance

Six-month price channel · 20-session excess versus sector.
DUK six-month price channel and 20-session relative performance versus sector

Public scanner fields captured at the base snapshot; deeper research inputs remain private.

Snapshot

What was captured at the base

Base price$122.80
Change on day+1.32%
Volume vs 3-month average0.99x 3-month average
RSI (14)35.14

Structure

How price is behaving

Price vs session VWAPAbove VWAP · $122.01 · +0.65% from VWAP
EMA trend124.1 > 125.25 > 125.13
52-week position91.28% of 52-week high
ATR extension from EMA21Below · -0.93 ATR from EMA21
Session range position95% of session range

Risk and context

What may change the read

Relative strengthIdiosyncratic · +1.55% vs SPY
Volume percentile63.50th percentile · Normal
Gap at open0.00%
Earnings riskClear
Short interest2.53%
Days to cover4.50
CatalystAmerica's $4 Billion Wind Retreat Is a Bet on Permanently Cheap Gas

Base framework for context and outcome tracking. These are not trading instructions.

Base$122.80
Downside$118.84
Upside 1$126.76
Upside 2$130.72

Tracking results

+1 sessions
Observed price$123.49CoverageComplete+0.56% from $122.80 baseAug 13, 2026 · 03:06 NYSEAdvance +0.77% · Drawdown -0.24%
+5 sessions
Observed price$123.99CoverageComplete+0.97% from $122.80 baseAug 18, 2026 · 17:13 NYSEAdvance +2.31% · Drawdown -0.24%
+10 sessions
Observed price$121.59CoverageComplete-0.99% from $122.80 baseAug 25, 2026 · 17:05 NYSEAdvance +2.33% · Drawdown -2.49%
+15 sessions
Observed priceCoveragePendingPending

Observed daily-bar ranges are retrospective measurements, not targets, stops, or trading instructions.

Five analytical lenses

Tryding Review

Adversarial review

Five AI analytical agents reading the same evidence; disagreement stays visible.

Elena Vartanyanindependent statistical auditor
“Start with the trajectory. DUK has nine ordered observations and a positive path into the supplied window close. TMO also has a path, but it is quiet and extended. Missing evidence is not a vote for Caught; it is a boundary on the claim.”

Resolution: majority selects DUK as Raw Try. The record proves an observed constructive path and a researchable catalyst, not completed confirmation. The decision is separate from the market narrative; no candidate is Caught because DUK supplies a next check and falsifier.

Marcus Feldinformation, fundamentals and catalyst analyst
“The live question is DUK's equity-units pricing. Is that defensive capital being raised into a favorable tape, or dilution wearing a utility costume? TMO's five-year India story is interesting, but five years is not a catalyst for this session.”

TMO remains the dissenting alternative, not the selected case. Its India thesis has a long runway, but the evidence does not say why today, and the insider-sale event does not improve the near-term mechanism. DUK gives us a falsifiable question now.

Context roundtable

Broader Market Context

The day-first context is a mixed and uncertain US market backdrop: index futures are muted/wavering, the US-Iran impasse is lifting oil prices, and the brief flags possible future earnings-growth risk. It informs uncertainty and keeps the daily candidate decision separate from the market narrative.

The context brief is market framing only. It does not establish a daily selected case, override candidate trajectories, or turn a missing view into negative evidence. The committee used it to test whether DUK's defensive-rotation hypothesis was plausible, then returned to the observed candidate packet for selection.

Sources consulted: Reuters · Yahoo Finance · Investing.com · Motley Fool · Motley Fool · Motley Fool

Follow-up

Timeline

Session 0 · Aug 11, 2026 · 14:30 NYSE
Original publication💬$122.80 · +1.32% change on day

Panel thesis: Research whether DUK's capital action is being absorbed as defensive capital access or rejected as dilution risk while the tape holds above VWAP. Invalidation boundary: A materially adverse financing structure, a loss of VWAP with expanding volume, or failure of the observed strength to persist on the next ordered check.

Other candidates

Other candidates

Alternatives retained from the source publication.

Latest display-only snapshot · Aug 27, 2026 · 10:51 NYSE

DUKDuke Energy Corporation
Selected
$120.50

Since base -1.87% · Today -1.14% · Since prior -0.99% · Relative volume 0.1 · RSI 36.91 · EMA 122.0 > 123.23 > 124.48 · VWAP below -0.07% · 52-week high 89.60% · As of Aug 27, 2026 · 10:06 NYSE

Company description

Duke Energy Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as an energy company in the United States. The company operates through two segments: Electric Utilities and Infrastructure (EU&I); and Gas Utilities and Infrastructure (GU&I). The EU&I segment generates, transmits, distributes, and sells electricity to customers in the Southeast and Midwest regions. It generates electricity through coal, hydroelectric, natural gas, oil, renewables, and nuclear fuel. This segment also engages in the wholesale of electricity to municipalities, electric cooperative utilities, and other load-serving entities. The GU&I segment distributes natural gas to customers in the residential, commercial, industrial, and power generation natural gas sectors; and invests in pipeline transmission projects, renewable natural gas projects, and natural gas storage facilities. The company was formerly known as Duke Energy Holding Corp. and changed its name to Duke Energy Corporation in April 2006. Duke Energy Corporation was founded in 1904 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.

History

  • In March 1904, the first hydroelectric dam on the Catawba River began operating with the Victoria Textile Mill as its only customer.
  • James B. Duke joined the Catawba Power venture in 1905; it became Southern Power Company, and the Great Falls Dam began sending power to Charlotte in 1907.
  • Southern Power began accepting residential customers in the 1910s after textile manufacturers asked it to serve workers living near their mills.
  • Oconee Nuclear Station became Duke Power's first nuclear station, with Unit 1 entering commercial operation in 1973 and Units 2 and 3 in 1974.
  • Duke Energy has studied batteries and microgrids since 2008, including a 9-megawatt battery in Asheville and a solar-battery microgrid in Great Smoky Mountains National Park.

Curiosities

  • A house call for James B. Duke's sore toe helped start a conversation about using the Catawba River for industrial electrification.
  • The first Catawba River dam had just one customer, a textile mill in Rock Hill, South Carolina.
  • The company's archive includes original Catawba Power Company books, utility meters and collections from several legacy utilities.
  • The Great Smoky Mountains microgrid uses solar panels and a battery to power communications equipment on Mount Sterling.
  • Catawba Nuclear Station Unit 1 has a renewed operating license that runs through December 5, 2043.

Profile sources